fleetd #511: fix wrong --no-build wording in drain-gate abort, pin jar_id() default

The drain-gate abort message told the operator a rerun "with or without
--no-build" would finish the restart. That is wrong: by the time this
message can fire, stage_built_jar has already moved the jar off $JAR, so
--no-build hits require_no_build_jar's own refusal. Reworded to say the
rerun must NOT use --no-build, and why: the built jar is no longer at the
live path that --no-build requires.

Also added a test pinning jar_id()'s no-argument default (reports $JAR,
the live path) and its explicit-argument behavior (reports that path
instead), per fleetd #511 item 2. Not adding a test for the JAR_STAGED rm
-f at line 578 (fleetd #511 documents it as an equivalent mutant — mvn
clean install deletes target/ on the next line regardless).

.claude-plugin/marketplace.json

@@ -1,15 +1,15 @@
 {
-  "name": "claude-bridge",
+  "name": "fleetd",
   "description": "Tooling for orchestrating a fleet of delegated coding agents through the fleetd MCP gateway.",
   "owner": {
     "name": "LTMS"
   },
   "plugins": [
     {
-      "name": "claude-bridge",
+      "name": "fleet",
       "source": "./plugin",
-      "description": "Make a project bridge-ready: mount the fleetd MCP gateway and apply standard Claude Code settings so a session can orchestrate delegated workers. Ships no credentials.",
-      "version": "0.1.0",
+      "description": "Mount the fleetd MCP gateway and apply standard Claude Code settings so a session can orchestrate delegated workers. Ships no credentials.",
+      "version": "0.2.0",
       "author": {
         "name": "LTMS"
       }

.claude/skills/handover/SKILL.md

@@ -0,0 +1,226 @@
+---
+name: handover
+description: Procedure for an outgoing lead to write the handover file that a fresh lead session inherits. Load this when your context is filling up and you are about to be replaced, whether you hand off by hand or fleetd does it for you. The file is the new lead's only inheritance — follow it exactly.
+---
+
+# Handover — write the file the next lead depends on
+
+A lead session fills up its context and has to be replaced by a fresh one. The outgoing lead
+writes a handover file, and the new session reads that file and carries on.
+
+**There are two ways to hand off, and the file is the same either way.**
+
+- **By hand.** You write the file, then tell the operator where it is. The operator starts the new
+  session and points it at the file. This always works.
+- **With `fleet_handover`** (fleetd #480, merged 2026-09-11). You ask fleetd to do the swap: it
+  checks the file, clears your pane, and tells the fresh session to read it. This needs
+  `leadRollover:` in `fleetd.yaml`; without it every action answers a clean refusal naming
+  `NOT_CONFIGURED`, and you fall back to the manual path. Section 11 below is the procedure.
+
+Nothing else in this skill changes between the two. Only who performs the swap changes.
+
+**The new lead's only inheritance is that file.** It does not see your conversation, your plan,
+or your screen. If the file is thin or wrong, the new lead re-derives what you already knew, and
+that wastes hours. Writing a good handover file is real work. It is not paperwork you rush
+through at the end of a session.
+
+This skill is the procedure for writing it. Every rule below earned its place because a past
+handover got it wrong.
+
+## 1. Confirm you are the right session to write this
+
+Run `fleet_whoami` first. It must answer `primary`. Only a primary (lead) session writes a
+handover file. A worker's job ends with its own pull request, not a fleet-wide handoff.
+
+## 2. Every number needs a command, run in this turn
+
+A number is a claim: a count, a commit hash, a process id, a percentage, a queue depth. Before
+you write one, run the command that produces it — now, in this turn, against the live state.
+
+Never take a number from:
+
+- earlier in your own conversation — the state has moved since then,
+- a peer lead's report — that is their measurement, not yours,
+- your own memory of an earlier session.
+
+Put the command, or its real output, next to the number. That lets the next lead re-run it and
+check it still matches. If you cannot measure something yourself, say so instead of guessing:
+"the fleet01 lead reports 91 commits behind; I have not checked this myself."
+
+## 3. Say what you measured and what you did not
+
+Mark every claim as one of two things:
+
+- **"I checked this myself, in the code or on this host, at `<time>`."**
+- **"I did not check this myself; `<who>` reported it."**
+
+Never present someone else's measurement as your own. This matters most for cross-host claims —
+a peer lead's daemon, a worker's report, or something the operator said earlier that you cannot
+re-verify from here.
+
+## 4. Record open decisions, and who owns them
+
+List three things:
+
+- what the operator actually asked for, in their own words where you have them,
+- what is still unanswered,
+- any question you decided yourself instead of asking, with your reason.
+
+Write the decision so it cannot be mistaken for the operator's instruction. Say plainly: "the
+operator never answered X; I decided Y, because Z." Without this, the next lead either silently
+reopens a closed question or assumes the operator chose something they never did.
+
+## 5. Record live hazards
+
+List anything that will break if the next lead does the obvious thing next. This includes:
+
+- unpushed commits or unmerged branches,
+- a build, a spawn, or a redeploy still running,
+- code merged to `main` but not yet redeployed to the live daemon,
+- any trap that looks safe and is not — say what goes wrong and why, not only that something is
+  "tricky."
+
+## 6. Record what is explicitly not owed
+
+List work that is finished, and work that another party has said they do not want touched. Name
+who said so and when. Without this line, the next lead re-does closed work or reopens a question
+a peer already declined to revisit.
+
+## 7. Open the file with three re-measurement commands
+
+The file's own first section must give the next lead three concrete commands to run before
+acting on anything else in the file:
+
+1. confirm role — for example `fleet_whoami`,
+2. confirm the state of the working tree — for example `git status` and
+   `git rev-list origin/main..HEAD`,
+3. read the live fleet — for example `fleet_list`.
+
+Record what each command answered when you wrote the file, and tell the reader to run it again
+rather than trust your answer. The point of this section is that the reader checks live state
+before acting on any claim in the rest of the file, including yours.
+
+## 8. Stamp the file with time and commit
+
+Near the top of the file, write:
+
+- the date and time you wrote it,
+- the commit the tree was on (`git rev-parse HEAD`),
+- whether the tree was clean (`git status`).
+
+Without this, nobody can tell how old the file is, or which code it describes.
+
+## 9. State plainly that the file goes stale fast
+
+Say near the top: **re-measure anything you act on.** The file goes stale the moment anyone
+merges a branch, spawns a member, or restarts the daemon. Everything in the file is a snapshot
+of one moment, not a live fact.
+
+## 10. What to leave out
+
+Do not include:
+
+- narration of how the session felt, or how hard something was,
+- anything the repo already records — code structure, git history, or a rule already written in
+  `CLAUDE.md`. Point at it instead of repeating it,
+- advice that is only true for the session that is ending — a half-open terminal, a local
+  variable, a train of thought with no state behind it.
+
+A handover file is a record of state and decisions. It is not a diary.
+
+## 11. Using `fleet_handover` (only if `leadRollover:` is configured)
+
+**Run the three steps in this order. The order is not a style choice — the wrong order is
+refused.**
+
+1. **`fleet_handover{action: "open", reason: "<why now>"}`.** It returns a `token` and the
+   `handoverPath` you must write to. Nothing has happened to your pane yet.
+
+   **Write to exactly that path, and do not resolve it yourself.** It is always absolute, even when
+   the operator configured a relative `handoverPath`: fleetd resolves a relative one against your
+   own workspace before it hands it to you. The daemon and your pane can run in different
+   directories, so a path you resolve yourself can point at a different file from the one the daemon
+   will check.
+
+   **Check that the path is ignored by git before you write to it (#491).** A relative
+   `handoverPath` resolves inside YOUR workspace, which is usually a repository — and usually not
+   the `fleetd` one, so an ignore rule added to `fleetd` does not protect it. Run
+   `grep -n handover <your workspace>/.gitignore`. No output means the file you are about to write
+   will show up as untracked content in that repo. The file is a snapshot of live state and must
+   never be committed, so tell the operator rather than committing it or silently editing their
+   `.gitignore`.
+2. **Write the handover file at that path**, following sections 1–10 above.
+3. **Ask the operator, then `fleet_handover{action: "confirm", token, operatorConfirmed: true}`.**
+
+Why that order: `confirm` refuses with `HANDOVER_STALE` unless the file was modified **after** the
+`open` request. That check stops a leftover file from an earlier session being accepted as this
+one's handover. So writing the file first and then calling `open` — the obvious order — always
+fails.
+
+`{action: "cancel", token}` drops a pending request without rolling.
+
+**Things that will surprise you:**
+
+- **`accepted` does not mean your pane has been cleared.** It means every gate passed and the roll
+  is scheduled to run once your current turn ends. Say your goodbye in the same turn — you will not
+  get another one.
+- **There is no terminal or session parameter, on purpose.** The pane is always your own, resolved
+  from your connection, so you can only ever roll yourself.
+- **`operatorConfirmed` is your report of what a human told you.** Do not pass `true` because you
+  are confident. Ask, wait for the answer, then pass what they said. `requireOperatorConfirm`
+  defaults to `true` and this is the only thing standing between a judgement call and a wiped
+  session.
+- **The roll can still refuse after `confirm` returns**, and by then there is no caller to tell.
+  Those outcomes are logged only, as `lead-rollover:` lines in the daemon log.
+- **The bootstrap prompt has never yet landed, and the fix is unproven (fleetd #489).** The first
+  real rollover, on 2026-09-12, joined `/clear` and the bootstrap text into one line and Claude Code
+  refused it as `Unknown command: /clearFresh`. The pane was never cleared and no context was lost,
+  so the failure was safe — the roll simply did nothing. PR #490 fixed the cause and is deployed,
+  but no roll has bootstrapped a fresh session end to end yet. **Assume it may still fail, and tell
+  the operator so before you confirm.** The recovery is the same either way: the file is already
+  written, so the operator starts a session and points it at the file. That is why you write the
+  file before you confirm, and never the other way round.
+
+## Writing style
+
+Write in plain English. Use everyday words, one idea per sentence, and active voice. Keep every
+class, method, file, flag, and config key exactly as it appears in the code — replacing a
+precise term with a vague one makes the sentence wrong, not simpler. Explain an abbreviation the
+first time you use it.
+
+If a diagram genuinely helps, put it in the `.md` file as a fenced ` ```mermaid ` block with no
+hardcoded colors, so it stays readable on light and dark backgrounds. Quote any label that has
+brackets, colons, or slashes.
+
+## Template
+
+```markdown
+# Handover — <fleet name> lead session, <date and time>
+
+Written at commit `<output of git rev-parse HEAD>`. Tree was <clean, or dirty: `<git status
+summary>`>. Re-measure anything you act on — this file goes stale the moment anyone merges,
+spawns, or restarts.
+
+## 0. Do these three things first
+
+1. Confirm your role: `fleet_whoami` — must answer `primary`. (Answered `<result>` at `<time>`.)
+2. Confirm tree state: `git status`, `git rev-list origin/main..HEAD`. (`<result>` at `<time>`.)
+3. Read the live fleet: `fleet_list`. (`<result>` at `<time>`.)
+
+## 1. What the operator asked for
+
+<the live instructions, in their words where you have them; what is still open; any decision
+you made yourself, and why>
+
+## 2. Open decisions, and who owns them
+
+<one line per decision: who owns it, what is unanswered>
+
+## 3. Live hazards
+
+<one entry per hazard: what breaks, and why, if the next lead does the obvious thing>
+
+## 4. What is not owed
+
+<finished work, and work another party has declined; name who said so and when>
+```

.claude/skills/redeploy-fleetd/SKILL.md

@@ -0,0 +1,72 @@
+---
+name: redeploy-fleetd
+description: Rebuild and restart the live fleetd daemon after a merge (lead / primary only). Load this before redeploying — it holds the script, the drain step, the permission grant, and the five checks that have each gone wrong here before. Workers must never do this.
+---
+
+### Redeploying the daemon — the lead may do this (primary only)
+
+**A merge is not a deployment.** The running `fleetd` holds the jar it was started with, so a
+feature merged to `main` does nothing until the daemon is rebuilt and restarted. Saying "shipped"
+about code the live daemon has never loaded is a false report. The lead **may and should** redeploy
+rather than hand the job back to the operator.
+
+Workers must never do this. A worker has no business restarting the daemon it is talking through,
+and stopping it kills the worker's own channel mid-turn.
+
+**Use the script — do not hand-roll the steps.**
+
+```bash
+scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh --check   # report state, change nothing
+scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh           # build, confirm drain, restart, verify
+scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh --yes     # skip the drain prompt (fleet already checked)
+scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh --no-build # restart the jar already on disk
+```
+
+`--no-build` skips the build and restarts whatever jar is at `fleetd/target/fleetd.jar`. Use it only
+when you just built and nothing changed since. It gives up the protection in the next paragraph: no
+build runs, so a stale or missing jar is not caught early. The script still checks the file is there
+and dies with `no jar at … — run without --no-build` if it is not, but it cannot tell you the jar is
+old. A `mvn clean` in the tree deletes that jar while the daemon keeps running on it, and nothing
+degrades until the next restart. Run `--check` first: it prints the jar's hash and its modification
+time, so you can see for yourself whether the jar is missing or older than the code you mean to ship.
+
+It builds before it stops anything, so a failed build never leaves the fleet down; it waits for the
+old process to exit rather than assuming; it polls `/healthz`; and it anchors its log checks to a
+line marker taken before the restart, so old errors cannot be misread as new ones. Run `--check`
+first — it is read-only and reports whether the forge token resolves, which nothing else tells you.
+
+The script encodes the five things below, each of which has gone wrong here before. Read them anyway:
+if the script is unavailable or a step fails, this is what it was protecting you from.
+
+1. **Login shell, or workers silently lose their forge token.** The daemon inherits
+   `WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN` from the shell that starts it, and that comes from
+   `${SHARED_ENV}/tools/secrets.sh`. Start it from a non-login shell and the variable is empty, the
+   daemon starts fine, and the failure appears much later as workers that cannot open a PR. Nothing
+   logs this at startup — the script's `--check` is the only thing that reports it, and it checks
+   whether the name resolves without ever printing the value.
+2. **Drain live members first.** `fleet_list`, then `fleet_stop` each member, and collect anything
+   you still want with `fleet_poll` before you kill anything. A restart drops in-flight tickets and
+   rendezvous, and a member's report is not recoverable once its ticket is gone.
+3. **A restart is the only way deferred config keys take effect.** That is usually the reason to do
+   it. The startup log names which keys it accepted and which it deferred — read those lines rather
+   than assuming.
+4. **Re-check identity afterwards.** Call `fleet_whoami` and confirm it still answers `primary`. The
+   lead is found by its tab label (`fleet.leaders.*.tab`), and a lead whose tab no longer matches is
+   demoted to worker, which refuses every orchestration call.
+5. **Prove the new jar is the one running.** Confirm a *fresh* `fleetd listening` line at the end of
+   `fleetd/fleetd.out`, dated after the restart. An old daemon that never died looks identical from
+   the outside.
+
+**Permission.** A `CLAUDE.md` rule grants intent, not tool permission — the command classifier
+refuses a bare `kill` on the daemon whatever this file says. The script is the seam that fixes that:
+it is one auditable command, so the operator allow-lists it once instead of approving a stop and a
+start every time. The rule lives in the operator's Claude Code settings:
+
+```json
+{ "permissions": { "allow": ["Bash(scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh:*)"] } }
+```
+
+Granted by the operator on 2026-08-15. If a call is still refused, do **not** route around it by
+running the stop and start as separate commands — that is exactly the approval the script replaced.
+Say what you were going to run and why, and let the operator decide.
+

.gitea/workflows/ci.yml

@@ -87,12 +87,18 @@ jobs:
           apt-get update && apt-get install -y --no-install-recommends maven
           mvn -version
 
-      # The `contract` profile clears the default-excludes group, so the @Tag("contract") AMQP test
-      # runs against the RabbitMQ service container (AMQP_URI). Pinned to the one contract test to
-      # avoid re-running the unit suite already covered by the `build` job.
+      # The `contract` profile clears the default-excludes group, so `-Dgroups=contract` runs every
+      # @Tag("contract") test and nothing from the unit suite the `build` job already covered — a
+      # tag selects the whole group, so a test added to it later runs here automatically. A prior
+      # version of this step pinned `-Dtest=AmqpReplyInboxContractTest` by class name instead: that
+      # silently excluded every other contract test (including the herdr ones) from CI, and nobody
+      # noticed until the herdr protocol drifted out from under a test that never ran here
+      # (fleetd #449). If this runner has no herdr socket, the herdr-backed tests in the group
+      # skip on their own `assumeTrue` and only the broker-backed ones actually run — check the
+      # step output rather than assuming which.
       - name: Contract tests
         working-directory: fleetd
-        run: mvn -B -Pcontract test -Dtest=AmqpReplyInboxContractTest
+        run: mvn -B -Pcontract test -Dgroups=contract
 
       - name: Failing test output
         if: failure()

.gitignore

@@ -19,3 +19,9 @@
 fleetd.out
 fleetd/fleetd.out
 logs/
+
+# fleetd #480: the lead rollover handover file. `leadRollover.handoverPath` points here, and the
+# outgoing lead rewrites it on every rollover. It is a snapshot of one moment's live state —
+# unpushed branches, running builds, open questions — so it is stale the moment it is written and
+# has no business in git history.
+.handover/

CLAUDE.md

@@ -7,6 +7,14 @@
 > wiki ([Use Cases](https://git.ltms.dev/fleet/fleetd/wiki/7-Use-Cases) → *The portable
 > CLAUDE.md block*); improvements go to the template first, then out to each project. Anything
 > specific to *this* repo lives under §Project addendum below, never inline above it.
+>
+> **Anything you measure in an addendum is perishable.** Date it, give the command that
+> re-measures it and what each outcome means, and tell the reader to delete the section once
+> it stops reproducing. The four parts work together: deciding what would falsify a claim is
+> the expensive step, and a reader in the middle of another task will not pay it, so a bare
+> "verify before relying on this" costs the same space and does nothing. The case this is for
+> is a note that goes stale as a live restriction — it will tell a future session it cannot do
+> the thing at the moment doing it becomes the job.
 
 If no `fleet_*` MCP tools are mounted in this session, this section does not apply — skip it.
 
@@ -50,8 +58,9 @@ and the sender silently receives nothing. Fail toward the recoverable error.
    re-send because a call looks slow — the bridge delivers when the peer is `idle`, `blocked` or
    `done`. A spawned member must **also** have mounted the bridge MCP: until it has, it is not
    deliverable, and a send waits on that gate for ~60s and then fails without ever reaching its pane.
-5. **Never drive the terminal multiplexer directly** (no `herdr` CLI, no socket). The bridge owns
-   policy; the multiplexer owns PTYs. Going around the bridge bypasses every rule above.
+5. **Never move a fleet session, pane or peer except through the bridge.** The bridge owns policy;
+   the multiplexer owns PTYs. Any route that changes fleet state without the bridge's checks
+   bypasses every rule above — the `herdr` CLI and its socket are the usual example.
 
 ### Primary (lead) — run this on every task, in order
 
@@ -71,8 +80,11 @@ below are the procedure — run them in order, every task, not only the big ones
    the final judgment call, verification, merges, and anything that depends on context only you
    hold. Nothing else is yours by default.
 3. **Spawn every delegated unit first** — `fleet_spawn{profile, worktree:true, ticket}`, one per
-   unit, *before* sending any. Pass `profile` explicitly: profiles differ in model and cost, not in
-   tier, so the default is rarely what you want.
+   unit, *before* sending any. Pass `profile` explicitly: profiles differ in model, cost and
+   LIVENESS, not in tier, so the default is rarely what you want. The default is whatever the
+   daemon reports, and on a host where it sits on an exhausted or withdrawn credential every
+   unqualified spawn fails — sometimes loudly, sometimes as a member that spawns fine and then
+   produces nothing. `fleet_profiles` reports the default; check it once per session.
 4. **Then send them all** — `fleet_send{sessionId, content, wait:false}`. Line 1 of every brief is
    `Load the <name> skill.` naming the worker's playbook; those skills are opt-in and that line is
    what makes them reliable. Where the project ships no such skill, spell the procedure out in the
@@ -94,6 +106,18 @@ below are the procedure — run them in order, every task, not only the big ones
 8. **Adjudicate, merge, tear down — yours alone.** Read the diff yourself: fully if it is small,
    targeted at the reported findings and the risky paths if it is large. Reviewer findings direct
    your attention; they never substitute for it. Then merge, then `fleet_stop{paneId}`.
+   **If the forge refuses you the merge** — a protected branch, a token without the grant — the
+   adjudication is still yours. Read the diff, decide, and hand the operator a merge-ready queue
+   with the refusal quoted. Never report a PR as merged, and never call one "ready to merge"
+   without having read the diff yourself. A refusal is exactly when that shortcut is tempting,
+   because no action is left that forces you to look, and taking it turns this step into
+   forwarding a reviewer's verdict — which is delegating the merge by proxy, two lines above.
+   **Test a refusal; do not read it off a permissions field.** A protected branch holds its merge
+   rights separately from the repository permissions, so that field can say yes while the merge is
+   refused, and still say no after a grant makes it work. Probe instead, with a request that cannot
+   succeed on its merits, so a rejection can only mean the refusal. Treat a transport failure as a
+   third answer that proves nothing: a timeout, a DNS error or a bad URL is not a refusal, and
+   counting it as one makes you sure of something you never measured.
 
 **Steps 3 and 4 are separate on purpose** — spawning and sending in one loop is how parallel work
 silently becomes serial, and it is the most common way this layer is wasted. For the same reason,
@@ -114,9 +138,11 @@ the merge — and merging on a reviewer's word is delegating it by proxy.
 | Answer a member's `fleet_ask` | `fleet_send{turnId, content}` — **not** `sessionId` |
 | Message a **peer lead** on this host | `fleet_send{sessionId: <their terminal>, content}` — `fleet_list` → `leads` reports it. Coordination only, **never** a task |
 | Message a **peer lead** on another daemon or host | `fleet_send{coordId: <their coord-id>, content}` — needs a `coordinator:` block; your own coord-id is in `fleet_list`. Coordination only, **never** a task |
-| Answer a peer lead that messaged you | `fleet_reply{content}` — the one case a lead replies |
+| Answer a peer lead that messaged you | `fleet_send{coordId}` — or `{sessionId}` if they are on this host. **Not** `fleet_reply`: it has no peer route and the publish is refused |
+| Read your own held lead-to-lead mail (no ack) | `fleet_poll{coordId: <your own coord-id, from fleet_list's coordinator.selfId>}` — primary-only; never acks, so `fleet_list`'s `held[]` still shows it after. `fleet_list`'s `held[]` gives only a truncated preview — this is the only way to read the full body |
 | Collect a held reply | `fleet_poll{target}` · then `fleet_ack{target, msgId}` |
 | Tear down a member | `fleet_stop{paneId}` |
+| Replace your OWN lead session when its context is full | `fleet_handover{action:"open", reason?}` → write the handover file it names → `fleet_handover{action:"confirm", token, operatorConfirmed}`. Primary-only. **In that order**: the file must be modified *after* `open`, or `confirm` refuses it as stale. There is no terminal parameter — the pane is always your own, so you can never roll another lead. `{action:"cancel", token}` drops a pending request |
 
 ### Lead ↔ lead — coordinate, never delegate
 
@@ -140,10 +166,21 @@ The traffic between leads is coordination and nothing else:
 3. **Verify a peer exactly as you verify yourself.** Peer status buys nothing: check the claim
    against the code, and re-run the build. A peer's correction gets the same treatment — right or
    wrong on the evidence, not on who said it. Neither of you merges the other's work unreviewed.
+   **N observations are N data points only if they differ in the axis you are trusting.** This cuts
+   both ways. N *failures* blamed on one cause are one data point when the cases share what you are
+   not varying. N *agreeing measurements* are also one data point when they share an instrument —
+   two hosts, two operators and the same formula is one formula, not two confirmations.
+4. **Ask a peer to read your project addendum.** Your addendum is instruction surface: every future
+   session on your host obeys it, and a wrong one is obeyed just as faithfully as a right one. The
+   author is the worst reader of their own qualifier placement — measured here, one addendum carried
+   two defects and a non-author found both. If you have no peer, at least re-read it asking "which
+   sentence goes false first, and would a reader reach the caveat before acting?"
 
-Being messaged by a peer does not make you its worker: answer with `fleet_reply`, and push back on
-the substance if it is wrong. A peer that simply complies has thrown away the reason there are two of
-you.
+Being messaged by a peer does not make you its worker: answer the way you would open —
+`fleet_send{coordId}` for another daemon, `fleet_send{sessionId}` on this host — and push back on
+the substance if it is wrong. `fleet_reply` resolves a member's blocked `fleet_send`; a peer's
+coord-id message is durable and non-blocking, so there is nothing for it to resolve. A peer that
+simply complies has thrown away the reason there are two of you.
 
 ### Member (worker or architect) — the turn contract
 
@@ -188,6 +225,19 @@ must obey belongs in the charter, not here.
 - **This repo is the bridge.** The daemon is `fleetd`, its MCP mount is `http://127.0.0.1:8765/mcp`,
   and the code behind the rules above is `mcp/FleetMcp` (tools), `auth/Authz` (the role table),
   `mcp/ConnectionIdentity` (connection→role), and `worker/*Launcher` (`REPLY_CHARTER`).
+- **Herdr socket tests (measured 2026-09-10).** In this repo, herdr is a subject under test. A
+  worker assigned to herdr code, and the lead, may let a test open the herdr socket directly in a
+  throwaway workspace that the test tears down. This only covers
+  `fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/AgentControlContractTest.java`,
+  `fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/HerdrContractTest.java`,
+  `fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/PaneLocatorContractTest.java`, and
+  `fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/WorkspacePlacementContractTest.java`. It is not a
+  general licence. Using the herdr CLI or socket to move a real fleet session, pane, or peer stays
+  banned. That is the control plane that invariant 5 protects. Re-measure with
+  `grep -rl 'UnixSocketHerdrClient.connect()' fleetd/src/test/java --include='*.java'`. A non-empty
+  result means tests still open the socket and this note still applies. An empty result means nobody
+  does this any more; delete this section. Canonical invariant 5 restatement is tracked in #458 and
+  is not part of this change.
 - **`fleet_profiles`/`fleet_list` report two separate outage states, and they are not the same
   thing.** *Quarantined* (CB-578) means the backend told us it is out of capacity — a long,
   1800s-default cooldown. *Cooling off* (fleetd #201/#227) means a profile's credential threw two
@@ -208,8 +258,22 @@ must obey belongs in the charter, not here.
   already cost three workers' turns: each wrote a good report to its terminal and ended the turn
   with no `fleet_reply`, and the scrape returned the tail of the brief instead.
 - **Primary-side skills** (not delegation playbooks — a worker cannot use them):
-  `port-to-opencode` (make an OpenCode session a participant in this workspace) and
-  `fleets-status` (report every fleet that shares one LavinMQ instance).
+  `port-to-opencode` (make an OpenCode session a participant in this workspace),
+  `fleets-status` (report every fleet that shares one LavinMQ instance),
+  `redeploy-fleetd` (rebuild and restart the live daemon after a merge) and
+  `handover` (write the file a fresh lead session inherits when the outgoing one hands off,
+  fleetd #480).
+- **This repo is also a Claude Code marketplace, and ships a plugin.** `.claude-plugin/marketplace.json`
+  points at `plugin/`, which carries the MCP mount and the `setup` skill
+  (`/claude-bridge:setup` — make any project bridge-ready). It was added in CB-527 and then went
+  unmentioned by every instruction file, so it drifted and a later session planned it from scratch
+  (#362). **Read `plugin/` before designing anything about onboarding a project.** Two limits are
+  structural, not bugs: a plugin cannot carry the role agent files, because
+  `ClaudeCodeLauncher.java:371` requires `<cwd>/.claude/agents/<role>.md` in the member's own
+  worktree; and a plugin cannot deliver anything to members at all, because
+  `ClaudeCodeLauncher.java:285` exports `CLAUDE_CONFIG_DIR` and every Claude profile here sets it,
+  so a member never reads the operator's plugin store. **The plugin is the lead-side surface;
+  member-facing assets travel in the worktree.**
 - **Never commit** `.mcp.json` (the primary's local copy, flagged `--skip-worktree`) or `wiki/`
   (a submodule with its own remote).
 - **A provisioned worktree neutralizes `.mcp.json`, `opencode.json` and `.autoenv`** — the repo's
@@ -232,60 +296,14 @@ must obey belongs in the charter, not here.
 ### Redeploying the daemon — the lead may do this (primary only)
 
 **A merge is not a deployment.** The running `fleetd` holds the jar it was started with, so a
-feature merged to `main` does nothing until the daemon is rebuilt and restarted. Saying "shipped"
-about code the live daemon has never loaded is a false report. The lead **may and should** redeploy
-rather than hand the job back to the operator.
+feature merged to `main` does nothing until the daemon is rebuilt and restarted. The lead **may and
+should** redeploy rather than hand the job back to the operator. **Workers must never do this** — a
+worker has no business restarting the daemon it is talking through, and stopping it kills the
+worker's own channel mid-turn.
 
-Workers must never do this. A worker has no business restarting the daemon it is talking through,
-and stopping it kills the worker's own channel mid-turn.
-
-**Use the script — do not hand-roll the steps.**
-
-```bash
-scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh --check   # report state, change nothing
-scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh           # build, confirm drain, restart, verify
-scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh --yes     # skip the drain prompt (fleet already checked)
-```
-
-It builds before it stops anything, so a failed build never leaves the fleet down; it waits for the
-old process to exit rather than assuming; it polls `/healthz`; and it anchors its log checks to a
-line marker taken before the restart, so old errors cannot be misread as new ones. Run `--check`
-first — it is read-only and reports whether the forge token resolves, which nothing else tells you.
-
-The script encodes the five things below, each of which has gone wrong here before. Read them anyway:
-if the script is unavailable or a step fails, this is what it was protecting you from.
-
-1. **Login shell, or workers silently lose their forge token.** The daemon inherits
-   `WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN` from the shell that starts it, and that comes from
-   `${SHARED_ENV}/tools/secrets.sh`. Start it from a non-login shell and the variable is empty, the
-   daemon starts fine, and the failure appears much later as workers that cannot open a PR. Nothing
-   logs this at startup — the script's `--check` is the only thing that reports it, and it checks
-   whether the name resolves without ever printing the value.
-2. **Drain live members first.** `fleet_list`, then `fleet_stop` each member, and collect anything
-   you still want with `fleet_poll` before you kill anything. A restart drops in-flight tickets and
-   rendezvous, and a member's report is not recoverable once its ticket is gone.
-3. **A restart is the only way deferred config keys take effect.** That is usually the reason to do
-   it. The startup log names which keys it accepted and which it deferred — read those lines rather
-   than assuming.
-4. **Re-check identity afterwards.** Call `fleet_whoami` and confirm it still answers `primary`. The
-   lead is found by its tab label (`fleet.leaders.*.tab`), and a lead whose tab no longer matches is
-   demoted to worker, which refuses every orchestration call.
-5. **Prove the new jar is the one running.** Confirm a *fresh* `fleetd listening` line at the end of
-   `fleetd/fleetd.out`, dated after the restart. An old daemon that never died looks identical from
-   the outside.
-
-**Permission.** A `CLAUDE.md` rule grants intent, not tool permission — the command classifier
-refuses a bare `kill` on the daemon whatever this file says. The script is the seam that fixes that:
-it is one auditable command, so the operator allow-lists it once instead of approving a stop and a
-start every time. The rule lives in the operator's Claude Code settings:
-
-```json
-{ "permissions": { "allow": ["Bash(scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh:*)"] } }
-```
-
-Granted by the operator on 2026-08-15. If a call is still refused, do **not** route around it by
-running the stop and start as separate commands — that is exactly the approval the script replaced.
-Say what you were going to run and why, and let the operator decide.
+**Load the `redeploy-fleetd` skill before you redeploy.** It holds `scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh`
+and its flags, the drain step, the operator's permission grant, and the five checks that have each
+gone wrong here before. Do not hand-roll the steps from memory.
 
 ### The prompt is part of the product — update it with the code (mandatory)
 
@@ -333,6 +351,16 @@ print("in sync:", w[i:w.index("\n```\n", i) + 1] == block)
 PY
 ```
 
+**Only the lead can run that check (measured 2026-09-10).** A member's provisioned worktree has
+`wiki/` uninitialized, so the script dies with `FileNotFoundError: wiki/7-Use-Cases.md`. Measured
+in three worker worktrees: `git submodule status` printed a leading `-` and `wiki/` held 0
+entries; the primary's own clone printed a leading `+` and the file was there. So never make this
+check a member's acceptance criterion — it is unsatisfiable for them, and a brief that asks for it
+is asking a worker to invent a pass. A member told to check it must say it could not run it, and
+must never report it as passed. The lead runs it in the main clone before merging. Re-measure with
+`git submodule status` in a member's worktree: a leading `-` means this still applies; once it
+prints a commit with no `-`, delete this paragraph.
+
 ## IDE MCP tools & validation workflow (enforced)
 
 > **Primary only.** Workers have no IDE MCP mount — if you are a worker, skip this section and

deploy/fleetd.service

@@ -1,72 +1,80 @@
 # CB-504 — systemd unit for fleetd (Linux).
 #
-# The macOS launchd agent (deploy/dev.ltms.fleetd.plist) is the supervision target for the
-# current single-host deployment. This unit exists for the per-host gateways CB-308 introduces,
-# which will run on Linux.
+# fleetd #360: the previous version of this file started clean and broke the daemon in three ways
+# that nothing logs (see the DO NOT block and the ExecStart/PrivateTmp comments below for what and
+# why). The unit below, plus its companion deploy/herdr.service, is the version that has actually
+# run on fleet01 without those failures. Do not "improve" it back toward the old shape without
+# re-reading why each line is the way it is.
 #
 # Install (user service — fleetd drives the user's herdr, not a system daemon):
 #   mkdir -p ~/.config/systemd/user
-#   cp deploy/fleetd.service ~/.config/systemd/user/
-#   # edit ExecStart / WorkingDirectory / Environment below, then:
+#   cp deploy/fleetd.service deploy/herdr.service ~/.config/systemd/user/
+#   # edit WorkingDirectory / ExecStart below for your host's paths and java location
 #   systemctl --user daemon-reload
-#   systemctl --user enable --now fleetd
+#   systemctl --user enable --now herdr fleetd
+#   loginctl enable-linger $USER      # REQUIRED -- see below
 #   journalctl --user -u fleetd -f
+#
+# `loginctl enable-linger` is not optional and is easy to miss, because leaving it out looks like
+# success: `systemctl --user enable` reports "enabled" and both units run for as long as you stay
+# logged in. A user manager without lingering starts at your first login and stops at your last
+# logout, so the fleet simply does not come back after a reboot -- which is the whole reason to
+# use systemd here rather than the setsid scripts these units replaced. Check it with
+# `loginctl show-user $USER -p Linger`; the answer must be `Linger=yes`.
+#
+# Secrets (AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN, WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN, LAVINMQ_URI, COORD_AMQP_URI, ...) are not set
+# here and need no systemd drop-in: ExecStart runs a login shell, so they come from wherever your
+# login shell already sources them (this host: ~/.fleet/secrets.sh via ~/.zprofile). If a token is
+# missing there, fleetd still starts — the daemon reports every secret a configured profile
+# references, by name, never by value:
+#   journalctl --user -u fleetd | grep 'startup secret'
+# A resolved one logs "startup secret NAME: set (profile 'x' tokenEnv)"; a missing one logs
+# "startup secret NAME: MISSING" at WARN and the daemon starts anyway — the first visible symptom
+# is a member that cannot open a pull request, hours later and in a different component.
 
 [Unit]
-Description=fleetd — claude-bridge message server
+Description=fleetd — fleet message server
 Documentation=https://git.ltms.dev/fleet/fleetd/wiki
-# Ordering only: herdr is a user process and its socket may appear after us. This is advisory —
-# fleetd retries the herdr socket rather than exiting, which is what actually makes a late
-# socket survivable. Do NOT add Requires=: a herdr restart must not take fleetd down with it.
+# Ordering only. fleetd retries the herdr socket rather than exiting, which is what actually makes
+# a late socket survivable. Do NOT add Requires=: a herdr restart must not take fleetd down too.
 After=herdr.service
 Wants=herdr.service
 
 [Service]
 Type=simple
-WorkingDirectory=%h/src/claude-bridge/fleetd
-ExecStart=/usr/lib/jvm/temurin-25-jdk/bin/java -jar target/fleetd.jar fleetd.yaml
+WorkingDirectory=%h/LTMS/fleetd/fleetd
 
-Environment=HERDR_SOCKET_PATH=%h/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
-# PATH matters more than it looks (CB-511): fleetd propagates its own PATH to every worker it
-# spawns, so this line decides whether the fleet can run a build at all. systemd does not source a
-# login shell, so without it the daemon — and every worker — gets a bare default with no JDK/Maven.
-Environment=PATH=/usr/lib/jvm/temurin-25-jdk/bin:/usr/share/maven/bin:/usr/local/bin:/usr/bin:/bin
-# Secrets are NOT set here — this file is committed. Put ALL three tokens in a private drop-in
-# that systemd reads with restrictive permissions. In `systemctl --user edit fleetd`, add:
-#   [Service]
-#   Environment=FLEETD_API_TOKEN=...
-#   Environment=WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN=...
-#   Environment=AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN=...
-# FLEETD_API_TOKEN protects fleetd's API. WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN lets members open pull requests; if
-# it is missing, fleetd still starts, but a member fails when it later tries to open a pull request.
-# AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN authenticates gateway profiles; if it is missing, fleetd still starts, but a
-# gateway profile later returns HTTP 401. Or, put the same three variables in a 0600 file and add:
-# EnvironmentFile=%h/.config/fleetd/env
-# After starting, check which of them actually resolved. The daemon reports every secret a
-# configured profile references, by name, never by value:
-#   journalctl --user -u fleetd | grep 'startup secret'
-# A resolved one logs "startup secret NAME: set (profile 'x' tokenEnv)". A missing one logs
-# "startup secret NAME: MISSING" at WARN — and the daemon starts anyway, which is the whole
-# problem: without this grep the first sign is a member that cannot open a pull request, hours
-# later and in a different component.
-# Note what the report can and cannot tell you. It lists only names some profile actually
-# references (tokenEnv, gitTokenEnv, and the broker uriEnv). A secret nothing references is never
-# reported, because nothing needs it.
+# A LOGIN shell, not java directly. Every secret this daemon needs (AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN,
+# WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN, LAVINMQ_URI, COORD_AMQP_URI) lives in ~/.fleet/secrets.sh, which only
+# ~/.zprofile sources. systemd runs no login shell. Started any other way the daemon boots fine
+# and looks healthy, and the failure appears hours later as a member that cannot open a pull
+# request. exec keeps it one process, so systemd tracks the right PID.
+# This also avoids a SECOND copy of the secrets in a systemd drop-in: one source of truth.
+ExecStart=/bin/zsh -lc "exec java -jar target/fleetd.jar fleetd.yaml"
+
+# PrivateTmp MUST stay false -- see herdr.service. fleetd creates the member ZDOTDIR scrub dir and
+# the opencode config dir under java.io.tmpdir, and the member pane (a herdr child, a different
+# unit) has to read them. A private /tmp turns the credential scrub into a silent no-op.
+PrivateTmp=false
 
 Restart=on-failure
 RestartSec=10s
-# A bad config (e.g. a non-loopback bind without token auth) makes fleetd fail fast by design.
-# Give up rather than restart-loop on a permanent error.
+# A bad config makes fleetd fail fast by design. Give up rather than restart-loop forever.
 StartLimitBurst=5
 StartLimitIntervalSec=120
 
-# The daemon reads the repo, writes worktrees, and talks to a Unix socket — it needs no more.
+# DO NOT add ProtectSystem=, ProtectHome=, ProtectKernelTunables= or ProtectControlGroups=.
+# Measured on fleet01 2026-09-05: each of those gives the unit its own mount namespace, and
+# fleetd resolves a caller role by running lsof to find the loopback peer PID
+# (mcp/LsofPeerPidLookup). Inside such a namespace lsof returns nothing, every caller falls back
+# to ANONYMOUS, and the primary is refused every orchestration call with
+# "unauthenticated: anonymous may not SPAWN".
+# The daemon still starts, healthz still returns ok and the secrets still resolve - the only
+# symptom is that the fleet cannot be driven at all. Verified by bisecting the directives:
+#   no sandbox 3 lsof lines | ProtectSystem=strict 0 | ProtectHome=read-only 0
+#   ProtectKernelTunables 0 | ProtectControlGroups 0 | RestrictSUIDSGID 3 | NoNewPrivileges 3
+# The two below add no mount namespace and are safe.
 NoNewPrivileges=true
-PrivateTmp=true
-ProtectSystem=strict
-ProtectHome=read-write
-ProtectKernelTunables=true
-ProtectControlGroups=true
 RestrictSUIDSGID=true
 
 StandardOutput=journal

deploy/herdr-inner.sh

@@ -0,0 +1,19 @@
+#!/bin/zsh
+# fleetd #360 — template for the script deploy/herdr.service's ExecStart wraps in a pty.
+#
+# `script -qfec <this> /dev/null` needs a real command to run, and that command has to be a LOGIN
+# shell script: herdr itself needs the same secrets fleetd.service's login shell picks up (this
+# host: ~/.fleet/secrets.sh via ~/.zprofile), because members it spawns inherit its environment.
+# systemd's own Environment= lines in herdr.service are not enough for that -- they set TERM and a
+# bare PATH so the pty starts at all, nothing more.
+#
+# Copy this file to the path deploy/herdr.service's ExecStart names
+# (%h/LTMS/fleetd/fleetd-run/herdr-inner.sh by default) and `chmod +x` it. Not committed under
+# that path itself because the session name below is host-specific.
+
+# A 0x0 pty makes every pane spawn fail with "ghostty error -2" (see herdr-multi-instance-facts /
+# fleet01-headless-herdr-standup) -- give it a real size before herdr ever touches it.
+stty rows 50 cols 200
+
+# -l: login shell, so herdr and everything it spawns gets the real secrets and PATH.
+exec zsh -lc 'exec herdr --session <name>'

deploy/herdr.service

@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
+# fleetd #360 — systemd unit for herdr (Linux), the terminal multiplexer fleetd drives.
+#
+# This is fleetd.service's companion: fleetd.service's After=/Wants=herdr.service assumes this
+# unit exists. Before this ticket it did not, so on a fresh host fleetd started against a herdr
+# that systemd never supervised at all.
+#
+# Install: see deploy/fleetd.service's header comment (both units install the same way).
+#
+# ExecStart below runs deploy/herdr-inner.sh (copy the template of that name from this directory
+# to the path in ExecStart, or point ExecStart at wherever you keep it, and make it executable).
+# It is a separate file rather than an inline command because it must itself be a login shell (see
+# its own header for why) and systemd's ExecStart does not run one.
+
+[Unit]
+Description=herdr terminal multiplexer (fleet session)
+Documentation=https://git.ltms.dev/fleet/fleetd/wiki
+
+[Service]
+Type=simple
+# script(1) gives herdr a real pty. Without it the client reports a 0x0 window and every pane
+# spawn fails with "ghostty error -2" -- which surfaces as a fleetd spawn failure, not a herdr one.
+ExecStart=/usr/bin/script -qfec %h/LTMS/fleetd/fleetd-run/herdr-inner.sh /dev/null
+StandardInput=null
+Environment=TERM=xterm-256color
+Environment=PATH=%h/.local/bin:/usr/local/bin:/usr/bin:/bin
+
+# PrivateTmp MUST stay false. fleetd writes the member ZDOTDIR scrub dir and the opencode config
+# dir under its own java.io.tmpdir, and the member pane -- a child of THIS process -- has to read
+# them. A private /tmp here silently breaks the credential scrub instead of failing loudly.
+PrivateTmp=false
+
+Restart=on-failure
+RestartSec=5s
+
+StandardOutput=journal
+StandardError=journal
+SyslogIdentifier=herdr
+
+[Install]
+WantedBy=default.target

docs/CB-5xx-Hardening.md

@@ -192,7 +192,7 @@ Deliberately small; every one maps to a failure mode we have actually hit.
 | `fleet_send_duration_seconds` | histogram | delegated turn latency |
 | `fleet_replies_total{path}` | counter | path ∈ rendezvous\|inbox — how often a reply strands (CB-307's whole reason to exist) |
 | `fleet_inbox_depth{target}` | gauge | undrained replies; steady-state should be 0 |
-| `fleet_push_nudges_total{outcome}` | counter | outcome ∈ delivered\|exhausted — a rising `exhausted` means the primary is not draining |
+| `fleet_push_nudges_total{outcome}` | counter | outcome ∈ sent\|exhausted — a rising `exhausted` means the primary is not draining. `sent` was called `delivered` until fleetd #365; it counts the herdr paste-and-submit call returning, never a confirmation the pane read it |
 | `fleet_spawns_total{kind,outcome}` | counter | outcome ∈ ready\|timeout\|guard_rejected; per peer kind (CB-402) |
 | `fleet_sessions{state}` | gauge | SPAWNING/READY/BUSY/DONE census |
 | `fleet_herdr_calls_total{method,outcome}` | counter | socket health — the dependency everything rests on |

fleetd/fleetd.example.yaml

@@ -88,6 +88,47 @@ bind:
 #   backoffMs: 60000
 #   quietNudgeCap: 3
 
+# Lead rollover (fleetd #480): replace a lead session that has decided it is ready to be replaced,
+# without an operator doing it by hand. A lead writes a handover file, then asks fleetd to clear its
+# own pane and bootstrap a fresh session against that file.
+#
+# Opt-in on purpose — it clears the lead's own pane on request, so upgrading the daemon must never
+# acquire that ability for you. Absent block = feature off, and nothing is constructed at all. Even
+# once present, nothing but an explicit confirm() call — one that passes every check — can ever
+# cause a /clear: there is no recurring timer, heartbeat or scheduler anywhere in this feature that
+# fires one on its own initiative. confirm() itself is called FROM the calling lead's own turn, so
+# it cannot clear the pane inline (that pane is still WORKING); instead it schedules a one-shot
+# continuation that waits for the SAME confirm() call's turn to end, then does the actual work. See
+# dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover's class javadoc for the exact order (fleetd #480 correction).
+#
+# handoverPath: REQUIRED when this block is present — where the handover file a fresh lead session
+#               reads must live. No default (an operator-specific path); a present block with no
+#               handoverPath refuses to start. May be relative: it then resolves against the
+#               CALLING lead's own fleet.leaders.<name>.cwd (falling back to the daemon's own
+#               working directory when that lead has none configured) — never against whatever
+#               directory the daemon process happens to have been started in. An absolute path is
+#               used unchanged. Prefer an absolute path if the daemon and the lead's pane might not
+#               share a working directory (fleetd #480 follow-up).
+# requireOperatorConfirm: true    # default true — confirm() refuses unless the caller also passes
+#                                 # operatorConfirmed: true
+# maxDocAgeSeconds: 3600          # default 3600 — refuse a handover file older than this
+# turnSettleSeconds: 20           # default 20 — how long the deferred roll waits for the CALLING
+#                                 # lead's own turn to end (its pane to report injectable again)
+#                                 # before sending /clear at all. If this elapses, /clear is NEVER
+#                                 # sent — a lead that never goes idle is still doing real work.
+# clearSettleSeconds: 20          # default 20 — how long to wait for the pane to become injectable
+#                                 # again AFTER /clear before giving up (never sends bootstrapText
+#                                 # if this elapses). A separate, second wait from turnSettleSeconds.
+# bootstrapText: "..."            # default names the RESOLVED (absolute) handoverPath — sent to
+#                                 # the lead once its pane settles after /clear
+# leadRollover:
+#   handoverPath: /path/to/handover.md
+#   requireOperatorConfirm: true
+#   maxDocAgeSeconds: 3600
+#   turnSettleSeconds: 20
+#   clearSettleSeconds: 20
+#   bootstrapText: "Fresh lead session: read the handover file and carry on."
+
 # Fleet health detection is dormant unless enabled (CB-573). It reads one whole-fleet agent list
 # per tick.
 #   intervalSeconds → how often a tick runs (default 30). ENFORCED floor of 15: the code computes
@@ -110,6 +151,14 @@ bind:
 #   notifications:
 #     mode: disabled
 
+# Idle-sleep guard: while at least one member is live, hold an OS-level assertion against idle
+# sleep (macOS only — a `caffeinate -i` child; a no-op elsewhere or if caffeinate is missing), so
+# an unattended host does not idle-sleep out from under a member's long turn. Unlike health/
+# configReload above, this is ON BY DEFAULT — omitting the block entirely leaves it enabled, the
+# same as `enabled: true`. Uncomment only to turn it off:
+# idleSleepGuard:
+#   enabled: false
+
 # herdr Unix socket. Omit to use the client default
 # (${HERDR_SOCKET_PATH:-~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock}).
 herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
@@ -199,8 +248,12 @@ herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
 #                      omit and this profile's completion fallback behaves exactly as before.
 #                      Every backend words its refusal differently, so this is config, never a
 #                      vendor string baked into fleetd itself.
-#                      DEFERRED: compiled once into a startup pattern map — editing it needs a
-#                      daemon restart, same as this profile's model/baseUrl/argv.
+#                      HOT (fleetd #446): read live, cached by profile name, at every
+#                      completion-fallback check AND by fleet_profiles' exhaustionDetectionArmed —
+#                      editing it and reloading arms or disarms usage-limit detection for this
+#                      profile with no daemon restart. (Before fleetd #446 this was DEFERRED,
+#                      compiled once into a startup pattern map like model/baseUrl/argv still are —
+#                      see errorPattern below, which is still deferred that way on purpose.)
 #   credentialId     → CB-578 stage B: the credential this profile quarantines WITH when a
 #                      BACKEND_EXHAUSTED classification fires. Two profiles that set the SAME
 #                      credentialId share one quarantine — the case this exists for is two models
@@ -219,8 +272,9 @@ herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
 #                      happens, just without a profile-specific match; every backend words its
 #                      failure differently, so a hardcoded sentence would only ever match one
 #                      of them.
-#                      DEFERRED: compiled once into a startup pattern map, same as exhaustedPattern
-#                      — editing it needs a daemon restart.
+#                      DEFERRED: compiled once into a startup pattern map — editing it needs a
+#                      daemon restart. Unlike exhaustedPattern above (made hot by fleetd #446),
+#                      errorPattern was scoped out of that ticket on purpose and stays deferred.
 #                      # errorPattern: "503 Service Unavailable"   # opt-in: classify a backend outage
 #
 #                      What happens once a match fires (BackendOutagePolicy, credentialId-keyed,
@@ -439,6 +493,15 @@ placement: weighted
 # seconds, before a spawn may land on it again. Applies to every profile's effective credential
 # (its own name, or its credentialId if set above) — there is no per-profile override. Default
 # 1800 (30 minutes) when omitted or non-positive.
+#
+# fleetd #466: this is now only the BASE of an escalating backoff, not a flat retry rate. A
+# credential quarantined again within one base cooldown of the previous quarantine ending (still
+# reporting exhausted — e.g. a weekly subscription limit that hasn't reset) backs off further:
+# cooldown doubles each such time, capped at 12x this value (~6 hours at the 1800s default). A
+# quarantine that starts after a base-cooldown's worth of quiet resets back to this value. Not
+# configurable per se — the multiplier and ceiling are constants in BackendQuarantine, not new
+# YAML keys; see its class doc for the exact formula and why there is no automatic probe to clear
+# it early (the operator's own design constraint — a probe spends the quota it's measuring).
 # DEFERRED: baked once into the BackendQuarantine built at startup — a running quarantine keeps
 # its original cooldown regardless; a new value only applies to a quarantine that starts after a
 # restart. Editing this needs a daemon restart to take effect.
@@ -460,9 +523,10 @@ placement: weighted
 # when the reload happens — not about how important the key is:
 #   HOT       → takes effect on the next spawn: the whole `fleet:` block (every role pool,
 #               `charters`, and `tabLabel`), `placement:`, and an existing profile's weight / maxLoad
-#               / credentialId. Those are hot because the placement policy (and, for credentialId,
-#               the CB-578 stage B quarantine check) reads them through a supplier — being config is
-#               not by itself enough to make a key hot.
+#               / credentialId / exhaustedPattern. Those are hot because the placement policy (and,
+#               for credentialId, the CB-578 stage B quarantine check; for exhaustedPattern, fleetd
+#               #446's LiveExhaustedPatterns) reads them through a supplier — being config is not by
+#               itself enough to make a key hot.
 #               EXCEPT `fleet.leaders`: Fleetd.main reads it once at startup to build the lead tab
 #               scanner and launcher, and neither is rebuilt on reload. A changed/added/removed
 #               `fleet.leaders` entry is silently accepted — the reload reports "config reloaded"
@@ -474,10 +538,10 @@ placement: weighted
 #               stage B — baked once into the quarantine tracker built at startup), ADDING or
 #               REMOVING a profile (a new backend needs its own launcher, and launchers are built
 #               once), AND an existing profile's launch settings — model, baseUrl, argv, env,
-#               configDir, mcpUrl, tabLabel, exhaustedPattern, errorPattern (fleetd #201 / #227 —
-#               compiled once into a startup pattern map the same way exhaustedPattern is). The
-#               launcher takes a copy of `profiles:` at startup and resolves every spawn out of
-#               that copy, so those never
+#               configDir, mcpUrl, tabLabel, errorPattern (fleetd #201 / #227 — compiled once into
+#               a startup pattern map; exhaustedPattern used to be compiled the same way until
+#               fleetd #446 made it hot — see above). The launcher takes a copy of `profiles:` at
+#               startup and resolves every spawn out of that copy, so those never
 #               reach a launch until you restart. The reload logs them by name rather than
 #               pretending they applied.
 #   COLD      → cannot change at all: `bind:`, `herdrSocket:`, `broker:` and `auth:`. The socket is
@@ -774,6 +838,28 @@ guard:
 # so fleetd falls back to the weaker CB-596 sentinel overlay instead (a WARN names the gap).
 # worktreeGroup: fleet-workers
 
+# fleetd #362: a directory of skill folders (each a subdirectory holding a SKILL.md, the same
+# shape as this repo's own .claude/skills/) copied into every PROVISIONED worktree's
+# .claude/skills/, so a member spawned against ANY repo — not only one that already ships its own
+# copy — can load a bridge skill (e.g. implementer). Unset (the default): no worktree is touched
+# beyond today's behaviour. A skill folder the target repo already carries under
+# .claude/skills/<name> is never overwritten — the repo's own copy always wins. Best-effort like
+# worktreeGroup above: a missing/unreadable directory here is logged and skipped, never a failed
+# spawn. Every non-hidden subdirectory of this directory is copied wholesale, with no per-file
+# allowlist — don't park scratch files or drafts alongside the real skill folders, they will be
+# copied into every provisioned worktree too.
+#
+# fleetd #393: which member KINDS actually consume this once it is copied. kind: claude-code —
+# the Claude Code CLI discovers .claude/skills/ on its own; nothing else is needed. kind: opencode
+# — opencode has no such discovery, so OpenCodeLauncher reads whatever landed under
+# .claude/skills/ and appends each seeded skill's SKILL.md to the generated instructions[] file
+# (opencode's only channel for static guidance text; unlike Claude Code's Skill tool, the content
+# is always part of the system prompt, not loaded on demand). Both kinds are covered as of #393 —
+# earlier builds copied the files for every kind but only claude-code could read them, and the
+# seeding log said "N of M" regardless. Check the per-spawn launcher log (not just the seeding
+# log) to see what a given member actually got.
+# memberSkills: /path/to/fleetd/checkout/.claude/skills
+
 # Session lifecycle limits (CB-303). All knobs are opt-in; omit or set to null to keep
 # the feature disabled. By default the daemon never reaps, caps, or drains sessions.
 #   idleTtlSeconds     → reap READY/DONE sessions idle longer than this (never BUSY/SPAWNING)
@@ -821,10 +907,17 @@ guard:
 #              across every daemon sharing this vhost.
 #   prefetch → consumer basicQos, capping how many unacked messages the mailbox holds in-heap.
 #              Default 32 when omitted.
+#   peers    → fleetd #361: the coord-ids of the OTHER daemons on this vhost, declared by the
+#              operator (the daemon never guesses). fleet_list reports each one's live reachability
+#              (a passive queue check, never a presence protocol) alongside this daemon's own
+#              mailbox state. Omit, or leave empty, for a daemon with no known peers yet — an
+#              undeclared peer can still reach you and be reached by fleet_send, it just will not
+#              show up as a row in fleet_list.
 # coordinator:
 #   uriEnv: LEAD_COORD_URI
 #   selfId: mac-opus
 #   prefetch: 32
+#   peers: [fleet01-lead]
 
 # Active push-to-primary (CB-307 Stage 3). When a worker reply lands with no open fleet_send,
 # the ReplyPushLoop injects a *drain nudge* (never the payload) into the primary's own herdr
@@ -849,3 +942,32 @@ guard:
 #   terminal: term_65619bd6174568
 #   pushReminders: 5
 #   pushBackoffMs: 15000
+
+# Central allow-list of models any profiles: entry may name. Nothing checked a profile's model:
+# value before this block existed — it was a free-form string handed straight to the backend
+# adapter, and a withdrawn or misspelled name failed silently instead of at config load (opencode
+# falls back to a default model rather than erroring on an unknown -m).
+#
+# Absent, or present with an empty allow:, is OFF: no profile's model: is checked, exactly like
+# before this block existed. fleetd.yaml is gitignored on every host, so an upgrade must not force
+# every operator to enumerate their models before the daemon will start.
+#
+# The list is the authority; profiles: is checked against it, never the reverse — adding or
+# editing a profiles: entry cannot, by itself, widen what is permitted here.
+#
+# Enforcement is at CONFIG LOAD only (a bad model: fails the daemon at startup, naming both the
+# model and the profile). There is no spawn-time enforcement, no runtime on/off switch, and no
+# interaction with BackendQuarantine — those are separate, later units.
+#
+#   allow → the permitted models. Each entry is its own block (not a bare string) so a later unit
+#           can add an on/off state or a load limit per model without changing this shape.
+#     model → the model id exactly as a profiles: entry's model: field would write it. One flat,
+#             opaque-string namespace: a bare Claude id (claude-sonnet-5) and an opencode
+#             provider-prefixed id (openai/gpt-5.6-terra) both fit here unchanged — the check is a
+#             plain string match, never a parse of the provider prefix or a branch on kind:.
+# models:
+#   allow:
+#     - model: claude-sonnet-5
+#     - model: claude-opus-5
+#     - model: openai/gpt-5.6-terra
+#     - model: amazon.nova-pro-v1:0

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/Fleetd.java

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrException;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrRouter;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.LeadTabScanner;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadLauncher;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.PaneLocator;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.UnixSocketHerdrClient;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.WorkspaceControl;
@@ -18,6 +19,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.BackendErrorSink;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.CompletionResolver;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.ExhaustedPatternLookup;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.ExhaustionSink;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.LiveExhaustedPatterns;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.Injector;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.StatusPoller;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.TurnListener;
@@ -25,6 +27,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.MemberPresence;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.auth.MemberRegistry;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.auth.CallerResolver;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.FleetMcp;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.CharterToolSurface;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.ConnectionIdentity;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.metrics.FleetMetrics;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.metrics.Metrics;
@@ -55,6 +58,8 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.member.MemberCredentialPolicyView;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.member.OpenCodeLauncher;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendOutagePolicy;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.power.CaffeinateSleepAssertionMechanism;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.power.IdleSleepGuard;
 import io.javalin.Javalin;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
@@ -63,18 +68,23 @@ import java.nio.file.Files;
 import java.nio.file.Path;
 import java.util.ArrayList;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Optional;
 import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.TreeSet;
+import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
 import java.util.concurrent.Executors;
 import java.util.concurrent.ScheduledExecutorService;
 import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
 import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicReference;
 import java.util.function.Function;
+import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
 import java.util.function.Predicate;
 import java.util.function.Supplier;
 import java.util.regex.Pattern;
+import java.util.stream.Collectors;
 
 /**
  * {@code fleetd} entry point. Wires the real herdr socket client to the REST app and
@@ -121,35 +131,55 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         // else can fail on a silently-empty one. A daemon started without a login shell (launchd)
         // boots fine either way — this is the only thing that says so out loud.
         reportRequiredSecrets(cfg);
+        // fleetd #377: the git host value a member receives as GITEA_HOST is often a full URL
+        // (scheme and trailing slash), not a host name. A member that assumes a bare host then
+        // builds https://https://... and the request never leaves the machine. Report the shape
+        // next to the secret report — shape only, never the value.
+        reportGitHostShape(cfg);
         reportMemberTrustModel(cfg);
         // CB-596: an absent (or empty) memberCredentials: block blocks NOTHING — no credential
         // name is hardcoded any more to fall back on. Say so loudly, the same way a missing
         // secret is reported above, so upgrading past this commit never silently drops CB-592's
         // protection.
         reportMemberCredentialsGap(cfg);
+        // fleetd #395: an unset exhaustedPattern is a silent opt-out of usage-limit detection for
+        // that profile — say so loudly, the same way the two reports above do, rather than let an
+        // operator discover it only when a limit goes undetected.
+        reportExhaustedPatternGap(cfg);
         // CB-559: `cfg` stays the startup snapshot — every validation and every piece of one-time
         // wiring below reads it, and must, because those decisions cannot be unmade. `config` is the
         // live reference the hot paths read per use. Which keys can actually move is ConfigRef's
         // contract; adding a reader here does not make a key reloadable by itself.
-        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg);
+        // fleetd #474: pass the charter/tool-surface check in as ConfigRef's extraValidation, so
+        // ConfigRef#reload() runs the same gate main() runs below, without dev.ltms.fleet.config
+        // gaining a dependency on dev.ltms.fleet.mcp — Fleetd is the seam that already holds both.
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg, Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools);
 
         // The primary/host env that launched fleetd must not be tainted.
         SubscriptionGuard guard = new SubscriptionGuard(cfg.guard().hostSet());
         guard.assertPrimaryClean(System.getenv());
 
-        // CB-501: refuse to start if the bind is wider than the auth mode can defend. Under
-        // loopback-trust, "not a known worker" means "the primary" — sound only because the OS
-        // refuses remote connections to a loopback socket. This throws rather than warns so the
-        // dangerous configuration cannot be reached by ignoring a log line.
-        cfg.validateAuthExposure();
-        cfg.validateLeadTabPrefixes();
-        // CB-542: a subscription:true profile whose env: reseats ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL/AUTH_TOKEN would
-        // reach an unguarded endpoint (the launcher skips SubscriptionGuard for it). Refuse at load.
-        cfg.validateSubscriptionProfiles();
-        cfg.validateCharters();
-        // CB-548: every architect slot must name a configured workers: profile — the strong-model
-        // backend the future spawn lifecycle would read. A stale reference dies here, not later.
-        cfg.validateMembers();
+        // Every FleetConfig.validateXxx() the operator's config can fail — CB-501's auth-exposure
+        // check, CB-531's lead-tab-prefix check, CB-542's subscription-profile check, the charter
+        // and member-slot checks, and the "central allow-list of usable models" check — must run
+        // here, at load, before anything below opens a socket or spawns a member. fleetd ticket
+        // "central allow-list of usable models" follow-up: mutation testing found six individual
+        // calls here with nothing proving any of them still ran (deleting one left the full suite
+        // green). validateAll() replaces them with the one call that FleetConfigValidateAllTest
+        // and the Fleetd-startup tests actually pin — see FleetConfig#validateAll's javadoc for
+        // why a name-by-name list here would have the same defect it replaces.
+        cfg.validateAll();
+        // fleetd #469, follow-up to #464: validateAll() (and validateCharters() inside it) only
+        // checks that a charter's KEY is a role wire name and its text is non-blank — it never
+        // looks at what the text actually names. This is the separate check that does: it asks
+        // dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.FleetTool (the canonical registered-tool set) whether every fleet_*/
+        // bridge_* token a charter names is a tool this server actually registers. It cannot live
+        // inside FleetConfig#validateCharters() — config loads before the MCP server exists, and
+        // must not gain a dependency on the mcp package — so it runs here instead, at the one seam
+        // that already holds both a loaded FleetConfig and the mcp package, before anything below
+        // opens a socket or spawns a member. fleetd #474: the same check is also wired into `config`
+        // above as ConfigRef's extraValidation, so a reload refuses what this line refuses at startup.
+        assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools(cfg);
 
         Path socket = cfg.herdrSocket() != null && !cfg.herdrSocket().isBlank()
                 ? Path.of(cfg.herdrSocket())
@@ -209,7 +239,13 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         // (checked at spawn) and the exhaustion sink wired in below (written on BACKEND_EXHAUSTED).
         // The cooldown is deferred (see FleetConfig#quarantineCooldownSeconds): it is read once
         // here, at startup, and a config reload only changes it for a daemon restart.
-        BackendQuarantine quarantine = new BackendQuarantine(System::nanoTime,
+        // fleetd #466: escalating, not flat — a credential that keeps reporting exhaustion (e.g. a
+        // weekly subscription limit, which would otherwise be retried on every ~30-minute cooldown,
+        // about 336 times across the week) backs off further each consecutive time, capped at
+        // BackendQuarantine.DEFAULT_MAX_COOLDOWN_MULTIPLE x the base cooldown. See BackendQuarantine's
+        // class doc for the mechanism, why this never fires on cooling-off (a separate, unescalated
+        // mechanism — BackendOutagePolicy below), and the reset.
+        BackendQuarantine quarantine = BackendQuarantine.withEscalation(System::nanoTime,
                 TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds()));
         // fleetd #201 Unit 5: one outage-cool-off tracker for the whole daemon, shared between the
         // launcher (checked at spawn, like `quarantine` above) and the backend-error sink wired in
@@ -223,20 +259,24 @@ public final class Fleetd {
                 profileName -> liveCountRef.get().apply(profileName),
                 quarantine,
                 outagePolicy);
+        // fleetd #422 follow-up: say which of the three model-gate states the daemon booted into —
+        // no models: block at all, a block armed with nothing off, or a block with N off — the same
+        // way exhaustedPatternCoverageLine/errorPatternCoverageLine report CB-578 stage A/fleetd
+        // #201 Unit 5 coverage just below. Read from workers.modelGateState() (never a separate
+        // config.get().models() here) so this line and fleet_profiles' modelGateArmed can never
+        // disagree about what CompositePeerLauncher's spawn gate actually enforces.
+        log.info("model gate (fleetd #422): {}", modelGateCoverageLine(workers.modelGateState()));
         // CB-504: under supervision (launchd/systemd) fleetd can start before herdr's socket
         // exists. The client itself is lazy — it connects per call — but the orphan reap below is
         // the first thing that actually talks to herdr, so without this wait a boot-order race
         // would crash the daemon into a restart loop. Wait, then degrade rather than die: serving
         // with /healthz reporting "degraded" is strictly more useful than exiting.
-        boolean herdrUp = awaitHerdr(herdr);
+        HerdrAwaitOutcome herdrOutcome = awaitHerdr(herdr, System::nanoTime, Fleetd::sleepHerdrPoll);
+        boolean herdrUp = logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap(herdrOutcome);
         if (herdrUp) {
             // CB-117: herdr keeps worker panes alive across a daemon restart, and their ids died
             // with the previous process — reap those leaked orphans now, before we start serving.
             workers.reapOrphanWorkers();
-        } else {
-            log.warn("herdr did not answer within {}s — starting anyway; /healthz will report "
-                    + "degraded until it comes up. Orphaned worker panes (if any) were NOT reaped.",
-                    HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS);
         }
 
         // CB-301: authoritative session registry + lifecycle FSM on top of ClaudeCodeLauncher.
@@ -248,10 +288,31 @@ public final class Fleetd {
             contextCap = cfg.lifecycle().contextCap();
         }
         boolean clearAfterTurn = cfg.lifecycle() != null && cfg.lifecycle().clearAfterTurn();
-        SessionManager sessions = new SessionManager(workers, new GitWorktrees(cfg.worktreeRoot(), cfg.worktreeGroup()),
+        SessionManager sessions = new SessionManager(workers,
+                new GitWorktrees(cfg.worktreeRoot(), cfg.worktreeGroup(), cfg.memberSkills()),
                 System::nanoTime, contextCap, clearAfterTurn);
         liveCountRef.set(profileName -> liveSessionCount(sessions.roster(), profileName));
 
+        // Idle-sleep guard: hold an OS-level assertion against idle sleep while at least one
+        // member is live, so an unattended host does not idle-sleep out from under a member's
+        // long turn (see FleetConfig.IdleSleepGuard / dev.ltms.fleet.power.IdleSleepGuard for the
+        // measurement that motivated this). Opt-out via idleSleepGuard.enabled: false; on by
+        // default. Hangs off SessionManager's own onAcquire/onRelease hooks (CB-520/CB-516,
+        // previously wired only to the reply inbox) and SessionManager#size() — the exact registry
+        // fleet_list's live/capacity numbers are themselves computed from — rather than tracking
+        // members a second way. No-op (never constructed) off macOS or when idleSleepGuard.enabled
+        // is explicitly false; the mechanism itself is additionally a no-op if 'caffeinate' cannot
+        // be started, so this can never fail a spawn, a release, or startup.
+        boolean idleSleepGuardEnabled = cfg.idleSleepGuard() == null || cfg.idleSleepGuard().isEnabled();
+        final IdleSleepGuard idleSleepGuard;
+        if (idleSleepGuardEnabled) {
+            idleSleepGuard = new IdleSleepGuard(new CaffeinateSleepAssertionMechanism(), sessions::size);
+            sessions.onAcquire(_ -> idleSleepGuard.recheck());
+            sessions.onRelease(_ -> idleSleepGuard.recheck());
+        } else {
+            idleSleepGuard = null;
+        }
+
         // CB-303 part 1: idle-ttl reaper — only when configured, defaults to disabled.
         final SessionReaper reaper;
         if (cfg.lifecycle() != null
@@ -323,7 +384,11 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         // pane resolves to an architect until the later spawn lifecycle binds one. The registry is
         // what CallerResolver resolves against and what that lifecycle will read profiles from;
         // nothing here spawns a slot.
-        MemberRegistry members = new MemberRegistry(cfg.fleet());
+        // fleetd #424: MemberRegistry.live re-reads fleet.architects through `config` on every
+        // reserve/requireSlotFor call, so a reload that removes or adds an architect slot governs
+        // the next spawn with no restart — the frozen `new MemberRegistry(cfg.fleet())` this used
+        // to be let a "revoked" slot keep granting new architect spawns forever.
+        MemberRegistry members = MemberRegistry.live(() -> config.get().fleet());
         sessions.setMemberLifecycle(members);
         if (!members.slots().isEmpty()) {
             log.info("member slots: {} configured {} — none bound yet (a slot is idle until the "
@@ -337,29 +402,34 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
         // CB-578 stage A: classify a completion-fallback scrape that matches a profile's configured
         // usage-limit refusal as BACKEND_EXHAUSTED rather than handing it back as a real answer.
-        // Compiled once at startup, keyed by profile name; a profile with no exhaustedPattern is
-        // simply absent here, so its workers keep today's completion-fallback behaviour unchanged.
-        Map<String, Pattern> exhaustedPatternsByProfile = new LinkedHashMap<>();
-        cfg.profiles().forEach((name, profile) -> {
-            if (profile.hasExhaustedPattern()) {
-                exhaustedPatternsByProfile.put(name, Pattern.compile(profile.exhaustedPattern()));
-            }
-        });
+        // fleetd #446: read live off `config` per lookup, cached by profile name — see
+        // LiveExhaustedPatterns's class doc for why this replaces the old compiled-once-at-startup
+        // map. A profile with no exhaustedPattern simply returns null here, so its workers keep
+        // today's completion-fallback behaviour unchanged.
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns liveExhaustedPatterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(() -> config.get().profiles());
         ExhaustedPatternLookup exhaustedPatterns = target -> sessions.roster().stream()
                 .filter(session -> target.equals(session.terminalId()))
                 .findFirst()
-                .map(session -> exhaustedPatternsByProfile.get(session.profile()))
+                .map(session -> liveExhaustedPatterns.patternFor(session.profile()))
                 .orElse(null);
+        // The startup coverage line still reports the boot-time snapshot only — it is printed once,
+        // here, and a reload no longer needs to change what it said; exhaustionDetectionArmed (via
+        // liveExhaustedPatterns.armed, wired into quarantineSource below) is what stays live.
+        Set<String> exhaustedConfiguredAtStartup = cfg.profiles().entrySet().stream()
+                .filter(e -> e.getValue().hasExhaustedPattern())
+                .map(Map.Entry::getKey)
+                .collect(Collectors.toCollection(LinkedHashSet::new));
         log.info("backend-exhausted classification (CB-578 stage A): {}",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", cfg.profiles().keySet(),
-                        exhaustedPatternsByProfile.keySet()));
+                exhaustedPatternCoverageLine(cfg.profiles().keySet(), exhaustedConfiguredAtStartup));
         // fleetd #201 Unit 5: classify a completion-fallback scrape that matches a profile's
         // configured backend-error refusal (a credential outage, a provider 5xx) as a backend error
-        // rather than handing it back as a real answer. Compiled once at startup, keyed by profile
-        // name, mirroring exhaustedPatternsByProfile above — a profile with no configured
-        // errorPattern is simply absent here, so CompletionResolver falls back to its built-in
-        // narrow {@code (?i)\bAPI Error\s*:} compatibility pattern for that profile's targets
-        // (BackendErrorPatternLookup#legacy's contract — see backendErrorPatterns below).
+        // rather than handing it back as a real answer. Still compiled once at startup, keyed by
+        // profile name — unlike exhaustedPattern above (fleetd #446), errorPattern was left DEFERRED
+        // on purpose: the ticket that made exhaustedPattern hot scoped errorPattern/cooling-off out
+        // explicitly. A profile with no configured errorPattern is simply absent here, so
+        // CompletionResolver falls back to its built-in narrow {@code (?i)\bAPI Error\s*:}
+        // compatibility pattern for that profile's targets (BackendErrorPatternLookup#legacy's
+        // contract — see backendErrorPatterns below).
         Map<String, Pattern> errorPatternsByProfile = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         cfg.profiles().forEach((name, profile) -> {
             if (profile.hasErrorPattern()) {
@@ -372,52 +442,25 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         BackendErrorPatternLookup backendErrorPatterns = backendErrorPatternLookup(sessions::roster,
                 errorPatternsByProfile);
         log.info("backend-error classification (fleetd #201 Unit 5): {}",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("errorPattern", cfg.profiles().keySet(),
-                        errorPatternsByProfile.keySet()));
+                errorPatternCoverageLine(cfg.profiles().keySet(), errorPatternsByProfile.keySet()));
         // CB-578 stage B: on a classification that actually wins, quarantine the exhausted profile's
         // CREDENTIAL — not the profile name — so a profile sharing that credential (e.g. two models
         // on one OpenAI account) is refused too, not just the one that happened to report it. Reads
         // the profile config live off `config`, so a credentialId edit is hot: no restart needed.
-        //
-        // fleetd #175: this sink is now also the quarantine target for OpenCodeLauncher's
-        // model-mismatch check — it needs nothing profile-specific from the caller beyond `target`
-        // (a herdr terminal id) and `reason`, so reusing it here is exactly "the existing
-        // ExhaustionSink path", not a new mechanism.
-        //
-        // fleetd #234: that check fires from SessionAwareHandle.agentSessionId(), which runs during
-        // SessionManager.acquire() BEFORE this session is registered in sessions.roster() — so the
-        // roster-only lookup below used to find nothing, .ifPresent silently no-op'd, and the
-        // ERROR the check had just logged ("quarantining this profile's credential") was a lie:
-        // nothing was quarantined, and nothing said so. Two changes: (1) OpenCodeLauncher now
-        // passes its OWN profile name via ExhaustionSink's 3-arg overload — it already has the
-        // FleetConfig.Profile in hand and does not need the roster at all — used here as a
-        // fallback whenever the roster lookup misses; (2) if a profile still cannot be resolved
-        // (neither the roster nor the hint names a configured one), this logs loudly at ERROR
-        // instead of silently doing nothing — a control that cannot act must say so.
-        // fleetd #234, round 4: the 3-arg overload is now ExhaustionSink's single abstract method,
-        // so this is safely a lambda — there is no separate 2-arg overload left for it to bind to
-        // instead and silently drop profileHint (that was rounds 1-3's whole hazard).
-        ExhaustionSink exhaustionSink = (target, reason, profileHint) -> {
-            String profileName = sessions.roster().stream()
-                    .filter(session -> target.equals(session.terminalId()))
-                    .findFirst()
-                    .map(MemberSession::profile)
-                    .orElse(profileHint);
-            FleetConfig.Profile profile = profileName == null ? null : config.get().profiles().get(profileName);
-            if (profile == null) {
-                log.error("quarantine requested for target '{}' ({}) but no profile could be "
-                                + "resolved — the target is not (yet) in the roster, and {} — "
-                                + "credential NOT quarantined (fleetd #234)",
-                        target, reason,
-                        profileHint == null ? "no profile hint was given"
-                                : "the hinted profile '" + profileHint + "' is not configured");
-                return;
-            }
-            String credentialId = profile.effectiveCredentialId();
-            quarantine.quarantine(credentialId);
-            log.warn("credential '{}' quarantined for {}s (profile '{}'): {}", credentialId,
-                    cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds(), profile.profile(), reason);
-        };
+        // fleetd #446 criterion 3: the backend text that triggered the most recent quarantine of
+        // each credential, so fleet_profiles can report WHY a limit was hit, not only that it was.
+        // Keyed by credential id — the same key BackendQuarantine's own remainingSeconds uses —
+        // and written at the one call site that actually quarantines (inside exhaustionSink below),
+        // so a reason can never be reported for a quarantine that never happened. Bounded the same
+        // way BackendQuarantine's own internal map is documented to be: by the number of distinct
+        // credentials ever exhausted, not by how often the config is edited.
+        Map<String, String> quarantineReasonByCredential = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
+        // fleetd #446 follow-up (round 3): extracted into exhaustionSink(...) below — see that
+        // method's javadoc for the full fleetd #175/#234/#446 history this used to carry inline —
+        // so a dedicated test can drive the exact ExhaustionSink main() builds, not a hand-rebuilt
+        // copy of its shape.
+        ExhaustionSink exhaustionSink = exhaustionSink(sessions, config, quarantine,
+                quarantineReasonByCredential, cfg);
         // fleetd #175: point the forwarding sink handed to OpenCodeLauncher above at the real one,
         // now that `sessions` exists to resolve target -> session -> profile.
         exhaustionSinkRef.set(exhaustionSink);
@@ -546,6 +589,16 @@ public final class Fleetd {
             heartbeat = null;
             heartbeatScheduler.shutdownNow();
         }
+        // fleetd #480: lead rollover. Opt-in; absent `leadRollover:` this is never constructed, so
+        // an upgraded daemon cannot silently acquire the ability to clear the lead's own pane.
+        // Unlike heartbeat above, this has no recurring scheduler of its own — nothing but an
+        // explicit confirm() call (wired to an MCP tool by a later ticket; nothing calls it yet)
+        // that passes every gate can ever schedule a roll. It does not take primaryRegistry: the
+        // lead terminal to roll comes from the caller of open()/confirm() (resolved by the MCP
+        // layer from the connection, the same way auth/CallerResolver#resolve builds a
+        // Principal.leader(...)), never from a single-slot lookup — see LeadRollover's class
+        // javadoc, fleetd #480 correction 2.
+        LeadRollover leadRollover = leadRollover(cfg, router.leadAgents(), config, leads);
         MessageService messages = new MessageService(router, injector, rendezvous, replyInbox,
                 pushLoop, metrics);
 
@@ -556,8 +609,12 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         if (cfg.health() != null && cfg.health().isEnabled()) {
             // CB-580: a member found GONE/NEVER_READY must fail whatever ticket is waiting on it,
             // through the same idempotent target-wide operation CB-516 already uses on release.
+            // fleetd #386: System::nanoTime freezes across a macOS sleep, so the stall check also
+            // gets a wall-clock source to detect and correct for that freeze. Every other decision
+            // in FleetHealthMonitor stays on the monotonic clock, unchanged.
             healthMonitor = new FleetHealthMonitor(agents, sessions::roster, messages, healthScheduler,
-                    System::nanoTime, cfg.health().intervalOrDefault(),
+                    System::nanoTime, () -> TimeUnit.MILLISECONDS.toNanos(System.currentTimeMillis()),
+                    cfg.health().intervalOrDefault(),
                     cfg.health().workingSuspectAfterOrDefault(), messages::abandon);
             String coverage = FleetHealthMonitor.coverage(true,
                     cfg.health().notifications() != null && cfg.health().notifications().configured());
@@ -629,21 +686,16 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         // built a second time — two independently-constructed sources reading the SAME BackendQuarantine
         // / BackendOutagePolicy would still be able to drift (e.g. a future edit to the credentialIdFor
         // closure in only one of the two places), exactly the shape #284 was.
-        FleetMcp.QuarantineSource quarantineSource = new FleetMcp.QuarantineSource(profile -> {
-            var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
-            return configured == null ? null : configured.effectiveCredentialId();
-        }, quarantine);
+        FleetMcp.QuarantineSource quarantineSource = quarantineSource(config, quarantine,
+                liveExhaustedPatterns, quarantineReasonByCredential);
         FleetMcp.OutageSource outageSource = new FleetMcp.OutageSource(profile -> {
             var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
             return configured == null ? null : configured.effectiveCredentialId();
         }, outagePolicy);
 
         FleetMcp mcp = new FleetMcp(messages, workers, sessions, identity, presence,
-                primaryRegistry, callers, metrics, new FleetMcp.CapacitySource(profile -> liveCountRef.get().apply(profile),
-                profile -> {
-                    var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
-                    return configured == null ? null : configured.maxLoad();
-                }, () -> config.get().profiles().keySet(), System::nanoTime),
+                primaryRegistry, callers, metrics,
+                capacitySource(config, cfg, profile -> liveCountRef.get().apply(profile)),
                 new FleetMcp.HealthCoverageSource(() -> {
                     var health = config.get().health();
                     return FleetHealthMonitor.coverage(health != null && health.isEnabled(),
@@ -652,7 +704,15 @@ public final class Fleetd {
                 quarantineSource,
                 leadMailbox,
                 outageSource,
-                new FleetMcp.LeadSeatSource(leadSeatLookup(() -> config.get().profiles(), leaders, leads)));
+                new FleetMcp.LeadSeatSource(leadSeatLookup(() -> config.get().profiles(), leaders, leads)),
+                // fleetd #361: the operator-declared peers this daemon's fleet_list should try to
+                // reach. Read from the SAME snapshot leadMailbox itself opened from (cfg.coordinator()),
+                // not the live config.get() — coordinator wiring is already boot-time-fixed (see
+                // leadMailbox above), so peers follows the same rule rather than half hot-reloading.
+                cfg.coordinator() == null ? List.of() : cfg.coordinator().peers(),
+                // fleetd #480 Unit C: the executor behind fleet_handover — null whenever
+                // leadRollover: is not configured (see the leadRollover local above).
+                leadRollover);
 
         // CB-637: the receive half. Only constructed when a lead mailbox actually opened — with no
         // coordinator (or an unreachable one) there is nothing to deliver, so no scheduler is
@@ -698,6 +758,11 @@ public final class Fleetd {
             if (configWatcher != null) configWatcher.stop(); // CB-559: stop polling the config file
             mcp.close();
             if (reaper != null) reaper.stop();
+            // Idle-sleep guard: release unconditionally, even though sessions.close() above already
+            // drained every session (and each release already drove the live count to 0, which
+            // releases the guard's assertion on its own) — this is the backstop for a drain that was
+            // itself interrupted or threw, so no caffeinate child ever outlives the daemon.
+            if (idleSleepGuard != null) idleSleepGuard.close();
             // Release the broker connection last among message resources (no-op for the in-memory inbox).
             if (replyInbox instanceof AutoCloseable closeable) {
                 try {
@@ -756,6 +821,223 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         return target -> presence.isPresent(target) || leads.get().containsKey(target);
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #446 follow-up (round 3): the quarantine {@link ExhaustionSink} main() actually wires
+     * — extracted out of {@code main} for the same reason {@link #quarantineSource} below and
+     * {@link #usageLimitFixWarning}/{@link #usageLimitFixWarningNoModel} were. Round 2 pinned the
+     * WARNING text by having {@code FleetdUsageLimitFixWarningTest} call those two methods
+     * directly, but a mutation battery proved that left two gaps: nothing proved this sink's
+     * {@code log.warn} call actually uses either method (replacing the whole ternary with a
+     * literal string), and nothing proved it picks the right one for a profile WITH a configured
+     * {@code model:} versus one WITHOUT (swapping the ternary's two branches) — both mutations
+     * left round 2's full 1592-test suite green. {@code FleetdExhaustionSinkWarningTest} drives
+     * THIS factory's return value directly and asserts on the real text a {@code ListAppender}
+     * attached to this class's own logger captures — the only way to prove the caller, not just
+     * the two callees in isolation.
+     *
+     * <p>Behaviourally unchanged from the inline lambda this replaces:
+     * <ul>
+     *   <li>fleetd #175: also the quarantine target for {@code OpenCodeLauncher}'s model-mismatch
+     *       check — it needs nothing profile-specific beyond {@code target}/{@code reason}, so
+     *       reusing this sink is the existing {@code ExhaustionSink} path, not a new mechanism;</li>
+     *   <li>fleetd #234 (round 4): resolves {@code target} to a profile via the live session
+     *       roster first, falling back to {@code profileHint} — {@code
+     *       SessionAwareHandle.agentSessionId()} fires this sink during {@code
+     *       SessionManager.acquire()}, <em>before</em> that session is registered, so the
+     *       roster-only lookup alone used to silently miss it. A profile resolved neither way
+     *       logs loudly at ERROR instead of doing nothing;</li>
+     *   <li>fleetd #446 criterion 3: writes {@code quarantineReasonByCredential} at the one call
+     *       site that actually quarantines, keyed by credential id — see the field's declaration
+     *       in {@code main} for the bound on its size.</li>
+     * </ul>
+     *
+     * <p>{@code cfg} is the startup {@link FleetConfig} snapshot, read only for {@code
+     * quarantineCooldownSeconds()} in the log text — a Cold key (see {@code ConfigRef}'s class
+     * doc), so reading it off the snapshot rather than {@code config.get()} makes no observable
+     * difference and matches what the inline version already did.
+     */
+    static ExhaustionSink exhaustionSink(SessionManager sessions, ConfigRef config, BackendQuarantine quarantine,
+            Map<String, String> quarantineReasonByCredential, FleetConfig cfg) {
+        return (target, reason, profileHint) -> {
+            String profileName = sessions.roster().stream()
+                    .filter(session -> target.equals(session.terminalId()))
+                    .findFirst()
+                    .map(MemberSession::profile)
+                    .orElse(profileHint);
+            FleetConfig.Profile profile = profileName == null ? null : config.get().profiles().get(profileName);
+            if (profile == null) {
+                log.error("quarantine requested for target '{}' ({}) but no profile could be "
+                                + "resolved — the target is not (yet) in the roster, and {} — "
+                                + "credential NOT quarantined (fleetd #234)",
+                        target, reason,
+                        profileHint == null ? "no profile hint was given"
+                                : "the hinted profile '" + profileHint + "' is not configured");
+                return;
+            }
+            String credentialId = profile.effectiveCredentialId();
+            quarantine.quarantine(credentialId);
+            quarantineReasonByCredential.put(credentialId, reason);
+            log.warn("credential '{}' quarantined for {}s (profile '{}'): {}", credentialId,
+                    cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds(), profile.profile(), reason);
+            // fleetd #446 criterion 2: name the fix, not just the fact — an operator reading this
+            // should not have to work out which of several configured models to touch.
+            String model = profile.model();
+            log.warn(model != null && !model.isBlank()
+                    ? usageLimitFixWarning(profile.profile(), model)
+                    : usageLimitFixWarningNoModel(profile.profile(), cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds()));
+        };
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #404, superseded by fleetd #446: production source for quarantine reporting.
+     * Credential IDs were already hot; {@code exhaustedPattern} used to be compiled once at
+     * startup for {@link CompletionResolver}, so the armed field had to read that same frozen map
+     * until restart — the exact asymmetry #446 exists to close. Both {@code exhaustedPatternArmed}
+     * here and {@link CompletionResolver}'s own classification now read the ONE live {@link
+     * LiveExhaustedPatterns} instance ({@code exhaustedPatterns.armed}/{@code .patternFor}), so a
+     * reload that arms or disarms a profile's detection is visible to both at once — never two
+     * independently-updated copies that could disagree, the fleetd #404 rule this method used to
+     * violate on purpose and now upholds.
+     *
+     * <p>{@code modelFor} and {@code reasonFor} back fleetd #446 criterion 3 — {@code
+     * fleet_profiles}'s quarantined row naming which model a quarantined profile runs
+     * ({@code modelFor}, read live off {@code config} the same way {@code credentialIdFor} already
+     * is) and the backend text that triggered the most recent quarantine of that credential
+     * ({@code reasonFor}, backed by {@code reasonByCredential} — see its call site in {@code main}
+     * for where that map is written, at the one place a credential is actually quarantined).
+     */
+    static FleetMcp.QuarantineSource quarantineSource(ConfigRef config, BackendQuarantine quarantine,
+            LiveExhaustedPatterns exhaustedPatterns, Map<String, String> reasonByCredential) {
+        return new FleetMcp.QuarantineSource(profile -> {
+            var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
+            return configured == null ? null : configured.effectiveCredentialId();
+        }, quarantine, exhaustedPatterns::armed, profile -> {
+            var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
+            return configured == null ? null : configured.model();
+        }, reasonByCredential::get);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #415 (review follow-up): package-private factory for the CB-578 stage A {@code
+     * exhaustedPattern} startup coverage line, paired explicitly with {@link
+     * CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning#OFF} — {@code exhaustedPattern} has no fallback, so a
+     * profile with none configured really does have the classification off.
+     *
+     * <p>Extracted out of {@code main} for the same reason {@link #capacitySource} and {@link
+     * #worktreeBranchLookup} were: {@code coverage()}'s own tests ({@code CompletionResolverTest})
+     * prove it words {@code OFF} and {@link CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning#BUILT_IN_DEFAULT}
+     * correctly when a test supplies the meaning itself — they cannot prove {@code main} pairs the
+     * right meaning with the right key, which is the actual fleetd #415 defect. <b>Measured:</b>
+     * swapping the {@code UnsetMeaning} arguments between this method and {@link
+     * #errorPatternCoverageLine} — recreating #415's defect with the two keys exchanged — compiled
+     * with 0 errors and left all 1506 existing tests green before {@code
+     * FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest} was added to catch exactly that swap.
+     */
+    /**
+     * fleetd #446 follow-up: the criterion-2 WARNING text — "name the fix, not just the fact" —
+     * for a profile whose {@code model:} is configured. Extracted out of the {@code
+     * exhaustionSink} lambda the same way {@link #exhaustedPatternCoverageLine} was extracted out
+     * of {@code main}: the inline version compiled, ran, and read correctly, but nothing pinned
+     * its text, so a later edit could silently stop naming the fix and every test would stay
+     * green (measured: renaming the leading {@code "usage-limit fix:"} tag left all 1586
+     * pre-follow-up tests passing). {@link FleetdUsageLimitFixWarningTest} asserts on the return
+     * value of this method directly, which is exactly what the caller logs — {@code log.warn} is
+     * called with this method's result as a single, already-formatted argument, so the string a
+     * test sees here is byte-identical to what {@code fleetd.out} receives.
+     *
+     * <p>Deliberately asserts on three substrings, not the whole sentence (the profile name, the
+     * model name, and the literal {@code enabled: false} / {@code models.allow} action) — see that
+     * test's class doc for why a whole-sentence pin is the wrong granularity here.
+     */
+    static String usageLimitFixWarning(String profile, String model) {
+        return "usage-limit fix: profile '" + profile + "' runs model '" + model + "' — set "
+                + "`enabled: false` on that model's entry under models.allow in fleetd.yaml to "
+                + "stop new spawns landing on it (models: is hot, no restart needed); remove the "
+                + "line again once the subscription window resets";
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #446 follow-up: the {@link #usageLimitFixWarning} counterpart for a profile with no
+     * {@code model:} configured — {@code models.allow} gates by model name, so there is nothing
+     * for an operator to flip, and this says so instead of naming a fix that does not exist.
+     */
+    static String usageLimitFixWarningNoModel(String profile, Integer quarantineCooldownSeconds) {
+        return "usage-limit fix: profile '" + profile + "' has no model: configured, so "
+                + "models.allow cannot gate it by name — the " + quarantineCooldownSeconds
+                + "s quarantine above is the only thing keeping new spawns off it for now";
+    }
+
+    static String exhaustedPatternCoverageLine(Set<String> allProfiles, Set<String> configuredProfiles) {
+        return CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.OFF,
+                allProfiles, configuredProfiles);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #415 (review follow-up): the {@code errorPattern} counterpart of {@link
+     * #exhaustedPatternCoverageLine}, paired explicitly with {@link
+     * CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning#BUILT_IN_DEFAULT} — an unset {@code errorPattern} still runs
+     * backend-error classification against {@code CompletionResolver}'s built-in {@code
+     * BACKEND_ERROR} pattern, so the empty case is not "off". See {@link
+     * #exhaustedPatternCoverageLine}'s javadoc for the measured swap mutation this pairing guards
+     * against.
+     */
+    static String errorPatternCoverageLine(Set<String> allProfiles, Set<String> configuredProfiles) {
+        return CompletionResolver.coverage("errorPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.BUILT_IN_DEFAULT,
+                allProfiles, configuredProfiles);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #422 follow-up: package-private factory for the startup line reporting which of the
+     * three central {@code models.allow:} gate states the daemon booted into. Extracted the same
+     * way {@link #exhaustedPatternCoverageLine}/{@link #errorPatternCoverageLine} are, so a
+     * dedicated test can call it directly rather than parsing log output, and so {@code main}'s
+     * only source for this line is {@link PeerLauncher#modelGateState()} — never a second,
+     * independently-derived read of {@code cfg.models()} that could disagree with what {@code
+     * CompositePeerLauncher}'s spawn gate actually enforces (the fleetd #404 lesson).
+     *
+     * <p>Unlike the two pattern-key lines above, there is no {@code UnsetMeaning} choice to make
+     * here: {@link PeerLauncher.ModelGateState#configured()} already states, unambiguously, whether
+     * an empty {@link PeerLauncher.ModelGateState#off()} means "no {@code models:} block to gate
+     * with" or "a block armed and currently reporting zero off" — the exact two states a bare
+     * {@code disabledModels()} read could not tell apart before this ticket.
+     */
+    static String modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState state) {
+        if (!state.configured()) {
+            return "not configured (no models: block — nothing is gated, and nothing can be)";
+        }
+        Set<String> off = state.off();
+        return off.isEmpty()
+                ? "armed (models: block present; 0 models currently turned off)"
+                : "armed (" + off.size() + " model(s) turned off: " + new TreeSet<>(off) + ")";
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #416: production source for {@code fleet_list}'s per-profile capacity facts.
+     *
+     * <p>The profile <em>set</em> ({@code configuredProfiles}) must come from {@code cfg} — the
+     * startup snapshot — not the live {@code config.get()}. {@code profiles} as a whole is a
+     * {@code DEFERRED} key ({@link ConfigRef#DEFERRED_KEYS}): {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} takes
+     * {@code Map.copyOf(profiles)} once at construction and a profile only added to the
+     * hot-reloaded map can never actually be spawned, so enumerating it live made {@code fleet_list}
+     * report a profile as available when {@code fleet_spawn} on that same profile fails with
+     * {@code unknown worker profile}. {@code fleet_list}'s own contract for {@code free} is "the
+     * same check the spawn gate itself runs" — the set the spawn gate can see is the startup one,
+     * so this must enumerate that one too, the same shape as {@code coordinator.peers} above.
+     *
+     * <p>{@code maxLoad} stays live on purpose: it is read off {@code config.get()} exactly like
+     * {@code credentialId} ({@link ConfigRef} documents both as hot), so an existing profile's
+     * {@code maxLoad} edit must still change what {@code fleet_list} reports without a restart.
+     */
+    static FleetMcp.CapacitySource capacitySource(ConfigRef config, FleetConfig cfg,
+            Function<String, Integer> liveCount) {
+        return new FleetMcp.CapacitySource(liveCount,
+                profile -> {
+                    var configured = config.get().profiles().get(profile);
+                    return configured == null ? null : configured.maxLoad();
+                },
+                cfg.profiles()::keySet, System::nanoTime);
+    }
+
     /**
      * fleetd #248: package-private factory for the member worktree/branch lookup {@link
      * CompletionResolver} uses to name a fallback report's worktree and branch (fleetd#241).
@@ -783,6 +1065,68 @@ public final class Fleetd {
                 .orElse(null);
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #480: construct the {@link LeadRollover} executor only when {@code leadRollover:} is
+     * present at startup — the same presence gate {@code leadHeartbeat:} uses just above this
+     * call site in {@code main}. Extracted to its own factory, the same reason
+     * {@link #worktreeBranchLookup} and {@link #exhaustionSink} are: a unit test can call this
+     * directly with a fabricated {@link FleetConfig} (absent block ⇒ {@code null}, present block ⇒
+     * constructed) without needing the whole of {@code main}, and a source-text test on the real
+     * call site proves {@code main} still calls this factory rather than inlining a copy that could
+     * silently diverge.
+     *
+     * <p>The returned object reads every {@code leadRollover:} field fresh on each {@code open()}/
+     * {@code confirm()} call through {@code () -> config.get().leadRollover()} — see {@code
+     * ConfigRef}'s class doc Hot bullet and {@link FleetConfig.LeadRollover}'s javadoc for why that
+     * makes the block's fields HOT despite this presence gate being evaluated once, at startup.
+     *
+     * <p>Deliberately does NOT take {@link PrimaryRegistry}: fleetd #480 correction 2 found that a
+     * single-slot lookup lets one lead's {@code confirm()} clear a DIFFERENT lead's pane on a
+     * daemon with more than one labelled lead tab. The lead terminal to roll instead comes from
+     * whoever calls {@code open()}/{@code confirm()} — the later MCP-tool unit must resolve it from
+     * the connection and pass it in, never take it as a request field. See {@link LeadRollover}'s
+     * class javadoc.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>fleetd #480 follow-up:</strong> also builds the terminal → lead-workspace lookup
+     * {@link LeadRollover#open} needs to resolve a relative {@code handoverPath} against the
+     * CALLING lead's own {@code cwd} rather than the daemon's — the daemon and a lead's pane can
+     * have different working directories (this repo nests {@code fleetd/} inside its own root, so
+     * they already differ on this host). The lookup is terminal → lead name (via {@code
+     * liveLeadTerminals}) → that lead's {@code cwd} (via {@code config.get().fleet().leaders()}),
+     * and both hops are read LIVE on every call, never off a snapshot taken here: leads are
+     * discovered by a live tab scan ({@code LeadTabScanner}), so a map captured at construction
+     * time could be empty (no lead has been scanned yet) or stale (a lead added since).
+     *
+     * @param cfg               the startup config snapshot — read ONCE here, only to decide whether
+     *                          to construct the object at all, exactly like {@code
+     *                          cfg.leadHeartbeat()}
+     * @param leadAgents        the {@link AgentControl} instance that reaches the LEAD's pane (not
+     *                          {@code memberAgents}), normally {@code router.leadAgents()}
+     * @param config            the live {@link ConfigRef}, captured only inside the returned
+     *                          supplier and the workspace lookup — never dereferenced here
+     * @param liveLeadTerminals terminal id → lead NAME for every CURRENTLY recognised lead, normally
+     *                          the same {@code leads} supplier {@code main} already builds for
+     *                          {@code HerdrRouter}/{@link #leadSeatLookup} — never a value snapshot
+     * @return a constructed {@link LeadRollover}, or {@code null} when {@code leadRollover:} is
+     *         absent from the startup config
+     */
+    static LeadRollover leadRollover(FleetConfig cfg, AgentControl leadAgents, ConfigRef config,
+            Supplier<Map<String, String>> liveLeadTerminals) {
+        if (cfg.leadRollover() == null) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        Function<String, String> leadWorkspace = terminal -> {
+            String leadName = liveLeadTerminals.get().get(terminal);
+            if (leadName == null) {
+                return null;
+            }
+            FleetConfig.Fleet fleet = config.get().fleet();
+            FleetConfig.Leader leader = fleet == null ? null : fleet.leaders().get(leadName);
+            return leader == null ? null : leader.cwd();
+        };
+        return new LeadRollover(leadAgents, () -> config.get().leadRollover(), leadWorkspace);
+    }
+
     /**
      * fleetd #176: per-profile factory for {@link FleetMcp.LeadSeatSource} — how many seats a
      * profile's own live LEAD session(s) hold on the same Claude subscription.
@@ -1162,6 +1506,76 @@ public final class Fleetd {
         });
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #377: the env var names holding the git host value that members receive as
+     * {@code GITEA_HOST}. {@code HerdrPeerLauncher.applyGitToken} injects {@code GITEA_HOST}
+     * only for profiles that opted in via {@code gitTokenEnv} (CB-302), reading the value from
+     * that profile's {@code gitHostEnv} (default {@code GITEA_HOST}), so the shape only matters
+     * where a git token is opted in. A var used by more than one profile is one entry naming
+     * every profile that reads it, the same shape as {@link #requiredSecretEnvVars}.
+     *
+     * <p>Package-private and pure (no I/O, no logging) so the derivation is unit-testable
+     * without capturing log output; {@link #reportGitHostShape(FleetConfig)} is the logging caller.
+     */
+    static Map<String, List<String>> gitHostEnvVars(FleetConfig cfg) {
+        Map<String, List<String>> hostsBy = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        cfg.profiles().forEach((name, profile) -> {
+            if (profile.hasGitToken()) {
+                hostsBy.computeIfAbsent(profile.gitHostEnv(), _ -> new ArrayList<>())
+                        .add("profile '" + name + "' gitHostEnv");
+            }
+        });
+        return hostsBy;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * True when the value already starts with a URI scheme ({@code https://...}, {@code
+     * http://...}). A bare host name and a host:port must both report {@code false} — the shape
+     * this ticket exists for is a value that <em>looks like</em> a host but is a full URL, and
+     * confusing those in the report would move the failure to the log instead of the network.
+     */
+    static boolean startsWithScheme(String value) {
+        return value.matches("[A-Za-z][A-Za-z0-9+.-]*://.*");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #377: log, on the same startup path as {@link #reportRequiredSecrets}, the SHAPE of
+     * each git host value that members receive as {@code GITEA_HOST}: set or unset, its length,
+     * whether it starts with a scheme, whether it ends with a slash. Never the value itself — the
+     * same discipline as {@link #reportRequiredSecrets}, which logs by name only. Either shape is
+     * legitimate: the value is passed to members unchanged, and a line that quietly rewrites it
+     * would change what works on one host and breaks on another. The shape line only tells the
+     * operator which URL form to expect from a member that builds on {@code GITEA_HOST}. An
+     * unset variable is logged at INFO — useful information, not an error — and the daemon
+     * starts on either way.
+     *
+     * <p>The env read lives in the overload below so a test can drive the line with a known
+     * value and prove that value never reaches the log.
+     */
+    static void reportGitHostShape(FleetConfig cfg) {
+        reportGitHostShape(cfg, System.getenv());
+    }
+
+    static void reportGitHostShape(FleetConfig cfg, Map<String, String> env) {
+        Map<String, List<String>> hostsBy = gitHostEnvVars(cfg);
+        if (hostsBy.isEmpty()) {
+            log.info("startup git host: no profile sets a gitTokenEnv — nothing to check");
+            return;
+        }
+        hostsBy.forEach((varName, sources) -> {
+            String value = env.get(varName);
+            if (value == null || value.isBlank()) {
+                log.info("startup git host {}: unset ({}) — a member gets GITEA_TOKEN but no "
+                        + "GITEA_HOST value", varName, String.join(", ", sources));
+            } else {
+                log.info("startup git host {}: set ({}) — length={}, startsWithScheme={}, "
+                                + "trailingSlash={}",
+                        varName, String.join(", ", sources),
+                        value.length(), startsWithScheme(value), value.endsWith("/"));
+            }
+        });
+    }
+
     /**
      * fleetd #184: state the member trust model at startup. Environment controls and worktrees do
      * not make a sandbox when fleetd and its members use the same OS user. A separate herdr may
@@ -1212,12 +1626,138 @@ public final class Fleetd {
     }
 
     /**
-     * Poll herdr's {@code ping} until it answers or {@link #HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS} elapses (CB-504).
+     * fleetd #395: {@code exhaustedPattern} (see {@link FleetConfig.Profile#exhaustedPattern}) is
+     * deliberately opt-in — {@code null}/blank means a backend refusal on that profile is never
+     * classified as {@code BACKEND_EXHAUSTED}, so its credential is never quarantined. That is a
+     * legitimate choice (guessing the vendor's wording would be worse), but an operator who never
+     * opted a profile in should not discover the gap only when a usage limit silently goes
+     * undetected. Warn once at startup, naming every unarmed profile, exactly like {@link
+     * #reportMemberCredentialsGap} — never refuse to start over it.
      *
-     * @return true if herdr answered, false if it never did
+     * <p>A {@code subscription: true} profile that is unarmed gets a SECOND, louder WARN of its
+     * own: it bills the operator's metered Claude plan, the case where an undetected usage limit
+     * costs the most.
+     *
+     * <p>Package-private so a test can capture the real log via a {@link
+     * ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender}, the same pattern {@link
+     * #reportMemberCredentialsGap}'s own test uses.
      */
-    private static boolean awaitHerdr(HerdrClient herdr) {
-        long deadline = System.nanoTime() + HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS * 1_000_000_000L;
+    static void reportExhaustedPatternGap(FleetConfig cfg) {
+        List<String> unarmedSubscription = new ArrayList<>();
+        List<String> unarmedOther = new ArrayList<>();
+        cfg.profiles().forEach((name, profile) -> {
+            if (!profile.hasExhaustedPattern()) {
+                (profile.isSubscription() ? unarmedSubscription : unarmedOther).add(name);
+            }
+        });
+        if (unarmedSubscription.isEmpty() && unarmedOther.isEmpty()) {
+            log.info("exhaustedPattern: every configured profile has usage-limit detection armed");
+            return;
+        }
+        List<String> allUnarmed = new ArrayList<>(unarmedSubscription);
+        allUnarmed.addAll(unarmedOther);
+        allUnarmed = allUnarmed.stream().sorted().toList();
+        log.warn("exhaustedPattern: profile(s) {} have no exhaustedPattern configured — a "
+                        + "usage-limit refusal on any of them is never detected and never "
+                        + "quarantines its credential. Set exhaustedPattern (see "
+                        + "fleetd.example.yaml) to arm detection for a profile.",
+                allUnarmed);
+        if (!unarmedSubscription.isEmpty()) {
+            List<String> sortedSubscription = unarmedSubscription.stream().sorted().toList();
+            log.warn("exhaustedPattern: subscription profile(s) {} run on the operator's metered "
+                            + "Claude plan and have NO usage-limit detection armed — this is the "
+                            + "case where a missed usage limit costs the most.",
+                    sortedSubscription);
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #474: the one place both the startup call (right after {@code cfg.validateAll()} in
+     * {@link #main}) and the reload call (wired into {@code config}'s {@code extraValidation} above,
+     * via a method reference to this method) go through, so the two can never drift into checking
+     * different things. Extracted only to give {@link ConfigRef}'s {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>}
+     * hook a {@code FleetConfig -> void} shape to bind to — {@link CharterToolSurface} itself still
+     * takes the raw charter map and knows nothing about {@code ConfigRef} or {@code Fleetd}.
+     *
+     * <p>Package-private so a test can call it directly the same way the other startup-report
+     * helpers above are tested, without needing to drive {@link #main} for a unit-level check;
+     * {@code FleetdStartupValidationTest} proves the startup call site, and {@code
+     * FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest} — by constructing {@code ConfigRef} with this
+     * exact method reference, the same way {@code main} does above — proves the reload call site.
+     * {@code dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRefTest} pins the same reload behaviour too, through an
+     * equivalent {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>} it builds locally (it cannot see this package-private
+     * method from {@code dev.ltms.fleet.config}).
+     */
+    static void assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools(FleetConfig cfg) {
+        CharterToolSurface.assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools(
+                cfg.fleet() == null ? Map.of() : cfg.fleet().charters());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * How {@link #awaitHerdr} ended (fleetd #498). The old code returned a bare {@code boolean},
+     * which collapsed two different facts onto the same {@code false}: the configured wait budget
+     * genuinely running out, and the waiting thread being interrupted possibly milliseconds in.
+     * Those need different operator messages — see {@link #logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap} — so
+     * this is a third state, not a better number (the same shape fleetd #497 named). Never treat
+     * {@link #INTERRUPTED} as if it were {@link #DEADLINE_PASSED}: only the latter means herdr was
+     * actually given the full {@link #HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS} and still failed to answer.
+     */
+    enum HerdrWaitResult {
+        /** herdr answered {@code ping} before the deadline. */
+        ANSWERED,
+        /** the configured {@link #HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS} budget elapsed with no answer. */
+        DEADLINE_PASSED,
+        /**
+         * the waiting thread was interrupted before the budget ran out — a different event from
+         * {@link #DEADLINE_PASSED} and must never be reported as "did not answer within Ns".
+         */
+        INTERRUPTED
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The outcome of one {@link #awaitHerdr} call, carrying the MEASURED elapsed wait time
+     * alongside {@link #result}. {@code elapsedNanos} is always measured against the {@code nanos}
+     * supplier passed to {@link #awaitHerdr} — never assume it equals the configured budget, the
+     * same defect fleetd #494 already fixed once in {@code LeadRollover}.
+     */
+    record HerdrAwaitOutcome(HerdrWaitResult result, long elapsedNanos) {}
+
+    /**
+     * The real per-poll wait {@link #main} passes to {@link #awaitHerdr}: sleep
+     * {@link #HERDR_WAIT_POLL_MILLIS}, and on interruption re-set the thread's interrupt flag
+     * rather than throwing — {@link #awaitHerdr} detects an interruption by checking {@link
+     * Thread#isInterrupted()} right after this returns, so a poller that swallowed the flag
+     * instead of restoring it would make that check silently miss the interruption.
+     */
+    private static void sleepHerdrPoll() {
+        try {
+            Thread.sleep(HERDR_WAIT_POLL_MILLIS);
+        } catch (InterruptedException ie) {
+            Thread.currentThread().interrupt();
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Poll herdr's {@code ping} until it answers, the configured {@link #HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS}
+     * budget elapses, or the waiting thread is interrupted (CB-504, fleetd #498).
+     *
+     * <p>{@code nanos} and {@code poller} are required parameters with no defaulted overload
+     * (fleetd #415's shape: a defaulted overload is a silent survivor a green suite would vouch
+     * for) — the previous version read {@link System#nanoTime()} and called {@link Thread#sleep}
+     * directly, so nothing could drive it from a test. The one production call site in {@link
+     * #main} passes {@code System::nanoTime} and {@link #sleepHerdrPoll}.
+     *
+     * @param nanos  a monotonic elapsed-time clock, e.g. {@code System::nanoTime} — never a
+     *               wall-clock source, since only elapsed time (not a timestamp) is measured here
+     * @param poller called once per failed ping while the budget remains; must, on an
+     *               {@link InterruptedException}, re-set the thread's interrupt flag rather than
+     *               throw or swallow it — this method's interruption check reads that flag right
+     *               after {@code poller.run()} returns
+     * @return the outcome and the measured elapsed wait time — see {@link HerdrAwaitOutcome}
+     */
+    static HerdrAwaitOutcome awaitHerdr(HerdrClient herdr, LongSupplier nanos, Runnable poller) {
+        long start = nanos.getAsLong();
+        long deadline = start + HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS * 1_000_000_000L;
         boolean waited = false;
         while (true) {
             try {
@@ -1225,25 +1765,57 @@ public final class Fleetd {
                 if (waited) {
                     log.info("herdr is up");
                 }
-                return true;
+                return new HerdrAwaitOutcome(HerdrWaitResult.ANSWERED, nanos.getAsLong() - start);
             } catch (HerdrException e) {
-                if (System.nanoTime() >= deadline) {
-                    return false;
+                if (nanos.getAsLong() >= deadline) {
+                    return new HerdrAwaitOutcome(HerdrWaitResult.DEADLINE_PASSED, nanos.getAsLong() - start);
                 }
                 if (!waited) {
                     log.info("waiting up to {}s for the herdr socket…", HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS);
                     waited = true;
                 }
-                try {
-                    Thread.sleep(HERDR_WAIT_POLL_MILLIS);
-                } catch (InterruptedException ie) {
-                    Thread.currentThread().interrupt();
-                    return false;
+                poller.run();
+                if (Thread.currentThread().isInterrupted()) {
+                    return new HerdrAwaitOutcome(HerdrWaitResult.INTERRUPTED, nanos.getAsLong() - start);
                 }
             }
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Log the right message for {@code outcome} — never the configured {@link #HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS}
+     * budget alone, always the measured elapsed time next to it — and say whether {@link #main}
+     * should now reap orphan worker panes (fleetd #498).
+     *
+     * <p>Extracted out of {@link #main} so this decision is drivable from a test: {@link #main}
+     * boots the whole daemon and cannot itself be run in a unit test, but this is the exact,
+     * unmodified code {@link #main} calls for the decision, not a re-derivation of it.
+     *
+     * @return true only for {@link HerdrWaitResult#ANSWERED} — orphan workers are reaped only
+     *         then, exactly as before this ticket
+     */
+    static boolean logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap(HerdrAwaitOutcome outcome) {
+        long elapsedMillis = TimeUnit.NANOSECONDS.toMillis(outcome.elapsedNanos());
+        if (outcome.result() == HerdrWaitResult.ANSWERED) {
+            return true;
+        }
+        if (outcome.result() == HerdrWaitResult.DEADLINE_PASSED) {
+            log.warn("herdr did not answer within the configured wait (configured={}s elapsed={}ms) "
+                    + "— starting anyway; /healthz will report degraded until it comes up. Orphaned "
+                    + "worker panes (if any) were NOT reaped.",
+                    HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS, elapsedMillis);
+            return false;
+        }
+        // HerdrWaitResult.INTERRUPTED — a different fact from DEADLINE_PASSED (fleetd #498): the
+        // wait was cut short, not exhausted, and must never be reported as "did not answer within
+        // Ns" — that claim would be false and would send an operator to debug herdr for nothing.
+        log.warn("herdr wait was interrupted before the configured wait ran out (configured={}s "
+                + "elapsed={}ms) — starting anyway; /healthz will report degraded until it comes "
+                + "up. Orphaned worker panes (if any) were NOT reaped.",
+                HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS, elapsedMillis);
+        return false;
+    }
+
     private Fleetd() {
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/Authz.java

@@ -30,8 +30,27 @@ public final class Authz {
         DRAIN,
         /** Read-only observation: status, roster, profiles, task polling. */
         READ,
+        /**
+         * Read (never ack) this daemon's own held lead-to-lead coordination mail (fleetd #421).
+         *
+         * <p>Deliberately <strong>not</strong> folded into {@link #READ}. {@code READ}'s grant
+         * rests on "the roster carries no secrets" (see its case below) — a lead-to-lead body is
+         * not the roster; it is where leads discuss host shapes, credentials and unmerged work.
+         * Mapping this to {@code READ} would let any worker read every peer lead's mail in full
+         * and would silently falsify that comment for every other {@code READ} caller.
+         */
+        COORD_READ,
         /** Scrape the metrics endpoint. */
-        METRICS
+        METRICS,
+        /**
+         * Drive the lead-rollover executor ({@code fleet_handover}: open/confirm/cancel a
+         * self-replace, fleetd #480 Unit C). Primary-only, same as {@link #SPAWN}/{@link #STOP}/
+         * {@link #DRAIN} — and, unlike those, the terminal it acts on is never even an argument:
+         * {@code LeadRollover#open}/{@code #confirm} are always called with the CALLER's own
+         * connection-resolved terminal (see {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover}'s class
+         * javadoc, fleetd #480 correction 2), so a primary can only ever roll itself.
+         */
+        HANDOVER
     }
 
     /**
@@ -50,7 +69,7 @@ public final class Authz {
             // deliberately does NOT get these (CB-548), so it cannot tear down or stand up workers
             // even though it coordinates them; and a worker driving any of these would be a worker
             // escalating into the orchestrator role.
-            case SPAWN, STOP, DRAIN -> caller.isPrimary();
+            case SPAWN, STOP, DRAIN, HANDOVER -> caller.isPrimary();
 
             // Delivering a turn is open to the primary and the architect: an architect delegates
             // to workers (that is the role's point) but still has no lifecycle rights. A worker is
@@ -68,6 +87,11 @@ public final class Authz {
             // Observation is open to every authenticated role: a worker legitimately polls its own
             // status, and the roster carries no secrets.
             case READ, METRICS -> caller.isPrimary() || caller.isWorker() || caller.isArchitect();
+
+            // fleetd #421: reading held lead-to-lead mail is the primary's alone. An architect
+            // holds READ today (CB-548), so "not primary" must mean not-architect here too — this
+            // is coordination between leads, not observation of the roster.
+            case COORD_READ -> caller.isPrimary();
         };
     }
 

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/CallerResolver.java

@@ -244,7 +244,15 @@ public final class CallerResolver {
         // already names what happens if that case is handed the primary role: a worker→primary
         // escalation. So an unresolved caller is refused (ANONYMOUS — the same clean, already-tested
         // "authenticated as nothing" outcome used everywhere else in this method), never promoted.
-        return isLoopback(remoteAddr) && c.resolved() ? Principal.primary(c.pid()) : Principal.anonymous();
+        //
+        // fleetd #505: the OTHER way a real pid can wrongly reach here with a null terminal — not a
+        // failed lsof lookup, but a herdr error partway through PaneLocator's pane scan. c.resolved()
+        // says nothing about that; it only tests the lsof sentinel (by design — see
+        // ConnectionIdentity.Caller#resolved). c.scanComplete() is the separate signal: a scan that
+        // could not check every pane must not be read as "checked everywhere, no match" — the pane it
+        // could not check might have been the caller's own. So both must hold before this promotes.
+        return isLoopback(remoteAddr) && c.resolved() && c.scanComplete()
+                ? Principal.primary(c.pid()) : Principal.anonymous();
     }
 
     private boolean presentedTokenMatches(String authorizationHeader) {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/MemberRegistry.java

@@ -11,6 +11,7 @@ import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.function.Supplier;
 
 /**
  * The architect-slot registry (CB-548): every gateway-local architect name and the strong-model
@@ -19,16 +20,43 @@ import java.util.Objects;
  *
  * <p>Two halves, split by who owns each:
  * <ul>
- *   <li><b>slots</b> — configured once, keyed by the gateway-local unique name; each carries the
- *       {@code profile} reference the spawn lifecycle reads when it stands the slot up. A read-only
- *       snapshot taken at construction.</li>
- *   <li><b>terminal bindings</b> — owned by this registry and initially <em>empty</em>. Config
- *       declares no architect terminal, so at startup every slot is idle and nothing resolves to an
- *       architect; a session only becomes one when the spawn lifecycle {@linkplain #bind(String,
- *       String) binds} its terminal to a slot. {@link CallerResolver} reads this through
- *       {@link #snapshot()} to turn a pane into an {@link Role#ARCHITECT}.</li>
+ *   <li><b>slots</b> — read from {@code fleet.architects}/{@code developers}/{@code reviewers}
+ *       (see {@link #slots()}), each carrying the {@code profile} reference the spawn lifecycle
+ *       reads when it stands the slot up. <strong>Live, since fleetd #424</strong>: {@link #live}
+ *       re-reads {@code fleet:} on every call, through a supplier the same shape as
+ *       {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s (see {@code ConfigRef}'s class doc) — so a config reload
+ *       that removes or adds an architect slot governs the <em>next</em> spawn with no restart.
+ *       Only {@link #MemberRegistry(FleetConfig.Fleet)} freezes the pool at construction, and that
+ *       constructor exists for tests and for the (rare) case of wiring a fixed, code-built config.</li>
+ *   <li><b>terminal bindings</b> — owned by this registry, initially <em>empty</em>, and
+ *       <strong>never</strong> touched by a reload. Config declares no architect terminal, so at
+ *       startup every slot is idle and nothing resolves to an architect; a session only becomes one
+ *       when the spawn lifecycle {@linkplain #bind(String, String) binds} its terminal to a slot.
+ *       {@link CallerResolver} reads this through {@link #snapshot()} to turn a pane into an
+ *       {@link Role#ARCHITECT}.</li>
  * </ul>
  *
+ * <p><strong>The binding rule (fleetd #424): config governs what a bound slot still grants, as
+ * well as what may be bound next.</strong> Removing a slot from config revokes it — that is the
+ * ticket's entire point ("Revoking an architect slot does not revoke it"). Revoking it means an
+ * architect already bound to that slot loses the ARCHITECT privilege on its very next request:
+ * {@link #roleForSlot} and {@link #nameForSlot} read {@link #slots()} directly, with no cache, so
+ * the moment a slot drops out of config, {@link CallerResolver#resolve} (which calls both on every
+ * request from a bound pane, {@code CallerResolver.java:220}) can no longer confirm the pane's slot
+ * is an architect slot, and the pane falls through to {@code Principal.worker(...)}. What does
+ * <em>not</em> change is the {@code terminalToSlot} <em>occupancy</em> — the binding created by
+ * {@link #bind} is untouched by a reload, on purpose: unbinding it here would double-book the slot
+ * key (a second terminal could then bind to the "freed" key while the first is still the terminal
+ * the operator actually meant to demote) and would silently break {@link #unbind}'s compare-safe
+ * contract, which needs the original {@code terminal → slot} pair intact to remove it cleanly. So
+ * the demoted session keeps occupying its slot — {@link #slotForTerminal} and {@link #snapshot()}
+ * still name it — it just no longer resolves as an architect through that occupancy, and a fresh
+ * spawn still cannot bind to the same key while it is occupied ({@link #reserve}/
+ * {@link #requireSlotFor} refuse it anyway, since it is gone from {@link #slots()}). The demoted
+ * session's own turn is unaffected: {@code fleet_reply}'s authorization
+ * ({@code Authz.Action.REPLY}) is {@code caller.ownsSession(targetSession)} — identity by terminal,
+ * not by role — so a demoted architect can still end its own turn normally.
+ *
  * <p>Spawning/lifecycle is deliberately a separate unit: this class only owns the bindings and
  * exposes the map the resolver resolves against plus the profile lookup lifecycle will call.
  * Nothing here creates or manages an architect session.
@@ -55,14 +83,42 @@ public final class MemberRegistry implements MemberLifecycle {
         }
     }
 
-    private final Map<String, Entry> slots;
+    private final Supplier<FleetConfig.Fleet> fleet;
     /** Live {@code terminal_id → qualified slot key}; guarded by {@code terminalToSlot}. */
     private final Map<String, String> terminalToSlot = new HashMap<>();
     /** Slot keys held between reservation and the terminal binding. Guarded by terminalToSlot. */
     private final java.util.Set<String> reservedSlots = new java.util.HashSet<>();
 
-    /** Flatten every role pool in {@code fleet} into one registry. Leaders are not members. */
+    /**
+     * Freeze the pool at construction — for tests, and for the rare case of wiring a fixed,
+     * code-built config. Production wiring should prefer {@link #live}, which re-reads
+     * {@code fleet:} on every call.
+     */
     public MemberRegistry(FleetConfig.Fleet fleet) {
+        this(() -> fleet);
+    }
+
+    private MemberRegistry(Supplier<FleetConfig.Fleet> fleet) {
+        this.fleet = fleet;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Live variant (fleetd #424): {@code fleet} is read fresh on every {@link #slots()} call — pass
+     * {@code () -> config.get().fleet()}, the same supplier shape {@code CompositePeerLauncher}
+     * already uses for placement — so a reload that adds or removes an architect slot governs the
+     * next spawn's {@link #reserve}/{@link #requireSlotFor} check with no restart. A separate,
+     * private constructor rather than a same-arity public overload of
+     * {@link #MemberRegistry(FleetConfig.Fleet)}: a {@code FleetConfig.Fleet} and a
+     * {@code Supplier<FleetConfig.Fleet>} overload are ambiguous for a literal {@code null} — the
+     * same reason {@code CallerResolver.withLeads} is a static factory rather than a fourth
+     * constructor overload.
+     */
+    public static MemberRegistry live(Supplier<FleetConfig.Fleet> fleet) {
+        return new MemberRegistry(Objects.requireNonNull(fleet, "fleet"));
+    }
+
+    /** Flatten every role pool in {@code fleet} into one map. Leaders are not members. */
+    private static Map<String, Entry> flatten(FleetConfig.Fleet fleet) {
         Map<String, Entry> flat = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         if (fleet != null) {
             for (MemberRole role : MemberRole.values()) {
@@ -74,18 +130,22 @@ public final class MemberRegistry implements MemberLifecycle {
                 });
             }
         }
-        this.slots = Collections.unmodifiableMap(flat);
+        return Collections.unmodifiableMap(flat);
     }
 
-    /** The configured slots, keyed by qualified {@link Entry#key()}. Unmodifiable snapshot. */
+    /**
+     * The configured slots, keyed by qualified {@link Entry#key()}. Unmodifiable snapshot of
+     * {@code fleet:} <em>as of this call</em> — see the class doc for which constructor makes that
+     * live versus frozen.
+     */
     public Map<String, Entry> slots() {
-        return slots;
+        return flatten(fleet.get());
     }
 
-    /** The slots belonging to {@code role}, in definition order. */
+    /** The slots belonging to {@code role}, in definition order, as of this call. */
     public Map<String, Entry> slotsFor(MemberRole role) {
         Map<String, Entry> out = new LinkedHashMap<>();
-        slots.forEach((key, e) -> {
+        slots().forEach((key, e) -> {
             if (e.role() == role) {
                 out.put(key, e);
             }
@@ -117,31 +177,49 @@ public final class MemberRegistry implements MemberLifecycle {
     }
 
     /**
-     * The strong-model profile a slot runs under — what the spawn lifecycle reads.
+     * The strong-model profile a slot runs under, as of this call.
+     *
+     * <p>Nothing in {@code src/main} calls this (fleetd #431 — grepped both the {@code
+     * .profileForSlot(} and the {@code ::profileForSlot} form). This javadoc used to say "what the
+     * spawn lifecycle reads", and that seam does not exist: the spawn lifecycle takes its profile
+     * from the {@link MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation} that {@code reserve} returns, never from
+     * here. Kept and pinned rather than deleted because it is the natural accessor for that seam
+     * if one is added; live for the same reason as {@link #roleForSlot}, so a reload cannot leave
+     * it answering for the old config.
      *
      * @return the slot's configured {@code profile}, or {@code null} if the slot is unknown or
      *         declares none
      */
     public String profileForSlot(String slotName) {
-        Entry e = slots.get(slotName);
+        Entry e = slots().get(slotName);
         return (e == null || e.profile() == null) ? null : e.profile();
     }
 
-    /** The role a qualified slot key belongs to, or {@code null} when the key is unknown. */
+    /**
+     * The role a qualified slot key belongs to, or {@code null} when the key is not currently
+     * configured. Deliberately live, with no cache (fleetd #424, see the class doc's binding rule):
+     * removing a slot from config must make {@link CallerResolver#resolve} stop granting the
+     * ARCHITECT role for it on the very next request from a terminal that was bound to it, which is
+     * the ticket's whole point — revoking a slot must actually revoke it, not just refuse the next
+     * spawn.
+     */
     public MemberRole roleForSlot(String slotName) {
-        Entry e = slots.get(slotName);
+        Entry e = slots().get(slotName);
         return e == null ? null : e.role();
     }
 
-    /** The unqualified configured name for a slot, or {@code null} if it is unknown. */
+    /**
+     * The unqualified configured name for a slot, or {@code null} if it is not currently configured.
+     * Live for the same reason as {@link #roleForSlot} — see the class doc's binding rule.
+     */
     public String nameForSlot(String slotName) {
-        Entry e = slots.get(slotName);
+        Entry e = slots().get(slotName);
         return e == null ? null : e.name();
     }
 
     /** True when {@code slotName} is a configured architect slot. */
     public boolean isSlot(String slotName) {
-        return slots.containsKey(slotName);
+        return slots().containsKey(slotName);
     }
 
     /**

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/ConfigRef.java

@@ -11,6 +11,7 @@ import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Objects;
 import java.util.Set;
 import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicReference;
+import java.util.function.Consumer;
 import java.util.function.Supplier;
 
 /**
@@ -32,17 +33,64 @@ import java.util.function.Supplier;
  *       not the fact that they are config. Most of {@code fleet:} — every role pool
  *       ({@code architects}/{@code developers}/{@code reviewers}), {@code charters}, and
  *       {@code tabLabel} — is read the same live way, through the same supplier
- *       ({@code () -> config.get().fleet()}). <strong>But {@code fleet:} as a whole is NOT in this
- *       class</strong>: {@code fleet.leaders} inside the same key is frozen, which is exactly what
- *       makes {@code fleet:} split rather than hot — see below.</li>
+ *       ({@code () -> config.get().fleet()}). {@code architects} in particular is hot for
+ *       <strong>two independent consumers</strong> (fleetd #424): {@code CompositePeerLauncher}
+ *       reads it live for placement (which profile an unqualified architect spawn may land on), and
+ *       {@code MemberRegistry} separately reads it live, through its own instance of the same
+ *       supplier shape, for identity — both which slot a spawn may bind to <em>and</em> what a slot
+ *       already bound still grants. Removing an architect slot from config therefore revokes the
+ *       {@link dev.ltms.fleet.auth.Role#ARCHITECT} role on the bound pane's very next request; only
+ *       the slot <em>occupancy</em> survives, so the demoted session still holds its slot key until
+ *       it unbinds. See {@code MemberRegistry}'s class doc for that binding rule.
+ *       <strong>But {@code fleet:} as a whole is NOT in this class</strong>: {@code fleet.leaders}
+ *       inside the same key is frozen, which is exactly what makes {@code fleet:} split rather than
+ *       hot — see below. {@code models:} (fleetd #422) joined this class whole: {@link
+ *       FleetConfig#validateModels()} re-runs fully against the fresh config on every {@link
+ *       #reload()} (via {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()}), refusing a bad edit outright rather than
+ *       caching a stale copy anywhere, and the on/off half added by fleetd #422 is read live both by
+ *       {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s spawn gate ({@code enforceModelEnabled} and its candidate
+ *       filter) and by {@code fleet_profiles}/{@code GET /profiles} (via
+ *       {@code PeerLauncher.disabledModels()}). Nothing about {@code models:} is baked into an
+ *       object built at startup, so — unlike the deferred keys below — there is no frozen half left
+ *       to report; it moved here from deferred rather than joining split. An existing profile's
+ *       {@code exhaustedPattern} (fleetd #446) joined this class the same way: it used to be
+ *       compiled once into {@code Fleetd.main}'s startup pattern map (see the Deferred bullet's old
+ *       wording, and {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns}'s class doc for the history), and is now read
+ *       live, cached by profile name, by both {@code CompletionResolver}'s classification (via
+ *       {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns.patternFor}) and {@code fleet_profiles}'s {@code
+ *       exhaustionDetectionArmed} (via {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns.armed}) — the one live object
+ *       both read, so a reload that arms or disarms a profile's usage-limit detection takes effect
+ *       on the next check with no restart. {@code errorPattern}, {@code exhaustedPattern}'s sibling
+ *       key for backend-error (not usage-limit) classification, was deliberately left OUT of this
+ *       fleetd #446 change and stays deferred below — the ticket scoped it out explicitly.
+ *       {@code leadRollover:} (fleetd #480) joined this class whole, the same shape as
+ *       {@code models:} above: {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover} holds a
+ *       {@code Supplier<FleetConfig.LeadRollover>} (the same {@code () -> config.get().x()} shape)
+ *       and reads {@code handoverPath}/{@code requireOperatorConfirm}/{@code maxDocAgeSeconds}/
+ *       {@code turnSettleSeconds}/{@code clearSettleSeconds}/{@code bootstrapText} fresh on every
+ *       {@code open()}/{@code confirm()} call (and on the deferred post-{@code confirm()}
+ *       continuation fleetd #480's correction added — see {@code LeadRollover}'s class doc) rather
+ *       than capturing them into fields at construction — unlike its closest
+ *       structural cousin {@code leadHeartbeat:}, whose {@code LeadHeartbeatLoop} bakes
+ *       {@code idleAfterNanos}/{@code backoffMs}/{@code quietNudgeCap} into final fields. The one
+ *       restart-only edge is structural, not a stale value: {@code Fleetd.java} decides whether to
+ *       construct the {@code LeadRollover} object at all off the startup snapshot (the same
+ *       presence gate {@code leadHeartbeat:} uses), so a block ADDED where it was absent at boot
+ *       needs a restart before anything exists to call — the same fact already true of adding a
+ *       brand-new {@code profiles:} entry.</li>
  *   <li><strong>Deferred</strong> — accepted into the new snapshot, but the wiring built at startup
  *       keeps the old value until a restart: {@code lifecycle:}, {@code leadHeartbeat:},
+ *       {@code idleSleepGuard:} ({@code Fleetd.java} reads it once, at startup, to decide whether
+ *       to construct an {@code IdleSleepGuard} and wire {@code SessionManager}'s
+ *       {@code onAcquire}/{@code onRelease} hooks to it — neither is rebuilt on reload, so a
+ *       running daemon keeps whatever this was at startup regardless of a later edit),
  *       {@code spawnReadyTimeoutMs} / {@code spawnReadyPollMs}, {@code quarantineCooldownSeconds}
  *       (CB-578 stage B — baked once into the {@code BackendQuarantine} built at startup),
- *       {@code guard:}, {@code worktreeRoot:} and {@code worktreeGroup:} (both baked once into the
- *       {@code GitWorktrees} built at {@code Fleetd.java:251} and never rebuilt — fleetd #323
- *       instance 2 found {@code worktreeGroup} missing from this list and from
- *       {@link #changedDeferredKeys}), {@code primary:} (fleetd #326 — {@code Fleetd.java:506, 519,
+ *       {@code guard:}, {@code worktreeRoot:}, {@code worktreeGroup:} and {@code memberSkills:}
+ *       (all three of the latter baked once into the {@code GitWorktrees} built at
+ *       {@code Fleetd.java:251} and never rebuilt — fleetd #323 instance 2 found
+ *       {@code worktreeGroup} missing from this list and from {@link #changedDeferredKeys};
+ *       {@code memberSkills} (fleetd #362) followed the same shape), {@code primary:} (fleetd #326 — {@code Fleetd.java:506, 519,
  *       520} read {@code cfg.primary()} only off the startup snapshot to build {@code
  *       PrimaryRegistry} and size {@code ReplyPushLoop}'s reminder cap/backoff, and neither is
  *       rebuilt on reload. Say the consequence exactly: {@code primary.terminal} is DEPRECATED
@@ -59,15 +107,17 @@ import java.util.function.Supplier;
  *       (if any) simply keeps its old settings), adding or removing a profile (a new backend needs its own launcher,
  *       which is constructed once), <em>and an existing profile's launch settings</em> —
  *       {@code model}, {@code baseUrl}, {@code argv}, {@code env}, {@code mcpUrl},
- *       {@code exhaustedPattern} (CB-578 stage A — compiled once into {@code Fleetd.main}'s
- *       pattern map at startup), {@code errorPattern} (fleetd #201 Unit 5 — compiled once into
- *       {@code Fleetd.main}'s backend-error pattern map at startup, the same way),
+ *       {@code errorPattern} (fleetd #201 Unit 5 — compiled once into
+ *       {@code Fleetd.main}'s backend-error pattern map at startup; deliberately NOT made hot
+ *       alongside {@code exhaustedPattern} by fleetd #446 — that ticket scoped {@code errorPattern}
+ *       and cooling-off out explicitly),
  *       {@code ideProjectDir} / {@code ideOpenCommand} / {@code autoCompactWindow} (fleetd #323
  *       instance 1 — all three are read at spawn off the same frozen profile map and were missing
  *       from {@link #sameLaunchSettings}), and the rest of {@link #sameLaunchSettings}.
- *       {@code credentialId} (CB-578 stage B) is NOT on
- *       this list — it is read live off the config supplier at every quarantine check and
- *       exhaustion event, exactly like {@code weight} / {@code maxLoad}, so it is hot instead.
+ *       {@code credentialId} (CB-578 stage B) and {@code exhaustedPattern} (fleetd #446) are NOT on
+ *       this list — both are read live off the config supplier at every quarantine check and
+ *       exhaustion event, exactly like {@code weight} / {@code maxLoad}, so both are hot instead
+ *       (see the Hot bullet above for {@code exhaustedPattern}'s history).
  *       {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} takes {@code Map.copyOf(profiles)} at construction and resolves
  *       each spawn out of that copy, so those never reach a launch until the daemon restarts. A
  *       reload logs these rather than pretending they applied.</li>
@@ -129,15 +179,22 @@ import java.util.function.Supplier;
  *       five of COLD_KEYS" rather than re-listing them, so prose and set cannot drift again.</li>
  * </ul>
  *
- * <p><strong>The denominator, measured on 2026-09-04 (fleetd #330; recounted for fleetd #333).</strong>
- * {@code FleetConfig} has 22 top-level record components: 5 cold, 11 deferred, 3 split, 3
- * hot-excluded. Three of them are named nowhere in this file, and the reason is the same for all
- * three: {@code placement}, {@code memberCredentials} and {@code memberLoginShell} are
- * <strong>hot</strong> and correctly absent — all three are read live off {@code config.get()}
- * (placement through the {@code CompositePeerLauncher} supplier the Hot bullet names;
- * {@code memberCredentials}/{@code memberLoginShell} at spawn time, {@code Fleetd.java:198, 205, 729}
- * and {@code HerdrPeerLauncher#configuredMemberLoginShell}), so a reload takes effect on the next
- * spawn with no entry needed here.
+ * <p><strong>The denominator, measured on 2026-09-04 (fleetd #330; recounted for fleetd #333);
+ * recounted again for fleetd #362, again after {@code idleSleepGuard:} was added, again after
+ * {@code models:} was added as deferred, again for fleetd #422, which moved {@code models:}
+ * from deferred to hot-excluded once its on/off half was read live everywhere, and again after
+ * {@code leadRollover:} was added (fleetd #480).</strong>
+ * {@code FleetConfig} has 26 top-level record components: 5 cold, 13 deferred, 3 split, 5
+ * hot-excluded. Five of them are named nowhere in this file, and the reason is the same for all
+ * five: {@code placement}, {@code memberCredentials}, {@code memberLoginShell}, {@code models} and
+ * {@code leadRollover} are <strong>hot</strong> and correctly absent — all five are read live off
+ * {@code config.get()} (placement through the {@code CompositePeerLauncher} supplier the Hot bullet
+ * names; {@code memberCredentials}/{@code memberLoginShell} at spawn time, {@code Fleetd.java:198,
+ * 205, 729} and {@code HerdrPeerLauncher#configuredMemberLoginShell}; {@code models} the same way,
+ * through the Hot bullet's {@code models:} paragraph; {@code leadRollover} through the Hot bullet's
+ * {@code leadRollover:} paragraph), so a reload takes effect on the next spawn (or, for
+ * {@code models}, the next reported status; for {@code leadRollover}, the next {@code open()}/
+ * {@code confirm()} call) with no entry needed here.
  * {@code health} and {@code coordinator} used to be a third kind — <strong>undecided</strong>, not
  * hot — until fleetd #330 added the <strong>split</strong> class above and gave them a home. A
  * reload touching either used to report a bare "config reloaded", which under-claimed; now it names
@@ -173,6 +230,24 @@ import java.util.function.Supplier;
  * <p>A reload that fails to parse or fails validation is also refused, and the previous config keeps
  * running. A config file being edited is normally read once mid-save; degrading a working daemon
  * because it caught a half-written file would be a bad trade.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #474</strong> — {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()} is not the only gate startup
+ * runs before a config takes effect: {@code Fleetd.main} also calls {@code
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.CharterToolSurface#assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}, right after {@code
+ * cfg.validateAll()}, to refuse a charter that names an MCP tool the server does not register. That
+ * check cannot live inside {@link FleetConfig} — {@code CharterToolSurface} lives in the {@code mcp}
+ * package because the canonical tool set ({@code FleetTool}) does, and config is loaded before the
+ * MCP server exists, so {@code FleetConfig} must not gain a dependency on {@code mcp}. {@link
+ * #reload} cannot import {@code mcp} either, for the same reason applied one layer up: {@code
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.config} is loaded before {@code dev.ltms.fleet.mcp} exists, same as {@code
+ * FleetConfig}. So this class accepts the check as a {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>} —
+ * {@link #extraValidation} — supplied by whichever caller already sits at the seam that holds both
+ * a loaded {@code FleetConfig} and the {@code mcp} package: {@code Fleetd.main}. It is invoked
+ * inside the same try/catch as {@code fresh.validateAll()}, so a charter that would have refused to
+ * boot refuses a reload too, and keeps the running config exactly like any other {@code
+ * validateAll()} failure. A ref built through the two-argument constructor (every test fixture that
+ * does not care about this check, and {@link #fixed}) gets a no-op consumer, so nothing outside
+ * {@code Fleetd.main} needs to know this hook exists.
  */
 public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
 
@@ -211,16 +286,33 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
      * read {@link #COLD_KEYS} and {@link #SPLIT_KEYS}.
      */
     static final Set<String> DEFERRED_KEYS = Set.of(
-            "guard", "worktreeRoot", "worktreeGroup", "primary", "configReload",
+            "guard", "worktreeRoot", "worktreeGroup", "memberSkills", "primary", "configReload",
             "leadHeartbeat", "lifecycle", "spawnReadyTimeoutMs", "spawnReadyPollMs",
-            "quarantineCooldownSeconds", "profiles");
+            "quarantineCooldownSeconds", "profiles", "idleSleepGuard");
 
     private final Path path;
     private final AtomicReference<FleetConfig> current;
+    private final Consumer<FleetConfig> extraValidation;
 
+    /** Equivalent to the three-argument constructor with a no-op {@code extraValidation}. */
     public ConfigRef(Path path, FleetConfig initial) {
+        this(path, initial, cfg -> { });
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param extraValidation run on every {@link #reload} candidate, inside the same try/catch as
+     *                        {@code fresh.validateAll()} — see the class doc's fleetd #474 note.
+     *                        {@code Fleetd.main} passes {@code
+     *                        Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools} (a package-private
+     *                        {@code FleetConfig -> void} adapter over {@code
+     *                        CharterToolSurface#assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}), so a reload
+     *                        runs the same gate startup does without this class depending on the
+     *                        {@code mcp} package.
+     */
+    public ConfigRef(Path path, FleetConfig initial, Consumer<FleetConfig> extraValidation) {
         this.path = path;
         this.current = new AtomicReference<>(Objects.requireNonNull(initial, "initial config"));
+        this.extraValidation = Objects.requireNonNull(extraValidation, "extraValidation");
     }
 
     /** A fixed reference that never reloads — for tests and for wiring built from a config in code. */
@@ -316,12 +408,18 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
             fresh = FleetConfig.load(path);
             // The same gate startup runs. A config that would have refused to boot must not be able
             // to slip in through a reload — that is how a daemon ends up in a state it could never
-            // have started in, which is the hardest kind to debug.
-            fresh.validateAuthExposure();
-            fresh.validateLeadTabPrefixes();
-            fresh.validateSubscriptionProfiles();
-            fresh.validateCharters();
-            fresh.validateMembers();
+            // have started in, which is the hardest kind to debug. fleetd ticket "central allow-list
+            // of usable models" follow-up: this used to be six individual validateXxx() calls, and
+            // mutation testing found two of the six unpinned here even though startup pinned nothing
+            // at all — see FleetConfig#validateAll's javadoc for why the fix is one reflective call,
+            // not a longer hand-maintained list.
+            fresh.validateAll();
+            // fleetd #474: validateAll() does not cover everything startup refuses on — the charter
+            // tool-surface check (Fleetd.main, right after cfg.validateAll()) lives outside
+            // FleetConfig on purpose (see this class's doc) and is supplied here as extraValidation.
+            // Same try/catch as validateAll() above, on purpose: either failure must refuse the whole
+            // reload and keep the running config the same way.
+            extraValidation.accept(fresh);
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
             String msg = e.getMessage() == null ? e.toString() : e.getMessage();
             log.warn("config reload from {} refused, keeping the running config: {}", path, msg);
@@ -402,6 +500,13 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
         if (!Objects.equals(old.worktreeGroup(), fresh.worktreeGroup())) {
             changed.add("worktreeGroup");
         }
+        // fleetd #362: baked into the same GitWorktrees as worktreeRoot/worktreeGroup
+        // (Fleetd.java:251) and never rebuilt either — a reload that changes only memberSkills
+        // must be reported the same way, or a newly provisioned worktree keeps seeding from (or
+        // skipping) the old source directory with nothing telling the operator why.
+        if (!Objects.equals(old.memberSkills(), fresh.memberSkills())) {
+            changed.add("memberSkills");
+        }
         // fleetd #326: Fleetd.java:506, 519, 520 read cfg.primary() only off the startup snapshot
         // (PrimaryRegistry's pinned terminal, ReplyPushLoop's reminder cap and backoff) — neither is
         // rebuilt on reload, so a changed value needs a restart. Note what it does NOT mean:
@@ -418,6 +523,14 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
         if (!Objects.equals(old.configReload(), fresh.configReload())) {
             changed.add("configReload");
         }
+        // Fleetd.java reads cfg.idleSleepGuard() once, at startup, to decide whether to construct
+        // an IdleSleepGuard at all and wire SessionManager's onAcquire/onRelease hooks to it —
+        // neither is rebuilt on reload, so a running daemon keeps whatever this was at startup
+        // (armed or not) regardless of a later edit here. Not cold: nothing already-open goes
+        // inconsistent with the new value, an armed-or-not guard just keeps its original answer.
+        if (!Objects.equals(old.idleSleepGuard(), fresh.idleSleepGuard())) {
+            changed.add("idleSleepGuard");
+        }
         if (!Objects.equals(old.spawnReadyTimeoutMs(), fresh.spawnReadyTimeoutMs())
                 || !Objects.equals(old.spawnReadyPollMs(), fresh.spawnReadyPollMs())) {
             changed.add("spawnReady*");
@@ -492,26 +605,35 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
                     + "opened once and needs a restart; the broker URI env-var name kept out of a "
                     + "member's environment is read live on every spawn and already applied");
         }
-        // fleetd #333: unlike health/coordinator above, most of `fleet:` (architects, developers,
-        // reviewers, charters, tabLabel) is genuinely hot — ConfigRefTest.aHotChangeIsAppliedAndRead-
+        // fleetd #333: unlike health/coordinator above, most of `fleet:` (developers, reviewers,
+        // charters, tabLabel) is genuinely hot — ConfigRefTest.aHotChangeIsAppliedAndRead-
         // ThroughGet and aCharterChangeIsHotAndReachesTheLiveConfig prove it reaches the live config
-        // with no restart note. Only fleet.leaders is frozen (Fleetd.java:281 reads
-        // cfg.fleet().leaders() off the startup snapshot to build both the LeadTabScanner's
-        // tab-label-to-name map, wired into CallerResolver.withLeadsAndMembers at Fleetd.java:620/624,
-        // and — when herdr answered — LeadLauncher(...).ensureLeads() at Fleetd.java:315, which
-        // auto-launches each lead up to its `instances` count; neither is rebuilt on reload). So this
-        // compares fleet.leaders alone, not the whole Fleet record: comparing the whole record would
-        // report "split" for a tabLabel-only or charters-only change that is actually fully hot,
-        // which is the over-claim mirror of the under-claim bug this class exists to prevent.
+        // with no restart note. `architects` is hot too, and — since fleetd #424 — hot for BOTH of
+        // its consumers, not just the one this comment used to name: CompositePeerLauncher reads it
+        // live for PLACEMENT through the () -> config.get().fleet() supplier named in the class doc's
+        // Hot bullet, and MemberRegistry separately reads it live for IDENTITY (which slot a spawn
+        // may bind to, AND what a slot already bound still grants) through its own instance of that
+        // same supplier shape — see MemberRegistry.live and its class doc for the binding rule:
+        // removing a slot revokes ARCHITECT on the bound pane's very next request, and only the slot
+        // OCCUPANCY survives, so the demoted session keeps its slot key until it unbinds. Only
+        // fleet.leaders is frozen (Fleetd.java:281 reads cfg.fleet().leaders() off the startup
+        // snapshot to build both the LeadTabScanner's tab-label-to-name map, wired into
+        // CallerResolver.withLeadsAndMembers at Fleetd.java:620/624, and — when herdr answered —
+        // LeadLauncher(...).ensureLeads() at Fleetd.java:315, which auto-launches each lead up to its
+        // `instances` count; neither is rebuilt on reload). So this compares fleet.leaders alone, not
+        // the whole Fleet record: comparing the whole record would report "split" for a tabLabel-only
+        // or architects-only change that is actually fully hot, which is the over-claim mirror of the
+        // under-claim bug this class exists to prevent.
         if (!Objects.equals(leadersOf(old), leadersOf(fresh))) {
             changed.add("fleet: fleet.leaders (each lead's tab, workspace, cwd, profile and "
                     + "instances count) is read once at startup to build the LeadTabScanner's "
                     + "identity map and to auto-launch leads, and neither is rebuilt on reload, so a "
                     + "lead added, removed, or given a new tab: label needs a restart — until then it "
                     + "stays unrecognised, and a caller from its new tab resolves as a worker, not a "
-                    + "lead; the rest of fleet: (architects, developers, reviewers, charters, "
-                    + "tabLabel) is read live through the supplier on CompositePeerLauncher and "
-                    + "already applied");
+                    + "lead; the rest of fleet: (developers, reviewers, charters, tabLabel) is read "
+                    + "live through the supplier on CompositePeerLauncher, and architects is read "
+                    + "live through that same supplier for placement AND through a separate supplier "
+                    + "on MemberRegistry for spawn-time identity — both already applied");
         }
         // Kept in step with SPLIT_KEYS the same way changedColdKeys is kept in step with COLD_KEYS —
         // every message here must be traceable to one of the split keys the class doc documents.
@@ -533,12 +655,16 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
      * {@link #sameLaunchSettings} because they are read <em>live</em>, not baked in at spawn — see
      * the class doc's <em>Hot</em> bullet. {@code weight} and {@code maxLoad} are read live by the
      * placement policy on every spawn; {@code credentialId} is read live by
-     * {@code CompositePeerLauncher} and the CB-578 stage B exhaustion sink. Nothing else is
+     * {@code CompositePeerLauncher} and the CB-578 stage B exhaustion sink; {@code exhaustedPattern}
+     * (fleetd #446) is read live, cached by profile name, by {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns} — see
+     * that class's doc and the class doc's <em>Hot</em> bullet for the history (it used to be
+     * compared here, deferred, like its sibling {@code errorPattern} still is). Nothing else is
      * excluded — see {@code sameLaunchSettingsComparesEveryProfileComponentOrExcludesIt} in
      * {@code ConfigRefProfileCoverageTest}, which enumerates every {@code Profile} record component
      * by reflection and fails the build if one is neither compared below nor named here.
      */
-    static final Set<String> LAUNCH_SETTINGS_EXCLUDED = Set.of("weight", "maxLoad", "credentialId");
+    static final Set<String> LAUNCH_SETTINGS_EXCLUDED =
+            Set.of("weight", "maxLoad", "credentialId", "exhaustedPattern");
 
     /**
      * Whether two versions of a profile would launch a peer identically.
@@ -575,13 +701,15 @@ public final class ConfigRef implements Supplier<FleetConfig> {
                 && Objects.equals(a.kind(), b.kind())
                 && Objects.equals(a.env(), b.env())
                 && Objects.equals(a.subscription(), b.subscription())
-                // CB-578 stage B: exhaustedPattern is compiled once into Fleetd.main's pattern map
-                // at startup (see ExhaustedPatternLookup wiring) — a reload never re-reads it, so a
-                // changed pattern must be reported as deferred, exactly like model/baseUrl/argv.
-                && Objects.equals(a.exhaustedPattern(), b.exhaustedPattern())
+                // fleetd #446: exhaustedPattern moved to LAUNCH_SETTINGS_EXCLUDED — it is now read
+                // live, cached by profile name, through LiveExhaustedPatterns (see that class's doc
+                // and ConfigRef's class doc Hot bullet), so it must NOT be compared here any more: a
+                // reload that changes only exhaustedPattern must report "config reloaded", not
+                // "these changes need a restart".
                 // fleetd #201 Unit 5: errorPattern is compiled once into Fleetd.main's backend-error
-                // pattern map at startup (see BackendErrorPatternLookup wiring), the same way
-                // exhaustedPattern is — a reload never re-reads it either.
+                // pattern map at startup (see BackendErrorPatternLookup wiring) — unlike its sibling
+                // exhaustedPattern above (fleetd #446), a reload still never re-reads it; fleetd #446
+                // scoped errorPattern out on purpose (see the class doc's Hot bullet).
                 && Objects.equals(a.errorPattern(), b.errorPattern())
                 // fleetd #323 instance 1: ideProjectDir and ideOpenCommand are read at spawn off the
                 // same frozen profile map as ideMcpUrl above (ClaudeCodeLauncher.java:267/269,

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/FleetConfig.java

@@ -16,11 +16,15 @@ import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
 import java.io.IOException;
 import java.io.UncheckedIOException;
+import java.lang.reflect.InvocationTargetException;
+import java.lang.reflect.Method;
+import java.lang.reflect.Modifier;
 import java.nio.file.Files;
 import java.nio.file.Path;
 import java.util.ArrayList;
 import java.util.Arrays;
 import java.util.Collections;
+import java.util.Comparator;
 import java.util.HashSet;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
 import java.util.List;
@@ -66,12 +70,14 @@ import java.util.regex.PatternSyntaxException;
  *                      {@code fixed} (default), {@code round-robin}, or {@code weighted}
  * @param auth          API authentication mode ({@code null} → {@code loopback-trust}, the
  *                      historical behaviour), CB-501
- * @param quarantineCooldownSeconds  how long a credential stays quarantined after a
+ * @param quarantineCooldownSeconds  the BASE cooldown a credential is quarantined for after a
  *                      {@code BACKEND_EXHAUSTED} classification (CB-578 stage B); {@code null}/{@code
- *                      <=0} → {@link #DEFAULT_QUARANTINE_COOLDOWN_SECONDS}. Baked once into the
- *                      {@code BackendQuarantine} built at startup, so it is DEFERRED: changing it
- *                      needs a restart, and a quarantine already running keeps whatever cooldown was
- *                      live when it started.
+ *                      <=0} → {@link #DEFAULT_QUARANTINE_COOLDOWN_SECONDS}. Since fleetd #466 this is
+ *                      only the first occurrence's length — a credential quarantined again shortly
+ *                      after this cooldown ends backs off further, up to a ceiling; see {@code
+ *                      BackendQuarantine}'s class doc. Baked once into the {@code BackendQuarantine}
+ *                      built at startup, so it is DEFERRED: changing it needs a restart, and a
+ *                      quarantine already running keeps whatever cooldown was live when it started.
  * @param memberCredentials deny-by-default policy (CB-596) for which of the operator's own host
  *                      credentials a spawned member's pane inherits. {@code null} (the block
  *                      omitted) blocks nothing — see {@link MemberCredentials}.
@@ -106,6 +112,36 @@ import java.util.regex.PatternSyntaxException;
  *                      When {@code memberHerdrSocket} is NOT configured this field is never
  *                      consulted at all; fleetd keeps reading its own {@code $SHELL}, exactly as
  *                      before this field existed.
+ * @param memberSkills  fleetd #362: nullable directory of skill folders (each a subdirectory
+ *                      holding a {@code SKILL.md}, the same shape as this repo's own {@code
+ *                      .claude/skills/}) copied into every provisioned worktree's {@code
+ *                      .claude/skills/}, so a member spawned against ANY repo — not only one that
+ *                      already ships its own copy — can load a bridge skill such as {@code
+ *                      implementer}. {@code null}/blank ⇒ off: no worktree is touched beyond
+ *                      today's behaviour. A skill folder the target repo already carries is never
+ *                      overwritten — see {@link dev.ltms.fleet.session.GitWorktrees}. Claude Code
+ *                      members only; an opencode member's equivalent lives under a different path
+ *                      ({@code .opencode/agent}) and is not covered by this key. Every non-hidden
+ *                      subdirectory of this directory is copied wholesale, with no per-file
+ *                      allowlist — do not park scratch files or drafts alongside the real skill
+ *                      folders, they will be copied into every provisioned worktree too.
+ * @param idleSleepGuard opt-in-by-default: hold an OS-level assertion against idle sleep while at
+ *                      least one member is live, so an unattended host does not sleep out from
+ *                      under a member's long turn. {@code null} (the block omitted) behaves the
+ *                      same as an explicit {@code enabled: true}; set {@code enabled: false} to
+ *                      turn it off. See {@link dev.ltms.fleet.power.IdleSleepGuard}.
+ * @param models        central allow-list of models any {@code profiles:} entry may name. {@code
+ *                      null} or an empty {@code allow:} ⇒ off: {@link #validateModels()} checks
+ *                      nothing and every existing config keeps working exactly as it does today.
+ *                      When non-empty, a profile whose {@code model:} is not one of {@link
+ *                      Models#ids()} fails config load, naming both the model and the profile —
+ *                      see {@link #validateModels()}. This block decides what may be CONFIGURED;
+ *                      fleetd #422 added the separate on/off question — whether a configured model
+ *                      may be spawned onto RIGHT NOW ({@link Models.ModelEntry#enabled}) — enforced
+ *                      live at spawn by {@code CompositePeerLauncher}, not here. See {@link Models}.
+ * @param leadRollover  opt-in lead rollover (fleetd #480): {@code null} ⇒ off, and no
+ *                      {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover} is constructed at all — an upgraded
+ *                      daemon never clears a lead's pane on its own initiative. See {@link LeadRollover}.
  */
 @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
 public record FleetConfig(
@@ -130,7 +166,68 @@ public record FleetConfig(
         MemberCredentials memberCredentials,
         Coordinator coordinator,
         String worktreeGroup,
-        String memberLoginShell) {
+        String memberLoginShell,
+        String memberSkills,
+        IdleSleepGuard idleSleepGuard,
+        Models models,
+        LeadRollover leadRollover) {
+
+    /** Back-compat form before the {@code leadRollover:} block was added. */
+    public FleetConfig(Bind bind, String herdrSocket, String memberHerdrSocket, Map<String, Profile> profiles,
+                         Guard guard, String worktreeRoot, Lifecycle lifecycle, Integer spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                         Integer spawnReadyPollMs, Broker broker, Primary primary, Fleet fleet,
+                         LeadHeartbeat leadHeartbeat, Health health, String placement, Auth auth,
+                         ConfigReload configReload, Integer quarantineCooldownSeconds,
+                         MemberCredentials memberCredentials, Coordinator coordinator, String worktreeGroup,
+                         String memberLoginShell, String memberSkills, IdleSleepGuard idleSleepGuard,
+                         Models models) {
+        this(bind, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, guard, worktreeRoot, lifecycle, spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                spawnReadyPollMs, broker, primary, fleet, leadHeartbeat, health, placement, auth,
+                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup,
+                memberLoginShell, memberSkills, idleSleepGuard, models, null);
+    }
+
+    /** Back-compat form before the {@code models:} block was added. */
+    public FleetConfig(Bind bind, String herdrSocket, String memberHerdrSocket, Map<String, Profile> profiles,
+                         Guard guard, String worktreeRoot, Lifecycle lifecycle, Integer spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                         Integer spawnReadyPollMs, Broker broker, Primary primary, Fleet fleet,
+                         LeadHeartbeat leadHeartbeat, Health health, String placement, Auth auth,
+                         ConfigReload configReload, Integer quarantineCooldownSeconds,
+                         MemberCredentials memberCredentials, Coordinator coordinator, String worktreeGroup,
+                         String memberLoginShell, String memberSkills, IdleSleepGuard idleSleepGuard) {
+        this(bind, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, guard, worktreeRoot, lifecycle, spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                spawnReadyPollMs, broker, primary, fleet, leadHeartbeat, health, placement, auth,
+                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup,
+                memberLoginShell, memberSkills, idleSleepGuard, null);
+    }
+
+    /** Back-compat form before the {@code idleSleepGuard:} block was added. */
+    public FleetConfig(Bind bind, String herdrSocket, String memberHerdrSocket, Map<String, Profile> profiles,
+                         Guard guard, String worktreeRoot, Lifecycle lifecycle, Integer spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                         Integer spawnReadyPollMs, Broker broker, Primary primary, Fleet fleet,
+                         LeadHeartbeat leadHeartbeat, Health health, String placement, Auth auth,
+                         ConfigReload configReload, Integer quarantineCooldownSeconds,
+                         MemberCredentials memberCredentials, Coordinator coordinator, String worktreeGroup,
+                         String memberLoginShell, String memberSkills) {
+        this(bind, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, guard, worktreeRoot, lifecycle, spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                spawnReadyPollMs, broker, primary, fleet, leadHeartbeat, health, placement, auth,
+                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup,
+                memberLoginShell, memberSkills, null);
+    }
+
+    /** Back-compat form before the {@code memberSkills} key was added. */
+    public FleetConfig(Bind bind, String herdrSocket, String memberHerdrSocket, Map<String, Profile> profiles,
+                         Guard guard, String worktreeRoot, Lifecycle lifecycle, Integer spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                         Integer spawnReadyPollMs, Broker broker, Primary primary, Fleet fleet,
+                         LeadHeartbeat leadHeartbeat, Health health, String placement, Auth auth,
+                         ConfigReload configReload, Integer quarantineCooldownSeconds,
+                         MemberCredentials memberCredentials, Coordinator coordinator, String worktreeGroup,
+                         String memberLoginShell) {
+        this(bind, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, guard, worktreeRoot, lifecycle, spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
+                spawnReadyPollMs, broker, primary, fleet, leadHeartbeat, health, placement, auth,
+                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup,
+                memberLoginShell, null, null);
+    }
 
     /** Back-compat form before the {@code memberLoginShell} key was added. */
     public FleetConfig(Bind bind, String herdrSocket, String memberHerdrSocket, Map<String, Profile> profiles,
@@ -141,7 +238,7 @@ public record FleetConfig(
                          MemberCredentials memberCredentials, Coordinator coordinator, String worktreeGroup) {
         this(bind, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, guard, worktreeRoot, lifecycle, spawnReadyTimeoutMs,
                 spawnReadyPollMs, broker, primary, fleet, leadHeartbeat, health, placement, auth,
-                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup, null);
+                configReload, quarantineCooldownSeconds, memberCredentials, coordinator, worktreeGroup, null, null);
     }
 
     /** Back-compat form before the {@code worktreeGroup} key was added. */
@@ -348,6 +445,12 @@ public record FleetConfig(
      *                       {@code null}/blank ⇒ the classification never fires for this profile and
      *                       today's completion-fallback behaviour is unchanged. Every backend words
      *                       its refusal differently, so this is config, never a vendor string in code.
+     *                       Read live off the current config through {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns},
+     *                       cached by profile name (fleetd #446), so it is HOT: an operator can arm
+     *                       or disarm this profile's usage-limit detection by editing this key and
+     *                       reloading, with no restart. Before fleetd #446 this was compiled once at
+     *                       daemon startup, the same deferred shape its sibling {@code errorPattern}
+     *                       (below) still has.
      * @param credentialId   the shared account this profile authenticates as (CB-578 stage B). Two
      *                       or more profiles setting the <em>same</em> non-blank value are quarantined
      *                       together by one {@code exhaustedPattern} classification on any one of
@@ -888,12 +991,18 @@ public record FleetConfig(
      *                 {@code null} ⇒ kept as {@code null} (no self id configured).
      * @param prefetch the consumer's {@code basicQos} prefetch count. {@code null}/non-positive ⇒
      *                 {@link LeadMailbox#DEFAULT_PREFETCH}.
+     * @param peers    fleetd #361: the coord-ids the operator declares as this daemon's peers — the
+     *                 daemon never guesses who else exists. {@code fleet_list} reports each one's
+     *                 live reachability. Blank entries are dropped; {@code null} ⇒ an empty list, so
+     *                 a config written before this field existed still parses unchanged.
      */
     @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
-    public record Coordinator(String uri, String uriEnv, String selfId, Integer prefetch) {
+    public record Coordinator(String uri, String uriEnv, String selfId, Integer prefetch, List<String> peers) {
 
         public Coordinator {
             selfId = (selfId == null || selfId.isBlank()) ? null : selfId;
+            peers = peers == null ? List.of()
+                    : peers.stream().filter(p -> p != null && !p.isBlank()).toList();
         }
 
         /** True when a {@code uriEnv} is configured by name, whether or not its variable resolves. */
@@ -1220,6 +1329,104 @@ public record FleetConfig(
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Opt-in lead rollover (fleetd #480): a lead that decides it is ready to be replaced writes a
+     * handover file, then asks fleetd to clear its own pane and bootstrap a fresh session against
+     * that file. Config + a pure decision/verification layer only — see
+     * {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover} for the executor this block feeds, and
+     * {@code fleet_*} tool wiring is a later ticket.
+     *
+     * <p>Deliberately opt-in ({@code null} ⇒ off, exactly like {@code leadHeartbeat:}): absent this
+     * block, {@code Fleetd.java} never constructs a {@code LeadRollover} object at all, so an
+     * upgraded daemon cannot silently acquire the ability to clear the lead's own pane. Even once
+     * present, nothing but an explicit {@code confirm()} call can ever roll a pane — there is no
+     * timer, heartbeat or timeout anywhere in this feature that fires one on its own; see that
+     * class's javadoc.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Hot, not deferred</strong> (see {@code ConfigRef}'s class doc): every field below
+     * is read live, through a {@code Supplier<LeadRollover>} the same {@code () -> config.get().x()}
+     * shape {@code fleet}/{@code placement}/{@code models} already use, so an edit to any of the
+     * six fields takes effect on the very next {@code open()}/{@code confirm()} call once the block
+     * has been present since startup — nothing here is captured into a frozen field the way {@code
+     * leadHeartbeat}'s {@code idleAfterNanos}/{@code backoffMs}/{@code quietNudgeCap} are. The one
+     * restart-only edge left is structural, not a stale value: {@code Fleetd.java} decides whether
+     * to construct the {@code LeadRollover} object at all off the startup snapshot, the same gate
+     * {@code leadHeartbeat:} uses, so a block ADDED where it was absent at boot needs a restart
+     * before anything exists to call — the same fact already true of adding a brand-new
+     * {@code profiles:} entry.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>{@code turnSettleSeconds} (fleetd #480 correction):</strong> {@code confirm()} is
+     * called FROM the calling lead's own turn, so its pane is still {@code WORKING} the instant
+     * {@code confirm()} validates every gate and schedules the roll. {@code
+     * dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover}'s deferred continuation waits up to this many seconds for
+     * that SAME pane to report an injectable state again — i.e. for the calling turn to actually
+     * end — before it sends {@code /clear} at all. If that wait times out, no {@code /clear} is
+     * ever sent: a lead that never goes idle is still doing real work, and clearing it would
+     * destroy live context. This is a separate wait from {@code clearSettleSeconds} below, which
+     * bounds the SECOND wait, for the pane to re-settle AFTER {@code /clear} has already gone out.
+     *
+     * @param handoverPath required when this block is present — where the handover file a fresh
+     *                     lead session reads must live. There is no sane non-null default for an
+     *                     operator-specific path, so a present block with a {@code null}/blank
+     *                     {@code handoverPath} is refused at config load; see
+     *                     {@link #validateLeadRollover()}. May be relative: {@code
+     *                     dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover#open} resolves a relative path against
+     *                     the CALLING lead's configured {@code fleet.leaders.<name>.cwd}, falling
+     *                     back to the daemon's own working directory ({@code
+     *                     System.getProperty("user.dir")}) when that lead has none configured —
+     *                     never against whatever directory the daemon process happens to have been
+     *                     started in for its own sake. An absolute path is used unchanged.
+     * @param requireOperatorConfirm default {@code true} — {@code confirm()} refuses unless the
+     *                     caller also passes {@code operatorConfirmed: true}. Set {@code false} to
+     *                     let the three handover-file checks alone gate the roll.
+     * @param maxDocAgeSeconds default 3600 — refuse a handover file whose modified time is older
+     *                     than this many seconds, so a stale leftover from an earlier rollover
+     *                     attempt can never be mistaken for a fresh one.
+     * @param turnSettleSeconds default 20 — bound on how long the deferred roll waits for the
+     *                     CALLING lead's own turn to end (its pane to report injectable again)
+     *                     before sending {@code /clear} at all. See the paragraph above.
+     * @param clearSettleSeconds default 20 — bound on how long to wait for the lead's pane to
+     *                     report an injectable state again after {@code /clear} before giving up. A
+     *                     roll that times out here never sends {@code bootstrapText}.
+     * @param bootstrapText default a sentence naming the RESOLVED handover path — sent to the
+     *                     lead's pane once it settles after {@code /clear}, telling the fresh
+     *                     session where to read the handover and carry on. Left {@code null} here
+     *                     when the operator configures none: the default sentence cannot be built
+     *                     at construction time because it must name the path AFTER {@code
+     *                     dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover#open} has resolved a relative {@code
+     *                     handoverPath} against the calling lead's workspace, which this record has
+     *                     no way to know — see {@link #bootstrapTextFor(String)}.
+     */
+    @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
+    public record LeadRollover(String handoverPath, Boolean requireOperatorConfirm,
+                                Integer maxDocAgeSeconds, Integer turnSettleSeconds,
+                                Integer clearSettleSeconds, String bootstrapText) {
+        public LeadRollover {
+            requireOperatorConfirm = requireOperatorConfirm == null || requireOperatorConfirm;
+            maxDocAgeSeconds = (maxDocAgeSeconds == null || maxDocAgeSeconds <= 0) ? 3600 : maxDocAgeSeconds;
+            turnSettleSeconds = (turnSettleSeconds == null || turnSettleSeconds <= 0) ? 20 : turnSettleSeconds;
+            clearSettleSeconds = (clearSettleSeconds == null || clearSettleSeconds <= 0) ? 20 : clearSettleSeconds;
+            bootstrapText = (bootstrapText == null || bootstrapText.isBlank()) ? null : bootstrapText;
+        }
+
+        /**
+         * The text actually sent to the lead's pane once it settles after {@code /clear}: the
+         * operator's configured {@link #bootstrapText} when one is set, otherwise the default
+         * sentence built from {@code resolvedHandoverPath}.
+         *
+         * @param resolvedHandoverPath the ABSOLUTE path {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover
+         *                              #open} already resolved — never the raw configured {@link
+         *                              #handoverPath}, which may still be relative and would name a
+         *                              directory the fresh lead session's own pane cannot resolve
+         */
+        public String bootstrapTextFor(String resolvedHandoverPath) {
+            return bootstrapText != null
+                    ? bootstrapText
+                    : "Fresh lead session: read the handover file at " + resolvedHandoverPath
+                        + " and carry on from there.";
+        }
+    }
+
     /**
      * Watch {@code fleetd.yaml} and re-read it when it changes (CB-559).
      *
@@ -1245,6 +1452,145 @@ public record FleetConfig(
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Hold an OS-level assertion against idle sleep while at least one member is live (see
+     * {@link dev.ltms.fleet.power.IdleSleepGuard}).
+     *
+     * <p>Unlike most opt-in blocks in this file, this one defaults to <em>on</em>: an unattended
+     * host idle-sleeping mid-turn is a correctness problem (a dropped AMQP link, a frozen member),
+     * not a convenience, so the safer default is armed. An operator who wants the previous
+     * behaviour (no assertion held, ever) sets {@code enabled: false} explicitly.
+     *
+     * @param enabled {@code false} turns the guard off; {@code null} (the block omitted
+     *                entirely) or {@code true} leaves it on
+     */
+    @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
+    public record IdleSleepGuard(Boolean enabled) {
+        public boolean isEnabled() {
+            return !Boolean.FALSE.equals(enabled);
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Central allow-list of models any {@code profiles:} entry may name (fleetd ticket: "a central
+     * allow-list of usable models"). Nothing before this block checked a profile's {@code model:}
+     * against anything — it was a free-form string handed straight to the backend adapter, and a
+     * withdrawn or misspelled name failed silently (opencode falls back to a default model rather
+     * than erroring on an unknown {@code -m}) rather than at config load, where a mistake is cheap.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Absent or empty {@code allow:} is "off"</b>, on purpose: this is a large deployment
+     * with gitignored {@code fleetd.yaml} on more than one host, and a change that forced every
+     * operator to enumerate their models before the daemon would start would break every one of
+     * them on upgrade. See {@link FleetConfig#validateModels()}, which is where the allow-list is
+     * actually enforced, at config load.
+     *
+     * <p><b>The list is the authority; a {@code profiles:} entry is checked against it, never the
+     * other way around.</b> Adding or editing a {@code profiles:} entry cannot, by itself, widen
+     * the set of permitted models — only editing {@code models.allow:} itself can. This is the
+     * invariant the ticket asked for: the two blocks are validated in one direction only.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Spawn-time enforcement (fleetd #422, units 2+3) lives outside this record</b> —
+     * {@code CompositePeerLauncher.enforceModelEnabled} and its candidate-set filter read this
+     * block LIVE (through the same kind of supplier {@code weight}/{@code maxLoad} already use),
+     * so the on/off state below is hot: no restart needed. This block itself still only decides
+     * what may be CONFIGURED (membership in {@link #allow}); {@link ModelEntry#enabled} decides
+     * whether a member of that list is currently spawnable. The two questions are deliberately
+     * separate — see {@link ModelEntry}'s javadoc for why turning a model off must never mean
+     * removing it from {@link #allow}.
+     *
+     * @param allow the permitted models, each its own {@link ModelEntry} rather than a bare
+     *              string — see that record's javadoc for why. {@code null}/empty ⇒ the block is
+     *              treated as absent: {@link FleetConfig#validateModels()} checks nothing.
+     */
+    @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
+    public record Models(List<ModelEntry> allow) {
+
+        public Models {
+            allow = (allow == null) ? List.of() : List.copyOf(allow);
+        }
+
+        /**
+         * One permitted model, named as a record rather than a bare string on purpose: this ticket
+         * (fleetd #422) is the "later unit" the original comment here predicted — it hangs an on/off
+         * state ({@link #enabled}) off each entry, and a bare {@code List<String>} could not have
+         * grown that field without changing the YAML shape underneath every operator who already
+         * wrote one. {@link #model()} is intentionally a single flat, opaque-string namespace — a
+         * bare Claude id ({@code claude-sonnet-5}) and an opencode provider-prefixed id
+         * ({@code openai/gpt-5.6-terra}) both fit it unchanged, because {@link
+         * FleetConfig#validateModels()} only ever compares a profile's {@code model:} value against
+         * this string for exact equality; it never parses a provider prefix or branches on a
+         * profile's {@code kind:}.
+         *
+         * @param model   the model id exactly as a {@code profiles:} entry's {@code model:} field
+         *                would name it
+         * @param enabled {@code false} turns spawning onto this model off; {@code null} (the field
+         *                omitted — every config written before fleetd #422 is this shape) or
+         *                {@code true} leaves it on. Turning a model off must NEVER remove it from
+         *                {@link Models#allow} — {@link FleetConfig#validateModels()} checks
+         *                <em>membership</em> only, never the on/off state, so an off entry stays a
+         *                valid thing for a {@code profiles:} entry to name; only
+         *                {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s spawn-time gate reads {@link #enabled}.
+         *                Collapsing the two — turning a model off by deleting its {@code allow:}
+         *                entry — would make {@link FleetConfig#validateModels()} refuse the whole
+         *                config reload the moment a still-configured profile names it, which is
+         *                exactly the restart-to-flip-a-switch problem this field exists to avoid.
+         *                <p>A model id can be named by more than one {@code profiles:} entry (e.g.
+         *                {@code deepseek-v4-flash} backs both {@code local} and {@code
+         *                local-direct} in the live config) — turning it off disables every profile
+         *                that names it, on purpose: the model is what a subscription's rate limit
+         *                actually constrains, not any one profile alias for it.
+         */
+        @JsonIgnoreProperties(ignoreUnknown = true)
+        public record ModelEntry(String model, Boolean enabled) {
+            public ModelEntry {
+                model = (model == null || model.isBlank()) ? null : model.trim();
+            }
+
+            /**
+             * Back-compat form before {@link #enabled} was added (fleetd #422) — the model is
+             * unconditionally on, exactly as every {@code ModelEntry} behaved before this field
+             * existed. Keeps pre-#422 call sites (and any YAML that omits {@code enabled:})
+             * compiling and behaving identically.
+             */
+            public ModelEntry(String model) {
+                this(model, null);
+            }
+
+            /** {@code true} unless {@link #enabled} is explicitly {@code false} — absent means on. */
+            public boolean isEnabled() {
+                return !Boolean.FALSE.equals(enabled);
+            }
+        }
+
+        /** {@link #allow}'s model ids, as a set for membership checks. Blank/null entries are dropped. */
+        public Set<String> ids() {
+            Set<String> ids = new java.util.LinkedHashSet<>();
+            for (ModelEntry e : allow) {
+                if (e != null && e.model() != null) {
+                    ids.add(e.model());
+                }
+            }
+            return Collections.unmodifiableSet(ids);
+        }
+
+        /**
+         * Model ids currently turned off (fleetd #422: {@link ModelEntry#isEnabled()} {@code
+         * false}). Read live by {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s spawn gate and by {@code
+         * fleet_profiles}/{@code GET /profiles} — both must read this same accessor off the same
+         * live config so the two surfaces cannot disagree about which model is off (the fleetd
+         * #404 lesson: a status field must read the source the behaviour reads).
+         */
+        public Set<String> offIds() {
+            Set<String> off = new java.util.LinkedHashSet<>();
+            for (ModelEntry e : allow) {
+                if (e != null && e.model() != null && !e.isEnabled()) {
+                    off.add(e.model());
+                }
+            }
+            return Collections.unmodifiableSet(off);
+        }
+    }
+
     /**
      * The terminal → lead-name map seeded from the legacy singular {@code primary:} pin (CB-530).
      *
@@ -1495,7 +1841,8 @@ public record FleetConfig(
             "bind", "herdrSocket", "memberHerdrSocket", "profiles", "guard", "worktreeRoot",
             "lifecycle", "spawnReadyTimeoutMs", "spawnReadyPollMs", "broker", "primary", "fleet",
             "leadHeartbeat", "health", "placement", "auth", "configReload", "quarantineCooldownSeconds",
-            "memberCredentials", "coordinator", "worktreeGroup", "memberLoginShell");
+            "memberCredentials", "coordinator", "worktreeGroup", "memberLoginShell", "memberSkills",
+            "idleSleepGuard", "models", "leadRollover");
 
     /** Load and validate config from {@code path}. */
     public static FleetConfig load(Path path) {
@@ -2172,9 +2519,27 @@ public record FleetConfig(
         // memberLoginShell is left as-is (fleetd #213), like worktreeGroup: null/blank is "not
         // configured", and there is no sane non-null default — a member's login shell is
         // operator-specific and only meaningful when memberHerdrSocket is also set.
+        // memberSkills is left as-is (fleetd #362), like worktreeGroup/memberLoginShell: null/blank
+        // is "off", and there is no sane non-null default — the daemon may not even run from a
+        // checkout that ships its own .claude/skills/.
+        // idleSleepGuard is left as-is, like leadHeartbeat/configReload above, but for the opposite
+        // reason: it is on by default already (its own isEnabled() treats null the same as
+        // enabled: true — see its javadoc), so defaulting the block here would change nothing a
+        // reader observes and would only obscure that "block omitted" and "block present and
+        // enabled" are deliberately the same outcome.
+        // models is left as-is, like broker/primary/coordinator above: null/empty is "off", and an
+        // absent block must validate nothing (see Models's javadoc) — defaulting it here to an
+        // empty Models would be a no-op for validateModels() either way, since an empty allow-list
+        // already means "check nothing", so there is nothing to gain and one more null check to
+        // avoid by leaving it exactly as configured.
+        // leadRollover is left as-is, like leadHeartbeat above: null is "off", and LeadRollover's
+        // own compact constructor defaults the fields of a block that IS present. Defaulting it
+        // here would construct a LeadRollover object (via Fleetd.java's presence gate) for every
+        // config that never mentioned it.
         return new FleetConfig(b, herdrSocket, memberHerdrSocket, profiles, g, worktreeRoot, l, timeout, pollMs,
                 broker, primary, f, leadHeartbeat, health, placementOrDefault, a, configReload,
-                quarantineCooldown, mc, coordinator, worktreeGroup, memberLoginShell);
+                quarantineCooldown, mc, coordinator, worktreeGroup, memberLoginShell, memberSkills,
+                idleSleepGuard, models, leadRollover);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -2257,6 +2622,26 @@ public record FleetConfig(
                 + "lead tabs cannot be confused.");
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Reject a present {@code leadRollover:} block with no (or a blank) {@code handoverPath}
+     * (fleetd #480). There is no sane non-null default for an operator-specific file path, unlike
+     * every other field on {@link LeadRollover}, which {@link LeadRollover}'s own compact
+     * constructor already defaults — so this is the one field that must be refused at load rather
+     * than silently defaulted to something that would never match a real handover file.
+     *
+     * @throws IllegalStateException when {@code leadRollover} is present but {@code handoverPath}
+     *                               is {@code null} or blank
+     */
+    public void validateLeadRollover() {
+        if (leadRollover == null) {
+            return;
+        }
+        if (leadRollover.handoverPath() == null || leadRollover.handoverPath().isBlank()) {
+            throw new IllegalStateException("refusing to start: leadRollover.handoverPath is "
+                    + "required when leadRollover: is present.");
+        }
+    }
+
     /** Case-insensitive prefix test that tolerates a null/blank label. */
     private static boolean startsWithIgnoreCase(String label, String prefix) {
         if (label == null || prefix == null || prefix.isBlank()) {
@@ -2394,6 +2779,118 @@ public record FleetConfig(
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Reject a {@code profiles:} entry whose {@code model:} is not on the configured {@link
+     * #models} allow-list.
+     *
+     * <p>Absent or empty {@code models.allow:} validates nothing — see {@link Models}'s javadoc:
+     * an existing config with no such block must keep working exactly as it does today. Once the
+     * operator declares at least one entry, every profile's {@code model:} (when set — a profile
+     * may legitimately leave it {@code null}, e.g. a {@code subscription: true} profile relying on
+     * the account's own default) must equal one of {@link Models#ids()} exactly. The comparison is
+     * a flat string match: a bare Claude id and an opencode {@code provider/model} id are both
+     * just opaque strings here, so nothing here needs to know which {@code kind:} a profile runs.
+     *
+     * <p>The check runs one direction only, by construction: it reads {@link #profiles} and
+     * {@link #models}, and only ever adds to {@code bad} when a profile's model is missing from
+     * the allow-list. Nothing here can be satisfied by widening a {@code profiles:} entry — only
+     * editing {@code models.allow:} itself changes what passes. That is the invariant the ticket
+     * asked for: the list is the authority, profiles are checked against it.
+     *
+     * @throws IllegalStateException when any profile names a model outside the configured
+     *                               allow-list, naming both the model and the profile that wanted it
+     */
+    public void validateModels() {
+        if (models == null || models.allow().isEmpty()) {
+            return;
+        }
+        Set<String> allowed = models.ids();
+        List<String> bad = new ArrayList<>();
+        profiles.forEach((name, p) -> {
+            String model = p.model();
+            if (model != null && !model.isBlank() && !allowed.contains(model)) {
+                bad.add("profile '" + name + "' names model '" + model + "', which is not in "
+                        + "models.allow: (have: " + allowed + ").");
+            }
+        });
+        if (!bad.isEmpty()) {
+            throw new IllegalStateException("refusing to start: " + String.join(" ", bad));
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Runs every validator this class declares — found by reflection, not by name.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd ticket "central allow-list of usable models", follow-up: mutation testing found
+     * that although each of the six validators above was well pinned on its own, nothing proved
+     * either real caller ({@code Fleetd.main} and {@link ConfigRef#reload()}) still
+     * invoked it — deleting a call site left the full suite green. The fix is not a seventh test
+     * per caller; a hand-maintained list of six names here would have the exact same defect its
+     * own javadoc would warn against: the seventh validator someone adds next month has no reason
+     * to be added to it. So this method does not name any validator. It sweeps {@link
+     * #getClass()}'s own public, no-argument, {@code void} methods whose name starts with {@code
+     * "validate"} (excluding itself) and invokes every one it finds, via {@link
+     * #invokeAllValidators}. A new {@code validateXxx()} method is therefore wired into both
+     * callers the moment it is written — there is no second step to forget, and so no state in
+     * which it silently never runs.
+     *
+     * <p>{@code Fleetd.main} and {@link ConfigRef#reload()} each call this one method instead of
+     * the six individually — see the comments at those two call sites for why
+     * each must run it.
+     *
+     * <p>Methods run in a fixed (alphabetical) order, so a config with more than one violation
+     * always names the same one first, on every run.
+     *
+     * @throws IllegalStateException (or whatever unchecked exception a validator itself throws),
+     *                                propagated unchanged from the first validator, in that order,
+     *                                that finds a problem
+     */
+    public void validateAll() {
+        invokeAllValidators(this);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The reflective sweep behind {@link #validateAll()}, kept as its own method — taking any
+     * {@code target}, not just {@code this} — so a test can prove the MECHANISM is generic (it
+     * would sweep a seventh {@code validateXxx()} method added to any class, not just something
+     * special-cased to today's six on {@link FleetConfig}) without needing to add a real, unwanted
+     * seventh validator to this class just to exercise that claim. See {@code
+     * FleetConfigValidateAllTest} for that proof.
+     *
+     * @param target an object whose public, no-argument, {@code void} methods named {@code
+     *               validateXxx} (any name starting with {@code "validate"}, excluding {@code
+     *               validateAll} itself) should all run, in alphabetical-by-name order
+     */
+    static void invokeAllValidators(Object target) {
+        List<Method> methods = new ArrayList<>();
+        for (Method m : target.getClass().getMethods()) {
+            if (Modifier.isPublic(m.getModifiers())
+                    && m.getParameterCount() == 0
+                    && m.getReturnType() == void.class
+                    && m.getName().startsWith("validate")
+                    && !m.getName().equals("validateAll")) {
+                methods.add(m);
+            }
+        }
+        methods.sort(Comparator.comparing(Method::getName));
+        for (Method m : methods) {
+            try {
+                m.invoke(target);
+            } catch (InvocationTargetException e) {
+                Throwable cause = e.getCause();
+                if (cause instanceof RuntimeException re) {
+                    throw re;
+                }
+                if (cause instanceof Error err) {
+                    throw err;
+                }
+                throw new IllegalStateException("validator " + m.getName() + " failed", cause);
+            } catch (IllegalAccessException e) {
+                throw new IllegalStateException("cannot invoke validator " + m.getName(), e);
+            }
+        }
+    }
+
     /** True for the loopback addresses and the unspecified-but-local forms we treat as same-host. */
     private static boolean isLoopbackBind(String host) {
         if (host == null || host.isBlank()) {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/health/FleetHealthMonitor.java

@@ -38,15 +38,46 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
      */
     static final long ASK_LAPSE_RECHECK_DELAY_SECONDS = 120;
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #386: {@code System.nanoTime()} (or whatever {@link #clock} is) does not advance while
+     * macOS sleeps, so a raw {@code nowNanos - lastActivityAtNanos} comparison freezes with the
+     * host and can never cross {@link #workingSuspectAfterNanos}. This is a second, wall-clock
+     * source used ONLY inside the stall check ({@link #stallElapsedNanos}) to detect and correct
+     * for that freeze. Nothing else in this class reads it — every other decision (readiness grace,
+     * the fault classification itself) stays exactly on {@link #clock}, as the ticket requires.
+     */
+    private static final LongSupplier DEFAULT_REALTIME_CLOCK =
+            () -> TimeUnit.MILLISECONDS.toNanos(System.currentTimeMillis());
+
     private final AgentControl agents;
     private final Supplier<List<MemberSession>> roster;
     private final MessageService messages;
     private final ScheduledExecutorService scheduler;
     private final LongSupplier clock;
+    private final LongSupplier realtimeClock;
     private final long intervalSeconds;
+    private final long tickIntervalNanos;
     private final long workingSuspectAfterNanos;
     private final BiConsumer<String, String> failTarget;
     private final Map<String, HealthPrior> priors = new HashMap<>();
+    /**
+     * fleetd #386 clock-drift bookkeeping. {@code haveClockBaseline}/{@code lastTickMonoNanos}/
+     * {@code lastTickRealNanos} track the previous tick's pair of readings so each new tick can
+     * measure how far the two clocks moved apart since then. {@code accumulatedDriftNanos} is the
+     * running total of every such divergence observed since this monitor started (never decreases —
+     * the monotonic clock can only lag real time, never lead it). {@code busyDriftBaselineNanos}/
+     * {@code busyBaselineActivityNanos} record, per target, the value of {@code accumulatedDriftNanos}
+     * at the moment this monitor first saw that target's CURRENT {@code lastActivityAtNanos} while
+     * BUSY — so {@link #stallElapsedNanos} adds back only the drift observed DURING this BUSY span,
+     * never drift from a sleep that happened before the member went busy. All five fields are touched
+     * only from {@code tick()}, like {@link #priors}.
+     */
+    private boolean haveClockBaseline = false;
+    private long lastTickMonoNanos;
+    private long lastTickRealNanos;
+    private long accumulatedDriftNanos = 0;
+    private final Map<String, Long> busyDriftBaselineNanos = new HashMap<>();
+    private final Map<String, Long> busyBaselineActivityNanos = new HashMap<>();
     /**
      * The live classification per member, and the only one of this class's three maps that more
      * than one scheduler task touches. {@code tick} writes it (and prunes it to the roster);
@@ -88,12 +119,29 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
     public FleetHealthMonitor(AgentControl agents, Supplier<List<MemberSession>> roster, MessageService messages,
                               ScheduledExecutorService scheduler, LongSupplier clock, long intervalSeconds,
                               long workingSuspectAfterSeconds, BiConsumer<String, String> failTarget) {
+        this(agents, roster, messages, scheduler, clock, DEFAULT_REALTIME_CLOCK, intervalSeconds,
+                workingSuspectAfterSeconds, failTarget);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param realtimeClock fleetd #386: a wall-clock nanosecond source (e.g.
+     *                       {@code System.currentTimeMillis()} converted to nanos) that keeps
+     *                       advancing while {@code clock} is frozen by a host sleep. Used only to
+     *                       correct the stall check — see the class-level javadoc on the
+     *                       clock-drift fields.
+     */
+    public FleetHealthMonitor(AgentControl agents, Supplier<List<MemberSession>> roster, MessageService messages,
+                              ScheduledExecutorService scheduler, LongSupplier clock, LongSupplier realtimeClock,
+                              long intervalSeconds, long workingSuspectAfterSeconds,
+                              BiConsumer<String, String> failTarget) {
         this.agents = agents;
         this.roster = roster;
         this.messages = messages;
         this.scheduler = scheduler;
         this.clock = clock;
+        this.realtimeClock = Objects.requireNonNull(realtimeClock, "realtimeClock");
         this.intervalSeconds = intervalSeconds;
+        this.tickIntervalNanos = TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(intervalSeconds);
         this.workingSuspectAfterNanos = TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(workingSuspectAfterSeconds);
         this.failTarget = Objects.requireNonNull(failTarget, "failTarget");
     }
@@ -123,6 +171,7 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
             for (Agent agent : agentsNow) live.put(agent.terminalId(), agent);
             HashSet<String> current = new HashSet<>();
             long nowNanos = clock.getAsLong();
+            long driftBeforeThisTick = observeClockDrift(nowNanos);
             for (MemberSession session : rosterNow) {
                 current.add(session.terminalId());
                 Agent agent = live.get(session.terminalId());
@@ -133,7 +182,7 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
                         && session.state() != MemberSession.State.SPAWNING;
                 boolean readinessGraceElapsed = nowNanos - session.spawnedAtNanos() >= READINESS_GRACE_NANOS;
                 boolean stalled = session.state() == MemberSession.State.BUSY
-                        && nowNanos - session.lastActivityAtNanos() >= workingSuspectAfterNanos;
+                        && stallElapsedNanos(session, nowNanos, driftBeforeThisTick) >= workingSuspectAfterNanos;
                 // CB-643: the three message-layer facts CB-640 published. Read them here rather than
                 // leaving them false — that constant is what made 8 of the 9 fault states dead.
                 boolean queuedDelivery = messages.hasQueuedDelivery(session.terminalId());
@@ -151,6 +200,8 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
             priors.keySet().retainAll(current);
             states.keySet().retainAll(current);
             orphanStreaks.keySet().retainAll(current);
+            busyDriftBaselineNanos.keySet().retainAll(current);
+            busyBaselineActivityNanos.keySet().retainAll(current);
         } catch (Throwable error) {
             // Any unclassified collection failure must never kill the monitor's only scheduler task.
             log.warn("fleet health collection failed; will retry next tick", error);
@@ -175,6 +226,65 @@ public final class FleetHealthMonitor {
         return streak >= ORPHAN_CONFIRM_TICKS;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #386: compare this tick's monotonic and real-time readings against the previous
+     * tick's, and fold any positive divergence into {@link #accumulatedDriftNanos} (a ratchet — it
+     * never decreases, since the monotonic clock can only fall behind real time, never ahead of
+     * it). Logs once, at WARN, when that single tick's divergence exceeds one full tick interval —
+     * the signature of a host that slept between the two ticks (a tick literally cannot run while
+     * the process itself is suspended, so the whole sleep duration lands inside one tick's gap).
+     *
+     * @return {@link #accumulatedDriftNanos} as it stood BEFORE this tick's divergence was folded
+     *         in — the baseline {@link #stallElapsedNanos} needs when a target is observed BUSY
+     *         for the first time this tick, so a sleep that happened before this member went busy
+     *         is not attributed to it.
+     */
+    private long observeClockDrift(long nowNanos) {
+        long nowRealNanos = realtimeClock.getAsLong();
+        long driftBeforeThisTick = accumulatedDriftNanos;
+        if (haveClockBaseline) {
+            long monoDelta = nowNanos - lastTickMonoNanos;
+            long realDelta = nowRealNanos - lastTickRealNanos;
+            long tickDrift = realDelta - monoDelta;
+            if (tickDrift > tickIntervalNanos) {
+                log.warn("fleet health: the monotonic clock did not advance for about {}s that the "
+                        + "real clock did since the last tick (host likely slept); the stall "
+                        + "detector could not see that time", TimeUnit.NANOSECONDS.toSeconds(tickDrift));
+            }
+            if (tickDrift > 0) {
+                accumulatedDriftNanos = driftBeforeThisTick + tickDrift;
+            }
+        }
+        lastTickMonoNanos = nowNanos;
+        lastTickRealNanos = nowRealNanos;
+        haveClockBaseline = true;
+        return driftBeforeThisTick;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #386: {@code nowNanos - lastActivityAtNanos} alone freezes across a host sleep, since
+     * both come from the monotonic {@link #clock}. This adds back the real-time drift observed
+     * since this BUSY span started — not the monitor's whole lifetime, so a sleep that happened
+     * before this member went busy never leaks into its stall reading (see the class-level javadoc
+     * on the drift fields). The baseline resets whenever {@code lastActivityAtNanos} changes (a new
+     * turn) or the member is not currently BUSY.
+     */
+    private long stallElapsedNanos(MemberSession session, long nowNanos, long driftBeforeThisTick) {
+        String target = session.terminalId();
+        if (session.state() != MemberSession.State.BUSY) {
+            busyDriftBaselineNanos.remove(target);
+            busyBaselineActivityNanos.remove(target);
+            return nowNanos - session.lastActivityAtNanos();
+        }
+        Long baselineActivity = busyBaselineActivityNanos.get(target);
+        if (baselineActivity == null || baselineActivity != session.lastActivityAtNanos()) {
+            busyBaselineActivityNanos.put(target, session.lastActivityAtNanos());
+            busyDriftBaselineNanos.put(target, driftBeforeThisTick);
+        }
+        long driftSinceBusyStart = accumulatedDriftNanos - busyDriftBaselineNanos.get(target);
+        return (nowNanos - session.lastActivityAtNanos()) + driftSinceBusyStart;
+    }
+
     void reportTransition(String target, HealthState next) {
         HealthState previous = states.put(target, next);
         if (previous == next) return;

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/HerdrClient.java

@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ package dev.ltms.fleet.herdr;
 import com.fasterxml.jackson.databind.JsonNode;
 
 /**
- * Client face onto the herdr daemon (protocol 14, herdr 0.7.0).
+ * Client face onto the herdr daemon (protocol 19, herdr 0.8.0).
  *
  * <p>This is the ONLY thing in {@code fleetd} that speaks to herdr. Every method
  * maps to a herdr JSON-RPC call over its Unix domain socket. Requests are

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/HerdrCodec.java

@@ -8,7 +8,7 @@ import com.fasterxml.jackson.databind.node.ObjectNode;
 import java.nio.charset.StandardCharsets;
 
 /**
- * Wire codec for herdr's newline-delimited JSON-RPC (protocol 14).
+ * Wire codec for herdr's newline-delimited JSON-RPC (protocol 19).
  *
  * <p>Split out from the socket so the framing rules — the ones that actually bit us
  * during the spike (id MUST be a string; response carries {@code result} or

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/LeadTabScanner.java

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
 import java.util.Collections;
+import java.util.HashSet;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
 import java.util.Locale;
 import java.util.Map;
@@ -53,17 +54,40 @@ import java.util.function.Supplier;
  * daemon and found again by this scan. The trust direction above is unaffected — fleetd writing a
  * name for a lead it just started is not a pane promoting itself — but <em>staleness</em> becomes
  * real: a label left behind by a session that has since died would read as a live lead forever.
- * This scanner does not solve that (its job is naming, and a stale name costs nothing here); the
- * launcher does, by requiring a running agent in the tab before it counts the lead as live. If you
- * ever make a decision that <em>removes</em> something based on this map, add the same check.
  * The remaining hazard is an <em>operator</em> one — a worker {@code tabLabel} template that
  * happens to start with the same prefix would promote the whole fleet — and that is refused at
  * startup by {@code FleetConfig.validateLeadTabPrefixes} rather than documented here.
  *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #359 — the staleness check this class used to skip.</strong> This used to say
+ * "a stale name costs nothing here" and leave liveness to {@code LeadLauncher}, on the theory that
+ * naming and removing are different decisions. That was wrong: {@code dev.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadCoordLoop}
+ * makes exactly the kind of removal decision the old javadoc warned about, by reading this map to
+ * pick which pane a peer message goes into — and a stale entry there is not free. On a host where
+ * {@code fleetd} had restarted more than once, a labelled-but-dead tab from a previous life was
+ * reported right alongside the live one; {@code LeadCoordLoop.resolveLocalLead()} saw more than one
+ * candidate and refused to guess (safe), but the fix the daemon's own WARN suggests — name a lead
+ * after {@code coordinator.selfId} — stops being safe once two tabs can share a label: step 1 of
+ * that resolution picks whichever matching entry it finds first, which can be the dead one, and
+ * typing a peer's message into a dead shell does not fail — it is silently gone instead of merely
+ * held. {@link #scan()} now cross-checks every labelled tab against {@code agent.list} (the same
+ * signal {@code LeadLauncher.countLeads} already trusts for the same purpose) and drops any tab
+ * with no agent running in it, so a dead tab is never in the map for a caller to pick at all.
+ *
  * <p><strong>Caching.</strong> {@link #get()} is on the request path (every resolve), so the scan
- * is TTL-cached and a stale-but-valid map is preferred to a herdr round-trip. A failed scan keeps
- * the previous answer instead of emptying it — a herdr hiccup must not silently demote a live lead
- * mid-session.
+ * is TTL-cached and a stale-but-valid map is preferred to a herdr round-trip. A failed scan (herdr
+ * throws) keeps the previous answer instead of emptying it — a herdr hiccup must not silently
+ * demote a live lead mid-session.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #359 review, finding 2 — a successful-but-wrong scan is the same hazard.</strong>
+ * The catch above only fires when a call throws. It does nothing for a call that returns 200 with an
+ * incomplete answer — exactly what the ticket's own evidence showed {@code agent.list} can do. Once
+ * this class started trusting that signal, an empty read would otherwise get cached as fact and
+ * silently drop a lead {@code CallerResolver} had, until then, correctly resolved — turning it into a
+ * {@code Role.WORKER}, which refuses every orchestration call. So a terminal this class already
+ * reported as live is not dropped the first time {@code agent.list} loses it: {@link #scan()} grants
+ * it one grace scan (see {@code gracedTerminals}) and only drops it if a <em>later</em> scan still
+ * finds no agent. A terminal never reported live before gets no grace — that would weaken the
+ * original #359 fix itself, which this class's own test suite already pins.
  */
 public final class LeadTabScanner implements Supplier<Map<String, String>> {
 
@@ -79,6 +103,15 @@ public final class LeadTabScanner implements Supplier<Map<String, String>> {
     private long scannedAtNanos;
     private boolean everScanned;
 
+    /**
+     * Terminals currently on their one grace scan: {@code cached} reported them live, the most
+     * recent {@link #scan()} found no agent for them, and they were re-included anyway. Cleared for
+     * a terminal the instant it is seen live again; a terminal still here on the <em>next</em> scan
+     * is finally dropped. Scoped separately from {@link #cached} so a graced terminal cannot renew
+     * its own grace forever just by staying in the exposed map (fleetd #359 review, finding 2).
+     */
+    private Set<String> gracedTerminals = Set.of();
+
     /**
      * @param herdr                   the herdr client to query ({@code workspace.list},
      *                                {@code tab.list}, {@code pane.list} — all read-only)
@@ -141,7 +174,7 @@ public final class LeadTabScanner implements Supplier<Map<String, String>> {
         return cached;
     }
 
-    /** One full pass: labelled tabs → their panes → those panes' terminals. */
+    /** One full pass: labelled tabs → live agents in them → those panes' terminals. */
     private Map<String, String> scan() {
         Map<String, String> nameByTab = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         for (JsonNode w : herdr.call("workspace.list").path("workspaces")) {
@@ -158,17 +191,47 @@ public final class LeadTabScanner implements Supplier<Map<String, String>> {
             }
         }
 
-        Map<String, String> byTerminal = new LinkedHashMap<>();
-        if (!nameByTab.isEmpty()) {
-            // One pane.list for every tab: panes carry tab_id, so the join is local.
-            for (JsonNode p : herdr.call("pane.list", Map.of()).path("panes")) {
-                String name = nameByTab.get(p.path("tab_id").asText(null));
-                String terminal = p.path("terminal_id").asText(null);
-                if (name != null && terminal != null && !terminal.isBlank()) {
-                    byTerminal.put(terminal, name);
-                }
+        if (nameByTab.isEmpty()) {
+            gracedTerminals = Set.of();
+            return Map.of();
+        }
+
+        // fleetd #359: a labelled tab is only a lead when herdr also reports a running agent in
+        // it — the same liveness signal LeadLauncher.countLeads trusts for the identical purpose.
+        // Without this, a tab left behind by a session that has since died reads as live forever.
+        Set<String> tabsWithAgent = new HashSet<>();
+        for (JsonNode a : herdr.call("agent.list").path("agents")) {
+            String tabId = a.path("tab_id").asText(null);
+            if (tabId != null) {
+                tabsWithAgent.add(tabId);
             }
         }
+
+        Map<String, String> byTerminal = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        Set<String> stillGraced = new HashSet<>();
+        // One pane.list for every tab: panes carry tab_id, so the join is local.
+        for (JsonNode p : herdr.call("pane.list", Map.of()).path("panes")) {
+            String tabId = p.path("tab_id").asText(null);
+            String name = nameByTab.get(tabId);
+            String terminal = p.path("terminal_id").asText(null);
+            if (name == null || terminal == null || terminal.isBlank()) {
+                continue;
+            }
+            if (tabsWithAgent.contains(tabId)) {
+                byTerminal.put(terminal, name);
+                continue;
+            }
+            // No agent reported for this tab, but its tab/pane are still here — this is the
+            // ambiguous case review finding 2 named: a successful agent.list that came back short
+            // does not prove the lead is dead. Grant one grace scan to a terminal we had already
+            // reported as live; a terminal we never reported live gets none, so the original #359
+            // fix (a genuinely dead tab is never reported) is unaffected for the common case.
+            if (cached.containsKey(terminal) && !gracedTerminals.contains(terminal)) {
+                byTerminal.put(terminal, name);
+                stillGraced.add(terminal);
+            }
+        }
+        gracedTerminals = stillGraced;
         return Collections.unmodifiableMap(byTerminal);
     }
 
@@ -177,12 +240,14 @@ public final class LeadTabScanner implements Supplier<Map<String, String>> {
      *
      * <p>Exact match (case-insensitive, ends stripped) against {@link #tabToName} — no prefix
      * stripping, so an operator's {@code "lead: something-else"} tab is never mistaken for a
-     * configured lead just because it shares a prefix.
+     * configured lead just because it shares a prefix. The match strips a trailing
+     * {@link PendingCloseMarker} first, so a tab {@code LeadLauncher} has flagged as maybe-dead but
+     * not yet closed keeps resolving normally while that reconcile is pending.
      */
     private String leadNameOf(String label) {
         if (label == null) {
             return null;
         }
-        return tabToName.get(label.strip().toLowerCase(Locale.ROOT));
+        return tabToName.get(PendingCloseMarker.strip(label).toLowerCase(Locale.ROOT));
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/PaneLocator.java

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
 package dev.ltms.fleet.herdr;
 
 import com.fasterxml.jackson.databind.JsonNode;
+import org.slf4j.Logger;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
 import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
 import java.util.List;
@@ -36,6 +38,8 @@ import java.util.Set;
  */
 public final class PaneLocator {
 
+    private static final Logger log = LoggerFactory.getLogger(PaneLocator.class);
+
     /**
      * Bound on how many ancestor generations {@link #ancestorsOf} walks. This runs on every MCP
      * call, so a cycle or a pathologically deep process tree must not hang identity resolution;
@@ -73,22 +77,46 @@ public final class PaneLocator {
     }
 
     /**
-     * The {@code terminal_id} of the agent pane whose process tree contains {@code pid}, or
-     * {@code null} if no agent pane on any searched daemon owns it (e.g. the caller is the
-     * primary, or off-host).
+     * The outcome of a {@link #terminalForPid} scan: the {@code terminal_id} of the agent pane
+     * whose process tree contains the pid ({@link #terminal} is {@code null} if none matched),
+     * and whether the scan that produced that answer ran to completion on every daemon searched.
+     *
+     * <p>{@link #complete} is {@code false} exactly when some {@code pane.process_info} call
+     * failed and, despite that, no pane was ever found to own the pid. In that case a {@code null}
+     * {@link #terminal} means "could not tell", not "definitely not a worker" — fleetd #505: a
+     * transient herdr error on the very pane that <em>does</em> own the caller's pid must not read
+     * as a clean negative and fall through to {@code Principal.primary}, the same way #317's
+     * {@code Caller.resolved()} already guards a failed lsof lookup. Callers ({@code
+     * ConnectionIdentity}, {@code CallerResolver}) must refuse rather than promote on an incomplete
+     * scan.
+     *
+     * <p>When a pane genuinely owns the pid, {@link #complete} is {@code true} regardless of
+     * whether some other, unrelated pane failed to answer earlier in the same scan — a positive
+     * match is definitive and does not need every pane to have been checked (a pane that "vanished
+     * mid-scan" but was never the match is still a clean, complete result).
      */
-    public String terminalForPid(long pid) {
+    public record Lookup(String terminal, boolean complete) {
+        private static final Lookup NOT_FOUND = new Lookup(null, true);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Resolve {@code pid} to the agent pane whose process tree contains it, across every searched
+     * herdr daemon. See {@link Lookup} for how to read a {@code null} terminal.
+     */
+    public Lookup terminalForPid(long pid) {
         if (pid <= 0) {
-            return null;
+            return Lookup.NOT_FOUND;
         }
         Set<Long> ancestry = ancestorsOf(pid);
-        for (HerdrClient herdr : herdrs) {
-            String terminal = terminalForPid(herdr, ancestry);
-            if (terminal != null) {
-                return terminal;
+        boolean complete = true;
+        for (int i = 0; i < herdrs.size(); i++) {
+            Lookup outcome = scan(herdrs.get(i), i, herdrs.size(), ancestry);
+            if (outcome.terminal() != null) {
+                return outcome; // a definite match — no need to finish checking other clients
             }
+            complete = complete && outcome.complete();
         }
-        return null;
+        return new Lookup(null, complete);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -117,31 +145,51 @@ public final class PaneLocator {
         return ancestry;
     }
 
-    private static String terminalForPid(HerdrClient herdr, Set<Long> ancestry) {
+    /** Whether a pane owns one of the scanned pid's ancestors, or the check of it failed outright. */
+    private enum Ownership { OWNS, DOES_NOT_OWN, UNKNOWN }
+
+    private static Lookup scan(HerdrClient herdr, int clientIndex, int clientCount, Set<Long> ancestry) {
+        boolean complete = true;
         for (JsonNode pane : herdr.call("pane.list", Map.of()).path("panes")) {
             String paneId = pane.path("pane_id").asText(null);
-            if (paneId != null && paneOwnsAnyOf(herdr, paneId, ancestry)) {
-                return pane.path("terminal_id").asText(null);
+            if (paneId == null) {
+                continue;
+            }
+            Ownership owns = paneOwnsAnyOf(herdr, clientIndex, clientCount, paneId, ancestry);
+            if (owns == Ownership.OWNS) {
+                return new Lookup(pane.path("terminal_id").asText(null), true);
+            }
+            if (owns == Ownership.UNKNOWN) {
+                complete = false;
             }
         }
-        return null;
+        return new Lookup(null, complete);
     }
 
-    private static boolean paneOwnsAnyOf(HerdrClient herdr, String paneId, Set<Long> ancestry) {
+    private static Ownership paneOwnsAnyOf(HerdrClient herdr, int clientIndex, int clientCount,
+                                            String paneId, Set<Long> ancestry) {
         JsonNode info;
         try {
             info = herdr.call("pane.process_info", Map.of("pane_id", paneId)).path("process_info");
         } catch (HerdrException e) {
-            return false; // pane vanished mid-scan — just skip it
+            // fleetd #505: this used to be read as a clean "does not own it" (the pane vanished
+            // mid-scan, just skip it) — one boolean carrying two different facts. It is UNKNOWN
+            // now: if THIS pane is the one that owns the pid, the caller must not be told "no pane
+            // owns it", because that reads as a real primary and is promoted under loopback-trust.
+            log.warn("pane.process_info failed for pane {} on herdr client {} of {} during a "
+                            + "pid-owner scan — treating it as \"could not tell\", not a clean "
+                            + "negative (fleetd #505): {}",
+                    paneId, clientIndex + 1, clientCount, e.getMessage());
+            return Ownership.UNKNOWN;
         }
         if (ancestry.contains(info.path("shell_pid").asLong(-1))) {
-            return true;
+            return Ownership.OWNS;
         }
         for (JsonNode p : info.path("foreground_processes")) {
             if (ancestry.contains(p.path("pid").asLong(-1))) {
-                return true;
+                return Ownership.OWNS;
             }
         }
-        return false;
+        return Ownership.DOES_NOT_OWN;
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/PendingCloseMarker.java

@@ -0,0 +1,42 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.herdr;
+
+/**
+ * The suffix {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadLauncher} appends to a lead tab's label the first time a
+ * reconcile finds no running agent in it, before it is sure enough to close the tab outright.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #359 review, finding 1.</strong> The daemon's own evidence showed
+ * {@code agent.list} can read "no agent" for a tab that genuinely has one running — so a single such
+ * reading must never be treated as proof a tab is dead. {@code LeadLauncher} now writes this marker
+ * on the first miss, and only closes the tab if a <em>later</em>, independent reconcile still finds
+ * it dead while the marker is still there. Two consecutive misses, one restart apart, is a much
+ * stronger claim than one.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link LeadTabScanner} strips the same suffix before matching a label against a configured
+ * lead's {@code tab}, so a flagged-but-actually-still-live tab keeps resolving normally — the marker
+ * changes nothing about which pane {@code LeadCoordLoop} can reach while the flag is pending. Both
+ * classes must use exactly this suffix, which is why it lives here rather than as a private constant
+ * on either.
+ */
+public final class PendingCloseMarker {
+
+    public static final String SUFFIX = " [fleetd:pending-close]";
+
+    private PendingCloseMarker() {
+    }
+
+    /** The label with any trailing pending-close marker removed, for name matching. */
+    public static String strip(String label) {
+        if (label == null) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        String stripped = label.strip();
+        return stripped.endsWith(SUFFIX)
+                ? stripped.substring(0, stripped.length() - SUFFIX.length()).strip()
+                : stripped;
+    }
+
+    /** Whether a label currently carries the marker. */
+    public static boolean isFlagged(String label) {
+        return label != null && label.strip().endsWith(SUFFIX);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/CompletionResolver.java

@@ -380,7 +380,9 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
                         + "matched the profile's exhausted pattern): {}", target, reason);
                 // CB-578 stage B: only on the resolution that actually won the race — a late
                 // duplicate must never quarantine a credential twice for one refusal.
-                exhaustionSink.onExhausted(target, reason);
+                if (startsWithExhaustion(matchedLine, exhausted)) {
+                    exhaustionSink.onExhausted(target, reason);
+                }
             }
             return;
         }
@@ -478,7 +480,9 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
                         + "usable assistant block; no fleet_reply): {}", target, reason);
                 // CB-578 stage B: only on the resolution that actually won the race — a late
                 // duplicate must never quarantine a credential twice for one refusal.
-                exhaustionSink.onExhausted(target, reason);
+                if (startsWithExhaustion(matchedLine, exhausted)) {
+                    exhaustionSink.onExhausted(target, reason);
+                }
             }
             return true;
         }
@@ -544,8 +548,19 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
      * fast completion. Runs the same backend-error classification the normal and raw-scrape paths
      * apply, against whatever is on screen right now: a match together with the too-fast crash
      * signature notifies {@link #backendErrorSink} (only on the resolution that wins the race). A
-     * non-match stays the original generic too-fast failure, naming the member and both timings,
-     * with whatever the pane shows appended so the caller sees the cause, not just "it failed".
+     * non-match stays the generic too-fast failure, naming the member and both timings, with
+     * whatever the pane shows appended so the caller sees the evidence, not just "it failed".
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd#376: <strong>this path must never resolve a completion.</strong> A fast backend can
+     * genuinely answer inside the floor, so the failure is sometimes wrong — but it is wrong in the
+     * loud direction, and the fix for that is honest wording, not a guess at the pane's meaning.
+     * Reclassifying from the scrape was tried and rejected: there is no reliable positive marker for
+     * "this is a real reply" across backends. {@link #lastAssistantBlock} falls back to the entire
+     * pane when it finds no {@code ⏺} marker, so on a crash the candidate "reply" is the whole
+     * screen; and {@code ⏺} itself is a Claude Code marker that an opencode pane never carries — the
+     * very backend whose speed raised this ticket. Any weaker test (non-blank, or "contains sentence
+     * punctuation") passes on almost every crash, because a pane holding a file path, a version
+     * number or a hostname contains a full stop. That trades a loud wrong answer for a silent one.
      */
     private void failTooFast(String target, InFlight turn, CompletableFuture<Rendezvous.Resolution> waiter,
                               long elapsedNanos) {
@@ -556,13 +571,13 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
             scrape = "";
         }
         String clippedScrape = clip(scrape);
-        String baseReason = String.format(
-                "member %s went BUSY -> DONE in %dms (floor %dms) — too fast to be real work, most "
-                        + "likely a backend error before any work started",
+        String timing = String.format(
+                "member %s went BUSY -> DONE in %dms (floor %dms)",
                 target, elapsedNanos / 1_000_000, MIN_TURN_NANOS / 1_000_000);
         String backendError = firstMatchingLine(scrape, backendErrorPatternOrFallback(target));
         if (backendError != null) {
-            String reason = baseReason + ": " + clippedScrape;
+            String reason = timing + " — too fast to be real work, and the pane carries a backend "
+                    + "error: " + clippedScrape;
             if (rendezvous.resolveFailure(waiter, reason)) {
                 inFlight.remove(target, turn);
                 log.warn("failing send to {} via turn-stall fallback: {}", target, reason);
@@ -571,7 +586,14 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
             }
             return;
         }
-        fail(target, turn, clippedScrape.isBlank() ? baseReason : baseReason + ": " + clippedScrape);
+        // fleetd#376: no pattern matched, so the cause is genuinely unknown. Say that, rather than
+        // asserting a backend error the way this message used to — a fast backend really can finish
+        // inside the floor, and a reader who trusts a wrong cause stops looking at the pane.
+        String reason = timing + " — inside the floor. That is usually a backend error before any "
+                + "work started, but a fast backend can answer inside it too, and nothing here can "
+                + "tell those apart, so the turn is reported failed rather than guessed. Read the "
+                + "pane below before deciding which it was";
+        fail(target, turn, clippedScrape.isBlank() ? reason : reason + ": " + clippedScrape);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -613,6 +635,46 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
         return null;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * True when nothing before the match on this pane line ends a sentence — that is, the match is
+     * still inside the line's first sentence rather than inside prose a member wrote about it.
+     * Used to decide whether an exhaustion match may quarantine a credential (fleetd #348).
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Why this is looser than {@link #startsWithBackendError}.</strong> An
+     * {@code exhaustedPattern} is written per profile and may name only the decisive words of a
+     * provider message — {@code "usage limit has been reached"} without its leading {@code "The"}.
+     * A start-of-line check would then reject the genuine refusal. That is the false negative
+     * fleetd #348's invariant 1 calls the worse direction: an unrecorded exhaustion leaves the
+     * fleet spawning into a credential with no capacity, and a quarantine runs 1800s against the
+     * backend-error cooldown's fixed 60s.
+     *
+     * <p>This rule accepts a superset of what a start-of-line check accepts: if the match begins
+     * right after the chrome, there is nothing in front of it, so there is no sentence ending
+     * either. So moving to it cannot add a false negative.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>No chrome skipping here, deliberately.</strong> The first version of this method
+     * copied {@code startsWithBackendError}'s leading-chrome loop. Measured on merge: deleting that
+     * loop left all 1369 tests green, and it must — the scan only looks for {@code . ! ?}, and no
+     * terminal chrome character is one of those. A step that cannot change the result is worse than
+     * no step, because the next reader takes it as evidence that chrome was handled.
+     *
+     * <p>It stays a heuristic. Prose whose <em>first</em> sentence carries the pattern still
+     * notifies the sink, and a genuine refusal behind an earlier full stop (a hostname, a version
+     * number) still does not. Both are known and neither is fixed here.
+     */
+    private static boolean startsWithExhaustion(String line, Pattern pattern) {
+        var matcher = pattern.matcher(line);
+        if (!matcher.find()) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        for (int prefix = 0; prefix < matcher.start(); prefix++) {
+            if (".!?".indexOf(line.charAt(prefix)) >= 0) {
+                return false;
+            }
+        }
+        return true;
+    }
+
     /**
      * True when the error pattern begins the matched pane line, rather than appearing in prose.
      *
@@ -636,17 +698,57 @@ public final class CompletionResolver implements TurnListener {
     }
 
     /**
-     * Coverage summary for the CB-578 stage A exhausted-pattern classification, logged at startup
+     * What an unset pattern key means for the classification it configures (fleetd#415).
+     * {@code coverage()} cannot infer this from the key's name — the two keys it currently
+     * describes disagree on it, and a string comparison on the name would just move the same bug
+     * to a new spot — so every caller must state it explicitly.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>This alone does not prove a caller passes the right one for its key.</strong> A
+     * test that calls {@code coverage()} directly and supplies the meaning itself only proves this
+     * enum is worded correctly, never that {@code Fleetd}'s two call sites pair each key with its
+     * true meaning — that pairing is #415's actual defect. Measured on review: swapping the two
+     * {@code UnsetMeaning} arguments at those call sites (giving {@code exhaustedPattern} the
+     * built-in-default wording and {@code errorPattern} the off wording — #415's exact defect with
+     * the keys exchanged) compiled with 0 errors and left all 1506 existing tests green. See
+     * {@code dev.ltms.fleet.Fleetd#exhaustedPatternCoverageLine}/{@code #errorPatternCoverageLine}
+     * and {@code FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest}, which exists specifically to catch that swap.
+     */
+    public enum UnsetMeaning {
+        /** No fallback exists: a profile with no configured pattern truly has this classification off. */
+        OFF,
+        /** A built-in pattern applies when unset: the classification still runs for that profile. */
+        BUILT_IN_DEFAULT
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Coverage summary for a fleetd#201/CB-578-style pattern-key classification, logged at startup
      * the way {@link dev.ltms.fleet.health.FleetHealthMonitor#coverage} is — so an operator can
      * see whether the classification is on, and for which profiles, without reading every
      * profile's config by hand.
      *
+     * <p>fleetd#415: this method measures <em>pattern coverage</em> — how many profiles set the
+     * key — which is not the same thing as <em>feature state</em> for a key with a fallback. For
+     * {@code errorPattern}, an empty {@code configuredProfiles} still runs the classification
+     * against {@code CompletionResolver}'s built-in compatibility pattern ({@link #BACKEND_ERROR}
+     * at line ~84); for {@code exhaustedPattern} there is no fallback, so empty really does mean
+     * off. {@code unsetMeaning} is the single, required source of that fact — see
+     * {@link dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig#rejectMalformedProfilePatterns} lines ~2029-2032 for
+     * where it is documented for config authors. It is a required parameter, not a defaulted
+     * overload: a third pattern key added later must supply one to compile at all, rather than
+     * silently inheriting whichever wording this method happened to default to.
+     *
      * @param allProfiles        every configured profile name
-     * @param configuredProfiles the subset of {@code allProfiles} that carry an exhausted pattern
+     * @param configuredProfiles the subset of {@code allProfiles} that carry the pattern
      */
-    public static String coverage(String patternKey, Set<String> allProfiles, Set<String> configuredProfiles) {
+    public static String coverage(String patternKey, UnsetMeaning unsetMeaning, Set<String> allProfiles,
+                                   Set<String> configuredProfiles) {
         if (configuredProfiles.isEmpty()) {
-            return "off (no profile has an " + patternKey + " configured; profiles: " + sorted(allProfiles) + ")";
+            return switch (unsetMeaning) {
+                case OFF -> "off (no profile has an " + patternKey + " configured; profiles: "
+                        + sorted(allProfiles) + ")";
+                case BUILT_IN_DEFAULT -> "built-in default for all profiles (no profile customises "
+                        + patternKey + "; profiles: " + sorted(allProfiles) + ")";
+            };
         }
         Set<String> unconfigured = new TreeSet<>(allProfiles);
         unconfigured.removeAll(configuredProfiles);

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/Injector.java

@@ -15,6 +15,7 @@ import java.util.Set;
 import java.util.concurrent.CompletableFuture;
 import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
 import java.util.function.Consumer;
+import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
 import java.util.function.Predicate;
 import java.util.stream.Collectors;
 
@@ -94,6 +95,14 @@ public final class Injector {
     private final TurnListener turnListener;
     private final Predicate<String> ready; // CB-113: a target is deliverable only when available
     private final Consumer<String> forget; // CB-114: clear a gone worker's readiness/presence
+    /**
+     * Wall-clock source for the readiness-grace elapsed time logged in {@link #onStatus} (fleetd
+     * #501). Production constructors default this to {@code System::currentTimeMillis}; the
+     * package-private constructors below take it explicitly so a test can supply a stub whose
+     * advance does not track {@link #POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS} — copying the shape {@code LeadRollover}
+     * already uses for the same purpose.
+     */
+    private final LongSupplier nowMillis;
     private final ConcurrentHashMap<String, Target> targets = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
 
     /** Delivery only; completion signalling is a no-op and every target is treated as available. */
@@ -125,20 +134,34 @@ public final class Injector {
      */
     public Injector(AgentControl agents, TurnListener turnListener, Predicate<String> ready,
                     Consumer<String> forget) {
+        this(agents, turnListener, ready, forget, System::currentTimeMillis);
+    }
+
+    /** Full constructor — for tests: an injectable wall-clock supplier (fleetd #501). */
+    Injector(AgentControl agents, TurnListener turnListener, Predicate<String> ready,
+             Consumer<String> forget, LongSupplier nowMillis) {
         this.agents = agents;
         this.router = null;
         this.turnListener = turnListener;
         this.ready = ready;
         this.forget = forget;
+        this.nowMillis = nowMillis;
     }
 
     public Injector(HerdrRouter router, TurnListener turnListener, Predicate<String> ready,
                     Consumer<String> forget) {
+        this(router, turnListener, ready, forget, System::currentTimeMillis);
+    }
+
+    /** Full constructor — for tests: an injectable wall-clock supplier (fleetd #501). */
+    Injector(HerdrRouter router, TurnListener turnListener, Predicate<String> ready,
+             Consumer<String> forget, LongSupplier nowMillis) {
         this.agents = null;
         this.router = router;
         this.turnListener = turnListener;
         this.ready = ready;
         this.forget = forget;
+        this.nowMillis = nowMillis;
     }
 
     private AgentControl agentsFor(String target) {
@@ -209,6 +232,7 @@ public final class Injector {
         int unknownSinceTurn;      // consecutive `unknown` samples while a delegation is outstanding (CB-109)
         int unknownSincePostTurn;  // the same, for the post-turn housekeeping phase (fleetd #306)
         int notReadySincePoll;     // consecutive injectable samples a queued message waited on the readiness gate (CB-114)
+        long notReadySinceMillis;  // wall-clock time of the FIRST non-ready sample in the current notReadySincePoll streak (fleetd #501); reset alongside it
         boolean postTurnPending;   // completion observed; adapter housekeeping has not started yet
         boolean awaitingPostTurnPickup;
         boolean postTurnObserved;
@@ -302,6 +326,7 @@ public final class Injector {
                 t.unknownSinceTurn = 0;
                 t.unknownSincePostTurn = 0;
                 t.notReadySincePoll = 0;
+                t.notReadySinceMillis = 0;
                 if (t.awaitingCompletion) t.turnObserved = true;
             } else if (status.injectable()) { // IDLE or BLOCKED
                 t.unknownSinceTurn = 0;
@@ -353,6 +378,7 @@ public final class Injector {
                         Pending p = t.queue.peek();
                         if (p != null && ready.test(target)) {
                             t.notReadySincePoll = 0;
+                            t.notReadySinceMillis = 0;
                             try {
                                 agentsFor(target).send(target, p.text());
                                 t.queue.poll();
@@ -370,23 +396,52 @@ public final class Injector {
                                 sent = p;
                                 sendError = e;
                             }
-                        } else if (p != null && ++t.notReadySincePoll >= READINESS_GRACE_POLLS) {
-                            // The worker has been idle-but-not-ready for the whole grace: its Claude
-                            // never connected the bridge MCP (crashed during boot, or wedged on a
-                            // startup prompt). The readiness gate would hold this message forever, so
-                            // fail every queued message and release the target (CB-114) instead of
-                            // polling it indefinitely with the caller's future never completing.
-                            notReady = new ArrayList<>(t.queue);
-                            for (Pending pending : notReady) {
-                                pending.state = Pending.State.NOT_DELIVERED;
+                        } else if (p != null) {
+                            // fleetd #501: stamp the wall-clock time of the FIRST non-ready sample in
+                            // this streak, so the expiry log below can print how long the target
+                            // actually sat non-ready — not just how many polls that took.
+                            if (t.notReadySincePoll == 0) {
+                                t.notReadySinceMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong();
+                            }
+                            if (++t.notReadySincePoll >= READINESS_GRACE_POLLS) {
+                                // The worker has been idle-but-not-ready for the whole grace: its Claude
+                                // never connected the bridge MCP (crashed during boot, or wedged on a
+                                // startup prompt). The readiness gate would hold this message forever, so
+                                // fail every queued message and release the target (CB-114) instead of
+                                // polling it indefinitely with the caller's future never completing.
+                                notReady = new ArrayList<>(t.queue);
+                                for (Pending pending : notReady) {
+                                    pending.state = Pending.State.NOT_DELIVERED;
+                                }
+                                // fleetd #501: t.notReadySincePoll — the loop's own counter, already in
+                                // scope — is printed here instead of the READINESS_GRACE_POLLS constant.
+                                // On this branch the counter has JUST reached the threshold, so the two
+                                // agree by construction and no test can tell them apart. Printed anyway:
+                                // it gives this line one source of truth instead of two, so a later
+                                // change to the loop above cannot leave this message reporting a number
+                                // the loop no longer produces.
+                                //
+                                // elapsedMillis is a different case: it is NOT equal-by-construction to
+                                // the truth. notReadySincePoll only increments on a sample that reaches
+                                // this branch (p != null, not ready) — a poll that misses that condition
+                                // advances real time without advancing the counter — and this loop's real
+                                // period is not guaranteed to equal POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS (load, or a host
+                                // sleep, can widen the real gap far past it). READINESS_GRACE_POLLS *
+                                // POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS / 1000 is arithmetic on two constants, not a
+                                // measurement, so it stays here only as the labelled CONFIGURED budget,
+                                // never presented as elapsed time.
+                                long elapsedMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong() - t.notReadySinceMillis;
+                                log.warn("readiness grace for {} expired after {} polls (configured={} "
+                                                + "polls/{}s elapsed={}ms): target never became "
+                                                + "deliverable, so failing {} queued message(s) that "
+                                                + "never reached its pane",
+                                        target, t.notReadySincePoll, READINESS_GRACE_POLLS,
+                                        READINESS_GRACE_POLLS * POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS / 1000, elapsedMillis,
+                                        notReady.size());
+                                t.queue.clear();
+                                t.notReadySincePoll = 0;
+                                t.notReadySinceMillis = 0;
                             }
-                            log.warn("readiness grace for {} expired after {} polls ({}s): target never "
-                                    + "became deliverable, so failing {} queued message(s) that never "
-                                    + "reached its pane",
-                                    target, READINESS_GRACE_POLLS,
-                                    READINESS_GRACE_POLLS * POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS / 1000, notReady.size());
-                            t.queue.clear();
-                            t.notReadySincePoll = 0;
                         }
                     }
                 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/LiveExhaustedPatterns.java

@@ -0,0 +1,91 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.inject;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
+import java.util.function.Supplier;
+import java.util.regex.Pattern;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #446: the single live source for "is {@code exhaustedPattern} configured for this
+ * profile, and what does it compile to". Read fresh off the config supplier on every call — the
+ * same reason {@code CompositePeerLauncher#models0} is a live supplier read rather than a value
+ * captured at construction (see that class's doc) — so an operator can arm or disarm usage-limit
+ * detection for a profile by editing {@code exhaustedPattern} and reloading, with no restart.
+ *
+ * <p>Before this class, {@code exhaustedPattern} was compiled once into a {@code Map<String,
+ * Pattern>} built inside {@code Fleetd.main} at startup ({@code ConfigRef}'s class doc used to
+ * list it under <em>Deferred</em>, CB-578 stage A) — the asymmetry fleetd #446 exists to close:
+ * an operator could turn a model off at runtime ({@code models.allow}'s {@code enabled: false},
+ * hot since fleetd #422) but could not arm the detector that would tell them to, without a
+ * restart. That was backwards for a feature whose whole point is to react while the fleet runs.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link #patternFor} is what {@link CompletionResolver} enforces on (via the {@link
+ * ExhaustedPatternLookup} production wiring in {@code Fleetd.main}); {@link #armed} is what
+ * {@code fleet_profiles}/{@code GET /profiles} report as {@code exhaustionDetectionArmed}. Both
+ * read this ONE object, so the report can never disagree with the behaviour — the same rule
+ * {@code CompositePeerLauncher#modelGateState()}'s javadoc states for the model gate's own
+ * armed/off pair (fleetd #404): "armed" and "which models are off" must come from one read of the
+ * same accessor the gate enforces on.
+ *
+ * <h2>Cache eviction</h2>
+ * Cached by profile NAME, not by pattern text. A {@code Map<String, Pattern>} keyed by the
+ * pattern STRING would grow by one entry per distinct regex ever typed for any profile across the
+ * daemon's uptime — unbounded in practice, because tuning a regex to match a backend's exact
+ * wording is exactly the kind of edit an operator makes several times while getting it right, and
+ * every edit-and-reload cycle would leave the previous attempt's compiled {@link Pattern} behind
+ * forever. Keyed by profile name instead, this cache holds at most one entry per profile name that
+ * has ever been looked up — and that key space is bounded by the (small, human-authored) set of
+ * configured profiles, which changes only on a restart: adding or removing a profile is itself a
+ * deferred key (a new backend needs its own launcher, built once — see {@code ConfigRef}'s class
+ * doc), so profile names do not churn the way pattern text does. Re-editing an EXISTING profile's
+ * {@code exhaustedPattern} — the case this class exists to make hot — simply overwrites that
+ * profile's one cache entry; it never adds a new one.
+ */
+public final class LiveExhaustedPatterns {
+
+    /** A compiled pattern paired with the source string it was compiled from, for change detection. */
+    private record Cached(String source, Pattern compiled) {
+    }
+
+    private final Supplier<Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile>> profiles;
+    private final ConcurrentHashMap<String, Cached> cache = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
+
+    public LiveExhaustedPatterns(Supplier<Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile>> profiles) {
+        this.profiles = Objects.requireNonNull(profiles, "profiles");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The compiled {@code exhaustedPattern} currently configured for {@code profileName}, or
+     * {@code null} when that profile is unknown or has none configured. Recompiles only when the
+     * live pattern text differs from what is cached for this profile name; {@code
+     * FleetConfig#rejectMalformedProfilePatterns} already refuses a config (at load and at reload)
+     * whose {@code exhaustedPattern} does not compile, so this is not expected to throw in
+     * production — it is not defended against here for that reason, the same trust
+     * {@code CompositePeerLauncher#models0} places in config validation having already run.
+     */
+    public Pattern patternFor(String profileName) {
+        if (profileName == null) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        FleetConfig.Profile profile = profiles.get().get(profileName);
+        if (profile == null || !profile.hasExhaustedPattern()) {
+            return null;
+        }
+        String source = profile.exhaustedPattern();
+        Cached cached = cache.get(profileName);
+        if (cached != null && cached.source().equals(source)) {
+            return cached.compiled();
+        }
+        Cached fresh = new Cached(source, Pattern.compile(source));
+        cache.put(profileName, fresh);
+        return fresh.compiled();
+    }
+
+    /** Whether {@code profileName} currently has a usage-limit pattern configured (live). */
+    public boolean armed(String profileName) {
+        return patternFor(profileName) != null;
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/lead/LeadLauncher.java

@@ -4,6 +4,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.Agent;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentControl;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrException;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.PendingCloseMarker;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.Tab;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.Workspace;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.WorkspaceControl;
@@ -12,9 +13,11 @@ import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
 import java.util.ArrayList;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.Set;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
 
 /**
@@ -44,8 +47,33 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
  * privilege escalation (the tab label never granted anything a pane could take for itself; see that
  * class's javadoc), but <em>staleness</em>: a label left behind by a crashed session would otherwise
  * read as a live lead forever, and the lead would never be relaunched. So a lead counts as live only
- * when herdr also reports a <em>running agent</em> in that tab — see {@link #liveLeads}. A labelled
+ * when herdr also reports a <em>running agent</em> in that tab — see {@link #countLeads}. A labelled
  * tab with no agent in it is not a lead.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #359 — a stale label used to pile up, not just mislead.</strong> Finding "not
+ * live" here used to mean only one thing: launch another. The old label was left exactly where it
+ * was, so a daemon that restarted enough times — or hit one herdr read that missed a genuinely
+ * running agent — accumulated one more identically-labelled dead tab per occurrence, and
+ * {@code LeadTabScanner} (before its own #359 fix) reported every one of them as a lead.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Review finding 1 — closing on one reading is worse than the bug.</strong> The first
+ * version of this fix closed a name's dead tabs the moment a single {@link #countLeads} reading
+ * called them dead. The ticket's own live evidence rules that out: on a real host, {@code
+ * agent.list} was seen reporting "0 live" for a tab that a plain {@code ps} confirmed was running a
+ * real session. Closing on that reading would have destroyed the operator's actual lead — a worse
+ * failure than the extra tab it replaces. So {@link #ensureLeads()} now needs the same dead reading
+ * <em>twice</em>, one restart apart, before it closes anything: the first time a labelled tab reads
+ * dead, it is only flagged ({@link PendingCloseMarker}), left running, untouched; it is closed only
+ * if a <em>later</em>, independently-connected reconcile still finds it dead while the flag is
+ * still there. A transient miss self-heals — the next reconcile sees the agent again and clears the
+ * flag (see {@code toUnflag} below) — so the worst case for a single bad reading is one extra tab
+ * surviving one more restart, never a live session destroyed. Two alternatives were considered and
+ * rejected: corroborating {@code agent.list} against a second, truly independent signal was dropped
+ * because nothing else herdr exposes proves "is a process attached to this pane" any better — a
+ * second call to the same unreliable source is not independent evidence; capping the close to "all
+ * but the most recent dead tab" was dropped because "most recent" has no reliable ordering across
+ * tab ids and would leave the true failure mode (a name that is <em>never</em> reconfirmed) growing
+ * by one tab per bad reading forever, which is the exact defect this ticket exists to fix.
  */
 public final class LeadLauncher {
 
@@ -79,9 +107,9 @@ public final class LeadLauncher {
             return 0;
         }
 
-        Map<String, Integer> live;
+        Map<String, LeadCount> live;
         try {
-            live = liveLeads(leaders);
+            live = countLeads(leaders);
         } catch (HerdrException e) {
             // Counting is the whole safety mechanism against double-spawning. If we cannot count, we
             // must not guess — spawning a second orchestrator is worse than starting none.
@@ -93,9 +121,53 @@ public final class LeadLauncher {
         for (Map.Entry<String, FleetConfig.Leader> e : leaders.entrySet()) {
             String name = e.getKey();
             FleetConfig.Leader lead = e.getValue();
-            int running = live.getOrDefault(name, 0);
+            LeadCount state = live.getOrDefault(name, LeadCount.NONE);
+            int running = state.running();
             int wanted = lead.instances();
 
+            // fleetd #359 review finding 1: a tab already flagged pending-close, still labelled for
+            // this lead, and STILL hosting no agent on this separate reconcile — two independent
+            // readings agree, so close it. A tab found dead for the first time is only flagged below,
+            // never closed on the spot.
+            for (String tabId : state.toClose()) {
+                log.info("lead '{}': closing tab {} — flagged pending-close on a previous reconcile "
+                        + "and still no agent running in it", name, tabId);
+                try {
+                    spaces.closeTab(tabId);
+                } catch (RuntimeException cleanup) {
+                    log.warn("could not close stale tab {} for lead '{}': {}",
+                            tabId, name, cleanup.getMessage());
+                }
+            }
+            // A tab labelled for this lead, with no agent running in it, seen dead for the first
+            // time — flag it rather than closing it. One reading of `agent.list` is not enough
+            // evidence to destroy a tab that might genuinely be live (see the class javadoc).
+            for (String tabId : state.toFlag()) {
+                String flagged = lead.tabLabel() + PendingCloseMarker.SUFFIX;
+                log.info("lead '{}': tab {} has no agent running in it this reconcile — flagging it "
+                        + "'{}' rather than closing; it is only closed if a later reconcile still "
+                        + "finds it dead", name, tabId, flagged);
+                try {
+                    spaces.renameTab(tabId, flagged);
+                } catch (RuntimeException cleanup) {
+                    log.warn("could not flag stale tab {} for lead '{}': {}",
+                            tabId, name, cleanup.getMessage());
+                }
+            }
+            // A previously-flagged tab that is running an agent again — the miss that flagged it was
+            // transient. Clear the flag so a future, unrelated miss starts its own two-reading count
+            // rather than closing on the strength of this one's already-spent flag.
+            for (String tabId : state.toUnflag()) {
+                log.info("lead '{}': tab {} is running an agent again — clearing its pending-close flag",
+                        name, tabId);
+                try {
+                    spaces.renameTab(tabId, lead.tabLabel());
+                } catch (RuntimeException cleanup) {
+                    log.warn("could not clear the pending-close flag on tab {} for lead '{}': {}",
+                            tabId, name, cleanup.getMessage());
+                }
+            }
+
             if (running >= wanted) {
                 log.info("lead '{}': {} live, {} wanted — nothing to start", name, running, wanted);
                 continue;
@@ -126,18 +198,29 @@ public final class LeadLauncher {
     }
 
     /**
-     * How many live leads exist per configured name: a running agent in a tab labelled with that
-     * lead's exact {@code tab} (CB-579). Member workspaces are excluded, exactly as the scanner
-     * excludes them: a member must not be counted as a lead because it happens to sit in a matching
-     * tab.
+     * How many live leads exist per configured name, and which of that name's labelled tabs are
+     * <em>not</em> live: a running agent in a tab labelled with that lead's exact {@code tab}
+     * (CB-579). Member workspaces are excluded, exactly as the scanner excludes them: a member must
+     * not be counted as a lead because it happens to sit in a matching tab.
      *
      * <p>There used to be a second path here — a running agent on the terminal a
      * {@code fleet.leaders.<name>.terminal} pin named, for a lead opened and pinned by hand. That
      * pin is retired: {@code tab} is now the only field identity depends on, and {@link Agent}
      * already carries {@link Agent#tabId()} directly, so a hand-opened lead is found the same way an
      * auto-launched one is — by labelling its tab to match.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #359 review finding 1: a labelled tab with nothing running in it is split into
+     * {@code toClose} (already flagged pending-close by a previous reconcile, and still dead — two
+     * independent readings agree) and {@code toFlag} (dead for the first time — not enough evidence
+     * to close yet). {@code toUnflag} is the reverse: a tab flagged pending-close that is running an
+     * agent again, so the flag it carries no longer means anything and {@link #ensureLeads()} clears
+     * it.
      */
-    private Map<String, Integer> liveLeads(Map<String, FleetConfig.Leader> leaders) {
+    private record LeadCount(int running, List<String> toClose, List<String> toFlag, List<String> toUnflag) {
+        static final LeadCount NONE = new LeadCount(0, List.of(), List.of(), List.of());
+    }
+
+    private Map<String, LeadCount> countLeads(Map<String, FleetConfig.Leader> leaders) {
         // A lead and the members share ONE workspace now (the operator asked for a single "session"
         // with many tabs), so a workspace can no longer be excluded wholesale — the lead lives in the
         // member workspace by design. The sole discriminator is the exact tab label: a lead carries
@@ -145,6 +228,7 @@ public final class LeadLauncher {
         // profile's `worker: {profile} #{n}` template. These never collide, so an exact-label match
         // separates them without needing to know which workspace anyone is in.
         Map<String, String> nameByTab = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        Set<String> flaggedTabIds = new LinkedHashSet<>();
         for (Workspace ws : spaces.listWorkspaces()) {
             if (ws.workspaceId() == null) {
                 continue;
@@ -153,31 +237,65 @@ public final class LeadLauncher {
                 String declared = leadNameOf(tab.label(), leaders);
                 if (declared != null && tab.tabId() != null) {
                     nameByTab.put(tab.tabId(), declared);
+                    if (PendingCloseMarker.isFlagged(tab.label())) {
+                        flaggedTabIds.add(tab.tabId());
+                    }
                 }
             }
         }
 
+        Set<String> liveTabIds = new LinkedHashSet<>();
         Map<String, Integer> counts = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         for (Agent a : agents.list()) {
             String name = nameByTab.get(a.tabId());
             if (name != null) {
                 counts.merge(name, 1, Integer::sum);
+                liveTabIds.add(a.tabId());
             }
         }
-        return counts;
+
+        Map<String, List<String>> toCloseByName = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        Map<String, List<String>> toFlagByName = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        Map<String, List<String>> toUnflagByName = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        nameByTab.forEach((tabId, name) -> {
+            boolean live = liveTabIds.contains(tabId);
+            boolean flagged = flaggedTabIds.contains(tabId);
+            if (live) {
+                if (flagged) {
+                    toUnflagByName.computeIfAbsent(name, k -> new ArrayList<>()).add(tabId);
+                }
+                return;
+            }
+            if (flagged) {
+                toCloseByName.computeIfAbsent(name, k -> new ArrayList<>()).add(tabId);
+            } else {
+                toFlagByName.computeIfAbsent(name, k -> new ArrayList<>()).add(tabId);
+            }
+        });
+
+        Map<String, LeadCount> out = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        for (String name : leaders.keySet()) {
+            out.put(name, new LeadCount(counts.getOrDefault(name, 0),
+                    toCloseByName.getOrDefault(name, List.of()),
+                    toFlagByName.getOrDefault(name, List.of()),
+                    toUnflagByName.getOrDefault(name, List.of())));
+        }
+        return out;
     }
 
     /**
      * The configured lead a tab label names, or {@code null} for a label that names none.
      *
      * <p>Matched exactly (case-insensitively) against each lead's configured {@code tab}, so an
-     * operator's {@code "lead: something-else"} tab is not mistaken for a configured lead.
+     * operator's {@code "lead: something-else"} tab is not mistaken for a configured lead. A
+     * trailing {@link PendingCloseMarker} is stripped first, so a tab this class flagged on a
+     * previous reconcile is still recognised as the same lead's tab on this one.
      */
     private String leadNameOf(String label, Map<String, FleetConfig.Leader> leaders) {
         if (label == null) {
             return null;
         }
-        String l = label.strip();
+        String l = PendingCloseMarker.strip(label);
         for (Map.Entry<String, FleetConfig.Leader> e : leaders.entrySet()) {
             String tab = e.getValue().tabLabel();
             if (tab != null && l.equalsIgnoreCase(tab.strip())) {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/lead/LeadRollover.java

@@ -0,0 +1,649 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.lead;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentControl;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentStatus;
+import org.slf4j.Logger;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.io.IOException;
+import java.io.UncheckedIOException;
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.UUID;
+import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
+import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
+import java.util.function.Consumer;
+import java.util.function.Function;
+import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
+import java.util.function.Supplier;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #480: replace a lead session that has decided it is ready to be rolled over, without an
+ * operator doing it by hand. A lead writes a handover file, calls {@link #open}, and then — once
+ * every gate ({@link #confirm}'s own checks) has passed — a deferred, single-shot continuation
+ * clears the lead's own pane and bootstraps a fresh session against that file.
+ *
+ * <p>This is the executor only. Nothing in this ticket wires an MCP tool onto {@link #open}/
+ * {@link #confirm}/{@link #cancel} — that is a separate, later unit; until it lands, nothing calls
+ * this class at all.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>{@code confirm()} cannot roll inline — a fleetd #480 correction.</strong> The first
+ * version of this class called {@code agents.send(lead, "/clear")} directly from inside {@code
+ * confirm()}, then polled for the pane to become injectable again. That is wrong, because {@code
+ * confirm()} is called BY the lead, FROM the lead's own turn: the lead's pane is {@code WORKING}
+ * for the whole duration of that call and cannot possibly report injectable until {@code confirm()}
+ * itself returns. The poll always timed out — but only after the {@code /clear} had already been
+ * sent and queued in the pane, where it fired the instant the turn ended anyway. The result was the
+ * worst outcome this feature can produce: a silently destroyed lead context with no fresh session
+ * ever started, and a refusal return value that claimed nothing had happened.
+ *
+ * <p>The fix: {@link #confirm} validates every gate, then does no I/O against the lead's own pane
+ * at all — it only records that the request is approved and hands a one-shot continuation to
+ * {@code continuationRunner} before returning. That continuation is what actually touches the pane,
+ * once the calling turn has ended, in this order:
+ * <ol>
+ *   <li>wait for the lead's own pane to report a real turn boundary — {@code IDLE} or {@code
+ *       DONE}, never merely {@code BLOCKED} — i.e. wait for the very {@code confirm()} call that
+ *       approved this roll to finish its turn — bounded by {@code turnSettleSeconds}. <strong>If
+ *       this never happens, nothing else in this list runs: no {@code /clear} is ever sent.</strong>
+ *       A lead that never goes idle is a lead still doing real work, and clearing it would throw
+ *       away live context — exactly the failure this correction exists to prevent.</li>
+ *   <li>{@code agents.send(lead, "/clear")}</li>
+ *   <li>wait for {@code /clear} to be picked up and settle, bounded by {@code clearSettleSeconds}
+ *       (fleetd #489: no longer a plain re-check of the same boundary — {@code /clear} starts no
+ *       turn of its own, so this instead nudges the submit keystroke while no pickup has been seen,
+ *       then waits for a real {@code WORKING} → {@code IDLE}/{@code DONE} boundary once one has;
+ *       see {@link #waitForClearPickupAndSettle})</li>
+ *   <li>{@code agents.send(lead, cfg.bootstrapTextFor(p.handoverPath()))}</li>
+ * </ol>
+ * A {@link #confirm} that returns {@link RollDecision#approved()} therefore means <em>"every gate
+ * passed and the roll is scheduled"</em>, never <em>"the pane has been cleared"</em> — the pane may
+ * still be mid-turn, possibly for a long time, when the caller gets that answer back.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>The safety invariant survives this change, restated precisely.</strong> The ticket
+ * that first defined this class required "no timer, no scheduler, no background thread" so that
+ * nothing but an explicit {@link #confirm} call could ever cause a {@code /clear}. That invariant
+ * is about INITIATIVE, not about synchronicity, and this correction keeps it: {@code
+ * continuationRunner} launches a single-shot task that exists only because one specific,
+ * already-approved {@link #confirm} call created it — it is not recurring, it is not started at
+ * construction time or on any schedule, and no two invocations of it ever share state. A recurring
+ * heartbeat or timer that could decide on its own initiative to roll a pane is still, and will
+ * always be, absent from this class. <strong>Nothing but an explicit {@link #confirm} call that
+ * passes every gate can ever cause a {@code /clear} — that call may simply finish its own work
+ * slightly later than the method return, as a continuation of the same approved request, rather
+ * than entirely inside the method body.</strong>
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Identity is resolved by the caller, never looked up here — a second fleetd #480
+ * correction.</strong> The first version resolved the pane to clear via {@code
+ * PrimaryRegistry#primaryTerminal()}. That is correct for a background loop with no caller (see
+ * {@code dev.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadHeartbeatLoop}), but wrong here and a violation of this project's
+ * own charter invariant 3 — "identity comes from the connection, never an argument." This daemon
+ * can hold more than one labelled lead tab (see {@code LeadLauncher}'s fleetd #359 two-reading
+ * dead-tab cleanup), so a single-slot lookup lets lead X's {@link #confirm} clear lead Y's pane: an
+ * unrecoverable loss of someone else's context, and a different lead's context at that. Both
+ * {@link #open} and {@link #confirm} now take the lead's terminal id as a parameter instead —
+ * {@link #open} stores it on the {@link PendingRollover}, and {@link #confirm} refuses with {@link
+ * RefusalReason#NOT_YOUR_ROLLOVER} unless the caller's terminal matches the one {@link #open}
+ * recorded. <strong>The terminal id passed to both methods must come from the MCP layer's own
+ * connection-based caller resolution — the same source {@code auth/CallerResolver#resolve} uses to
+ * build a {@code Principal.leader(...)} (see its use of {@code ConnectionIdentity.Caller#terminal})
+ * — never a value the client supplies or chooses.</strong> The later MCP-tool unit that wires
+ * {@link #open}/{@link #confirm} must pass the resolved caller terminal, not a request field.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>A relative {@code handoverPath} resolves against the CALLING lead's workspace, never
+ * the daemon's own cwd — a fleetd #480 follow-up.</strong> The daemon and a lead's own pane can
+ * have different working directories (this repo nests {@code fleetd/} inside its own root, so the
+ * daemon's cwd and {@code fleet.leaders.<name>.cwd} already differ on this host). {@link #open}
+ * resolves {@code cfg.handoverPath()} to an ABSOLUTE path exactly once — against {@code
+ * leadWorkspace.apply(leadTerminal)} when that lookup returns a non-null, non-blank workspace, and
+ * against {@code System.getProperty("user.dir")} otherwise (the same fallback {@code
+ * LeadLauncher#launch} already uses for a lead with no configured {@code cwd}) — and stores only
+ * that absolute path on {@link PendingRollover}. Every later read of {@code
+ * PendingRollover#handoverPath()} (the freshness/exists/empty checks in {@link #checkHandover},
+ * the value {@code FleetMcp} hands back to the lead in the {@code open} response so it knows where
+ * to WRITE the file, and {@link FleetConfig.LeadRollover#bootstrapTextFor} which names it in the
+ * text typed into the fresh session) therefore already sees the resolved absolute form and never
+ * needs to resolve anything itself.
+ */
+public final class LeadRollover {
+
+    private static final Logger log = LoggerFactory.getLogger(LeadRollover.class);
+
+    /** Poll interval while waiting for the lead's pane to settle after {@code /clear}. */
+    static final long SETTLE_POLL_MS = 250;
+
+    /**
+     * How many consecutive not-yet-picked-up polls {@link #waitForClearPickupAndSettle} allows
+     * before releasing rather than wedging the roll — the same constant and the same
+     * release-not-wedge choice {@link dev.ltms.fleet.inject.Injector} already makes for its own
+     * post-turn {@code /clear} housekeeping (fleetd #306). <strong>This bounds the number of
+     * consecutive polls, not the number of nudges:</strong> the first {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS - 1}
+     * of those polls each send a nudge, and the {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS}th releases instead of
+     * nudging again — so 8 polls produce 7 nudges, not 8.
+     */
+    static final int PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS = 8;
+
+    /**
+     * One request opened by {@link #open}, pending its {@link #confirm} (or {@link #cancel}).
+     *
+     * @param leadTerminal the lead pane that opened this request — the only terminal that may
+     *                     later {@link #confirm} it (see {@link RefusalReason#NOT_YOUR_ROLLOVER})
+     * @param handoverPath the ABSOLUTE, resolved handover path — never the raw configured value,
+     *                     which may have been relative. {@link #open} resolves it once, against the
+     *                     calling lead's workspace, before storing it here; see this class's
+     *                     javadoc. This is the value the MCP layer hands back to the lead as
+     *                     "write your file here", so callers may rely on it always being absolute.
+     */
+    public record PendingRollover(String token, String leadTerminal, String handoverPath,
+                                   long requestedAtMillis) {}
+
+    /** Which check refused a {@link #confirm} call, named so a caller can act on it. */
+    public enum RefusalReason {
+        /** {@code leadRollover:} is not configured — absent at construction, or removed since. */
+        NOT_CONFIGURED,
+        /** {@code token} names no pending request: never opened, already confirmed, or cancelled. */
+        UNKNOWN_TOKEN,
+        /**
+         * The caller's terminal does not match the terminal that {@link #open} recorded for this
+         * token. Only the lead that opened a request may confirm it (fleetd #480 correction 2).
+         */
+        NOT_YOUR_ROLLOVER,
+        /** {@code requireOperatorConfirm: true} and the caller passed {@code operatorConfirmed: false}. */
+        OPERATOR_NOT_CONFIRMED,
+        /** The handover file does not exist. */
+        HANDOVER_MISSING,
+        /** The handover file exists but is empty. */
+        HANDOVER_EMPTY,
+        /**
+         * The handover file's modified time is not after {@link #open}'s request timestamp, or is
+         * older than {@code maxDocAgeSeconds}.
+         */
+        HANDOVER_STALE
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The outcome of a {@link #confirm} call. {@link #approved()} means every gate passed and the
+     * roll has been handed to a one-shot continuation — <strong>not</strong> that the pane has been
+     * cleared; the continuation may still be waiting for the calling turn to end when this returns.
+     * Whether the deferred roll itself later goes on to clear the pane, refuse for never going
+     * idle, or refuse for never re-settling after {@code /clear} is logged only (see this class's
+     * javadoc) — there is deliberately no synchronous caller left by that point to hand a result to.
+     */
+    public record RollDecision(boolean accepted, RefusalReason reason, String detail) {
+        static RollDecision approved() {
+            return new RollDecision(true, null, "confirmed; the roll will run once the calling turn ends");
+        }
+
+        static RollDecision refused(RefusalReason reason, String detail) {
+            return new RollDecision(false, reason, detail);
+        }
+    }
+
+    private final AgentControl agents;
+    private final Supplier<FleetConfig.LeadRollover> configSupplier;
+    /**
+     * Terminal id → that lead's configured workspace directory (their {@code
+     * fleet.leaders.<name>.cwd}), or {@code null} when the terminal names no currently-recognised
+     * lead. {@link #open} calls this to resolve a relative {@code handoverPath} — see this class's
+     * javadoc. Required: there is no sane default that would not silently reintroduce the
+     * daemon-cwd bug this parameter exists to fix.
+     */
+    private final Function<String, String> leadWorkspace;
+    private final LongSupplier nowMillis;
+    private final Runnable settleSleeper;
+    /**
+     * Launches the post-{@code confirm()} continuation. Production uses a single unstarted virtual
+     * thread per confirmed request — see this class's javadoc for why that is a single-shot task,
+     * not a background scheduler. Tests inject {@code Runnable::run} to make the continuation run
+     * synchronously and deterministically on the calling thread.
+     */
+    private final Consumer<Runnable> continuationRunner;
+    private final Map<String, PendingRollover> pending = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
+
+    /** Production constructor — wall clock, real sleep between settle polls, a real virtual thread. */
+    public LeadRollover(AgentControl agents, Supplier<FleetConfig.LeadRollover> configSupplier,
+                         Function<String, String> leadWorkspace) {
+        this(agents, configSupplier, leadWorkspace, System::currentTimeMillis,
+                () -> sleepUninterruptibly(SETTLE_POLL_MS),
+                r -> Thread.ofVirtual().name("lead-rollover-continuation-").start(r));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Full constructor — an injectable wall-clock supplier, settle-poll sleeper, and continuation
+     * runner, for tests. {@code nowMillis} MUST be a wall-clock source (e.g. {@code
+     * System.currentTimeMillis()}), never {@code System.nanoTime()}: the freshness check compares
+     * against a file's modified time, which only a wall clock is comparable to, and {@code
+     * nanoTime} freezes while the host sleeps (fleetd #386).
+     */
+    LeadRollover(AgentControl agents, Supplier<FleetConfig.LeadRollover> configSupplier,
+                 Function<String, String> leadWorkspace, LongSupplier nowMillis,
+                 Runnable settleSleeper, Consumer<Runnable> continuationRunner) {
+        this.agents = agents;
+        this.configSupplier = configSupplier;
+        this.leadWorkspace = leadWorkspace;
+        this.nowMillis = nowMillis;
+        this.settleSleeper = settleSleeper;
+        this.continuationRunner = continuationRunner;
+    }
+
+    private static void sleepUninterruptibly(long ms) {
+        try {
+            Thread.sleep(ms);
+        } catch (InterruptedException e) {
+            Thread.currentThread().interrupt();
+            // preserve the interrupt flag but continue — this poll loop should not be aborted by an
+            // interrupt that was not meant for it.
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The lead says it is ready to be replaced. Generates a token and records the resolved
+     * handover path, this moment's wall-clock timestamp (the baseline {@link #confirm} checks the
+     * handover file's modified time against), and {@code leadTerminal} — only that exact terminal
+     * may later {@link #confirm} this token.
+     *
+     * @param leadTerminal the calling lead's terminal id, resolved by the MCP layer from the
+     *                     connection (see this class's javadoc) — never a client-supplied value
+     * @param reason       free-text audit note (logged only; not otherwise interpreted or stored)
+     * @throws IllegalStateException   if {@code leadRollover:} is not configured
+     * @throws IllegalArgumentException if {@code leadTerminal} is null or blank
+     */
+    public PendingRollover open(String leadTerminal, String reason) {
+        FleetConfig.LeadRollover cfg = configSupplier.get();
+        if (cfg == null) {
+            throw new IllegalStateException("leadRollover: is not configured");
+        }
+        if (leadTerminal == null || leadTerminal.isBlank()) {
+            throw new IllegalArgumentException("leadTerminal is required — it must be resolved from "
+                    + "the caller's connection, never accepted as a client-chosen argument");
+        }
+        String token = UUID.randomUUID().toString();
+        long requestedAt = nowMillis.getAsLong();
+        String resolvedPath = resolveHandoverPath(cfg.handoverPath(), leadTerminal);
+        PendingRollover p = new PendingRollover(token, leadTerminal, resolvedPath, requestedAt);
+        pending.put(token, p);
+        if (resolvedPath.equals(cfg.handoverPath())) {
+            log.info("lead-rollover: open token={} lead={} handoverPath={} reason={}",
+                    token, leadTerminal, resolvedPath, reason);
+        } else {
+            // The configured value was relative (or merely un-normalized) and resolved to a
+            // different string — log both, so an operator reading this line can see which
+            // directory the daemon actually looked in, not just the value it was given.
+            log.info("lead-rollover: open token={} lead={} configuredHandoverPath={} "
+                            + "resolvedHandoverPath={} reason={}",
+                    token, leadTerminal, cfg.handoverPath(), resolvedPath, reason);
+        }
+        return p;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Resolve {@code configured} to an absolute path exactly once, here, so nothing downstream
+     * ({@link #checkHandover}, the MCP layer's {@code open} response, {@link
+     * FleetConfig.LeadRollover#bootstrapTextFor}) ever has to resolve — or worse, silently
+     * mis-resolve — a relative path again.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>The return value is GUARANTEED absolute, not merely usually absolute.</strong>
+     * {@code leadWorkspace.apply(leadTerminal)} returns an operator-configured {@code
+     * fleet.leaders.<name>.cwd} string, and nothing forces an operator to write an absolute one —
+     * a relative {@code cwd} resolved with plain {@link Path#resolve} would still yield a relative
+     * result, silently reopening the exact bug this class exists to fix (every later reader back to
+     * interpreting an ambiguous string against ITS OWN working directory). {@link
+     * Path#toAbsolutePath()} closes that: it resolves any remaining relative path against {@code
+     * user.dir} (the JVM's own cwd), which is the correct base for an operator-written path the
+     * daemon process itself is meant to interpret, exactly like the {@code user.dir} fallback used
+     * below. Applying it unconditionally on both branches means the ALREADY-absolute branch stays a
+     * no-op (an absolute path is unaffected by {@code toAbsolutePath()}) while the relative-{@code
+     * cwd} branch above is closed the same way.
+     *
+     * <ul>
+     *   <li>already absolute → returned unchanged (normalized)</li>
+     *   <li>relative → resolved against {@code leadWorkspace.apply(leadTerminal)} when that is
+     *       non-null and non-blank; otherwise against {@code System.getProperty("user.dir")} — the
+     *       same fallback {@code LeadLauncher#launch} uses for a lead with no configured {@code
+     *       cwd}. If {@code leadWorkspace}'s own answer is itself relative (an operator wrote a
+     *       relative {@code cwd:}), the result is finished off against the daemon's own
+     *       {@code user.dir} — see the paragraph above.</li>
+     * </ul>
+     */
+    private String resolveHandoverPath(String configured, String leadTerminal) {
+        Path path = Path.of(configured);
+        if (path.isAbsolute()) {
+            // toAbsolutePath() is a no-op for an already-absolute path — kept here anyway so both
+            // branches call the exact same guarantee, rather than one branch relying on
+            // isAbsolute() alone to already imply what toAbsolutePath() enforces.
+            return path.toAbsolutePath().normalize().toString();
+        }
+        String workspace = leadWorkspace.apply(leadTerminal);
+        Path base = (workspace == null || workspace.isBlank())
+                ? Path.of(System.getProperty("user.dir"))
+                : Path.of(workspace);
+        return base.resolve(path).toAbsolutePath().normalize().toString();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Validate every gate, then — if and only if all of them pass — hand a one-shot continuation
+     * that performs the actual roll to {@code continuationRunner} and return. <strong>This method
+     * never itself sends anything to the lead's pane</strong> — see this class's javadoc for why
+     * (it is called FROM the lead's own turn, so the pane cannot possibly be injectable yet).
+     *
+     * <p>Order: token lookup, then ownership ({@code callerTerminal} must match the terminal
+     * {@link #open} recorded — {@link RefusalReason#NOT_YOUR_ROLLOVER}), then the
+     * operator-confirmation gate, then the three handover-file checks (exists, not empty, fresh —
+     * see {@link #checkHandover}). The first failing check is returned and {@code token} stays
+     * pending (so a caller can fix the problem — e.g. rewrite the handover file — and retry with
+     * the same token); it is consumed only once every gate passes and the continuation is launched.
+     *
+     * @param callerTerminal    the CALLING lead's terminal id, resolved by the MCP layer from the
+     *                          connection — never a client-supplied value (see this class's javadoc)
+     * @param token             the token {@link #open} returned
+     * @param operatorConfirmed the caller's answer to "has an operator confirmed this roll" —
+     *                          consulted only when the live config's {@code requireOperatorConfirm}
+     *                          is true
+     */
+    public RollDecision confirm(String callerTerminal, String token, boolean operatorConfirmed) {
+        FleetConfig.LeadRollover cfg = configSupplier.get();
+        if (cfg == null) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.NOT_CONFIGURED, "leadRollover: is not configured");
+        }
+        PendingRollover p = pending.get(token);
+        if (p == null) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.UNKNOWN_TOKEN,
+                    "token " + token + " names no pending rollover request");
+        }
+        if (!p.leadTerminal().equals(callerTerminal)) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.NOT_YOUR_ROLLOVER,
+                    "token " + token + " was opened by a different lead terminal");
+        }
+        if (cfg.requireOperatorConfirm() && !operatorConfirmed) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.OPERATOR_NOT_CONFIRMED,
+                    "requireOperatorConfirm is true and operatorConfirmed was false");
+        }
+
+        RollDecision docCheck = checkHandover(p, cfg);
+        if (docCheck != null) {
+            return docCheck;
+        }
+
+        pending.remove(token);
+        log.info("lead-rollover: confirmed token={} lead={} — roll scheduled once the calling turn ends",
+                token, callerTerminal);
+        continuationRunner.accept(() -> runRollover(p, cfg));
+        return RollDecision.approved();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The single-shot continuation {@link #confirm} hands to {@code continuationRunner}. Runs
+     * entirely after {@link #confirm} has returned to its caller — see this class's javadoc for the
+     * four-step order. There is no result to return to by this point, so every outcome is logged
+     * only.
+     */
+    private void runRollover(PendingRollover p, FleetConfig.LeadRollover cfg) {
+        String lead = p.leadTerminal();
+        long rollStartMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong();
+        TurnSettleResult turnResult = waitUntilAtTurnBoundary(lead, cfg.turnSettleSeconds());
+        if (!turnResult.settled()) {
+            // fleetd #494 follow-up: this line had the SAME defect as the /clear-timeout line below
+            // — cfg.turnSettleSeconds() is the CONFIGURED budget, not how long this wait actually
+            // ran. Print the measured elapsed time alongside it, labelled, exactly like the /clear
+            // path already does.
+            log.warn("lead-rollover: pane {} did not reach a turn boundary (IDLE or DONE) after "
+                            + "confirm() — refusing to send /clear at all; the calling lead's own "
+                            + "turn is still live and clearing it now would destroy live context "
+                            + "(token={}, configured={}s elapsed={}ms)",
+                    lead, p.token(), cfg.turnSettleSeconds(), turnResult.elapsedMillis());
+            return;
+        }
+
+        // This deliberately bypasses Injector, exactly like ClaudeCodeLauncher#clearContext:
+        // /clear is housekeeping, not a delegated turn, and routing it through Injector wedges the
+        // pane forever (see this class's javadoc).
+        agents.send(lead, "/clear");
+        ClearSettleResult clearResult = waitForClearPickupAndSettle(lead, cfg.clearSettleSeconds());
+        if (!clearResult.settled()) {
+            // fleetd #494: cfg.clearSettleSeconds() is the CONFIGURED budget, not how long the wait
+            // actually ran — an operator reading only that number wrongly believes it is a measured
+            // duration. Print the measured elapsed time and nudge count alongside it, each labelled,
+            // so the two can be compared at a glance.
+            log.warn("lead-rollover: pane {} did not reach a turn boundary (IDLE or DONE) after "
+                            + "/clear — NOT sending bootstrapText (token={}, configured={}s "
+                            + "elapsed={}ms nudges={})",
+                    lead, p.token(), cfg.clearSettleSeconds(), clearResult.elapsedMillis(),
+                    clearResult.nudges());
+            return;
+        }
+        agents.send(lead, cfg.bootstrapTextFor(p.handoverPath()));
+        long rollElapsedMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong() - rollStartMillis;
+        log.info("lead-rollover: rolled token={} lead={} elapsedMs={}", p.token(), lead, rollElapsedMillis);
+    }
+
+    /** Drop a pending request without rolling. @return whether a pending request existed for {@code token} */
+    public boolean cancel(String token) {
+        return pending.remove(token) != null;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The three handover-file checks, in order: exists, not empty, fresh (modified after
+     * {@link #open}'s timestamp and not older than {@code maxDocAgeSeconds}). Stats {@code
+     * p.handoverPath()} directly — {@link #open} already resolved it to an absolute path, so this
+     * never has to guess which directory it means.
+     *
+     * @return the first failing check's refusal, or {@code null} when all three pass
+     */
+    private RollDecision checkHandover(PendingRollover p, FleetConfig.LeadRollover cfg) {
+        Path path = Path.of(p.handoverPath());
+        if (!Files.exists(path)) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.HANDOVER_MISSING,
+                    "handover file " + p.handoverPath() + " does not exist");
+        }
+        long size;
+        long mtimeMillis;
+        try {
+            size = Files.size(path);
+            mtimeMillis = Files.getLastModifiedTime(path).toMillis();
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            throw new UncheckedIOException("failed to stat handover file " + p.handoverPath(), e);
+        }
+        if (size == 0) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.HANDOVER_EMPTY,
+                    "handover file " + p.handoverPath() + " is empty");
+        }
+        if (mtimeMillis <= p.requestedAtMillis()) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.HANDOVER_STALE,
+                    "handover file " + p.handoverPath() + " was not modified after the open() "
+                            + "request (mtime=" + mtimeMillis + "ms, requestedAt=" + p.requestedAtMillis() + "ms)");
+        }
+        long ageMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong() - mtimeMillis;
+        long maxAgeMillis = TimeUnit.SECONDS.toMillis(cfg.maxDocAgeSeconds());
+        if (ageMillis > maxAgeMillis) {
+            return RollDecision.refused(RefusalReason.HANDOVER_STALE,
+                    "handover file " + p.handoverPath() + " is " + TimeUnit.MILLISECONDS.toSeconds(ageMillis)
+                            + "s old, older than maxDocAgeSeconds=" + cfg.maxDocAgeSeconds());
+        }
+        return null;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Poll {@link AgentControl#status} until {@code target} reports a real turn boundary — {@link
+     * AgentStatus#IDLE} or {@link AgentStatus#DONE} — bounded by {@code settleSeconds}. Used once by
+     * {@link #runRollover}, to wait for the CALLING turn's own pane to settle before {@code /clear}
+     * is ever sent at all — the {@code turnSettleSeconds} gate that makes this correction safe. The
+     * SECOND wait, after {@code /clear}, is {@link #waitForClearPickupAndSettle} instead (fleetd
+     * #489) — a plain boundary check is not enough there, because {@code /clear} starts no turn of
+     * its own, so this method would (wrongly) report "settled" on its very first poll whether or not
+     * {@code /clear} was actually picked up. A failed status read degrades to "not yet settled" and
+     * is retried on the next poll, the same posture {@code LeadHeartbeatLoop} and {@code
+     * HerdrPeerLauncher}'s readiness gate already take toward an unreadable status.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Deliberately not {@link AgentStatus#injectable()}.</strong> {@code injectable()}
+     * answers the {@code Injector}'s question — "may I deliver a message without stepping on a live
+     * turn" — and it accepts {@link AgentStatus#BLOCKED} for that purpose, because a pane paused on
+     * an approval prompt is safe to queue a message behind. This class asks a stricter question —
+     * "has the turn actually ended" — and {@code BLOCKED} answers no: it is a live turn that is
+     * merely paused, not one that has finished. Reusing {@code injectable()} here would let this
+     * wait fire {@code /clear} while the lead's own {@code confirm()}-calling turn is still live and
+     * paused on a prompt — exactly the live-context-destroying failure the {@code turnSettleSeconds}
+     * gate exists to prevent. Do not "simplify" this back to {@code injectable()}. ({@link
+     * #waitForClearPickupAndSettle} keeps the same exclusion of {@code BLOCKED}, for the same
+     * reason, on the second wait.)
+     *
+     * @return a {@link TurnSettleResult} whose {@code settled()} is {@code true} once a real
+     *         boundary was observed, {@code false} if {@code settleSeconds} elapses first.
+     *         {@code elapsedMillis()} is a MEASURED value from the injected {@link #nowMillis}
+     *         clock, never the configured {@code settleSeconds} budget (fleetd #494 follow-up).
+     */
+    private TurnSettleResult waitUntilAtTurnBoundary(String target, int settleSeconds) {
+        long startMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong();
+        long deadline = startMillis + TimeUnit.SECONDS.toMillis(settleSeconds);
+        while (nowMillis.getAsLong() < deadline) {
+            AgentStatus status;
+            try {
+                status = agents.status(target);
+            } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+                log.debug("lead-rollover: status check failed while waiting for {} to settle: {}",
+                        target, e.toString());
+                status = null;
+            }
+            if (status == AgentStatus.IDLE || status == AgentStatus.DONE) {
+                return new TurnSettleResult(true, nowMillis.getAsLong() - startMillis);
+            }
+            settleSleeper.run();
+        }
+        return new TurnSettleResult(false, nowMillis.getAsLong() - startMillis);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The measured outcome of {@link #waitUntilAtTurnBoundary} — fleetd #494 follow-up. The sibling
+     * of {@link ClearSettleResult} for the FIRST wait, which never nudges, so it carries no nudge
+     * count.
+     */
+    private record TurnSettleResult(boolean settled, long elapsedMillis) {}
+
+    /**
+     * The SECOND wait in {@link #runRollover} — after {@code /clear} has been sent, waits for it to
+     * settle, bounded by {@code settleSeconds}. <strong>fleetd #489 — the paste-race fix.</strong>
+     * {@code /clear} does not start a real turn of its own, so a pane with no submit race simply
+     * stays {@link AgentStatus#IDLE} the whole time: {@link #waitUntilAtTurnBoundary} would (wrongly)
+     * call that "settled" on its very first poll, whether or not the {@code /clear} Enter actually
+     * landed. That was Fault 1, measured live on 2026-09-12 — the second gate was a no-op, so a
+     * {@code bootstrapText} send followed immediately, racing Fault 2: {@link AgentControl#submit}'s
+     * own javadoc already records that the submit accompanying a delivery "can race the paste —
+     * especially right as the worker's TUI becomes interactive — leaving the text unsubmitted"
+     * (CB-113). Because {@code runRollover} deliberately bypasses {@code Injector} for {@code
+     * /clear} (see this class's javadoc), it inherited none of {@code Injector}'s nudging — so the
+     * lost {@code /clear} Enter sat in the input box and {@code bootstrapText} was typed right after
+     * it, landing as one concatenated line.
+     *
+     * <p>This method copies the pickup-nudge pattern {@link dev.ltms.fleet.inject.Injector} already
+     * ships for exactly this, on its own post-turn {@code /clear} housekeeping (fleetd #306; see
+     * {@code Injector.java:288-340} and {@code Injector.java:437-442}):
+     * <ul>
+     *   <li>an {@link AgentStatus#WORKING} sample means {@code /clear} was picked up as a real
+     *       turn;</li>
+     *   <li>until that happens, each poll that still reports {@link AgentStatus#IDLE} or {@link
+     *       AgentStatus#DONE} re-sends the submit keystroke ({@link AgentControl#submit}) to nudge
+     *       the raced Enter — for the first {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS - 1} of {@link
+     *       #PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS} consecutive such polls (i.e. {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS - 1}
+     *       nudges: 7, not 8, given {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS = 8}). A second Enter on an empty
+     *       Claude Code prompt is a no-op, so repeating it is safe;</li>
+     *   <li>the {@code PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS}th consecutive such poll, with {@code WORKING} still never
+     *       observed, releases rather than wedges the roll instead of nudging again — the same
+     *       choice {@code Injector} makes — and returns {@code settled() == true} anyway, logged at
+     *       {@code warn} with the measured elapsed time (fleetd #494) so an operator can see which
+     *       path ran and how long it actually took;</li>
+     *   <li>once {@code WORKING} has been observed, nudging stops and this instead waits for a real
+     *       {@code working → IDLE/DONE} completion boundary before returning {@code true}.</li>
+     * </ul>
+     *
+     * <p><strong>{@link AgentStatus#BLOCKED} is deliberately excluded from both the nudge and the
+     * boundary check</strong> — the same reasoning as {@link #waitUntilAtTurnBoundary}'s own
+     * javadoc: a paused live turn is not a settled one, and re-sending Enter into an open approval
+     * prompt could wrongly answer it. A {@code BLOCKED} sample (or an unreadable/{@link
+     * AgentStatus#UNKNOWN} one) simply keeps this polling, with no nudge and no release, until either
+     * a real boundary is reached or {@code settleSeconds} runs out.
+     *
+     * <p>{@link AgentControl#submit} can itself throw; a {@link RuntimeException} from it is
+     * swallowed and logged at {@code debug}, exactly like {@code Injector.java:437-442} — a failed
+     * nudge must not abort the roll.
+     *
+     * @return a {@link ClearSettleResult} whose {@code settled()} is {@code true} once {@code
+     *         /clear} has settled, or once the nudge budget was exhausted with no pickup ever
+     *         observed (released rather than wedged); {@code false} if {@code settleSeconds} elapses
+     *         first — the caller must NOT send {@code bootstrapText} in that case, exactly as before
+     *         this fix. {@code elapsedMillis()} and {@code nudges()} are MEASURED values (from the
+     *         injected {@link #nowMillis} clock and an actual nudge count), never the configured
+     *         {@code settleSeconds} budget (fleetd #494).
+     */
+    private ClearSettleResult waitForClearPickupAndSettle(String target, int settleSeconds) {
+        long startMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong();
+        long deadline = startMillis + TimeUnit.SECONDS.toMillis(settleSeconds);
+        boolean pickedUp = false; // a WORKING sample has been observed since /clear was sent
+        int idlePollsAwaitingPickup = 0;
+        int nudges = 0;
+        while (nowMillis.getAsLong() < deadline) {
+            AgentStatus status;
+            try {
+                status = agents.status(target);
+            } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+                log.debug("lead-rollover: status check failed while waiting for {} to settle after "
+                        + "/clear: {}", target, e.toString());
+                status = null;
+            }
+            if (status == AgentStatus.WORKING) {
+                pickedUp = true;
+            } else if (status == AgentStatus.IDLE || status == AgentStatus.DONE) {
+                if (pickedUp) {
+                    // a real WORKING -> IDLE/DONE completion boundary
+                    return new ClearSettleResult(true, nowMillis.getAsLong() - startMillis, nudges);
+                }
+                if (++idlePollsAwaitingPickup >= PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS) {
+                    long elapsedMillis = nowMillis.getAsLong() - startMillis;
+                    // fleetd #494: this release trades a possibly-unsubmitted /clear for progress
+                    // instead of wedging the roll — that trade is deliberate and stays. But it is
+                    // also exactly the case that reported false success in the real incident (the
+                    // whole roll "succeeded" after 438ms of a 20s budget), so raise it to WARN and
+                    // print the MEASURED elapsed time next to the target pane, not just the count.
+                    //
+                    // fleetd #494 follow-up (2nd pass): BOTH numbers in this line must come from
+                    // the loop's own counters, never from the PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS constant.
+                    // `idlePollsAwaitingPickup` and `nudges` each have exactly one write site in
+                    // this loop, on the same branch, so on this branch they cannot differ from
+                    // PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS / PICKUP_GRACE_POLLS - 1 today — no test can prove the
+                    // difference on this line, and printing the counters does not change that.
+                    // What it does buy: one source of truth instead of two, so a later change to
+                    // the loop (an early return, a second increment site, a different exit
+                    // condition) cannot leave this message reporting a number the loop no longer
+                    // produces. The place where `nudges` genuinely varies with the run — and is
+                    // covered by a test that can tell it apart from a constant — is the
+                    // /clear-timeout warn in runRollover, which prints clearResult.nudges().
+                    log.warn("lead-rollover: /clear on {} was never observed as WORKING after {} "
+                                    + "consecutive IDLE/DONE polls ({} of those were nudged) — "
+                                    + "releasing rather than wedging the roll (elapsed={}ms)",
+                            target, idlePollsAwaitingPickup, nudges, elapsedMillis);
+                    return new ClearSettleResult(true, elapsedMillis, nudges);
+                }
+                try {
+                    agents.submit(target); // nudge a raced Enter (CB-113) so /clear actually submits
+                } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+                    log.debug("lead-rollover: resubmit to {} failed (will retry next poll): {}",
+                            target, e.getMessage());
+                } finally {
+                    nudges++; // an attempted nudge, whether or not the submit call itself threw
+                }
+            }
+            // AgentStatus.BLOCKED or UNKNOWN (or an unreadable status, above): neither a pickup
+            // signal nor a boundary — keep polling without nudging or releasing.
+            settleSleeper.run();
+        }
+        return new ClearSettleResult(false, nowMillis.getAsLong() - startMillis, nudges);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The measured outcome of {@link #waitForClearPickupAndSettle} — fleetd #494. Carries the
+     * MEASURED elapsed time (from the injected {@link #nowMillis} clock) and nudge count alongside
+     * the settle/timeout decision, so callers can log them instead of the configured budget, which
+     * is not how long the wait actually ran.
+     */
+    private record ClearSettleResult(boolean settled, long elapsedMillis, int nudges) {}
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/mcp/CharterToolSurface.java

@@ -0,0 +1,81 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.mcp;
+
+import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.regex.Matcher;
+import java.util.regex.Pattern;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #469: a launch charter that names an MCP tool the server does not register must stop the
+ * daemon at startup, not wait for a member to discover the gap by calling something that is not
+ * there.
+ *
+ * <p>Deliberately its own class outside {@code dev.ltms.fleet.config}, not a case in {@link
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig#validateCharters()}. The canonical tool surface ({@link
+ * FleetTool}) lives in the {@code mcp} package; config is loaded before the MCP server exists and
+ * must not gain a dependency on it. So this check belongs at the seam that already holds both a
+ * loaded {@code FleetConfig} and the {@code mcp} package: {@code Fleetd.main}, called right after
+ * {@code cfg.validateAll()} and before anything opens a socket or spawns a member.
+ *
+ * <p>{@code #464}'s {@code CharterToolSurfaceTest} proved the same comparison against a charter
+ * fixture it wrote itself into a {@code @TempDir}, which meant nothing anyone wrote into the live
+ * {@code fleetd.yaml} could ever fail it. This class is what a real charter is actually checked
+ * against at boot; {@code FleetdStartupValidationTest} exercises it through {@code Fleetd.main}
+ * itself, the same way it proves every other {@code validateXxx()} still runs there.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>fleetd #474</strong> — startup was not the only door: {@code
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef#reload()} used to run {@code FleetConfig#validateAll()} alone,
+ * which does not look at what a charter's text names, so a charter naming an unregistered tool
+ * that could not have booted the daemon could still be installed into a running one through a
+ * reload. This class still knows nothing about {@code ConfigRef} — {@code Fleetd.main} wires a
+ * small {@code FleetConfig -> void} adapter over {@link #assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}
+ * ({@code Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}) into {@code ConfigRef}'s constructor as
+ * its {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>} {@code extraValidation}, run inside {@code reload()}'s same
+ * try/catch as {@code validateAll()}, so both call sites — {@code Fleetd.main} at startup and
+ * {@code ConfigRef#reload()} afterwards — go through this one method and can never check different
+ * things. {@code dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRefTest} and {@code
+ * FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest} are what prove the reload call site, the same way
+ * {@code FleetdStartupValidationTest} proves the startup one.
+ */
+public final class CharterToolSurface {
+
+    /** A {@code fleet_…} (current) or {@code bridge_…} (pre-CB-634) tool-shaped token in prose. */
+    private static final Pattern TOOL_REFERENCE = Pattern.compile("(fleet_[a-z_]+|bridge_[a-z_]+)");
+
+    private CharterToolSurface() {
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param charters the configured {@code fleet.charters:} map (role wire name → charter text);
+     *                 {@code null} or empty is a no-op, same as an absent {@code fleet:} block
+     * @throws IllegalStateException naming the charter key and every tool it names that {@link
+     *                                FleetTool} does not list, when any charter does so
+     */
+    public static void assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools(Map<String, String> charters) {
+        if (charters == null || charters.isEmpty()) {
+            return;
+        }
+        Set<String> registered = FleetTool.wireNames();
+        List<String> bad = new ArrayList<>();
+        charters.forEach((key, text) -> {
+            if (text == null) {
+                return;
+            }
+            Set<String> named = new LinkedHashSet<>();
+            Matcher m = TOOL_REFERENCE.matcher(text);
+            while (m.find()) {
+                named.add(m.group(1));
+            }
+            named.stream()
+                    .filter(t -> !registered.contains(t))
+                    .forEach(unknown -> bad.add("fleet.charters." + key + " names '" + unknown
+                            + "', which the server does not register (registered: " + registered + ")."));
+        });
+        if (!bad.isEmpty()) {
+            throw new IllegalStateException("refusing to start: " + String.join(" ", bad));
+        }
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/mcp/ConnectionIdentity.java

@@ -33,9 +33,10 @@ public final class ConnectionIdentity {
 
     /**
      * The caller resolved from the connection: its worker {@code terminal} (or {@code null} for the
-     * primary / an off-host client) and its {@code pid} (or {@code -1} if not resolvable).
+     * primary / an off-host client), its {@code pid} (or {@code -1} if not resolvable), and whether
+     * the pane scan behind {@code terminal} ran to completion ({@link #scanComplete}).
      */
-    public record Caller(String terminal, long pid) {
+    public record Caller(String terminal, long pid, boolean scanComplete) {
 
         /**
          * Whether the OS peer-PID lookup actually succeeded — {@code false} means {@code pid} is
@@ -51,6 +52,10 @@ public final class ConnectionIdentity {
          * {@link ConnectionIdentity#isLoopback} is centralised rather than left for each caller to
          * reimplement: a raw {@code pid > 0} check duplicated at every call site is precisely the
          * "one rule, two copies" shape that let #305 drift.
+         *
+         * <p>This method is deliberately NOT widened for fleetd #505's failure (a herdr error
+         * during the pane scan, not a failed lsof lookup) — it still tests only the sentinel it is
+         * named for. #505 is a different axis, carried separately in {@link #scanComplete}.
          */
         public boolean resolved() {
             return pid > 0;
@@ -60,10 +65,11 @@ public final class ConnectionIdentity {
     /** Resolve the caller's terminal and PID from one peer-PID lookup. */
     public Caller resolve(String remoteAddr, int remotePort) {
         if (!isLoopback(remoteAddr)) {
-            return new Caller(null, -1); // only same-host callers can be workers
+            return new Caller(null, -1, true); // only same-host callers can be workers
         }
         long pid = pids.pidForLocalPort(remotePort);
-        return new Caller(panes.terminalForPid(pid), pid);
+        PaneLocator.Lookup lookup = panes.terminalForPid(pid);
+        return new Caller(lookup.terminal(), pid, lookup.complete());
     }
 
     /**

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/mcp/FleetTool.java

@@ -0,0 +1,83 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.mcp;
+
+import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Optional;
+import java.util.Set;
+
+/**
+ * The one canonical set of MCP tool names this daemon registers (fleetd #469, follow-up to #464).
+ *
+ * <p>Before this enum, the tool surface was written twice with nothing tying the copies together:
+ * once as the literal {@code "fleet_…"} string passed to each tool-schema builder in
+ * {@link FleetMcp}, and again as the case labels of {@link FleetMcp}'s authorization switch. A
+ * reader that needed "what does this server register" — a charter check, in particular — had no
+ * source to ask except scraping {@code FleetMcp.java}'s source text for {@code tool("…")} calls: a
+ * third copy of the same list, and the weakest of the three forms.
+ *
+ * <p>Every reader that needs the registered tool surface now asks this enum instead:
+ *
+ * <ul>
+ *   <li>the tool-schema builders in {@code FleetMcp} pass {@code wireName()} rather than a literal;
+ *   <li>{@code FleetMcp}'s constructor asserts, at startup, that the set of tool names it actually
+ *       registers with the MCP SDK equals {@link #wireNames()} exactly — a canonical entry that is
+ *       never registered, or a registration with no canonical entry backing it, fails the daemon's
+ *       own boot rather than only a test's;
+ *   <li>{@code FleetMcp.toolAction}'s dispatch onto {@code Authz.Action} switches on the enum
+ *       (not the raw string) with no {@code default}, so adding a tool here without pinning its
+ *       action is a compile error, not a run-time throw;
+ *   <li>{@link CharterToolSurface} asks {@link #wireNames()} to check a configured launch charter
+ *       against the live tool surface, instead of scraping source text a third time.
+ * </ul>
+ */
+public enum FleetTool {
+
+    SEND("fleet_send"),
+    REPLY("fleet_reply"),
+    ASK("fleet_ask"),
+    STATUS("fleet_status"),
+    POLL("fleet_poll"),
+    ACK("fleet_ack"),
+    SPAWN("fleet_spawn"),
+    LIST("fleet_list"),
+    STOP("fleet_stop"),
+    PROFILES("fleet_profiles"),
+    WHOAMI("fleet_whoami"),
+    HANDOVER("fleet_handover");
+
+    private final String wireName;
+
+    FleetTool(String wireName) {
+        this.wireName = wireName;
+    }
+
+    /** The name this tool is registered under, and called by, on the wire ({@code "fleet_send"}, …). */
+    public String wireName() {
+        return wireName;
+    }
+
+    private static final Map<String, FleetTool> BY_WIRE_NAME;
+    private static final Set<String> WIRE_NAMES;
+
+    static {
+        Map<String, FleetTool> byName = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        Set<String> names = new LinkedHashSet<>();
+        for (FleetTool tool : values()) {
+            byName.put(tool.wireName, tool);
+            names.add(tool.wireName);
+        }
+        BY_WIRE_NAME = Map.copyOf(byName);
+        WIRE_NAMES = Set.copyOf(names);
+    }
+
+    /** The tool named {@code wireName}, or empty when this daemon registers no such tool. */
+    public static Optional<FleetTool> byWireName(String wireName) {
+        return Optional.ofNullable(BY_WIRE_NAME.get(wireName));
+    }
+
+    /** Every wire name this daemon registers — the canonical tool surface. */
+    public static Set<String> wireNames() {
+        return WIRE_NAMES;
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/member/CompositePeerLauncher.java

@@ -14,6 +14,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendOutagePolicy;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementCandidate;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementContext;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementDecision;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementException;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementPolicies;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementPolicy;
@@ -90,6 +91,19 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
     private final Supplier<Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile>> profileConfigs;
     private final Supplier<PlacementPolicy> placementPolicy;
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #422: the central model allow-list's on/off state, read live per spawn — same reason
+     * {@link #profileConfigs} is a supplier rather than a captured map (see the class doc above and
+     * {@link #enforceModelEnabled}). A caller with no {@code models:} block to read from (the
+     * simpler, map-based constructors used throughout this class's own tests) wires this to a
+     * constant {@code null}, which {@link #models0} treats as "nothing configured, gate never
+     * fires" — the pre-#422 behaviour.
+     */
+    private final Supplier<FleetConfig.Models> models;
+
+    /** The value {@link #models0} normalizes a {@code null} supplier result to. */
+    private static final FleetConfig.Models NO_MODELS_CONFIGURED = new FleetConfig.Models(List.of());
+
     /** CB-578 stage B: credential cooldown, checked before an explicit spawn and filtered into placement. */
     private final BackendQuarantine quarantine;
 
@@ -205,12 +219,44 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
                                  FleetConfig.Fleet fleet,
                                  BackendQuarantine quarantine,
                                  BackendOutagePolicy outagePolicy) {
+        // No models: block to read from a plain profiles Map — fleetd #422's gate is wired to a
+        // constant null (see enforceModelEnabled/models0), the pre-#422 behaviour for every caller
+        // of this overload. Use the 9-arg overload below to test the gate against a LIVE supplier.
+        this(delegates, defaultProfile, profileConfigs, placementPolicy, liveCount, fleet, quarantine,
+                outagePolicy, constant(null));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * As above, plus a LIVE model-gate source (fleetd #422). The 8-arg overload above wires
+     * {@code models} to a constant {@code null} because it has only a static {@code Map<String,
+     * Profile>}, never a full {@code FleetConfig}, to read one from; this overload exists so a test
+     * can prove {@link #enforceModelEnabled} and its candidate filter re-read {@link
+     * FleetConfig.Models} on every call rather than a value captured once at construction — the
+     * exact distinction fleetd #422 exists to get right (see the class doc's CB-559 note on {@link
+     * #profileConfigs}, which this follows). Production wiring uses the
+     * {@code Supplier<FleetConfig>} constructor below instead, which already threads a live
+     * {@code config.get().models()} through.
+     *
+     * @param models required — pass a supplier returning {@code null} for a caller that has no
+     *               {@code models:} block to gate against, never a defaulting overload (the same
+     *               "explicit opt-out, never a silent default" rule {@code quarantine}/
+     *               {@code outagePolicy} already follow).
+     */
+    public CompositePeerLauncher(List<HerdrPeerLauncher> delegates,
+                                 String defaultProfile,
+                                 Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile> profileConfigs,
+                                 PlacementPolicy placementPolicy,
+                                 Function<String, Integer> liveCount,
+                                 FleetConfig.Fleet fleet,
+                                 BackendQuarantine quarantine,
+                                 BackendOutagePolicy outagePolicy,
+                                 Supplier<FleetConfig.Models> models) {
         // LinkedHashMap, not Map.copyOf: candidates() promises definition order and the weighted
         // policy breaks exact-weight ties on it, so a salted iteration order would make placement
         // differ from one JVM run to the next.
         this(delegates, defaultProfile,
                 constant(Collections.unmodifiableMap(new LinkedHashMap<>(profileConfigs))),
-                constant(placementPolicy), liveCount, constant(fleet), quarantine, outagePolicy);
+                constant(placementPolicy), liveCount, constant(fleet), quarantine, outagePolicy, models);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -250,7 +296,10 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
                 liveCount,
                 () -> config.get().fleet(),
                 quarantine,
-                outagePolicy);
+                outagePolicy,
+                // fleetd #422: read live, same as profiles/placement/fleet above — a models.allow
+                // edit (on/off or otherwise) is visible to the very next spawn, no restart needed.
+                () -> config.get().models());
     }
 
     /** The all-suppliers form every other constructor funnels into. */
@@ -261,7 +310,8 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
                                   Function<String, Integer> liveCount,
                                   Supplier<FleetConfig.Fleet> fleet,
                                   BackendQuarantine quarantine,
-                                  BackendOutagePolicy outagePolicy) {
+                                  BackendOutagePolicy outagePolicy,
+                                  Supplier<FleetConfig.Models> models) {
         this.fleet = fleet;
         this.quarantine = Objects.requireNonNull(quarantine, "quarantine");
         this.outagePolicy = Objects.requireNonNull(outagePolicy, "outagePolicy");
@@ -273,6 +323,7 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         this.profileConfigs = profileConfigs;
         this.placementPolicy = placementPolicy;
         this.liveCount = liveCount;
+        this.models = Objects.requireNonNull(models, "models");
         Map<String, HerdrPeerLauncher> index = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         for (HerdrPeerLauncher d : this.delegates) {
             for (String profile : d.profiles()) {
@@ -303,6 +354,16 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         return m == null ? Map.of() : m;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * The currently-configured {@code models:} block, never null (fleetd #422). Read fresh on
+     * every call, the same reason {@link #profiles0} is — a config reload's on/off edit must reach
+     * the very next spawn.
+     */
+    private FleetConfig.Models models0() {
+        FleetConfig.Models m = models.get();
+        return m == null ? NO_MODELS_CONFIGURED : m;
+    }
+
     /** The adapter owning {@code profileName} (null/blank → the default). Throws on an unknown profile. */
     private HerdrPeerLauncher route(String profileName) {
         String resolved = (profileName == null || profileName.isBlank()) ? defaultProfile : profileName;
@@ -332,6 +393,7 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
             enforceNotQuarantined(requestedProfile);
             enforceNotCoolingOff(requestedProfile);
             enforceMaxLoad(requestedProfile);
+            enforceModelEnabled(requestedProfile);
             PeerHandle handle = d.spawn(req);
             spawnedBy.put(handle.id(), d);
             return handle;
@@ -341,18 +403,10 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         // the whole profile list. An EXPLICIT profile (above) is left alone on purpose — it is the
         // operator overriding, and refusing it would break `fleet_spawn{profile:"opus"}`, which
         // carries no role and so would be judged against the dev pool it was never meant for.
-        List<PlacementCandidate> candidates = candidates(req.role());
-        String roleDefault = defaultProfileFor(req.role());
         Set<String> unreachable = new HashSet<>();
-        // CB-578 stage B: computed once up front — a quarantine's expiry cannot pass within one spawn
-        // call, so re-deriving it per retry would only cost work, never change the answer.
-        Set<String> quarantined = quarantinedProfiles(candidates);
-        // fleetd #201 Unit 5: a distinct set from quarantined — see PlacementContext.coolingOff.
-        Set<String> coolingOff = coolingOffProfiles(candidates);
-        PlacementContext ctx = new PlacementContext(roleDefault, candidates, liveCount, unreachable,
-                quarantined, coolingOff);
+        PlacementContext ctx = placementContextFor(req.role(), unreachable);
 
-        int maxAttempts = candidates.isEmpty() ? 1 : candidates.size();
+        int maxAttempts = ctx.candidates().isEmpty() ? 1 : ctx.candidates().size();
         for (int attempt = 0; attempt < maxAttempts; attempt++) {
             // Deliberately uncaught: when no candidate is left (all at cap, or all unreachable) the
             // policy already throws a clear message. Catching it to rethrow a generic
@@ -369,8 +423,7 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
             // CB-547a: route the chosen profile but keep the caller's session identity — dropping it
             // here would silently sever the resume handle on every policy-routed spawn. CB-557: the
             // role rides along for the same reason, or a routed spawn would be labelled as a dev.
-            SpawnRequest routedReq = new SpawnRequest(chosen.profile(), req.requestedCwd(), req.callerCwd(),
-                    req.sessionName(), req.resumeSessionId(), req.role());
+            SpawnRequest routedReq = req.withProfile(chosen.profile());
             try {
                 PeerHandle handle = d.spawn(routedReq);
                 spawnedBy.put(handle.id(), d);
@@ -380,8 +433,7 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
                         chosen.profile(), e.getMessage());
                 unreachable.add(chosen.profile());
                 // Update the context for the next selection so the policy excludes this profile.
-                ctx = new PlacementContext(roleDefault, candidates, liveCount, unreachable,
-                        quarantined, coolingOff);
+                ctx = placementContextFor(req.role(), unreachable);
             }
         }
 
@@ -493,6 +545,49 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Refuse an explicit-profile spawn whose {@code model:} the operator has turned off in the
+     * central {@code models.allow:} list (fleetd #422). Deliberately worded apart from {@link
+     * #enforceNotQuarantined} and {@link #enforceNotCoolingOff}: those two report a BACKEND-reported
+     * outage (exhaustion, repeated errors); this one reports an OPERATOR decision, so the message
+     * says "turned off" and names the model, never "quarantined" or "cooling off". A FOURTH,
+     * independent reason to refuse a spawn — never layered onto {@code BackendQuarantine} or {@code
+     * BackendOutagePolicy}, which would misattribute an operator's own choice to the backend.
+     *
+     * <p>Reads {@link #models0()} fresh on every call — the same liveness {@link #profiles0()}
+     * already has — so flipping {@code enabled: false} and reloading takes effect on the very next
+     * spawn, no restart (criterion 4). A profile naming no model, or a model absent from {@code
+     * models.allow:} entirely (nothing to gate against), is never refused here.
+     *
+     * @throws PlacementException naming the model and the profile, distinct from quarantine/cool-off
+     */
+    private void enforceModelEnabled(String profile) {
+        FleetConfig.Profile cfg = profiles0().get(profile);
+        String model = (cfg == null) ? null : cfg.model();
+        if (model == null) {
+            return;
+        }
+        if (models0().offIds().contains(model)) {
+            throw new PlacementException("worker profile '" + profile + "' names model '" + model
+                    + "', which the operator has turned off in models.allow — refusing spawn");
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** The subset of {@code candidates} whose {@code model:} is currently turned off (fleetd #422). */
+    private Set<String> modelOffProfiles(List<PlacementCandidate> candidates) {
+        Set<String> off = models0().offIds();
+        if (off.isEmpty()) {
+            return Set.of();
+        }
+        return candidates.stream()
+                .map(PlacementCandidate::profile)
+                .filter(p -> {
+                    FleetConfig.Profile cfg = profiles0().get(p);
+                    return cfg != null && cfg.model() != null && off.contains(cfg.model());
+                })
+                .collect(Collectors.toSet());
+    }
+
     /**
      * The profile names {@code role} may be placed on, in definition order.
      *
@@ -509,8 +604,23 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         return known.isEmpty() ? List.copyOf(configured.keySet()) : known;
     }
 
-    /** The profile an unqualified spawn for {@code role} falls back to under {@code fixed} placement. */
-    private String defaultProfileFor(MemberRole role) {
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>Live: reads {@link #poolFor}, which reads {@link #profileConfigs} and {@link #fleet} fresh
+     * on every call, so a config reload is visible without a restart (fleetd #425) — unlike {@link
+     * #defaultProfile}, the field captured once at construction, which this falls back to only when
+     * {@link #poolFor} has nothing to offer at all (no profiles configured for this composite).
+     *
+     * <p>Exact only under the {@code fixed} placement policy — the one that reads this value
+     * ({@code FixedPlacementPolicy}, package-private, hence not linked) as its first, preferred
+     * candidate. {@code weighted}/{@code round-robin} placement can choose a different candidate
+     * from {@code role}'s pool even on the very first spawn; this method does not simulate that
+     * choice, matching what the {@code defaultProfile:}-derived reporting this replaces has always
+     * done.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public String defaultProfileFor(MemberRole role) {
         List<String> pool = poolFor(role);
         return pool.isEmpty() ? defaultProfile : pool.getFirst();
     }
@@ -527,6 +637,142 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         return out;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Build the {@link PlacementContext} an unqualified spawn of {@code role} would be judged
+     * against right now — the single source both {@link #spawn} and {@link #place} read, so the two
+     * can never disagree about which conditions (quarantine, cool-off, model-off) apply to which
+     * candidate (fleetd #425 rework: round 1 duplicated this into a second, blind resolver —
+     * {@link #defaultProfileFor} — which is why it regressed; round 2 found that even a single
+     * shared resolver is not enough on its own if the CALLER re-resolves through an explicit
+     * profile afterwards — see {@link PlacementDecision}).
+     *
+     * @param unreachable the caller's mutable unreachable set; {@link #spawn} grows this across
+     *                    retries and rebuilds the context from it, {@link #place} passes a fresh
+     *                    empty one since it never retries
+     */
+    private PlacementContext placementContextFor(MemberRole role, Set<String> unreachable) {
+        List<PlacementCandidate> candidates = candidates(role);
+        String roleDefault = defaultProfileFor(role);
+        // CB-578 stage B: computed once up front — a quarantine's expiry cannot pass within one spawn
+        // call, so re-deriving it per retry would only cost work, never change the answer.
+        Set<String> quarantined = quarantinedProfiles(candidates);
+        // fleetd #201 Unit 5: a distinct set from quarantined — see PlacementContext.coolingOff.
+        Set<String> coolingOff = coolingOffProfiles(candidates);
+        // fleetd #422: read live per spawn, same as quarantined/coolingOff above — a config reload
+        // that flips a model's enabled state is visible to the very next unqualified spawn.
+        Set<String> modelOff = modelOffProfiles(candidates);
+        return new PlacementContext(roleDefault, candidates, liveCount, unreachable,
+                quarantined, coolingOff, modelOff);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #425 rework, round 2: runs the exact same selection {@link #spawn} uses for a
+     * blank-profile request — {@link #placementContextFor} plus one {@link PlacementPolicy#select}
+     * — rather than {@link #defaultProfileFor}'s blind "pool's first entry", so a quarantined,
+     * cooling-off, or model-off pool-first candidate is routed around here exactly as it would be
+     * by a real spawn. Unlike {@link #spawn}, this never retries on {@link
+     * PeerUnreachableException}: there is no spawn attempt to fail, so "unreachable" never grows
+     * past the empty set it starts with, and a single {@link PlacementPolicy#select} call already
+     * reflects the live quarantine/cool-off/model-off state.
+     *
+     * <p>Deliberately does <em>not</em> apply {@link #enforceMaxLoad} (or any of the other three
+     * {@code enforce*} checks): those belong to {@link #spawn}'s EXPLICIT-profile branch, the
+     * operator-override path, and this method answers a different question — "where would an
+     * UNQUALIFIED spawn land". That is not the same as {@code select} ignoring these conditions —
+     * every condition {@code select} filters on (quarantine, cooling off, {@code maxLoad} under
+     * every placement policy including the default {@code fixed}, since fleetd #435, model-off,
+     * unreachable, weight-0) is already reflected in the {@link PlacementDecision} this method
+     * returns, because {@code select} walked past every excluded candidate to find it. What this
+     * method's caller must not do is take that resolved name and hand it back to {@link
+     * #spawn(SpawnRequest)} as an explicit profile: the explicit-profile branch treats the same
+     * exclusion conditions as a reason to REFUSE, where {@code select} had already treated them as
+     * a reason to fall through — round 1 of this fix did exactly that, turning a fall-through this
+     * method had already resolved around into a refusal one call later. Round 2 fixes that at the
+     * caller: {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} carries this exact decision to the
+     * spawn without re-resolving or re-checking it, through the same routing path {@code select}
+     * itself was consulted from.
+     *
+     * @throws PlacementException if no candidate in {@code role}'s pool is currently placeable
+     *                            (mirrors what an actual unqualified spawn would throw)
+     */
+    @Override
+    public PlacementDecision place(MemberRole role) {
+        PlacementContext ctx = placementContextFor(role, new HashSet<>());
+        return new PlacementDecision(placementPolicy.get().select(ctx).profile());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>Delegates to {@link #place}, so the two can never disagree about the answer for the same
+     * {@code role} at the same instant — kept as a convenience for a caller that only wants the
+     * resolved name (a status report, a log line), never for a caller that will act on it by
+     * spawning: that caller must hold the {@link PlacementDecision} itself and pass it to {@link
+     * #spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} — see {@link PlacementDecision}'s javadoc for why
+     * resolving here and spawning separately, with the name fed back in as an explicit profile,
+     * regressed fleetd #425 twice.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public String routedProfileFor(MemberRole role) {
+        return place(role).profile();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>Routes {@code decision.profile()} directly to its owning delegate — the identical
+     * {@code d.spawn(routedReq)} call {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)}'s blank-profile branch makes for
+     * its first pick — WITHOUT re-running {@link #enforceNotQuarantined}, {@link
+     * #enforceNotCoolingOff}, {@link #enforceMaxLoad}, or {@link #enforceModelEnabled}: those are
+     * the EXPLICIT-profile branch's checks, and {@code decision} did not come from an operator
+     * naming a profile — it came from {@link #place}, which already applied whichever of these
+     * conditions {@link PlacementPolicy#select} actually filters on (fleetd #425 rework, round 2).
+     *
+     * <p>The two branches disagree on purpose about what an excluded profile means, and that
+     * disagreement is not what this method removes. The blank-profile routing branch (and
+     * {@link #place}) treats a quarantined/cooling-off/at-cap/model-off/unreachable/weight-0 profile
+     * as a reason to fall through to the next candidate; the EXPLICIT-profile branch treats naming
+     * that same profile as a reason to refuse outright — someone who names a profile should get a
+     * refusal, not a silent substitution onto a different backend. That is still correct after
+     * fleetd #435. What round 1 got wrong, and what this method exists to stop happening again, is
+     * turning a fall-through into a refusal by accident: resolving a name via {@link #place} and
+     * then handing that same name back to {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} as an explicit profile takes
+     * the refusing branch on a decision the routing branch had already approved by falling through
+     * past everything else.
+     *
+     * <p>Before fleetd #435, this exact accident was reachable through {@code maxLoad} specifically:
+     * {@code FixedPlacementPolicy} — the default policy — did not evaluate {@code maxLoad} at all
+     * for automatic selection, so {@link #place} could approve an at-cap profile that {@link
+     * #enforceMaxLoad} would then refuse one call later. fleetd #435 closed that: {@code
+     * FixedPlacementPolicy} now walks past an at-cap candidate exactly like {@code weighted}/
+     * {@code round-robin} already did, so {@link #place} can no longer return one, and this specific
+     * failure — an approved placement dying at {@code enforceMaxLoad} — cannot happen any more.
+     * What this method still buys, now that {@code maxLoad} can no longer cause it: it never
+     * re-evaluates a condition {@link #place} already decided, and it closes the window between
+     * that decision and the spawn in which the underlying state (another spawn landing on the same
+     * profile, a config reload) could otherwise move and make a stale explicit re-check wrong.
+     *
+     * <p>Deliberately does not retry on {@link PeerUnreachableException} across candidates the way
+     * {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)}'s blank-profile branch does: retrying here would silently
+     * re-place the caller onto a different profile than the one {@code decision} named, behind the
+     * back of a caller that may already have provisioned something (a worktree's {@code repoRoot},
+     * parity overlay) specifically for that name. A caller that wants the composite's own failover
+     * should call {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} with a blank profile directly, not resolve through
+     * {@link #place} first. Losing that retry on a resolve-then-spawn path is an accepted, unrelated
+     * cost — see {@code SessionManager.acquireWithWorktree}'s own comment on it — never widened by
+     * this round to include {@code maxLoad}, which is what round 1 actually lost.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public PeerHandle spawn(SpawnRequest req, PlacementDecision decision) {
+        HerdrPeerLauncher d = route(decision.profile());
+        SpawnRequest routedReq = req.withProfile(decision.profile());
+        PeerHandle handle = d.spawn(routedReq);
+        spawnedBy.put(handle.id(), d);
+        return handle;
+    }
+
     @Override
     public String effectiveCwd(SpawnRequest req) {
         return route(req.profileName()).effectiveCwd(req);
@@ -537,6 +783,32 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         return route(profileName).parityOverlay(profileName);
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #422 follow-up: the single live read that answers both "is the models.allow: gate
+     * armed" and "which models are off", off the exact same accessor ({@link #models0()}) {@link
+     * #enforceModelEnabled} and {@link #modelOffProfiles} read — so {@code fleet_profiles}/{@code
+     * GET /profiles} (via {@link PeerLauncher#disabledModels()}, which now delegates here) can
+     * never report a different answer than the gate enforces (the fleetd #404 lesson), and the
+     * startup log line built from this can never disagree with either.
+     *
+     * <p>{@link #models0()} itself normalizes a {@code null} {@link #models} read to the shared
+     * {@link #NO_MODELS_CONFIGURED} sentinel — deliberately the one object no config-supplied
+     * {@code Models} instance can ever be identical to, since it is private to this class — so
+     * comparing by reference here recovers exactly the fact {@code models0()}'s normalization
+     * would otherwise erase: whether the live source was {@code null} (no {@code models:} block,
+     * armed = false) or a real, config-supplied block (armed = true, even one whose {@code allow:}
+     * is itself empty or absent — {@link FleetConfig.Models}'s "absent or empty allow: is off"
+     * wording governs config-load validation, a distinct question from whether this gate is armed
+     * for reporting).
+     */
+    @Override
+    public PeerLauncher.ModelGateState modelGateState() {
+        FleetConfig.Models m = models0();
+        return m == NO_MODELS_CONFIGURED
+                ? PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.notConfigured()
+                : PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.armed(m.offIds());
+    }
+
     @Override
     public void stop(String id) {
         HerdrPeerLauncher d = spawnedBy.get(id);
@@ -648,9 +920,21 @@ public final class CompositePeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         return byProfile.keySet();
     }
 
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #425: reports the <em>live</em> {@code dev} pool's first entry — the same value
+     * {@link #defaultProfileFor} computes for {@link MemberRole#DEV} — not the {@link
+     * #defaultProfile} field captured at construction. An unqualified {@code fleet_spawn} defaults
+     * to {@code MemberRole#DEV} (see {@link dev.ltms.fleet.peer.SpawnRequest}), so "the dev pool's
+     * live first entry" is exactly the profile such a spawn actually lands on right now — the
+     * question {@code fleet_profiles}' {@code "default"} field exists to answer. The frozen field is
+     * a role-agnostic fallback used only when {@link #poolFor} has nothing to report at all (no
+     * profiles configured), which {@link #defaultProfileFor} already handles.
+     */
     @Override
     public String defaultProfile() {
-        return defaultProfile;
+        return defaultProfileFor(MemberRole.DEV);
     }
 
     /**

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/member/EnvAllowListScrub.java

@@ -13,6 +13,7 @@ import java.nio.file.attribute.PosixFilePermissions;
 import java.time.Duration;
 import java.time.Instant;
 import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.HashSet;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Set;
 import java.util.stream.Stream;
@@ -28,33 +29,85 @@ import java.util.stream.Stream;
  * control lacked: herdr applies that overlay BEFORE the shell starts, so any sourced file can undo
  * it — and did.
  *
- * <p><b>Which file is last depends on the platform, so the scrub runs from two of them.</b> zsh
+ * <p><b>zsh reads its four startup files under three different conditions, so no single file is
+ * guaranteed to run — the scrub has to cover the gap between them, not just the platforms.</b> zsh
  * reads {@code .zshenv} always, {@code .zprofile} and {@code .zlogin} only for a LOGIN shell, and
- * {@code .zshrc} only for an INTERACTIVE one. herdr does not open the same kind of shell
- * everywhere — measured on herdr 0.8.0: macOS panes run {@code -zsh} (login, so {@code .zlogin}
- * runs), Linux panes run a plain {@code /usr/bin/zsh} (interactive but NOT login, so
- * {@code .zlogin} never runs at all). A scrub in {@code .zlogin} alone is therefore a control that
- * silently does nothing on Linux — the exact failure this class exists to remove, one platform
- * over.
+ * {@code .zshrc} only for an INTERACTIVE one. A pane shell that is at least one of login or
+ * interactive is covered by sourcing the scrub from {@code .zshrc} and {@code .zlogin} (below), but
+ * a pane shell that is NEITHER reads only {@code .zshenv} and stops — fleetd #388, measured: a herdr
+ * pane can be neither login nor interactive, and such a pane read {@code .zshenv}, never reached
+ * {@code scrub.zsh}, and left no report at all. A bare {@code argv[0]} of {@code /usr/bin/zsh}
+ * proves the shell is NOT a login shell; it says nothing about whether it is interactive, so it
+ * must never be read as "therefore interactive" — that wrong inference is what let #388 ship.
  *
- * <p>So both {@code .zshrc} and {@code .zlogin} source the same generated {@code scrub.zsh} after
- * sourcing their {@code $HOME} counterpart. On Linux only the first fires; on macOS both do, and
- * the second pass is deliberate rather than merely harmless — it re-scrubs anything the operator's
- * own {@code ~/.zlogin} exported after {@code .zshrc} had finished. Re-running is idempotent: a
- * name already blank is blanked again, and the report is rewritten with the same counts.
+ * <p>So {@code .zshenv} carries a THIRD pass, guarded by the exact condition that defines the gap:
+ * {@code [[ ! -o login && ! -o interactive ]]}. That guard is why this pass cannot double-scrub a
+ * pane that {@code .zshrc} or {@code .zlogin} will also cover — one of {@code -o login}/
+ * {@code -o interactive} is always true there, so the {@code .zshenv} pass never fires for them, and
+ * their own unconditional sourcing is untouched. The guard also carries a sentinel
+ * ({@value #SCRUB_SENTINEL}) so it fires once per PANE and not once per PROCESS: {@code .zshenv} is
+ * read by every zsh a member's own tooling forks (a plain {@code zsh -c '...'} for a single
+ * command is itself neither login nor interactive), and those children inherit variables their
+ * parent deliberately set for them (git hooks get {@code GIT_DIR}, a venv gets
+ * {@code VIRTUAL_ENV}, a build tool gets {@code NODE_OPTIONS} or {@code JAVA_TOOL_OPTIONS}).
+ * Re-scrubbing every such child would blank all of that, and would also make the pane's own
+ * {@code scrub-report.txt} — rewritten on every pass — describe whichever child exited last
+ * instead of the pane. The sentinel is exported only AFTER {@code scrub.zsh} runs, so the pass
+ * that sets it never sees it and cannot blank it; it must also be on the scrub's own allow-list
+ * (see {@link #generate(Path, Set)}) so a later pass, in the same pane, cannot blank it back to
+ * empty — an exported-but-empty sentinel reads as unset to the {@code -z} guard and would silently
+ * re-enable scrubbing for every subsequent child of that pane.
+ *
+ * <p>So all three of {@code .zshenv} (gap only, guarded), {@code .zshrc}, and {@code .zlogin}
+ * source the same generated {@code scrub.zsh} after sourcing their {@code $HOME} counterpart. A
+ * login-and-interactive pane runs the {@code .zshrc} and {@code .zlogin} passes, and the second is
+ * deliberate rather than merely harmless — it re-scrubs anything the operator's own
+ * {@code ~/.zlogin} exported after {@code .zshrc} had finished. A pane that is neither runs only the
+ * {@code .zshenv} pass. Re-running is idempotent: a name already blank is blanked again, and the
+ * report is rewritten with the same counts.
  *
  * <p>Each generated file sources its {@code $HOME} counterpart FIRST, so {@code PATH} and every
- * toolchain binary still resolve exactly as the operator configured them; only afterwards does
- * {@code .zlogin} run the scrub: every EXPORTED variable not on the derived allow-list is re-exported
+ * toolchain binary still resolve exactly as the operator configured them; only afterwards does the
+ * scrub run: every EXPORTED variable not on the derived allow-list is re-exported
  * blank. Blank, not credential-shaped-pattern-filtered: a pattern list ({@code *TOKEN*}, …) is an
  * enumeration and misses what it did not think of — a username is the other half of a credential and
  * is shaped like none. Credential-SHAPED names among the blanked set go to the WARN log only,
  * never to the control.
  *
  * <p>The scrub also writes {@code scrub-report.txt} into its own directory: one {@code allowed N of
- * M} line (N = exports left untouched, M = exports present when the scrub ran), then the blanked
- * NAMES — never values. The launcher reads this back at teardown and logs it, because a blocked
- * count next to an unknown denominator is not a finding.
+ * M failed F} line (N = exports left untouched, M = exports present when the scrub ran, F = names
+ * the scrub attempted to blank but could not), then the NAMES — blanked ones bare, unblankable ones
+ * {@code !}-prefixed — never values. The launcher reads this back at teardown and logs it, because a
+ * blocked count next to an unknown denominator is not a finding.
+ *
+ * <p><b>fleetd #394:</b> plain {@code export "$n="} is a FATAL error for a zsh read-only or special
+ * parameter (for example {@code UID}) — it aborts the whole sourced file, so every name still to
+ * come is never blanked and the report above is never written at all. The blanking loop instead
+ * routes each attempt through {@code eval}, which contains that error to the single iteration: the
+ * loop always finishes, and a name that could not be blanked is counted as {@code failed} and
+ * listed {@code !}-prefixed rather than silently disappearing. This is deliberately not a skip-list
+ * of known-bad names — every enumerated name is still attempted, so a name nobody has thought of
+ * yet still gets tried and, if it fails, still gets counted.
+ *
+ * <p>The blanking loop also re-asserts, on its own, the same {@code [A-Za-z_][A-Za-z0-9_]*} shape
+ * check the enumeration loop already applied. Before {@code eval} was introduced a non-conforming
+ * name reaching {@code export "$n="} was harmless either way — the quoting made it inert. With
+ * {@code eval}, the name is spliced into a string and interpreted as shell syntax, so the enumeration
+ * loop's check is no longer sufficient on its own to keep that call site safe — it is a guard on a
+ * different loop, and the two must not silently drift apart. Re-checking right before the
+ * {@code eval} keeps that call site safe by its own reading, independent of whatever the enumeration
+ * loop does or stops doing in a later change.
+ *
+ * <p><b>fleetd #400:</b> {@code eval}'s exit status is not proof that the blank actually happened.
+ * zsh coerces a bare {@code NAME=} assignment on an integer special parameter (measured on macOS zsh
+ * 5.9: {@code SECONDS}, {@code RANDOM}, {@code SHLVL}, {@code HISTSIZE}, {@code COLUMNS},
+ * {@code LINES}, {@code USERNAME}) to a number instead of failing — {@code eval} returns success,
+ * the value is untouched, and a status-based classification reports it as blanked when it was not.
+ * The fix classifies on the observed effect instead: after the attempt, the name's value is read
+ * back with the {@code (P)} indirection flag and the decision is made from whether that is now
+ * empty. This one check covers all three shapes a name can take at this point — a genuine blank, a
+ * fatal read-only error {@code eval} merely contained, and this silent no-op — and the exit status
+ * plays no part in the decision at all.
  */
 public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
 
@@ -63,7 +116,11 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
     /** Name of the report file written into the generated directory by the scrub itself. */
     static final String REPORT_FILE = "scrub-report.txt";
 
-    /** The scrub body, generated once and sourced from both {@code .zshrc} and {@code .zlogin}. */
+    /**
+     * The scrub body, generated once and sourced from {@code .zshrc} and {@code .zlogin}
+     * unconditionally, and from {@code .zshenv} when the pane shell is neither login nor
+     * interactive (fleetd #388) — see the class javadoc.
+     */
     static final String SCRUB_FILE = "scrub.zsh";
 
     /** Prefix of every generated directory — also what {@link #reapOrphans} matches on. */
@@ -79,14 +136,42 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
     private static final String SOURCE_SCRUB =
             "source \"$ZDOTDIR/" + SCRUB_FILE + "\"\n";
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #388: marks a pane, not a process, as already scrubbed. Set only by the guarded
+     * {@code .zshenv} pass (see {@link #NEITHER_LOGIN_NOR_INTERACTIVE_SCRUB}) after
+     * {@code scrub.zsh} has run, so it must also be folded into that pass's own allow-list — see
+     * the class javadoc's "must also be on the scrub's own allow-list" paragraph.
+     */
+    static final String SCRUB_SENTINEL = "_CB633_SCRUBBED";
+
+    /**
+     * Appended to {@code .zshenv}, after its {@code $HOME} source: the third pass, guarded on the
+     * exact condition that defines the gap {@code .zshrc}/{@code .zlogin} do not cover — a shell
+     * that is neither login nor interactive. The sentinel export happens only once the scrub has
+     * already run, and only for as long as the current pane's environment has not been rebuilt from
+     * scratch (a fresh {@code env -i} child would not inherit it — that is out of scope here, since
+     * such a child is no longer running under the pane's own environment at all).
+     */
+    private static final String NEITHER_LOGIN_NOR_INTERACTIVE_SCRUB =
+            "if [[ ! -o login && ! -o interactive && -z \"${" + SCRUB_SENTINEL + ":-}\" ]]; then\n"
+            + "  " + SOURCE_SCRUB
+            + "  export " + SCRUB_SENTINEL + "=1\n"
+            + "fi\n";
+
     private EnvAllowListScrub() {
     }
 
     /**
-     * A parsed {@code scrub-report.txt}: how many exported variables existed when the scrub ran,
-     * how many were left untouched (allowed), and the NAMES that were blanked. Values never appear.
+     * A parsed {@code scrub-report.txt}: how many exported variables existed when the scrub ran
+     * ({@code total}), how many were left untouched ({@code allowed}), how many the scrub attempted
+     * to blank but could not ({@code failed} — fleetd #394: a zsh read-only/special parameter such
+     * as {@code UID} fatally errors on plain {@code export NAME=}, so those attempts go through
+     * {@code eval} instead so the loop keeps going and the failure is counted rather than left
+     * invisible), and the NAMES in each of the latter two categories. {@code allowed +
+     * blanked.size() + unblankable.size() == total}, and {@code unblankable.size() == failed}.
+     * Values never appear.
      */
-    record ScrubReport(int allowed, int total, List<String> blanked) {
+    record ScrubReport(int allowed, int total, int failed, List<String> blanked, List<String> unblankable) {
     }
 
     /**
@@ -105,11 +190,16 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
             reapOrphans(parentDir);
             Path dir = Files.createTempDirectory(parentDir, DIR_PREFIX);
             dir.toFile().deleteOnExit();
-            // The report is written by zsh, after these hooks are registered, so register its path
-            // too — otherwise the directory is non-empty at JVM exit and cannot be removed at all.
-            dir.resolve(REPORT_FILE).toFile().deleteOnExit();
-            write(dir, SCRUB_FILE, scrubScript(allowedNames));
-            write(dir, ".zshenv", homeSourcingFile(".zshenv"));
+            // zsh truncates this pre-created receipt after these hooks are registered. Register its
+            // path too — otherwise the directory is non-empty at JVM exit and cannot be removed.
+            Files.createFile(dir.resolve(REPORT_FILE)).toFile().deleteOnExit();
+            // fleetd #388: scrub.zsh's OWN allow-list must also keep SCRUB_SENTINEL, or a later
+            // pass in the same pane blanks it back to empty and the .zshenv guard below thinks it
+            // was never scrubbed — see the class javadoc.
+            Set<String> namesForScrubScript = new HashSet<>(allowedNames);
+            namesForScrubScript.add(SCRUB_SENTINEL);
+            write(dir, SCRUB_FILE, scrubScript(namesForScrubScript));
+            write(dir, ".zshenv", homeSourcingFile(".zshenv") + NEITHER_LOGIN_NOR_INTERACTIVE_SCRUB);
             write(dir, ".zprofile", homeSourcingFile(".zprofile"));
             write(dir, ".zshrc", homeSourcingFile(".zshrc") + SOURCE_SCRUB);
             write(dir, ".zlogin", homeSourcingFile(".zlogin") + SOURCE_SCRUB);
@@ -147,12 +237,11 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
      * into it: owner keeps full access, {@code group} gets traverse+read on the directory ({@code
      * rwxr-x---}, so a member process — a login shell reading it via {@code ZDOTDIR}, or another
      * process simply opening a file under it — running under that group can find and read the
-     * files) and read-only on each file ({@code rw-r-----}) — deliberately no group WRITE anywhere,
-     * since a member never needs to add or change what fleetd generated. (For the ZDOTDIR scrub
-     * specifically, this also means the scrub script's own report write inside the pane fails
-     * closed rather than open — see {@code scrub.zsh}'s trailing {@code 2>/dev/null} — which {@link
-     * dev.ltms.fleet.member.HerdrPeerLauncher#releaseZdotdir} already treats as "cannot be
-     * confirmed to have run" rather than success.)
+     * files) and read-only on each file ({@code rw-r-----}), except the pre-created ZDOTDIR
+     * {@code scrub-report.txt}. That receipt gets group write ({@code rw-rw----}), so
+     * {@code scrub.zsh} can truncate and write it without granting group write on the directory.
+     * If its optional permission change fails, the member cannot write a receipt and the launcher
+     * keeps its existing WARN rather than failing the spawn.
      *
      * <p>Package-private and named generically on purpose: fleetd #213 built this for the ZDOTDIR
      * scrub directory, and fleetd #219 reuses it verbatim for {@link
@@ -167,7 +256,15 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
             setGroupAndPermissions(dir, principal, "rwxr-x---");
             try (Stream<Path> entries = Files.list(dir)) {
                 for (Path file : entries.toList()) {
-                    setGroupAndPermissions(file, principal, "rw-r-----");
+                    if (REPORT_FILE.equals(file.getFileName().toString())) {
+                        try {
+                            setGroupAndPermissions(file, principal, "rw-rw----");
+                        } catch (IOException | UnsupportedOperationException ignored) {
+                            // The receipt is optional. Its absence keeps the existing WARN path.
+                        }
+                    } else {
+                        setGroupAndPermissions(file, principal, "rw-r-----");
+                    }
                 }
             }
         } catch (IOException e) {
@@ -245,11 +342,13 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
         }
         return """
                 # generated by fleetd (CB-633 memberCredentials policy=allow-list) — do not edit.
-                # Sourced from .zshrc and again from .zlogin, each time AFTER that file has sourced
-                # its $HOME counterpart — so this runs after everything the operator sourced, on a
-                # login shell (macOS panes) and on a plain interactive one (Linux panes) alike.
-                # Running twice is idempotent and deliberate: the second pass catches anything
-                # ~/.zlogin exported after ~/.zshrc had finished.
+                # Sourced unconditionally from .zshrc and again from .zlogin, each time AFTER that
+                # file has sourced its $HOME counterpart — so this runs after everything the
+                # operator sourced, on any pane that is login and/or interactive. Running twice is
+                # idempotent and deliberate: the second pass catches anything ~/.zlogin exported
+                # after ~/.zshrc had finished. Also sourced, once, from a guarded pass in .zshenv
+                # (fleetd #388) when the pane shell is NEITHER login nor interactive — the one gap
+                # those two files do not cover.
 
                 typeset -A _cb633_allowed
                 for _cb633_n in %s; do _cb633_allowed[$_cb633_n]=1; done
@@ -271,15 +370,57 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
                   _cb633_blank+=("$_cb633_n")
                 done
 
-                { for _cb633_n in "${_cb633_blank[@]}"; do export "$_cb633_n="; done; } 2>/dev/null
+                # fleetd #394: plain `export "$n="` is FATAL for a zsh read-only/special parameter
+                # (e.g. UID) and aborts this whole sourced file — every name still to come is never
+                # blanked, and the report below is never written, silently. `eval` contains that
+                # error to the single iteration instead: it still fails for that one name, but the
+                # loop continues and we can tell allowed / blanked / unblankable apart afterwards.
+                # This is not a skip-list of known-bad names (that would miss the next one nobody
+                # thought of) — every name in _cb633_blank is still attempted, unconditionally.
+                # Every name reaching this loop already passed the identical identifier check in the
+                # enumeration loop above — but that guard is 20 lines away in a different loop, and
+                # this line is about to splice the name into a string handed to `eval`. Before this
+                # fix the name only ever reached `export` quoted ("$n="), which is inert on a
+                # non-identifier string either way; `eval` makes THIS line the only thing standing
+                # between such a string and code execution in the member's pane, so it re-asserts the
+                # same check on its own rather than trusting a guard it does not own. Under normal
+                # operation this can never fire (the enumeration guard already filtered everything
+                # reaching _cb633_blank), so a name caught here is counted as unblankable rather than
+                # silently dropped — it is real evidence that the upstream guard was bypassed.
+                #
+                # fleetd #400: the attempt's own exit status is NOT proof of its effect. zsh coerces
+                # a bare `NAME=` assignment on an integer special parameter (SECONDS, RANDOM, SHLVL,
+                # HISTSIZE, COLUMNS, LINES, USERNAME on this host) to a number instead of failing —
+                # `eval` returns 0, the value is untouched, and the old exit-status check reported it
+                # as blanked when it was not. Classify on the observed effect instead: attempt the
+                # export, then read the name's value back with the `(P)` indirection flag and decide
+                # from whether it is now empty. One check then covers all three shapes a name can
+                # take here — a genuine blank, a fatal read-only error `eval` merely contained, and
+                # this silent no-op — without the exit status entering the decision at all.
+                typeset -a _cb633_ok _cb633_unblankable
+                _cb633_ok=()
+                _cb633_unblankable=()
+                for _cb633_n in "${_cb633_blank[@]}"; do
+                  if [[ ! "$_cb633_n" =~ ^[A-Za-z_][A-Za-z0-9_]*$ ]]; then
+                    _cb633_unblankable+=("$_cb633_n")
+                    continue
+                  fi
+                  eval "export ${_cb633_n}=" 2>/dev/null
+                  if [[ -z "${(P)_cb633_n}" ]]; then
+                    _cb633_ok+=("$_cb633_n")
+                  else
+                    _cb633_unblankable+=("$_cb633_n")
+                  fi
+                done
 
                 integer _cb633_kept=$(( _cb633_total - ${#_cb633_blank} ))
                 {
-                  print -r -- "allowed $_cb633_kept of $_cb633_total"
-                  for _cb633_n in "${_cb633_blank[@]}"; do print -r -- "$_cb633_n"; done
+                  print -r -- "allowed $_cb633_kept of $_cb633_total failed ${#_cb633_unblankable}"
+                  for _cb633_n in "${_cb633_ok[@]}"; do print -r -- "$_cb633_n"; done
+                  for _cb633_n in "${_cb633_unblankable[@]}"; do print -r -- "!$_cb633_n"; done
                 } > "$ZDOTDIR/%s" 2>/dev/null
 
-                unset _cb633_allowed _cb633_names _cb633_blank _cb633_n _cb633_total _cb633_kept
+                unset _cb633_allowed _cb633_names _cb633_blank _cb633_ok _cb633_unblankable _cb633_n _cb633_total _cb633_kept
                 """.formatted(names, MemberEnvAllowList.zshCasePattern(), REPORT_FILE);
     }
 
@@ -293,6 +434,11 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
      * Read and parse {@link #REPORT_FILE} out of a generated ZDOTDIR directory. Returns {@code null}
      * when absent or unreadable (the pane may have been torn down before its login shell ever got to
      * the scrub) — callers treat that as "no measurement available", never as success.
+     *
+     * <p>First line is {@code "allowed <N> of <M> failed <F>"} (fleetd #394 added the trailing
+     * {@code failed <F>} — a count of names the scrub attempted to blank but could not, e.g. a zsh
+     * read-only/special parameter). Every following non-blank line is a name: a bare name was
+     * blanked, a {@code !}-prefixed name was attempted and failed. Values never appear on either.
      */
     static ScrubReport readReport(Path zdotdir) {
         Path report = zdotdir.resolve(REPORT_FILE);
@@ -305,17 +451,24 @@ public final class EnvAllowListScrub {
                 return null;
             }
             String[] parts = lines.getFirst().substring("allowed ".length()).trim().split("\\s+");
-            if (parts.length != 3 || !"of".equals(parts[1])) {
+            if (parts.length != 5 || !"of".equals(parts[1]) || !"failed".equals(parts[3])) {
                 return null;
             }
             List<String> blanked = new ArrayList<>();
+            List<String> unblankable = new ArrayList<>();
             for (int i = 1; i < lines.size(); i++) {
-                if (!lines.get(i).isBlank()) {
-                    blanked.add(lines.get(i));
+                String line = lines.get(i);
+                if (line.isBlank()) {
+                    continue;
+                }
+                if (line.startsWith("!")) {
+                    unblankable.add(line.substring(1));
+                } else {
+                    blanked.add(line);
                 }
             }
             return new ScrubReport(Integer.parseInt(parts[0]), Integer.parseInt(parts[2]),
-                    List.copyOf(blanked));
+                    Integer.parseInt(parts[4]), List.copyOf(blanked), List.copyOf(unblankable));
         } catch (IOException | NumberFormatException e) {
             return null;
         }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/member/HerdrPeerLauncher.java

@@ -17,6 +17,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerHandle;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerUnreachableException;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.SpawnRequest;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementDecision;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
@@ -594,6 +595,23 @@ public abstract class HerdrPeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
                 req.sessionName(), spawned.agentSessionId(), spawned.receipt());
     }
 
+    /**
+     * {@inheritDoc}
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #450: re-enters {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} with {@code decision}'s profile named
+     * explicitly. This is the re-entering form the interface javadoc describes for a launcher with
+     * no placement concept of its own — an instance of this class spawns a single adapter's own
+     * profile set by explicit name only ({@link #place}/{@link #defaultProfileFor} are unoverridden
+     * here and just wrap {@link #defaultProfile()}); it does no quarantine/cool-off/maxLoad/model-off
+     * filtering of its own to re-apply. That filtering lives one layer up, in {@code
+     * CompositePeerLauncher}, which is the launcher that routes across more than one profile and
+     * therefore overrides this method with the routing form instead.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public PeerHandle spawn(SpawnRequest req, PlacementDecision decision) {
+        return spawn(req.withProfile(decision.profile()));
+    }
+
     /** The herdr daemon that owns this launcher's pane coordinates. */
     public HerdrClient herdr() {
         return agents.herdr();
@@ -937,14 +955,20 @@ public abstract class HerdrPeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
      */
     @Override
     public void stop(String idOrPane) {
-        // Teardown knows only the pane, not which profile spawned it. Attempt tab cleanup when any
-        // profile uses tab placement (so the bridge may have created a dedicated peer tab); the
-        // single-occupant check below is what actually protects the user's shared tabs.
+        // Teardown knows only the pane, not which profile spawned it — and, when this call is
+        // routed here through CompositePeerLauncher's single-daemon stop() shortcut (fleetd #342),
+        // not even which adapter's config actually governed the spawn: the shortcut can hand the
+        // pane to a delegate that never spawned it, whose own profiles say nothing about how THIS
+        // pane was placed. So the decision to look for a tab to clean up is made from the pane's
+        // actual state, not from this delegate's static profile config: resolve the tab
+        // unconditionally and let {@link WorkspaceControl#locatePane} tolerate "not found" (it
+        // returns null rather than throwing); the single-occupant check below is what actually
+        // protects the user's shared tabs, exactly as it always has.
         String paneId = paneByAgentId.remove(idOrPane);
         if (paneId == null) {
             paneId = idOrPane; // raw-pane fallback (reap, gate timeout, pane-addressed callers)
         }
-        WorkspaceControl.PaneLocation loc = usesTabPlacement() ? spaces.locatePane(paneId) : null;
+        WorkspaceControl.PaneLocation loc = spaces.locatePane(paneId);
         try {
             agents.close(paneId);
         } catch (HerdrException e) {
@@ -985,11 +1009,6 @@ public abstract class HerdrPeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
         }
     }
 
-    /** Whether any configured profile places peers in their own tab (so tabs may need cleanup). */
-    private boolean usesTabPlacement() {
-        return profiles.values().stream().anyMatch(FleetConfig.Profile::tabPlacement);
-    }
-
     /** True when a herdr error means the target is already gone (safe to treat as done). */
     private static boolean isAlreadyGone(HerdrException e) {
         return e.code() != null && e.code().endsWith("_not_found");
@@ -1642,11 +1661,19 @@ public abstract class HerdrPeerLauncher implements PeerLauncher {
             log.warn("memberCredentials allow-list: pane {} left no scrub report in {} — the "
                     + "environment scrub cannot be confirmed to have run. Either the pane ended "
                     + "before its shell finished starting, or its shell never read our generated "
-                    + "startup files, in which case that member saw the full host environment.",
+                    + "startup files. Either way, we cannot tell from here whether the scrub ran, "
+                    + "so we do not know what that member's environment contained.",
                     paneId, dir);
         } else {
             log.info("memberCredentials allow-list: pane {} allowed {} of {} environment variables",
                     paneId, report.allowed(), report.total());
+            if (report.failed() > 0) {
+                log.warn("memberCredentials allow-list: pane {} could not blank {} environment "
+                        + "variable(s) — {} (likely a zsh read-only/special parameter) — those "
+                        + "names were left in the member's environment. Confirm none of them is a "
+                        + "credential.",
+                        paneId, report.failed(), report.unblankable());
+            }
             List<String> shaped = report.blanked().stream()
                     .filter(name -> CREDENTIAL_SHAPED_NAME.matcher(name).matches())
                     .toList();

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/member/OpenCodeLauncher.java

@@ -331,11 +331,22 @@ public final class OpenCodeLauncher extends HerdrPeerLauncher {
                             + "form — opencode's per-model context limit could not be applied for this profile",
                     cfg.profile(), cfg.model());
         }
+        // fleetd #393: memberSkills seeding (GitWorktrees#seedSkills) copies skill folders into
+        // EVERY provisioned worktree's .claude/skills/ regardless of which kind ultimately spawns
+        // into it — that copy step cannot know the kind, only the caller of GitWorktrees#add does
+        // (see that method's own javadoc). .claude/skills/ is a Claude Code CLI convention the CLI
+        // discovers on its own; opencode has no such discovery, so without this, a seeded skill
+        // never reaches an opencode member even though GitWorktrees logged it as seeded. Read
+        // whatever landed under <cwd>/.claude/skills/ here — the one place in this launcher that
+        // knows both the kind (opencode, by construction: this IS OpenCodeLauncher) and the cwd.
+        List<Path> skillInstructionFiles = skillInstructionFiles(spec.cwd());
         // A config file is needed for the bridge MCP mount, a member charter, the IDE MCP (+ its
-        // guidance overlay, CB-634), a pinned endpoint (CB-508), or a resolvable autoCompactWindow.
+        // guidance overlay, CB-634), a pinned endpoint (CB-508), a resolvable autoCompactWindow, or
+        // at least one seeded skill to deliver via instructions[] (fleetd #393).
         if (cfg.hasMcp() || cfg.hasIdeMcp() || spec.charter() != null || hasCustomProvider(cfg)
-                || wantsContextLimit) {
-            workerEnv.put("OPENCODE_CONFIG", writeConfig(cfg, spec.charter(), spec.cwd()).toString());
+                || wantsContextLimit || !skillInstructionFiles.isEmpty()) {
+            workerEnv.put("OPENCODE_CONFIG",
+                    writeConfig(cfg, spec.charter(), spec.cwd(), skillInstructionFiles).toString());
         }
         applyGitToken(workerEnv, cfg);
         List<String> argv = argvWithResume(argvWithModel(argvWithAuto(cfg), cfg), spec.resumeSessionId());
@@ -358,6 +369,65 @@ public final class OpenCodeLauncher extends HerdrPeerLauncher {
         return withAgent;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #393: the {@code SKILL.md} paths under {@code <cwd>/.claude/skills/} this launcher can
+     * turn into {@code instructions[]} entries, plus the honest log this ticket asks for — emitted
+     * here, at the one point a skill's fate for THIS spawn is actually known, rather than trusting
+     * {@code GitWorktrees#seedSkills}'s kind-blind "N of M" line to mean "and it will be read."
+     *
+     * <p>Every non-hidden subdirectory of {@code .claude/skills/} is a candidate, whether it got
+     * there via {@code memberSkills:} seeding or because the target repo ships its own copy — this
+     * launcher does not care which; it only cares what it can find at spawn time. A candidate with
+     * a {@code SKILL.md} at its top level (the same shape {@link #writeConfig} already requires for
+     * the charter and IDE-rules instructions entries) is delivered; anything else is a directory
+     * this launcher cannot turn into a flat instructions entry, named explicitly in the log rather
+     * than silently dropped, so a caller sees a real "cannot consume" reason and not just a smaller
+     * number than {@code GitWorktrees}' own count.
+     *
+     * <p>No candidates at all (directory absent or empty) logs nothing — the same
+     * no-log-when-nothing-to-say shape {@link #hasCustomProvider} and friends already follow, and
+     * the shape {@code GitWorktrees#seedSkills} itself uses when {@code memberSkills:} is unset.
+     * A failure to even list the directory is logged and treated as "nothing delivered" — best
+     * effort, must never fail the spawn, matching {@code GitWorktrees#seedSkills}'s own contract.
+     */
+    private List<Path> skillInstructionFiles(String cwd) {
+        if (cwd == null || cwd.isBlank()) {
+            return List.of();
+        }
+        Path skillsDir = Path.of(cwd, ".claude", "skills");
+        if (!Files.isDirectory(skillsDir)) {
+            return List.of();
+        }
+        List<Path> candidates;
+        try (var listing = Files.list(skillsDir)) {
+            candidates = listing.filter(Files::isDirectory)
+                    .filter(p -> !p.getFileName().toString().startsWith("."))
+                    .sorted()
+                    .toList();
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            log.warn("could not scan {} for skill folders to deliver to this opencode member: {}",
+                    skillsDir, e.getMessage());
+            return List.of();
+        }
+        if (candidates.isEmpty()) {
+            return List.of();
+        }
+        List<Path> delivered = candidates.stream()
+                .map(dir -> dir.resolve("SKILL.md"))
+                .filter(Files::isRegularFile)
+                .toList();
+        List<String> undeliverable = candidates.stream()
+                .filter(dir -> !Files.isRegularFile(dir.resolve("SKILL.md")))
+                .map(dir -> dir.getFileName().toString())
+                .toList();
+        log.info("skill delivery: {} of {} skill folder(s) under {} reached this opencode member via "
+                        + "instructions[] (opencode does not read .claude/skills/ natively, unlike "
+                        + "Claude Code){}",
+                delivered.size(), candidates.size(), skillsDir,
+                undeliverable.isEmpty() ? "" : "; no SKILL.md, could not be delivered: " + undeliverable);
+        return delivered;
+    }
+
     /**
      * True when this profile pins its own OpenAI-compatible endpoint (CB-508) rather than using
      * whatever provider opencode resolves by default.
@@ -418,8 +488,15 @@ public final class OpenCodeLauncher extends HerdrPeerLauncher {
      * fresh per-spawn directory under {@link #configRoot}, and return the config file's path for
      * {@code OPENCODE_CONFIG}. The dir is unique per spawn so concurrent workers never race on it;
      * it is best-effort cleaned on JVM exit (worker config is disposable — regenerated every spawn).
+     *
+     * @param skillInstructionFiles fleetd #393: absolute {@code SKILL.md} paths from
+     *                              {@link #skillInstructionFiles(String)}, appended to
+     *                              {@code instructions[]} so a {@code memberSkills:}-seeded skill
+     *                              reaches this opencode member the same way the charter and IDE
+     *                              rules already do.
      */
-    private Path writeConfig(FleetConfig.Profile cfg, String charterText, String cwd) {
+    private Path writeConfig(FleetConfig.Profile cfg, String charterText, String cwd,
+                              List<Path> skillInstructionFiles) {
         try {
             Path dir = Files.createTempDirectory(configParentDir(), "fleetd-opencode-");
             dir.toFile().deleteOnExit();
@@ -447,7 +524,39 @@ public final class OpenCodeLauncher extends HerdrPeerLauncher {
                 Files.writeString(charter, charterText);
                 charter.toFile().deleteOnExit();
 
-                root.putArray("instructions").add(charter.toAbsolutePath().toString());
+                // fleetd #393 follow-up: withArray, not putArray. putArray REPLACES whatever node
+                // is already at "instructions"; withArray gets-or-creates. All three writers on
+                // this array now use withArray so that write order stops being load-bearing for
+                // whoever adds a fourth.
+                //
+                // Be precise about what this particular line is worth, because an earlier version
+                // of this comment was wrong and claimed too much. THIS call is the one place where
+                // the two idioms are equivalent, and no test can tell them apart: it runs first,
+                // against a still-empty root, so there is never an existing node for putArray to
+                // replace. Measured on the #393 merge: flipping this one call back to putArray
+                // leaves the whole suite green (1618 tests), and always will. The edit is a
+                // readability and future-proofing change with no test behind it, and that is not a
+                // gap anyone can close.
+                //
+                // The ordering hazard is real, just not here. It is the LATER writers that can
+                // destroy earlier entries. Measured on the same merge: flipping the skills writer
+                // below to putArray deletes this charter entry and fails
+                // OpenCodeLauncherTest.instructionsArrayHoldsCharterThenSkillsThenIdeRulesInOrder;
+                // flipping the IDE-rules writer fails that test and
+                // instructionsArrayHoldsCharterThenIdeRulesInOrder. Deleting this line altogether
+                // fails instructionsArrayHoldsExactlyTheCharterWhenNothingElseWritesToIt — the
+                // assertion that a role contract reaches an opencode member at all, which is the
+                // hole that predates #393 and is what actually let the mutation hide.
+                root.withArray("instructions").add(charter.toAbsolutePath().toString());
+            }
+
+            // fleetd #393: each seeded skill's SKILL.md, delivered as a plain instructions[] entry
+            // — the only mechanism opencode has for static guidance text. Unlike Claude Code's
+            // Skill tool, opencode cannot load one of these on demand by name; the content is just
+            // always part of the system prompt from spawn. That is a real difference in HOW the
+            // content reaches the member, not a reason to withhold it.
+            for (Path skillFile : skillInstructionFiles) {
+                root.withArray("instructions").add(skillFile.toAbsolutePath().toString());
             }
 
             if (cfg.hasMcp() || cfg.hasIdeMcp()) {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/metrics/FleetMetrics.java

@@ -56,10 +56,13 @@ public final class FleetMetrics {
         m.describe(REPLIES, "counter",
                 "Worker replies by delivery path (rendezvous=resolved an open send, inbox=stranded and held).");
         m.describe(PUSH_NUDGES, "counter",
-                "CB-307 push-loop nudges to the primary (delivered|exhausted).");
+                "CB-307 push-loop nudges to the primary (sent|exhausted). fleetd #365: \"sent\" means "
+                        + "the herdr paste-and-submit call succeeded, not that the pane read it — this "
+                        + "layer has no read-receipt concept.");
         m.describe(HEARTBEAT_NUDGES, "counter",
-                "CB-551 idle-lead heartbeat nudges (delivered|failed|exhausted). Quiet-cap exhaustion "
-                        + "means the lead idled with nothing pending and was told to stand down.");
+                "CB-551 idle-lead heartbeat nudges (sent|failed|exhausted). Quiet-cap exhaustion "
+                        + "means the lead idled with nothing pending and was told to stand down. "
+                        + "fleetd #365: \"sent\" means the herdr call succeeded, not that the lead read it.");
         m.describe(SPAWNS, "counter",
                 "Worker spawn attempts by peer kind and outcome (ready|timeout|guard_rejected).");
         m.describe(HERDR_CALLS, "counter",

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/AmqpReplyInbox.java

@@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ import com.rabbitmq.client.DeliverCallback;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.Recoverable;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.RecoveryListener;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.Return;
+import com.rabbitmq.client.impl.DefaultExceptionHandler;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
@@ -153,17 +154,22 @@ public final class AmqpReplyInbox implements ReplyInbox, AutoCloseable {
     /** As {@link #open(String)}, with an explicit consumer prefetch (CB-527: caps the held backlog per target). */
     public static AmqpReplyInbox open(String uri, int prefetch) {
         try {
-            ConnectionFactory factory = new ConnectionFactory();
-            factory.setUri(uri);
-            // Self-heal transient blips; topology recovery re-declares queues and re-attaches consumers.
-            factory.setAutomaticRecoveryEnabled(true);
-            factory.setTopologyRecoveryEnabled(true);
-            return new AmqpReplyInbox(factory.newConnection("fleetd-reply-inbox"), prefetch);
+            return new AmqpReplyInbox(connectionFactory(uri).newConnection(AmqpConnectionFailureLogger.REPLY_INBOX), prefetch);
         } catch (Exception e) {
             throw new IllegalStateException("cannot connect to AMQP broker at " + uri, e);
         }
     }
 
+    static ConnectionFactory connectionFactory(String uri) throws Exception {
+        ConnectionFactory factory = new ConnectionFactory();
+        factory.setUri(uri);
+        // Self-heal transient blips; topology recovery re-declares queues and re-attaches consumers.
+        factory.setAutomaticRecoveryEnabled(true);
+        factory.setTopologyRecoveryEnabled(true);
+        factory.setExceptionHandler(new AmqpConnectionFailureLogger(AmqpConnectionFailureLogger.REPLY_INBOX, log));
+        return factory;
+    }
+
     /** Wrap an already-open connection with {@link #DEFAULT_PREFETCH} (injection seam for the contract test). */
     AmqpReplyInbox(Connection connection) {
         this(connection, DEFAULT_PREFETCH);
@@ -388,17 +394,17 @@ public final class AmqpReplyInbox implements ReplyInbox, AutoCloseable {
     }
 
     @Override
-    public void ack(String target, String msgId) {
+    public boolean ack(String target, String msgId) {
         var perTarget = held.get(target);
         if (perTarget == null || perTarget == RELEASED) {
-            return;
+            return false;
         }
         Held h;
         synchronized (perTarget) {
             h = perTarget.remove(msgId);
         }
         if (h == null) {
-            return;                                // never held (or already acked) — no-op
+            return false;                          // never held (or already acked) — no-op
         }
         try {
             synchronized (channelLock) {
@@ -412,6 +418,7 @@ public final class AmqpReplyInbox implements ReplyInbox, AutoCloseable {
             }
             throw new IllegalStateException("cannot ack reply " + msgId + " on " + queueName(target), e);
         }
+        return true;
     }
 
     private DeliverCallback deliverCallback(String target) {
@@ -571,3 +578,44 @@ public final class AmqpReplyInbox implements ReplyInbox, AutoCloseable {
         }
     }
 }
+
+/**
+ * Keeps RabbitMQ's forgiving exception behaviour while adding the connection identity that its
+ * default logger drops. Package-private so both AMQP connections use the same two names.
+ */
+final class AmqpConnectionFailureLogger extends DefaultExceptionHandler {
+
+    static final String REPLY_INBOX = "fleetd-reply-inbox";
+    static final String LEAD_MAILBOX = "fleetd-lead-mailbox";
+
+    private final String connectionName;
+    private final Logger logger;
+
+    AmqpConnectionFailureLogger(String connectionName, Logger logger) {
+        this.connectionName = connectionName;
+        this.logger = logger;
+    }
+
+    String connectionName() {
+        return connectionName;
+    }
+
+    @Override
+    protected void log(String message, Throwable cause) {
+        if (isSocketClosedOrConnectionReset(cause)) {
+            logger.warn("AMQP connection {}: {} (Exception message: {})", connectionName, message, cause.getMessage());
+        } else {
+            logger.error("AMQP connection {}: {}", connectionName, message, cause);
+        }
+    }
+
+    private static boolean isSocketClosedOrConnectionReset(Throwable cause) {
+        // Deliberate copy of ForgivingExceptionHandler's private static helper; check it on amqp-client upgrades.
+        if (!(cause instanceof IOException)) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        return "Connection reset".equals(cause.getMessage())
+                || "Socket closed".equals(cause.getMessage())
+                || "Connection reset by peer".equals(cause.getMessage());
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/InMemoryReplyInbox.java

@@ -59,16 +59,17 @@ public final class InMemoryReplyInbox implements ReplyInbox {
     }
 
     @Override
-    public void ack(String target, String msgId) {
+    public boolean ack(String target, String msgId) {
         if (!owned.contains(target)) {
-            return;
+            return false;
         }
         var perTarget = store.get(target);
-        if (perTarget != null) {
-            //noinspection SynchronizationOnLocalVariableOrMethodParameter
-            synchronized (perTarget) {
-                perTarget.remove(msgId);
-            }
+        if (perTarget == null) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        //noinspection SynchronizationOnLocalVariableOrMethodParameter
+        synchronized (perTarget) {
+            return perTarget.remove(msgId) != null;
         }
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/LeadChannel.java

@@ -4,8 +4,8 @@ import java.util.List;
 
 /**
  * The lead-to-lead message channel this daemon speaks, as its callers need it — one lead's own
- * mailbox: publish to a peer's coord-id, look at what has arrived for me, and ack what I have
- * delivered.
+ * mailbox: publish to a peer's coord-id, look at what has arrived for me, ack what I have
+ * delivered, and (fleetd #361) inspect any coord-id's mailbox from the outside without owning it.
  *
  * <p>Extracted from {@link LeadMailbox} purely as a seam. {@code LeadMailbox} is the one production
  * implementation and owns a live AMQP connection, so a test that wanted to exercise the routing in
@@ -32,9 +32,99 @@ public interface LeadChannel {
     /** Non-destructive FIFO snapshot of the messages held for this daemon's own coord-id. */
     List<LeadMessage> peek();
 
-    /** Drop {@code msgId} from the held set and ack it on the broker. A no-op if it is not held. */
+    /**
+     * Drop {@code msgId} from the held set and ack it on the broker. A repeated ack that this
+     * connection already completed may be a no-op. Any other unknown msgId must throw rather than
+     * report an ack that did not reach the broker.
+     */
     void ack(String msgId);
 
     /** This daemon's own lead coordination id — the mailbox it owns, and the {@code from} it sends as. */
     String selfCoordId();
+
+    /**
+     * Whether a message sitting in {@link #peek}'s held set (fetched but not yet {@link #ack}ed) is
+     * still safe if this daemon crashes or restarts right now — the conclusion of two independent
+     * facts about how this channel owns its own queue: the queue was declared <em>durable</em>, and
+     * the consumer that filled {@code held} uses <em>manual ack</em>, so an unacked delivery is still
+     * owned by the broker rather than only in this process's memory. Both must hold for {@code true};
+     * an implementation must derive this from what it actually did when it declared and consumed its
+     * queue, never return a literal — fleetd #440 found {@code FleetMcp}'s {@code heldDurable} field
+     * doing exactly that, unable to ever report {@code false} even after the fact stopped being true.
+     */
+    boolean heldDurable();
+
+    /**
+     * A non-destructive look at {@code coordId}'s mailbox — does it exist, how many messages are
+     * waiting on it, and how many consumers are attached — without owning, consuming, or otherwise
+     * changing it. {@code consumers == 0} on an existing mailbox is the observable form of "nobody
+     * is reading this right now": a publish to it will sit queued rather than reach a pane.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Never throws</strong> — this is a best-effort fact-finding call, not an operation a
+     * caller must handle failing. But it must never turn "I could not check" into a false negative:
+     * {@link MailboxState#absent(String)} means the broker positively confirmed there is no such
+     * queue, and {@link MailboxState#unknown(String)} — a distinct value — means the look could not
+     * be completed at all (broker unreachable, timed out, connection closed). A caller that
+     * collapses those two into one, as fleetd #361 initially did, cannot tell "that peer is down"
+     * from "I could not check", and a reader of {@code pending}/{@code consumers} cannot tell a
+     * measured zero from a zero standing in for "not measured".
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Must never share fate with {@link #publish} or {@link #peek}/{@link #ack}.</strong>
+     * fleetd #361: in AMQP 0-9-1 a passive queue declare of a queue that does not exist closes the
+     * channel it was declared on with a 404. An implementation backed by a real broker connection
+     * must inspect on a channel it can afford to lose — never the channel {@link #publish} or the
+     * consume loop depends on — so that looking at a peer that happens to be down can never break
+     * this daemon's own send or receive path.
+     */
+    MailboxState inspect(String coordId);
+
+    /**
+     * The result of {@link #inspect}. {@code presence} tells apart three states a caller must not
+     * conflate: a confirmed-existing mailbox ({@link Presence#EXISTS}, the only case where
+     * {@code pending}/{@code consumers} are measured facts), a confirmed-absent one
+     * ({@link Presence#ABSENT} — the broker positively said "no such queue"), and one this call
+     * simply could not determine ({@link Presence#UNKNOWN} — broker unreachable, timed out,
+     * connection closed). {@code pending}/{@code consumers} are always {@code 0} and meaningless
+     * outside {@link Presence#EXISTS}; a renderer must gate on {@link #exists()} (or {@code
+     * presence} directly), never present them as measured otherwise.
+     *
+     * @param coordId   the coord-id inspected
+     * @param presence  whether the mailbox is confirmed to exist, confirmed absent, or unknown
+     * @param pending   messages ready for delivery but not yet in a consumer's hands (0 unless EXISTS)
+     * @param consumers how many consumers are attached (0 unless EXISTS)
+     */
+    record MailboxState(String coordId, Presence presence, int pending, int consumers) {
+
+        /** Whether {@link #inspect} was able to reach a definite answer, of either kind. */
+        public enum Presence { EXISTS, ABSENT, UNKNOWN }
+
+        /** {@code true} only when the broker confirmed this exact queue is currently declared. */
+        public boolean exists() {
+            return presence == Presence.EXISTS;
+        }
+
+        /**
+         * {@code true} when {@link #inspect} reached a definite answer (exists or confirmed
+         * absent); {@code false} when it could not determine either way. A caller must never treat
+         * {@code !known()} the same as a confirmed absence — the mailbox may well exist.
+         */
+        public boolean known() {
+            return presence != Presence.UNKNOWN;
+        }
+
+        /** The broker confirmed this queue exists, with these measured counts. */
+        public static MailboxState exists(String coordId, int pending, int consumers) {
+            return new MailboxState(coordId, Presence.EXISTS, pending, consumers);
+        }
+
+        /** The broker positively confirmed there is no such queue (e.g. a 404 on passive declare). */
+        public static MailboxState absent(String coordId) {
+            return new MailboxState(coordId, Presence.ABSENT, 0, 0);
+        }
+
+        /** The look could not be completed — broker unreachable, timed out, or connection closed. */
+        public static MailboxState unknown(String coordId) {
+            return new MailboxState(coordId, Presence.UNKNOWN, 0, 0);
+        }
+    }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/LeadCoordLoop.java

@@ -5,6 +5,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentStatus;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
+import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.concurrent.ScheduledExecutorService;
@@ -43,6 +44,9 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
 
     private static final Logger log = LoggerFactory.getLogger(LeadCoordLoop.class);
 
+    /** A bounded window is enough: redelivery can only follow a recent failed ack or recovery. */
+    private static final int RECENT_DELIVERY_LIMIT = 1_024;
+
     /** How an arriving peer message is rendered into the lead's pane — the sender's coord-id, then its text. */
     static final String DELIVERY_FORMAT = "[lead %s] %s";
 
@@ -51,6 +55,8 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
     private final Supplier<Map<String, String>> leads;
     private final ScheduledExecutorService scheduler;
     private final long intervalMs;
+    /** msgIds already written to the pane, so recovery redelivery is acked without another pane write. */
+    private final LinkedHashMap<String, Boolean> delivered = new LinkedHashMap<>();
 
     private volatile boolean running;
 
@@ -117,6 +123,13 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
         if (held.isEmpty()) {
             return;
         }
+        LeadMessage msg = held.getFirst();
+        if (wasDelivered(msg.msgId())) {
+            // This lives here, rather than in LeadMailbox, because only this loop knows a pane write
+            // happened. The mailbox only knows broker delivery tags and must still redeliver after a crash.
+            ackDelivered(msg);
+            return;
+        }
         String lead = resolveLocalLead();
         if (lead == null) {
             // Left unacked on purpose: the broker keeps holding it until a lead pane exists.
@@ -136,7 +149,6 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
                     lead, status, held.size());
             return;
         }
-        LeadMessage msg = held.getFirst();
         try {
             agents.send(lead, DELIVERY_FORMAT.formatted(msg.from(), msg.content()));
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
@@ -145,6 +157,13 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
                     msg.msgId(), msg.from(), lead, e.toString());
             return;
         }
+        rememberDelivered(msg.msgId());
+        if (ackDelivered(msg)) {
+            log.debug("lead coordination: delivered message {} from {} to lead {}", msg.msgId(), msg.from(), lead);
+        }
+    }
+
+    private boolean ackDelivered(LeadMessage msg) {
         try {
             channel.ack(msg.msgId());
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
@@ -152,9 +171,24 @@ public final class LeadCoordLoop {
             // deliberate direction of this trade.
             log.warn("lead coordination: delivered message {} but could not ack it: {}",
                     msg.msgId(), e.toString());
-            return;
+            return false;
+        }
+        return true;
+    }
+
+    private boolean wasDelivered(String msgId) {
+        synchronized (delivered) {
+            return delivered.containsKey(msgId);
+        }
+    }
+
+    private void rememberDelivered(String msgId) {
+        synchronized (delivered) {
+            delivered.put(msgId, Boolean.TRUE);
+            if (delivered.size() > RECENT_DELIVERY_LIMIT) {
+                delivered.remove(delivered.keySet().iterator().next());
+            }
         }
-        log.debug("lead coordination: delivered message {} from {} to lead {}", msg.msgId(), msg.from(), lead);
     }
 
     /**

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/LeadHeartbeatLoop.java

@@ -96,7 +96,14 @@ public final class LeadHeartbeatLoop {
         this.metrics = metrics;
     }
 
-    /** Count one nudge outcome when a registry is wired; a no-op in unit tests. */
+    /**
+     * Count one nudge outcome when a registry is wired; a no-op in unit tests.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #365: the {@code "sent"} outcome (renamed from {@code "delivered"}) records only
+     * that {@link #injectNudge} — a one-way herdr {@code agent.prompt} paste-and-submit — returned
+     * without throwing, not that the lead's pane actually read or acted on the text. This layer has
+     * no read-receipt concept, so "sent" is the honest word for what this call can ever establish.
+     */
     private void countNudge(String outcome) {
         if (metrics != null) {
             metrics.inc(FleetMetrics.HEARTBEAT_NUDGES, "outcome", outcome);
@@ -245,7 +252,7 @@ public final class LeadHeartbeatLoop {
             agents.send(leadTerminal, fleet.nudgeText());
             log.debug("idle-heartbeat: nudge sent to lead {} (quiet nudges so far in this stretch: {})",
                     leadTerminal, quietCount);
-            countNudge("delivered");
+            countNudge("sent");
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
             log.warn("idle-heartbeat: failed to nudge lead {}: {}", leadTerminal, e.toString());
             countNudge("failed");

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/LeadMailbox.java

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import com.rabbitmq.client.DeliverCallback;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.Recoverable;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.RecoveryListener;
 import com.rabbitmq.client.Return;
+import com.rabbitmq.client.ShutdownSignalException;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
@@ -58,7 +59,8 @@ import java.util.concurrent.TimeoutException;
  * <p><strong>Recovery.</strong> The connection is opened with automatic + topology recovery
  * enabled, mirroring {@code AmqpReplyInbox}: on reconnect the broker hands out fresh delivery tags,
  * so the held snapshot is cleared (dedup by {@code msgId} still prevents any double-queue on
- * redelivery) and any publish still awaiting its confirm is failed rather than left to idle out
+ * redelivery). {@link LeadCoordLoop} separately deduplicates pane writes, since it alone knows
+ * which messages reached a lead. Any publish still awaiting its confirm is failed rather than left to idle out
  * the confirm timeout against a sequence number that means nothing on the new channel.
  */
 public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
@@ -84,6 +86,16 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
     private final Object channelLock = new Object();
     /** msgId → held delivery, for this mailbox's own queue only (there is exactly one). */
     private final LinkedHashMap<String, Held> held = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+    /**
+     * fleetd #440: the answer to {@link #heldDurable()}, set once by {@link #own()} from the exact
+     * booleans it passed to {@code queueDeclare}/{@code basicConsume} — never a separate literal that
+     * could drift from what those calls actually did.
+     */
+    private boolean heldDurable;
+    /** Successful broker acks on this connection, retained only to make a repeated caller ack quiet. */
+    private final LinkedHashMap<String, Boolean> recentlyAcked = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+    /** Bounds {@link #recentlyAcked}: it is only an idempotency aid, never delivery state. */
+    private static final int RECENT_ACK_LIMIT = 1_024;
 
     /**
      * A dedicated channel for {@link #publish}, kept separate from {@link #channel} (consume + ack)
@@ -122,17 +134,22 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
     /** As {@link #open(String, String)}, with an explicit consumer prefetch. */
     public static LeadMailbox open(String uri, String selfCoordId, int prefetch) {
         try {
-            ConnectionFactory factory = new ConnectionFactory();
-            factory.setUri(uri);
-            // Self-heal transient blips; topology recovery re-declares the queue and re-attaches the consumer.
-            factory.setAutomaticRecoveryEnabled(true);
-            factory.setTopologyRecoveryEnabled(true);
-            return new LeadMailbox(factory.newConnection("fleetd-lead-mailbox"), selfCoordId, prefetch);
+            return new LeadMailbox(connectionFactory(uri).newConnection(AmqpConnectionFailureLogger.LEAD_MAILBOX), selfCoordId, prefetch);
         } catch (Exception e) {
             throw new IllegalStateException("cannot connect to AMQP coordination broker at " + uri, e);
         }
     }
 
+    static ConnectionFactory connectionFactory(String uri) throws Exception {
+        ConnectionFactory factory = new ConnectionFactory();
+        factory.setUri(uri);
+        // Self-heal transient blips; topology recovery re-declares queues and re-attaches consumers.
+        factory.setAutomaticRecoveryEnabled(true);
+        factory.setTopologyRecoveryEnabled(true);
+        factory.setExceptionHandler(new AmqpConnectionFailureLogger(AmqpConnectionFailureLogger.LEAD_MAILBOX, log));
+        return factory;
+    }
+
     /** Wrap an already-open connection with {@link #DEFAULT_PREFETCH} (injection seam for tests). */
     LeadMailbox(Connection connection, String selfCoordId) {
         this(connection, selfCoordId, DEFAULT_PREFETCH);
@@ -156,16 +173,15 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
         }
         // On automatic recovery the broker redelivers unacked messages with FRESH delivery-tags; the
         // tags we were holding are now stale. Drop the held snapshot so the re-attached consumer
-        // repopulates it with valid tags (dedup by msgId still prevents any double-queue). Any publish
+        // repopulates it with valid tags (dedup by msgId still prevents any double-queue). LeadCoordLoop
+        // remembers successful pane writes separately, so that redelivery cannot write a pane twice. Any publish
         // confirm still in flight when the connection dropped is equally stale — fail it now rather
         // than let it silently ride out CONFIRM_TIMEOUT_MS.
         if (connection instanceof Recoverable recoverable) {
             recoverable.addRecoveryListener(new RecoveryListener() {
                 @Override
                 public void handleRecovery(Recoverable recoverable) {
-                    synchronized (held) {
-                        held.clear();
-                    }
+                    clearHeldForRecovery();
                     failPendingPublishesOnRecovery();
                     log.info("AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery");
                 }
@@ -181,13 +197,22 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
     /** Declare + consume this daemon's own {@code lead.<selfCoordId>.inbox}. Called once, at construction. */
     private void own() throws IOException {
         String queue = queueName(selfCoordId);
+        boolean durableQueue = true; // durable, non-exclusive, keep on idle
+        boolean autoAck = false; // manual ack
         synchronized (channelLock) {
-            channel.queueDeclare(queue, true, false, false, null); // durable, non-exclusive, keep on idle
-            channel.basicConsume(queue, false, deliverCallback(), _ -> { }); // autoAck=false: manual ack
+            channel.queueDeclare(queue, durableQueue, false, false, null);
+            channel.basicConsume(queue, autoAck, deliverCallback(), _ -> { });
         }
+        // fleetd #440: held mail is durable only while both hold — a durable queue AND manual ack.
+        this.heldDurable = durableQueue && !autoAck;
         log.debug("lead mailbox owns queue {} for coord-id {}", queue, selfCoordId);
     }
 
+    @Override
+    public boolean heldDurable() {
+        return heldDurable;
+    }
+
     /**
      * Publish {@code msg} to {@code toCoordId}'s mailbox and block until the broker's publisher
      * confirm for it lands. Does <em>not</em> imply owning or consuming {@code toCoordId}'s queue.
@@ -254,6 +279,89 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
         }
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #361: look at {@code coordId}'s mailbox on a fresh, immediately-closed throwaway
+     * channel — never {@link #channel} (consume/ack) or {@link #publishChannel} (publish). A
+     * passive queue declare of a queue that does not exist closes the channel it was declared on
+     * with a 404; using a disposable probe channel means that closure can never touch either
+     * long-lived channel this instance depends on for {@link #publish} or the consume loop.
+     *
+     * <p>Classifies failures rather than collapsing them, both measured against a real broker in
+     * {@code LeadMailboxTest} rather than assumed from the AMQP 0-9-1 spec text:
+     * <ul>
+     *   <li>a genuine 404 — an {@link IOException} wrapping a {@link ShutdownSignalException} whose
+     *       {@link AMQP.Channel.Close#getReplyCode()} is {@code 404} — reports
+     *       {@link MailboxState#absent}; every other declare failure reports
+     *       {@link MailboxState#unknown} instead of quietly becoming the same "absent" value;
+     *   <li>{@code catch (RuntimeException e)} on both attempts matters as much as the checked
+     *       catches: a connection that is already closed makes {@link Connection#createChannel()}
+     *       throw {@link com.rabbitmq.client.AlreadyClosedException} (a {@link RuntimeException},
+     *       not an {@link IOException}) — an {@code inspect} that only caught {@code IOException}
+     *       would let that escape, breaking the "never throws" contract this method promises.
+     * </ul>
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Honesty about which catch is measured and which is defensive:</strong> the
+     * {@code createChannel()} catch above is exercised end-to-end against a real broker by
+     * {@code LeadMailboxTest.inspectReportsUnknownRatherThanThrowingWhenTheConnectionIsAlreadyClosed}.
+     * The second {@code catch (RuntimeException e)}, around the passive declare itself — for the
+     * narrower race where the connection drops <em>between</em> {@code createChannel()} succeeding
+     * and the declare landing — has no such test; reaching it needs a connection that dies at that
+     * exact instant, which is not a scenario this suite drives on purpose. It stays purely
+     * defensive: correct by the same reasoning as the first catch, but unproven the way the first
+     * one is proven.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public MailboxState inspect(String coordId) {
+        String queue = queueName(coordId);
+        Channel probe;
+        try {
+            probe = connection.createChannel();
+        } catch (IOException | RuntimeException e) {
+            log.debug("lead mailbox inspect: cannot open a probe channel for {}: {}", coordId, e.toString());
+            return MailboxState.unknown(coordId);
+        }
+        try {
+            AMQP.Queue.DeclareOk declared = probe.queueDeclarePassive(queue);
+            return MailboxState.exists(coordId, declared.getMessageCount(), declared.getConsumerCount());
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            // The broker (or the client library) has already closed `probe` for us either way; only
+            // a confirmed 404 means "no such queue" — anything else (a different declare failure) is
+            // "could not determine", never silently reported as the same value as a genuine absence.
+            return isMissingQueue(e) ? MailboxState.absent(coordId) : MailboxState.unknown(coordId);
+        } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+            // E.g. the connection dropped between createChannel() and the declare landing.
+            log.debug("lead mailbox inspect: declare failed unexpectedly for {}: {}", coordId, e.toString());
+            return MailboxState.unknown(coordId);
+        } finally {
+            try {
+                if (probe.isOpen()) {
+                    probe.close();
+                }
+            } catch (Exception e) {
+                log.debug("lead mailbox inspect: probe channel close for {}: {}", coordId, e.toString());
+            }
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * {@code true} only for the specific shape a missing-queue passive declare actually produces —
+     * measured against a real broker, not assumed from the spec text (see {@code
+     * LeadMailboxTest.passiveDeclareOfAMissingQueueThrowsAnIOExceptionWrappingA404ShutdownSignal}):
+     * an {@link IOException} whose cause is a {@link ShutdownSignalException} carrying an
+     * {@link AMQP.Channel.Close} reason with {@code replyCode == 404}. Any other shape (a different
+     * reply code, a {@code ShutdownSignalException} cause whose reason is not a
+     * {@code Channel.Close}, or no cause at all) is a declare failure of some other kind and must
+     * not be read as "confirmed absent" — pinned hermetically, with no broker needed, by
+     * {@code LeadMailboxIsMissingQueueTest} for exactly those three false shapes. Package-private
+     * (not {@code private}) so that test can call it directly.
+     */
+    static boolean isMissingQueue(IOException e) {
+        if (!(e.getCause() instanceof ShutdownSignalException sse)) {
+            return false;
+        }
+        return sse.getReason() instanceof AMQP.Channel.Close close && close.getReplyCode() == AMQP.NOT_FOUND;
+    }
+
     /** Convenience: {@link #peek} the current snapshot, then {@link #ack} every message in it. */
     public List<LeadMessage> drain() {
         List<LeadMessage> snapshot = peek();
@@ -261,15 +369,26 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
         return snapshot;
     }
 
-    /** Remove the held message {@code msgId} and ack it on the broker. No-op if not held. */
+    /**
+     * Remove the held message {@code msgId} and ack it on the broker.
+     *
+     * <p>A repeated ack that this connection already completed is a no-op, tracked in the bounded
+     * {@link #recentlyAcked} set. Any other missing entry throws: recovery clears {@link #held} while
+     * the broker still owns the unacked delivery, and quiet success there would hide a required retry.
+     * The set is bounded because it only distinguishes a recent duplicate caller ack from an unknown
+     * delivery; it is not a substitute for broker state across a reconnect.
+     */
     @Override
     public void ack(String msgId) {
         Held h;
         synchronized (held) {
             h = held.remove(msgId);
+            if (h == null && recentlyAcked.containsKey(msgId)) {
+                return;
+            }
         }
         if (h == null) {
-            return;                                // never held (or already acked) — no-op
+            throw new IllegalStateException("cannot ack lead message " + msgId + ": it is not held");
         }
         try {
             synchronized (channelLock) {
@@ -283,6 +402,19 @@ public final class LeadMailbox implements LeadChannel, AutoCloseable {
             }
             throw new IllegalStateException("cannot ack lead message " + msgId, e);
         }
+        synchronized (held) {
+            recentlyAcked.put(msgId, Boolean.TRUE);
+            if (recentlyAcked.size() > RECENT_ACK_LIMIT) {
+                recentlyAcked.remove(recentlyAcked.keySet().iterator().next());
+            }
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** Clear stale delivery tags after recovery; package-private so the recovery contract test drives this exact path. */
+    void clearHeldForRecovery() {
+        synchronized (held) {
+            held.clear();
+        }
     }
 
     private DeliverCallback deliverCallback() {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/MessageService.java

@@ -138,6 +138,53 @@ public final class MessageService {
     public record AskResult(AskOutcome outcome, String answer) {
     }
 
+    /**
+     * How a worker's {@code fleet_reply} ({@link #reply(String, String)}) actually landed
+     * (fleetd #365) — the two doors that expose it, {@code fleet_reply} and {@code POST
+     * /sessions/{id}/reply}, both used to report the single word "delivered" whichever of these
+     * happened, so a caller could not tell an active handoff from a reply merely held for later
+     * drain. Both are successes; they are not the same fact.
+     */
+    public enum ReplyOutcome {
+        /** Resolved a {@code fleet_send}/{@code fleet_ask} that was actively waiting on this reply. */
+        RESOLVED_SEND("resolved_send", true,
+                "delivered — resolved the fleet_send that was waiting for it"),
+        /**
+         * No live waiter was open, but the reply completed a parked async ticket directly
+         * ({@link #askAnsweredAsyncTasks}) — a {@code fleet_poll} caller sees it immediately.
+         */
+        RESOLVED_ASYNC_TICKET("resolved_async_ticket", true,
+                "delivered — resolved a pending async ticket (visible to fleet_poll)"),
+        /** Nothing was waiting; the reply was queued in the inbox for a later drain (CB-307). */
+        QUEUED("queued", false,
+                "queued — no send or ticket was waiting; held in the inbox for a later drain");
+
+        private final String wireName;
+        private final boolean delivered;
+        private final String description;
+
+        ReplyOutcome(String wireName, boolean delivered, String description) {
+            this.wireName = wireName;
+            this.delivered = delivered;
+            this.description = description;
+        }
+
+        /** Stable machine-readable name for a JSON/metrics label (REST's {@code outcome} field). */
+        public String wireName() {
+            return wireName;
+        }
+
+        /** Whether something was actively waiting and received this reply right now. */
+        public boolean delivered() {
+            return delivered;
+        }
+
+        /** Shared human-readable text — the one place both {@code fleet_reply} and REST word this. */
+        public String description() {
+            return description;
+        }
+    }
+
     /** Lifecycle phase of an async delegation ticket. */
     public enum Phase {
         /** Delegated and in flight — queued for the worker or being worked. */
@@ -439,16 +486,15 @@ public final class MessageService {
      * @throws IllegalArgumentException if {@code content} is {@code null} or blank — the caller must
      *         report this as a client error (REST: 400 {@code bad_request}) rather than resolve
      *         anything
-     * @return always {@code true} — the reply resolved a live send, completed a parked ticket, or
-     *         was queued
+     * @return which of the three ways (fleetd #365) the reply actually landed — never {@code null}
      */
-    public boolean reply(String session, String content) {
+    public ReplyOutcome reply(String session, String content) {
         if (content == null || content.isBlank()) {
             throw new IllegalArgumentException("content is required");
         }
         if (rendezvous.resolve(session, content)) {
             count(FleetMetrics.REPLIES, "path", "rendezvous");
-            return true;                       // a live send took it — unchanged fast path
+            return ReplyOutcome.RESOLVED_SEND; // a live send took it — unchanged fast path
         }
         // #137/fleetd #307: no live rendezvous waiter, but this may be the worker's real fleet_reply resuming
         // a turn that either answer() (#137) or ask() (fleetd #307) already gave up waiting on:
@@ -480,7 +526,7 @@ public final class MessageService {
                     asyncTasksByTurn.remove(turnId, orphan);
                 }
                 count(FleetMetrics.REPLIES, "path", "async-recovered");
-                return true;                   // the ticket itself took it — no inbox stranding at all
+                return ReplyOutcome.RESOLVED_ASYNC_TICKET; // the ticket itself took it — no inbox stranding
             }
         } else if (candidates.size() > 1) {
             List<String> tickets = candidates.stream().map(t -> t.ticket).toList();
@@ -498,7 +544,7 @@ public final class MessageService {
         if (pushLoop != null) {
             pushLoop.onReplyQueued(session);
         }
-        return true;                           // held, not lost
+        return ReplyOutcome.QUEUED;             // held, not lost — but not delivered either
     }
 
     /**
@@ -780,9 +826,13 @@ public final class MessageService {
     /**
      * Acknowledge a specific reply by {@code msgId} for {@code target}. Removes it from the inbox
      * so that a subsequent drain or peek no longer returns it.
+     *
+     * @return {@code true} if an entry was actually removed, {@code false} if {@code msgId} was not
+     *     in {@code target}'s inbox (wrong id, wrong target, or already acked). The caller —
+     *     {@link dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.FleetMcp#ack} — must not report success on {@code false}.
      */
-    public void ackReply(String target, String msgId) {
-        inbox.ack(target, msgId);
+    public boolean ackReply(String target, String msgId) {
+        return inbox.ack(target, msgId);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -891,6 +941,10 @@ public final class MessageService {
                     boolean wasDelivered = delivery.completion().isDone()
                             && !delivery.completion().isCompletedExceptionally();
                     if (!wasDelivered) {
+                        if (timeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest != null) {
+                            // Test-only (fleetd #345): see the field's own javadoc.
+                            timeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest.run();
+                        }
                         // The target monitor makes cancellation atomic with onStatus picking this
                         // Pending up. If pickup won, report TIMED_OUT_WORKING because the text landed.
                         wasDelivered = injector.cancel(delivery) == Injector.Cancellation.DELIVERED;
@@ -961,13 +1015,41 @@ public final class MessageService {
             return new AskResult(AskOutcome.ANSWERED, answer);
         } catch (TimeoutException e) {
             log.debug("fleet_ask from {} went unanswered in {}ms", workerSession, timeoutMillis);
-            // fleetd #307: mark the task BEFORE clearAsyncQuestion(forgetTurn=true) below drops it out of
-            // asyncTasksByTurn and nulls its turnId — that forgetting is deliberate and stays (it is
-            // what keeps the target from staying BUSY forever), but it would otherwise also erase
-            // askAnsweredAsyncTasks' only signal that the worker's eventual real fleet_reply still
-            // belongs to this task, stranding it in the inbox with a false "never replied" verdict.
-            markAskTimedOut(ticket.turnId());
-            clearAsyncQuestion(ticket.turnId(), true);
+            // Only the fresh owner tears down the shared turn (mirrors the finally block below).
+            // A duplicate's own timeoutMillis says nothing about whether the SHARED ask is actually
+            // done — it must leave the close/forget bookkeeping to the fresh owner, exactly as it
+            // already leaves closeAsk to it.
+            if (ticket.fresh()) {
+                // fleetd #334: close the ask turn BEFORE forgetting this task's turnId mapping below.
+                // Before this fix the order was reversed — the mapping was forgotten here first, and
+                // rendezvous.closeAsk only ran afterward, in the shared finally. A primary's answer()
+                // call racing this exact timeout could then find rendezvous.askSession(turnId) still
+                // non-null (the ask still "answerable") after the Task mapping was already gone:
+                // answer()'s own asyncTasksByTurn lookup returned null, its task != null guard skipped
+                // the completion, and the async ticket sat at PENDING forever even though answer()
+                // itself reported the worker's real reply. Closing here first removes that window:
+                // any answer() call that still observes askSession(turnId) != null is necessarily
+                // racing a point BEFORE the forgetting below runs (both happen on this one thread, in
+                // this order, with nothing that yields in between), so the Task mapping is still there
+                // for it to find; any call that observes askSession(turnId) == null now correctly
+                // bails out STALE_TURN (see answer()'s own top check) before ever reaching
+                // asyncTasksByTurn. rendezvous.closeAsk is idempotent — a no-op once the turn is
+                // already removed, see its own javadoc — so the shared finally below re-running it
+                // for this same fresh call is harmless.
+                rendezvous.closeAsk(ticket.turnId());
+                if (askTimeoutRaceHookForTest != null) {
+                    // Test-only (fleetd #334): see the field's own javadoc.
+                    askTimeoutRaceHookForTest.run();
+                }
+                // fleetd #307: mark the task BEFORE clearAsyncQuestion(forgetTurn=true) below drops it
+                // out of asyncTasksByTurn and nulls its turnId — that forgetting is deliberate and
+                // stays (it is what keeps the target from staying BUSY forever), but it would
+                // otherwise also erase askAnsweredAsyncTasks' only signal that the worker's eventual
+                // real fleet_reply still belongs to this task, stranding it in the inbox with a false
+                // "never replied" verdict.
+                markAskTimedOut(ticket.turnId());
+                clearAsyncQuestion(ticket.turnId(), true);
+            }
             return new AskResult(AskOutcome.TIMED_OUT, null);
         } catch (ExecutionException e) {
             Throwable cause = e.getCause();
@@ -1066,19 +1148,28 @@ public final class MessageService {
                 // the chained ask deliberately left open.
                 //
                 // A null task is NOT only "this was never an async ticket". That reading was in this
-                // comment when #329 merged and it is wrong. A genuine async ticket also lands here
-                // with task == null, because ask()'s timeout path runs clearAsyncQuestion(turnId,
-                // true) — which drops the asyncTasksByTurn entry — in its catch block, while
-                // rendezvous.closeAsk(turnId) runs later, in its finally. Between those two the ask
-                // is still answerable but the map entry is already gone, so the lookup at :991
-                // returns null and this ticket is never completed. Measured on 2026-09-04: a probe
-                // firing only that first half before answer() runs printed
-                // "answer=REPLIED phase=PENDING reply=null" — the same stranded ticket #329 set out
-                // to fix, one step earlier in the same race. The probe used forgetTurnForTest, which
-                // omits ask()'s markAskTimedOut; that cannot change the outcome, because askTimedOut
-                // is read only by askAnsweredAsyncTasks, and reply() never reaches it while this
-                // method's own waiter is live. So #329 narrows this window rather than closing it.
-                // Open as fleetd #334 — do not read this guard as complete.
+                // comment when #329 merged and it is wrong; it is still not the whole story after
+                // #334. A genuine async ticket can still land here with task == null — a blocking
+                // (wait:true) send's fleet_ask never has a Task at all, so that case is expected and
+                // fine. What #334 fixed was a SECOND, unintended way to get here with task == null:
+                // ask()'s timeout path used to run clearAsyncQuestion(turnId, true) — which drops the
+                // asyncTasksByTurn entry — in its catch block, while rendezvous.closeAsk(turnId) ran
+                // later, in its finally. Between those two the ask was still answerable but the map
+                // entry was already gone, so the lookup at :1053 returned null and this ticket was
+                // never completed. Measured on 2026-09-04: a probe firing only that first half before
+                // answer() ran printed "answer=REPLIED phase=PENDING reply=null" — the same stranded
+                // ticket #329 set out to fix, one step earlier in the same race; the probe used
+                // forgetTurnForTest, which omits ask()'s markAskTimedOut, and that omission does not
+                // change the outcome, because askTimedOut is read only by askAnsweredAsyncTasks, and
+                // reply() never reaches it while this method's own waiter is live. #334's fix
+                // reorders ask()'s timeout catch to run closeAsk before the forgetting (see the
+                // fresh-owner block there), which removes this path entirely rather than narrowing
+                // it further: once closeAsk has run, rendezvous.askSession(turnId) is null and
+                // answer() returns STALE_TURN from its own top check, before it ever reaches this
+                // lookup — see aLateAnswerDuringAskTimeoutTeardownStillCompletesTheAsyncTicket in
+                // MessageServiceTest, which pins the exact window with askTimeoutRaceHookForTest.
+                // So by the time this line runs, task == null means only the ordinary blocking-send
+                // case (or #329's own already-fixed race elsewhere) — not this one.
                 if (result.outcome() != Outcome.QUESTION && task != null) {
                     finishAsyncTask(task, result);
                 }
@@ -1230,6 +1321,27 @@ public final class MessageService {
         return new TaskView(ticket, Phase.FAILED, null, null, detail, null);
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Test seam only — carries no production behaviour, and nothing in this class calls it;
+     * {@link #pruneTerminalTickets} still reads {@link Task#completedNanos} directly.
+     *
+     * <p>Reports whether {@code ticket}'s completion hook (the {@code whenComplete} registered in
+     * {@link Task}'s constructor) has actually run yet. Exists because {@link #poll} can report
+     * {@link Phase#DONE} for a ticket before that hook fires: {@code CompletableFuture.complete()}
+     * publishes its result and only afterwards runs dependent actions such as {@code whenComplete}
+     * (fleetd #399), so a caller that observes the future done via {@link #poll} is not thereby
+     * guaranteed to also observe {@link Task#completedNanos} stamped. A test that must order both
+     * events — e.g. before advancing an injected clock past the TTL, to avoid stamping the
+     * *advanced* time and masking a real eviction bug — waits on this instead of on
+     * {@link Phase#DONE}.
+     *
+     * @return {@code false} for an unknown ticket or one whose completion hook has not run yet
+     */
+    boolean isCompletionStampedForTest(String ticket) {
+        Task task = tasks.get(ticket);
+        return task != null && task.completedNanos != null;
+    }
+
     /** Best-effort live worker status for a pending poll; never throws (a lookup error is just noise). */
     private String liveStatus(String target) {
         try {
@@ -1401,6 +1513,24 @@ public final class MessageService {
         this.afterFinishAsyncTaskCompleteHookForTest = hook;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Null in production; test seam for fleetd #345 — invoked in {@link #send}'s timeout path after
+     * {@link Injector.Delivery#completion()} reports incomplete and before {@link Injector#cancel}
+     * takes the target monitor. A test installs this to make {@code onStatus} pick the exact queued
+     * delivery up in that window, so {@code cancel} returns {@link Injector.Cancellation#DELIVERED}.
+     * This deterministically covers the caller's need to use that result rather than relying on a
+     * timing-sensitive real race.
+     */
+    private volatile Runnable timeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest;
+
+    /**
+     * Test-only (fleetd #345): install {@link #timeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest}. Package-private
+     * so the test, in the same package, can reach it without widening any production API.
+     */
+    void setTimeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest(Runnable hook) {
+        this.timeoutCancellationRaceHookForTest = hook;
+    }
+
     /**
      * Null in production; test seam for fleetd #329 (F3) — invoked from {@link #reply} right after
      * the single local read of {@code orphan.turnId} passes its null-check and before that (now-local)
@@ -1457,6 +1587,29 @@ public final class MessageService {
         this.abandonCleanupHookForTest = hook;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Null in production; test seam for fleetd #334 — invoked from {@link #ask}'s {@code
+     * TimeoutException} catch, only for the fresh owner, right after {@code rendezvous.closeAsk}
+     * has run and before {@link #markAskTimedOut} / {@link #clearAsyncQuestion} forget this task's
+     * turnId mapping. A test installs this to call {@link #answer} for the very same {@code turnId}
+     * synchronously from inside that exact window, deterministically reproducing the race a real
+     * concurrent {@code answer()} call could otherwise only win by timing luck: with the ask already
+     * closed, that call must see {@code rendezvous.askSession(turnId) == null} and return {@link
+     * Outcome#STALE_TURN} immediately, never reaching {@code asyncTasksByTurn} at all — proving the
+     * window fleetd #334 describes (mapping forgotten while the ask was still "answerable") is
+     * closed, rather than merely narrowed the way fleetd #329 narrowed the sibling race in {@link
+     * #finishAsyncTask}.
+     */
+    private volatile Runnable askTimeoutRaceHookForTest;
+
+    /**
+     * Test-only (fleetd #334): install {@link #askTimeoutRaceHookForTest}. Package-private so the
+     * test, in the same package, can reach it without widening any production API.
+     */
+    void setAskTimeoutRaceHookForTest(Runnable hook) {
+        this.askTimeoutRaceHookForTest = hook;
+    }
+
     /** A new send must not open a waiter while an async ticket owns this worker's paused turn. */
     private boolean hasAsyncQuestion(String target) {
         return asyncTasksByTurn.values().stream().anyMatch(task -> target.equals(task.target));

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/ReplyInbox.java

@@ -46,6 +46,13 @@ public interface ReplyInbox {
     /** Non-destructive snapshot of pending replies for {@code target} (FIFO), empty list if none. */
     List<InboxMessage> peek(String target);
 
-    /** Remove the reply {@code msgId} for {@code target} once the primary has taken it. No-op if absent. */
-    void ack(String target, String msgId);
+    /**
+     * Remove the reply {@code msgId} for {@code target} once the primary has taken it.
+     *
+     * @return {@code true} if an entry was actually removed, {@code false} if there was nothing to
+     *     remove (unknown {@code target}, unowned {@code target}, or a {@code msgId} not held for
+     *     it). A {@code false} is not an error — acking a {@code target} this daemon does not own is
+     *     part of the normal contract, not a failure.
+     */
+    boolean ack(String target, String msgId);
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/ReplyPushLoop.java

@@ -2,6 +2,7 @@ package dev.ltms.fleet.msg;
 
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentControl;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentStatus;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrException;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.PrimaryRegistry;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.metrics.FleetMetrics;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.metrics.Metrics;
@@ -13,6 +14,7 @@ import java.util.Collection;
 import java.util.HashSet;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Optional;
 import java.util.Set;
 import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
 import java.util.concurrent.ScheduledExecutorService;
@@ -130,7 +132,15 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
         this.metrics = metrics;
     }
 
-    /** Count one nudge outcome when a registry is wired; a no-op in unit tests. */
+    /**
+     * Count one nudge outcome when a registry is wired; a no-op in unit tests.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #365: the {@code "sent"} outcome (renamed from {@code "delivered"}) records only
+     * that {@code agents.send} — a one-way herdr {@code agent.prompt} paste-and-submit — returned
+     * without throwing. Nothing in this loop, or anywhere downstream of it, confirms the pane
+     * actually read or acted on the text; there is no read-receipt concept at this layer. "Sent"
+     * says exactly that; "delivered" claimed more than this call can ever establish.
+     */
     private void countNudge(String outcome) {
         if (metrics != null) {
             metrics.inc(FleetMetrics.PUSH_NUDGES, "outcome", outcome);
@@ -220,6 +230,26 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
                 .collect(Collectors.toUnmodifiableSet());
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Test seam only (fleetd #418): carries no production behaviour, and nothing in this class
+     * calls it. Exposes {@link #pendingQuestionTurnIdsFor} — the exact state {@link #decide} reads
+     * to decide whether a question keeps a lead's schedule alive.
+     *
+     * <p>{@code MessageService.ask()} does three things in order before a question is fully open to
+     * this loop: it flips the ticket's {@code poll()} phase to {@code Phase.ASKING}, then resolves
+     * the reverse-rendezvous waiter, then calls {@link #onQuestionOpened}, which is what actually
+     * populates {@link #pendingQuestions}. A test that barriers on {@code Phase.ASKING} observes only
+     * the first of those three steps — under load the asker thread can be descheduled between steps
+     * one and three, so the barrier releases before this method's underlying map is populated, and
+     * {@link #decide} correctly reports nothing pending yet. A test that must order itself after the
+     * state {@link #decide} actually reads waits on this instead of on the phase.
+     *
+     * @return an unmodifiable snapshot; empty for a lead with no open questions
+     */
+    Set<String> pendingQuestionTurnIdsForTest(String lead) {
+        return pendingQuestionTurnIdsFor(lead);
+    }
+
     private List<PendingIncident> pendingIncidentsFor(String lead) {
         return pendingIncidents.values().stream().filter(i -> lead.equals(i.key().lead())).toList();
     }
@@ -375,6 +405,80 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
         return Action.WAIT_BUSY;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Resolve who to nudge about {@code target}, the way every public entry point below wants it:
+     * {@link PrimaryRegistry#nudgeTargetFor}, but only after checking the delegating lead it names
+     * is still actually there (fleetd #368).
+     *
+     * <p><strong>The bug this closes.</strong> {@code PrimaryRegistry.forgetDelegation} is wired to
+     * exactly one event — a worker's release — because that is the only teardown the daemon already
+     * observes for a session in this map. Nothing removes a binding when the LEAD half goes away: a
+     * lead that is closed, crashes, or is relaunched leaves {@code leadByTarget} entries pointing at
+     * a terminal that no longer exists. {@code nudgeTargetFor} falls back to the single known
+     * primary only when the map holds nothing for {@code target} — a stale non-null entry beats the
+     * fallback every time, which is exactly backwards: the fallback's own javadoc argues it is safe
+     * precisely in the case a stale entry now hides.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>The fix.</strong> Before trusting a recorded delegation, probe the lead the same
+     * way {@link #decide} already does every tick ({@code agents.status}) — cheap, since it is a
+     * local herdr round-trip, and it is the same signal {@code AgentControl.paneByTerminal} already
+     * trusts to tell a genuinely dead target from a live one. A lead that fails the probe is treated
+     * as if it had never been recorded: the stale entry is forgotten (self-healing, exactly like
+     * {@code AgentControl.paneByTerminal} already does on {@code agent_not_found}) and resolution is
+     * retried, which now reaches the fallback {@code nudgeTargetFor} was built to reach — the same
+     * empty-map state its javadoc already argues is correct.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>fleetd #368 review — only a positive "gone" reading forgets the binding.</strong>
+     * The first version of this method treated <em>any</em> {@code RuntimeException} from the probe
+     * as death, which is the #359 mistake repeated: a transient socket blip or a codec error on a
+     * perfectly live lead would silently and permanently unbind it, with no re-record ever coming.
+     * That is destructive on one bad reading, exactly what #359 shipped a two-reading guard to avoid
+     * for the analogous lead-tab-liveness question. {@link #isLive} now matches
+     * {@code AgentControl.agentCall}'s own narrower rule (see its {@code agent_not_found} check): only
+     * that specific, affirmative "herdr has no such agent" signal counts as gone. Every other failure
+     * — timeout, transport error, a decode error — is treated as still live and the binding is left
+     * alone, because guessing wrong here is unrecoverable while guessing "live" merely costs one more
+     * retry on the next tick, which {@link #decide} already tolerates.
+     */
+    private Optional<String> resolveLiveLead(String target) {
+        Optional<String> lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+        if (lead.isEmpty() || isLive(lead.get())) {
+            return lead;
+        }
+        log.debug("push: lead {} delegated to for {} is no longer live, forgetting the stale binding "
+                + "and falling back", lead.get(), target);
+        primaryRegistry.forgetDelegation(target);
+        return primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Whether {@code lead} should still be trusted: {@code false} only when herdr affirmatively
+     * reports the terminal gone ({@code agent_not_found}), never on a merely inconclusive failure.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #368 review: an earlier version returned {@code false} for any {@code RuntimeException},
+     * which made a transient herdr hiccup on a live lead indistinguishable from the lead actually
+     * being dead — and the caller's response to {@code false} ({@code forgetDelegation}) is
+     * destructive and permanent. Narrowed to the one code {@code AgentControl.agentCall} itself
+     * already treats as a genuine, resolvable absence (see its {@code agent_not_found} handling) —
+     * every other {@code RuntimeException} is treated as "still live" and the binding survives to be
+     * probed again next time, which costs nothing worse than one more retry.
+     */
+    private boolean isLive(String lead) {
+        try {
+            agents.status(lead);
+            return true;
+        } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+            boolean gone = e instanceof HerdrException he && "agent_not_found".equals(he.code());
+            if (gone) {
+                log.debug("push: lead {} no longer exists ({})", lead, e.toString());
+            } else {
+                log.debug("push: liveness check for lead {} was inconclusive ({}); treating as live "
+                        + "rather than risk destroying a live binding", lead, e.toString());
+            }
+            return !gone;
+        }
+    }
+
     // --- public entrypoints ----------------------------------------------------------------------
 
     /**
@@ -385,7 +489,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
      * backstop until a lead is recorded.
      */
     public void onReplyQueued(String target) {
-        var lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+        var lead = resolveLiveLead(target);
         if (lead.isEmpty()) {
             log.debug("push: no lead is known to be waiting on {}, skipping reminder", target);
             return;
@@ -413,7 +517,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
      * @param failed whether the ticket ended in a failure phase rather than {@code DONE}
      */
     public void onTicketTerminal(String ticket, String target, boolean failed) {
-        var lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+        var lead = resolveLiveLead(target);
         if (lead.isEmpty()) {
             log.debug("push: no lead is known to be waiting on ticket {} (target {}), skipping nudge",
                     ticket, target);
@@ -448,7 +552,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
      * @param question the question text
      */
     public void onQuestionOpened(String ticket, String target, String turnId, String question) {
-        var lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+        var lead = resolveLiveLead(target);
         if (lead.isEmpty()) {
             log.debug("push: no lead is known to be waiting on {}'s question (turnId {}), skipping nudge",
                     target, turnId);
@@ -476,7 +580,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
                                   Collection<String> profiles, int remainingCoolOffSeconds) {
         Map<String, List<String>> targetsByLead = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
         for (String target : targets) {
-            var lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+            var lead = resolveLiveLead(target);
             if (lead.isEmpty()) {
                 log.warn("push: backend incident {} has no known lead for target {}", incidentId, target);
                 continue;
@@ -498,7 +602,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
      * Without an owning lead, emit a warning because no control can act on the target.
      */
     public void onBackendTargetUnmapped(String target, String reason) {
-        var lead = primaryRegistry.nudgeTargetFor(target);
+        var lead = resolveLiveLead(target);
         if (lead.isEmpty()) {
             log.warn("push: backend target {} could not map to a credential: {}", target, reason);
             return;
@@ -654,7 +758,7 @@ public final class ReplyPushLoop {
                     lead, replyReminderCount + 1, maxReminders, ticketReminderCount + 1, maxReminders,
                     questionReminderCount + 1, maxReminders,
                     replyTargets.size(), tickets.size(), questions.size());
-            countNudge("delivered");
+            countNudge("sent");
             for (PendingIncident incident : incidents) {
                 if (pendingIncidents.remove(incident.key(), incident)) {
                     deliveredIncidents.add(incident.key());

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/peer/PeerLauncher.java

@@ -1,5 +1,7 @@
 package dev.ltms.fleet.peer;
 
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementDecision;
+
 import java.nio.file.Path;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Set;
@@ -143,9 +145,160 @@ public interface PeerLauncher {
 
     /**
      * The profile a no-argument {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} uses, or {@code null} if none is configured.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #425: for an implementation with role pools (a no-argument spawn is read as {@link
+     * MemberRole#DEV}, see {@link SpawnRequest}), this must be the profile a live spawn of that role
+     * would actually be placed on right now, not a value captured once at startup — a caller such as
+     * {@code fleet_profiles} relies on this to report a live, not frozen, fact.
      */
     String defaultProfile();
 
+    /**
+     * The profile an unqualified spawn of {@code role} would resolve to right now — the role-aware,
+     * live counterpart of {@link #defaultProfile()} (fleetd #425).
+     *
+     * <p>A caller that must provision something profile-specific (working directory, parity overlay
+     * files) <em>before</em> the actual spawn — {@code SessionManager.acquireWithWorktree} is the one
+     * that exists today — needs the exact profile that spawn will use, for the caller's real role,
+     * not a role-agnostic guess. Calling {@link #defaultProfile()} for that purpose reads {@code
+     * MemberRole#DEV}'s answer regardless of the caller's actual role, which is wrong for any other
+     * role and can provision for a profile the spawn never lands on.
+     *
+     * <p>Default implementation returns {@link #defaultProfile()}, ignoring {@code role} — the right
+     * answer for a launcher with no role-pool concept of its own (e.g. a single {@code
+     * HerdrPeerLauncher} adapter, which is never reached this way in production: {@code
+     * CompositePeerLauncher} always fronts it and resolves roles itself).
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #453: this default is deliberately <em>not</em> abstract — unlike {@link
+     * #spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} (fleetd #450), there is no live defect in inheriting
+     * it today, and the only current single-adapter implementer ({@code HerdrPeerLauncher}) is
+     * correct to do so. But it stays correct only as long as that holds: <strong>if a launcher ever
+     * routes more than one profile per role, it MUST override this method</strong>, or every role
+     * silently resolves to {@link #defaultProfile()} with no error and no log line. {@code
+     * HerdrPeerLauncher.spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} — the override in {@code
+     * dev.ltms.fleet.member}, not the declaration below — names this method and {@link #place}
+     * explicitly as "unoverridden here" for exactly this reason. Read it before adding role-pool
+     * routing to any {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} subclass.
+     *
+     * <p>Who is forced to read which paragraph, because it is not symmetric. A new class that
+     * implements this interface directly must write a body for {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest,
+     * PlacementDecision)}, which is abstract here, so it lands on this javadoc. A subclass of
+     * {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} does not: that class already implements the method, and the
+     * subclass inherits the body. So for a subclass this paragraph is advice, not a gate.
+     */
+    default String defaultProfileFor(MemberRole role) {
+        return defaultProfile();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The profile an <em>unqualified</em> spawn of {@code role} would actually be routed to right
+     * now — the same candidate list, the same {@code quarantined}/{@code coolingOff}/{@code
+     * modelOff} filtering, and the same {@code PlacementPolicy} that {@link #spawn} itself
+     * consults for a blank-profile request (fleetd #425 rework).
+     *
+     * <p>This is <em>not</em> {@link #defaultProfileFor}: that method answers "what is first in
+     * {@code role}'s pool", blind to quarantine, cool-off, and the model on/off gate — the right
+     * answer for a role-agnostic, best-effort report ({@code fleet_profiles}' {@code "default"}
+     * field), but the wrong one for a caller that needs the profile a spawn will actually land on.
+     * A quarantined or model-off pool-first profile makes {@link #defaultProfileFor} return a name
+     * an unqualified spawn will never be routed to.
+     *
+     * <p>Just the resolved name, not the full {@link PlacementDecision} — a caller that only wants
+     * to know the answer (a status report, a log line) can call this; a caller that will later
+     * <em>act</em> on the answer by spawning — provisioning a worktree for a specific profile
+     * before the peer exists is the one that matters — must call {@link #place} and carry the
+     * {@link PlacementDecision} itself through to {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)}
+     * instead of calling this method and feeding the string back in as an explicit profile. Doing
+     * that re-enters {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)}'s explicit-profile branch, which disagrees with
+     * the routing branch on purpose about what an excluded profile means: the routing branch (and
+     * {@link #place}) falls through a quarantined/cooling-off/at-cap/model-off/unreachable/weight-0
+     * profile to the next candidate, while the explicit branch refuses outright — correct for an
+     * operator who named that profile on purpose, wrong for a name that only ever came from placement
+     * itself. That accidental refusal is exactly the regression fleetd #425 rework round 2 fixes:
+     * the default implementation below delegates to {@link #place}, so the two can never drift apart,
+     * but a caller that resolves through this method alone and spawns separately can still recreate
+     * the round-1 defect for itself. (Before fleetd #435, this accident was also reachable through
+     * {@code maxLoad} specifically, because {@code FixedPlacementPolicy} — the default policy — did
+     * not evaluate it at all for automatic selection; #435 closed that gap, so a placement decision
+     * can no longer be at cap in the first place. The refusal-vs-fall-through disagreement above is
+     * the part that was never about {@code maxLoad} and is still real.)
+     *
+     * @throws RuntimeException (implementation-specific, typically a placement exception) if no
+     *                          candidate in {@code role}'s pool is currently placeable
+     */
+    default String routedProfileFor(MemberRole role) {
+        return place(role).profile();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Resolve, <em>without spawning</em>, the {@link PlacementDecision} an unqualified spawn of
+     * {@code role} would make right now — the same candidate list, the same {@code
+     * quarantined}/{@code coolingOff}/{@code modelOff} filtering, and the same {@code
+     * PlacementPolicy} {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)}'s blank-profile branch itself consults (fleetd
+     * #425 rework).
+     *
+     * <p>Pair this with {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)}, never with {@link
+     * #spawn(SpawnRequest)} fed the decision's profile as an explicit name — see {@link
+     * PlacementDecision}'s own javadoc for why that second form regressed.
+     *
+     * <p>Default implementation wraps {@link #defaultProfile()}, ignoring {@code role} and every
+     * placement condition — the right answer for a launcher with no pool or placement-policy
+     * concept of its own, matching {@link #defaultProfileFor}'s own default.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #453: same reasoning as {@link #defaultProfileFor}'s own #453 note — this default
+     * is deliberately not abstract (no live defect today, correct for the sole single-adapter
+     * implementer), but <strong>a launcher that ever routes more than one profile per role MUST
+     * override this method too</strong>, or placement silently ignores {@code role} for it. See
+     * {@code HerdrPeerLauncher.spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)}'s javadoc, which names this
+     * method as "unoverridden here" and why that is correct only for a single-profile adapter.
+     *
+     * @throws RuntimeException (implementation-specific, typically a placement exception) if no
+     *                          candidate in {@code role}'s pool is currently placeable
+     */
+    default PlacementDecision place(MemberRole role) {
+        return new PlacementDecision(defaultProfile());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Spawn against an already-resolved {@link PlacementDecision} from {@link #place}, honoring it
+     * completely: none of the conditions {@link #place} already applied — quarantine, cooling off,
+     * {@code maxLoad} (evaluated by every placement policy including the default {@code fixed},
+     * since fleetd #435), model-off — are re-evaluated here; {@code decision} already reflects them.
+     * This is not skipping a check {@code place} left undone; it is not repeating one {@code place}
+     * already did, and not re-opening the window between that decision and this spawn in which the
+     * underlying state could otherwise move. This is what lets a resolve-then-spawn caller
+     * ({@code SessionManager.acquireWithWorktree}, which must know the profile before it can
+     * provision a worktree for it) and a plain blank-profile {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} caller
+     * land on the exact same outcome for the exact same placement state (fleetd #425 rework,
+     * round 2).
+     *
+     * <p>{@code req}'s own {@link SpawnRequest#profileName()} is ignored in favor of {@code
+     * decision.profile()} — the caller is expected to have built {@code req} with a blank or
+     * matching profile; passing a request that names a <em>different</em>, explicit profile than
+     * the decision it is paired with is a caller bug this method does not attempt to detect.
+     *
+     * <p>No default implementation (fleetd #450): the two correct bodies disagree on purpose, so an
+     * implementer must choose one rather than silently inherit whichever this interface happened to
+     * provide. An implementer with no placement concept of its own — spawns a single profile, e.g.
+     * {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} — should delegate to {@link #spawn(SpawnRequest)} with the decision's
+     * profile named explicitly, since there is no separate routing path to honor there: the
+     * explicit-profile branch it re-enters and the routing branch {@link #place} would have used are
+     * the same thing. <strong>A launcher that routes across more than one profile — the way {@code
+     * CompositePeerLauncher} routes across every configured adapter — MUST NOT re-enter {@link
+     * #spawn(SpawnRequest)}.</strong> Doing so re-applies that single-argument method's
+     * explicit-profile checks ({@code enforceNotQuarantined}, {@code enforceNotCoolingOff}, {@code
+     * enforceMaxLoad}, {@code enforceModelEnabled} in {@code CompositePeerLauncher}), which can
+     * refuse the very profile {@link #place} just chose, if the underlying placement state moved in
+     * the window between the {@link #place} call and this one — the exact window this method and
+     * {@link PlacementDecision} exist to close (fleetd #444). Before #450 this was a {@code default}
+     * method that only {@code CompositePeerLauncher} overrode; a future placement-doing launcher
+     * could have inherited the re-entering body silently and never known. Making it abstract turns
+     * that silent inheritance into a compile error.
+     *
+     * @throws IllegalArgumentException if the decision names an unknown profile
+     */
+    PeerHandle spawn(SpawnRequest req, PlacementDecision decision);
+
     /**
      * Resolve the effective working directory for a spawn {@code req} without actually spawning.
      * Resolution order: requestedCwd → profile cwd → callerCwd → daemon cwd.
@@ -192,4 +345,66 @@ public interface PeerLauncher {
      * @return {@code true} when a reset was sent and its status transition must settle before reuse
      */
     boolean clearContext(String id);
+
+    /**
+     * Model ids the operator has currently turned off in the central {@code models.allow:} list
+     * (fleetd #422) — empty for a launcher with nothing to gate against. {@code fleet_profiles}/
+     * {@code GET /profiles} (via {@code FleetMcp.profilesView}) call this to report which models
+     * are off, and MUST read this exact accessor rather than deriving their own answer: the fleetd
+     * #404 lesson is that a status field reading a different source than the behaviour it describes
+     * can drift from what the gate ({@code CompositePeerLauncher.enforceModelEnabled} and its
+     * candidate filter) actually enforces. A default of {@code Set.of()} keeps every other {@link
+     * PeerLauncher} implementer (the herdr adapters, and the two test-fake implementers) unchanged.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #422 follow-up: this alone cannot tell "no {@code models:} block at all" from "a
+     * {@code models:} block where nothing is currently off" — both report an empty set here. Delegates
+     * to {@link #modelGateState()} so the two facts always come from the one read {@link
+     * #modelGateState()}'s implementer makes; do not override this method separately from that one.
+     */
+    default Set<String> disabledModels() {
+        return modelGateState().off();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Whether the central {@code models.allow:} gate (fleetd #422) is armed at all, together with
+     * which model ids are currently off — fleetd #422 follow-up. {@link #disabledModels()} alone
+     * cannot distinguish two states that both report an empty set: a host with no {@code models:}
+     * block (nothing is gated, and nothing can be) and a host WITH a {@code models:} block where
+     * nothing is currently turned off (the gate is armed and reporting zero). This method exists so
+     * a caller — the startup log, {@code fleet_profiles}/{@code GET /profiles} — can tell the two
+     * apart, the same reason {@code CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning} exists: an accessor that can
+     * legitimately report "empty" must never let a caller guess why.
+     *
+     * <p>Default {@link ModelGateState#notConfigured()} — every launcher without a {@code models:}
+     * block to read from (the herdr adapters, and the two test-fake implementers), matching {@link
+     * #disabledModels()}'s own default of an empty set.
+     */
+    default ModelGateState modelGateState() {
+        return ModelGateState.notConfigured();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #422 follow-up: the result of {@link #modelGateState()} — see that method's javadoc
+     * for why "armed" and "off" must be reported together from one read rather than as two
+     * separately-derived facts that a reload landing between them could make disagree.
+     *
+     * @param configured {@code true} when a {@code models:} block exists at all (armed), regardless
+     *                   of whether anything in it is currently turned off; {@code false} when there
+     *                   is no block to gate against
+     * @param off        the model ids currently turned off; always empty when {@code configured} is
+     *                   {@code false}
+     */
+    record ModelGateState(boolean configured, Set<String> off) {
+        public ModelGateState {
+            off = Set.copyOf(off);
+        }
+
+        public static ModelGateState notConfigured() {
+            return new ModelGateState(false, Set.of());
+        }
+
+        public static ModelGateState armed(Set<String> off) {
+            return new ModelGateState(true, off);
+        }
+    }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/peer/SpawnRequest.java

@@ -29,4 +29,9 @@ public record SpawnRequest(String profileName, String requestedCwd, String calle
                         String sessionName, String resumeSessionId) {
         this(profileName, requestedCwd, callerCwd, sessionName, resumeSessionId, null);
     }
+
+    /** Return a copy of this request with {@code profileName} replaced by {@code profile}. */
+    public SpawnRequest withProfile(String profile) {
+        return new SpawnRequest(profile, requestedCwd, callerCwd, sessionName, resumeSessionId, role);
+    }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/placement/BackendQuarantine.java

@@ -3,6 +3,7 @@ package dev.ltms.fleet.placement;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.Optional;
 import java.util.OptionalLong;
 import java.util.concurrent.ConcurrentHashMap;
 import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
@@ -21,46 +22,158 @@ import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
  * <p>The clock is injected ({@link LongSupplier}, conventionally {@code System::nanoTime} like
  * {@code FleetHealthMonitor}), never read inline, so a quarantine's expiry is testable without a
  * real sleep.
+ *
+ * <h2>Escalation (fleetd #466)</h2>
+ * A flat cooldown does not fit every exhaustion. A backend that reports "out of capacity for the
+ * rest of the hour" recovers in one cooldown; a weekly subscription limit does not — it keeps
+ * reporting exhausted on every attempt made before the window resets, so a flat 30-minute cooldown
+ * (the default {@code cooldownNanos}) means roughly 336 pointless spawn attempts across a week, one
+ * every cooldown.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>This class only ever sees the exhaustion signal.</strong> Its only production caller is
+ * {@code Fleetd.exhaustionSink}, wired to fire on a {@code BACKEND_EXHAUSTED} classification alone.
+ * The daemon's other outage state — a credential "cooling off" after repeated non-exhaustion
+ * backend errors (an HTTP 5xx storm, say) — is a separate mechanism, {@code BackendOutagePolicy},
+ * with its own short fixed 60s cooldown and no repeat tracking. The two are never merged: escalating
+ * on a cooling-off signal would turn a transient 5xx storm into a multi-hour backoff, which is
+ * exactly the failure this ticket is not asking for. Confirmed by reading every call site of
+ * {@link #quarantine} — {@code BackendOutagePolicy} has its own {@code coolOff} method and never
+ * calls this one.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Mechanism</strong> — the {@link #withEscalation} constructors track, per credential, how
+ * many times in a row {@link #quarantine} has been called without an intervening "quiet" gap.
+ * Each call computes {@code cooldownNanos * backoffMultiplier ^ (repeatCount - 1)}, capped at
+ * {@code maxCooldownNanos}. A call counts as a continuation of the same streak — {@code repeatCount}
+ * increments — when it arrives no more than one base {@code cooldownNanos} after the previous
+ * quarantine's deadline (this covers both "still quarantined" and "quarantine just expired and it
+ * was exhausted again immediately"); otherwise the streak resets and this call is treated as a fresh
+ * first occurrence at the base cooldown.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Reset, honestly stated.</strong> The ideal reset signal is "the cooldown expired and the
+ * next attempt succeeded" — but nothing in this codebase reports a spawn success back to this class
+ * (checked: {@code SessionManager} and {@code CompositePeerLauncher} never call any method here
+ * except {@link #quarantine}/{@link #isQuarantined}/{@link #remainingSeconds}, none of which is a
+ * success hook). Lacking that signal, the reset used here is a time-based proxy: a base-cooldown's
+ * worth of quiet — no exhaustion report for that credential — since the last quarantine ended. It is
+ * not proof the credential started working again, only the best available evidence without adding an
+ * active probe, which is out of scope by the operator's own design constraint (no automatic probing
+ * of a limited backend).
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Ceiling.</strong> {@code maxCooldownNanos} bounds the growth — an unbounded backoff is a
+ * permanent, unrecoverable-without-a-restart outage, which would be worse than the flat-rate bug this
+ * escalation fixes. {@link #withEscalation(LongSupplier, long)} defaults the ceiling to
+ * {@value #DEFAULT_MAX_COOLDOWN_MULTIPLE}x the base cooldown (12x the 1800s default ≈ 6 hours), so a
+ * chronically exhausted credential still gets re-tried roughly every 6 hours instead of every 30
+ * minutes — about a dozen attempts a week instead of ~336.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Backward compatibility.</strong> The original two-argument {@link #BackendQuarantine(
+ * LongSupplier, long)} constructor is unchanged in behaviour: it is exactly {@code
+ * withEscalation}'s mechanism with {@code backoffMultiplier = 1.0} and {@code maxCooldownNanos =
+ * cooldownNanos}, which collapses the formula back to the original flat {@code now + cooldownNanos}
+ * on every call regardless of history. Every existing call site (roughly 20 across the test suite,
+ * plus {@link #none()}) keeps its current shape and behaviour unchanged.
  */
 public final class BackendQuarantine {
 
-    private final ConcurrentHashMap<String, Long> quarantinedUntilNanos = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
+    /** Default growth per consecutive exhaustion streak — see the class doc's Mechanism section. */
+    static final double DEFAULT_BACKOFF_MULTIPLIER = 2.0;
+    /** Default ceiling, expressed as a multiple of the base cooldown — see the class doc's Ceiling section. */
+    static final long DEFAULT_MAX_COOLDOWN_MULTIPLE = 12;
+
+    private final ConcurrentHashMap<String, QuarantineState> quarantines = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
     private final LongSupplier nowNanos;
     private final long cooldownNanos;
+    private final double backoffMultiplier;
+    private final long maxCooldownNanos;
     /** True only for {@link #none()}. See {@link #quarantine} for why this exists. */
     private final boolean inert;
 
+    /** How many consecutive exhaustion reports a credential is on, and when the resulting cooldown ends. */
+    private record QuarantineState(int repeatCount, long deadlineNanos) {
+    }
+
     /**
+     * Flat cooldown, unchanged from before fleetd #466 — every {@link #quarantine} call blocks the
+     * credential for exactly {@code cooldownNanos}, regardless of how many times it was called
+     * before. Equivalent to {@link #withEscalation} with no growth ({@code backoffMultiplier = 1.0})
+     * and a ceiling equal to the base cooldown, so it degrades to the identical {@code now +
+     * cooldownNanos} formula every call. Kept for the existing call sites that want a fixed cooldown
+     * (and for tests exercising the fixed-cooldown shape in isolation); production wiring uses
+     * {@link #withEscalation} instead.
+     *
      * @param nowNanos      monotonic clock, injected for testability
      * @param cooldownNanos how long a fresh {@link #quarantine} call blocks the credential for;
      *                      must be positive
      */
     public BackendQuarantine(LongSupplier nowNanos, long cooldownNanos) {
-        this(nowNanos, cooldownNanos, false);
+        this(nowNanos, cooldownNanos, 1.0, cooldownNanos, false);
     }
 
-    private BackendQuarantine(LongSupplier nowNanos, long cooldownNanos, boolean inert) {
+    /**
+     * Escalating cooldown (fleetd #466) — see the class doc's Mechanism/Reset/Ceiling sections.
+     *
+     * @param nowNanos          monotonic clock, injected for testability
+     * @param cooldownNanos     base cooldown, applied to a fresh (non-streak) exhaustion; must be
+     *                          positive
+     * @param backoffMultiplier growth per consecutive exhaustion; must be {@code >= 1.0} ({@code 1.0}
+     *                          disables growth and is exactly the flat two-argument constructor)
+     * @param maxCooldownNanos  ceiling on the escalated cooldown; must be {@code >= cooldownNanos}
+     */
+    public BackendQuarantine(LongSupplier nowNanos, long cooldownNanos, double backoffMultiplier,
+            long maxCooldownNanos) {
+        this(nowNanos, cooldownNanos, backoffMultiplier, maxCooldownNanos, false);
+    }
+
+    private BackendQuarantine(LongSupplier nowNanos, long cooldownNanos, double backoffMultiplier,
+            long maxCooldownNanos, boolean inert) {
         this.nowNanos = Objects.requireNonNull(nowNanos, "nowNanos");
         if (cooldownNanos <= 0) {
             throw new IllegalArgumentException("cooldownNanos must be positive: " + cooldownNanos);
         }
+        if (backoffMultiplier < 1.0) {
+            throw new IllegalArgumentException("backoffMultiplier must be >= 1.0: " + backoffMultiplier);
+        }
+        if (maxCooldownNanos < cooldownNanos) {
+            throw new IllegalArgumentException(
+                    "maxCooldownNanos must be >= cooldownNanos: " + maxCooldownNanos + " < " + cooldownNanos);
+        }
         this.cooldownNanos = cooldownNanos;
+        this.backoffMultiplier = backoffMultiplier;
+        this.maxCooldownNanos = maxCooldownNanos;
         this.inert = inert;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Escalating cooldown with the fleetd #466 default shape: cooldown doubles
+     * ({@value #DEFAULT_BACKOFF_MULTIPLIER}x) per consecutive exhaustion streak, capped at
+     * {@value #DEFAULT_MAX_COOLDOWN_MULTIPLE}x the base cooldown. This is what production wiring
+     * ({@code Fleetd.main}) uses.
+     *
+     * @param nowNanos      monotonic clock, injected for testability
+     * @param cooldownNanos base cooldown, applied to a fresh (non-streak) exhaustion; must be positive
+     */
+    public static BackendQuarantine withEscalation(LongSupplier nowNanos, long cooldownNanos) {
+        return new BackendQuarantine(nowNanos, cooldownNanos, DEFAULT_BACKOFF_MULTIPLIER,
+                cooldownNanos * DEFAULT_MAX_COOLDOWN_MULTIPLE, false);
+    }
+
     /**
      * Inert quarantine — {@link #quarantine} does nothing on this instance, so nothing is ever
      * quarantined. The explicit stand-in a caller (or a test not exercising this feature) passes
      * instead of a defaulting overload, exactly like {@code ExhaustedPatternLookup.none()}.
      */
     public static BackendQuarantine none() {
-        return new BackendQuarantine(() -> 0L, 1, true);
+        return new BackendQuarantine(() -> 0L, 1, 1.0, 1, true);
     }
 
     /**
-     * Quarantine {@code credentialId} for the configured cooldown, starting now. A repeat call while
-     * already quarantined restarts the cooldown at full length — a fresh refusal is fresh evidence the
-     * account is still exhausted, not a reason to let an earlier, shorter wait stand.
+     * Quarantine {@code credentialId} starting now. On a flat instance (the two-argument
+     * constructor) this always blocks for exactly {@code cooldownNanos}, restarting the cooldown at
+     * full length on every call — a fresh refusal is fresh evidence the account is still exhausted,
+     * not a reason to let an earlier, shorter wait stand. On an escalating instance ({@link
+     * #withEscalation}) the cooldown grows with each call that arrives within one base cooldown of
+     * the previous deadline, and resets to the base cooldown once a call arrives after a longer gap
+     * — see the class doc.
      *
      * <p>On {@link #none()} this is a no-op. It has to be: that instance holds a clock frozen at 0,
      * so recording a deadline would produce a quarantine that never expires — a credential locked out
@@ -73,7 +186,13 @@ public final class BackendQuarantine {
         if (inert) {
             return;
         }
-        quarantinedUntilNanos.put(credentialId, nowNanos.getAsLong() + cooldownNanos);
+        long now = nowNanos.getAsLong();
+        quarantines.compute(credentialId, (id, prev) -> {
+            int repeatCount = (prev == null || now - prev.deadlineNanos() > cooldownNanos)
+                    ? 1
+                    : prev.repeatCount() + 1;
+            return new QuarantineState(repeatCount, now + escalatedCooldownNanos(repeatCount));
+        });
     }
 
     /** Whether {@code credentialId} is quarantined right now. */
@@ -87,6 +206,49 @@ public final class BackendQuarantine {
         return remaining > 0 ? OptionalLong.of(toSecondsRoundedUp(remaining)) : OptionalLong.empty();
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Remaining seconds together with which consecutive exhaustion this is (fleetd #466 scope item
+     * 2) — {@code repeatCount} 1 for a first occurrence, 2 for the second in a row, and so on; see
+     * {@link #quarantine}'s class-doc Mechanism section for exactly when a call continues a streak
+     * versus starts a fresh one.
+     *
+     * <p><strong>Read together, off the one {@link QuarantineState} entry {@link #quarantine} itself
+     * wrote</strong> — a single {@code quarantines.get(credentialId)}, never a separate lookup or a
+     * value re-derived from {@code remainingSeconds} (e.g. inverting {@link
+     * #escalatedCooldownNanos}). That inversion is not just extra work to avoid: once a streak has
+     * hit {@code maxCooldownNanos}, every further consecutive exhaustion reports the identical
+     * cooldown, so a derivation that starts from the cooldown value cannot tell the 4th repeat from
+     * the 9th — only the stored {@code repeatCount} can. This is the same rule {@code
+     * CompositePeerLauncher.modelGateState()} documents for its own gate/report pair: the report
+     * reads the exact accessor the behaviour reads, so it can never disagree with what actually
+     * happened (the fleetd #404/#422 lesson). {@code fleet_profiles}/{@code fleet_list}/{@code GET
+     * /profiles} all call this — never {@link #remainingSeconds} plus a second, independent count —
+     * for exactly that reason.
+     *
+     * @return empty when {@code credentialId} is not currently quarantined (including on {@link
+     *         #none()}, which quarantines nothing)
+     */
+    public Optional<Status> status(String credentialId) {
+        QuarantineState state = quarantines.get(credentialId);
+        if (state == null) {
+            return Optional.empty();
+        }
+        long remaining = state.deadlineNanos() - nowNanos.getAsLong();
+        return remaining > 0
+                ? Optional.of(new Status(toSecondsRoundedUp(remaining), state.repeatCount()))
+                : Optional.empty();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param remainingSeconds seconds left on the quarantine, identical to {@link
+     *                          #remainingSeconds(String)}'s answer for the same credential at the
+     *                          same instant
+     * @param repeatCount       1 for a first occurrence, 2 for the second consecutive one, etc. —
+     *                          see {@link #status(String)}
+     */
+    public record Status(long remainingSeconds, int repeatCount) {
+    }
+
     /**
      * Every currently-quarantined credential id and its remaining seconds (CB-578 stage B fleet
      * reporting) — expired entries are never included. Not pruned from the backing map here: it stays
@@ -95,8 +257,8 @@ public final class BackendQuarantine {
      */
     public Map<String, Long> activeRemainingSeconds() {
         Map<String, Long> out = new LinkedHashMap<>();
-        quarantinedUntilNanos.forEach((credentialId, deadline) -> {
-            long remaining = deadline - nowNanos.getAsLong();
+        quarantines.forEach((credentialId, state) -> {
+            long remaining = state.deadlineNanos() - nowNanos.getAsLong();
             if (remaining > 0) {
                 out.put(credentialId, toSecondsRoundedUp(remaining));
             }
@@ -105,8 +267,14 @@ public final class BackendQuarantine {
     }
 
     private long remainingNanos(String credentialId) {
-        Long deadline = quarantinedUntilNanos.get(credentialId);
-        return deadline == null ? 0L : deadline - nowNanos.getAsLong();
+        QuarantineState state = quarantines.get(credentialId);
+        return state == null ? 0L : state.deadlineNanos() - nowNanos.getAsLong();
+    }
+
+    /** {@code cooldownNanos * backoffMultiplier ^ (repeatCount - 1)}, capped at {@code maxCooldownNanos}. */
+    private long escalatedCooldownNanos(int repeatCount) {
+        double raw = cooldownNanos * Math.pow(backoffMultiplier, repeatCount - 1);
+        return raw >= (double) maxCooldownNanos ? maxCooldownNanos : (long) raw;
     }
 
     private static long toSecondsRoundedUp(long nanos) {

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/placement/FixedPlacementPolicy.java

@@ -5,14 +5,12 @@ import java.util.List;
 
 /**
  * Backward-compatible placement: an unqualified spawn always resolves to the configured default
- * profile, exactly as {@code CompositePeerLauncher} did before CB-518. This ignores caps
- * ({@code maxLoad}) so that a pre-existing config behaves identically after upgrade — capacity
- * gating for automatic placement is deliberately out of scope for {@code fixed}, exactly as it
- * always has been. Reachability is a narrower exception (fleetd #315, below): a profile is never
- * checked for reachability up front, only skipped once it has already failed in <em>this same</em>
- * spawn call's retry loop — see the unreachable case below.
+ * profile, exactly as {@code CompositePeerLauncher} did before CB-518. Reachability is a narrower
+ * exception (fleetd #315, below): a profile is never checked for reachability up front, only
+ * skipped once it has already failed in <em>this same</em> spawn call's retry loop — see the
+ * unreachable case below.
  *
- * <p>Four exceptions walk past the default instead of returning it unconditionally:
+ * <p>Six exceptions walk past the default instead of returning it unconditionally:
  * <ul>
  *   <li>Quarantine (CB-578 stage B): a quarantined default is a credential that just refused on
  *       a usage limit, not a transient capacity or reachability concern.
@@ -20,6 +18,24 @@ import java.util.List;
  *       ({@code BackendOutagePolicy}) — a separate, shorter-lived source from quarantine. When a
  *       profile is both quarantined and cooling off, only the quarantine reason is reported
  *       (exhaustion takes priority), matching {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s explicit-spawn order.
+ *   <li>At cap (fleetd #435): a profile whose live count has reached its {@code maxLoad}
+ *       ({@link PlacementPolicyUtil#atCap}) — a documented, unconditional capacity limit (see
+ *       {@code FleetConfig.Profile#maxLoad}), so {@code fixed} must gate on it exactly as {@code
+ *       weighted}/{@code round-robin} already do via {@link PlacementPolicyUtil#available}. Before
+ *       this fix {@code fixed} built its own {@link PlacementCandidate} for the default with {@code
+ *       maxLoad} forced to {@code null}, so a capped default was chosen anyway on every unqualified
+ *       spawn — the cap was advisory, not enforced, for the one placement policy every config uses
+ *       by default. Reported only when quarantine and cooling off are both absent, matching {@code
+ *       CompositePeerLauncher}'s explicit-spawn check order (quarantine, then cooling off, then max
+ *       load, then model-off).
+ *   <li>Model off (fleetd #422): a profile whose {@code model:} the operator has turned off in
+ *       {@code models.allow:} — an operator decision, never a backend-reported outage, so it is a
+ *       fifth, independent source from quarantine, cooling off, and at-cap (never merged with any
+ *       of them), exactly as {@code CompositePeerLauncher.enforceModelEnabled} and {@link
+ *       PlacementPolicyUtil#available} treat it. When a profile is model-off <em>and</em> quarantined,
+ *       cooling off, or at cap, only the higher-priority reason is reported, matching {@code
+ *       CompositePeerLauncher}'s explicit-spawn check order (quarantine, then cooling off, then max
+ *       load, then model-off).
  *   <li>Unreachable (fleetd #315): {@code CompositePeerLauncher.spawn} retries a failed candidate
  *       on the next one and rebuilds the {@link PlacementContext} so {@code ctx.unreachable()}
  *       names every profile that already failed with {@code PeerUnreachableException} in this same
@@ -32,9 +48,10 @@ import java.util.List;
  *       {@code weighted}/{@code round-robin} skip it — an explicit {@code fleet_spawn} naming
  *       the profile is unaffected, only this automatic fallback walk.
  * </ul>
- * A fleet where nothing is ever quarantined, cooling off, unreachable, or weight-0 never exercises
- * any of these paths, so today's behaviour is unchanged — in particular, the very first selection
- * of a spawn call always sees an empty {@code unreachable} set, so the first choice is untouched.
+ * A fleet where nothing is ever quarantined, cooling off, at cap, model-off, unreachable, or
+ * weight-0 never exercises any of these paths, so today's behaviour is unchanged — in particular,
+ * the very first selection of a spawn call always sees an empty {@code unreachable} set, so the
+ * first choice is untouched.
  */
 final class FixedPlacementPolicy implements PlacementPolicy {
 
@@ -42,12 +59,14 @@ final class FixedPlacementPolicy implements PlacementPolicy {
     public PlacementCandidate select(PlacementContext ctx) {
         String d = ctx.defaultProfile();
         if (d != null && !d.isBlank() && !ctx.quarantined().contains(d) && !ctx.coolingOff().contains(d)
-                && !ctx.unreachable().contains(d) && !weightExcluded(ctx, d)) {
+                && !ctx.modelOff().contains(d) && !ctx.unreachable().contains(d) && !weightExcluded(ctx, d)
+                && !capExcluded(ctx, d)) {
             return new PlacementCandidate(d, null, 1.0f, null);
         }
         for (PlacementCandidate c : ctx.candidates()) {
             if (!ctx.quarantined().contains(c.profile()) && !ctx.coolingOff().contains(c.profile())
-                    && !ctx.unreachable().contains(c.profile()) && !c.excluded()) {
+                    && !ctx.modelOff().contains(c.profile()) && !ctx.unreachable().contains(c.profile())
+                    && !c.excluded() && !PlacementPolicyUtil.atCap(ctx, c)) {
                 return new PlacementCandidate(c.profile(), null, c.weight(), c.maxLoad());
             }
         }
@@ -56,9 +75,18 @@ final class FixedPlacementPolicy implements PlacementPolicy {
             // Exhaustion quarantine takes priority: reported only when quarantine is absent, so the
             // message never claims "cooling off" for a profile that is really backend-exhausted.
             boolean dCoolingOff = !dQuarantined && ctx.coolingOff().contains(d);
+            // fleetd #435: at-cap sits between cooling off and model-off, matching
+            // CompositePeerLauncher's explicit-spawn check order (quarantine, cooling off, max load,
+            // then model-off) — reported only when quarantine/cooling-off are both absent.
+            boolean dAtCap = !dQuarantined && !dCoolingOff && capExcluded(ctx, d);
+            // fleetd #422: model-off is a fifth, independent source (an operator decision) — but
+            // quarantine/cooling-off/at-cap still take priority when more than one applies, matching
+            // CompositePeerLauncher's explicit-spawn check order (quarantine, cooling off, max load,
+            // then model-off).
+            boolean dModelOff = !dQuarantined && !dCoolingOff && !dAtCap && ctx.modelOff().contains(d);
             boolean dUnreachable = ctx.unreachable().contains(d);
             boolean dWeightExcluded = weightExcluded(ctx, d);
-            if (dQuarantined || dCoolingOff || dUnreachable || dWeightExcluded) {
+            if (dQuarantined || dCoolingOff || dAtCap || dModelOff || dUnreachable || dWeightExcluded) {
                 List<String> reasons = new ArrayList<>();
                 if (dQuarantined) {
                     reasons.add("is quarantined (backend exhausted)");
@@ -66,6 +94,14 @@ final class FixedPlacementPolicy implements PlacementPolicy {
                 if (dCoolingOff) {
                     reasons.add("is cooling off after repeated backend errors");
                 }
+                if (dAtCap) {
+                    PlacementCandidate c = candidateFor(ctx, d);
+                    int live = ctx.liveCount().apply(d);
+                    reasons.add("is at maxLoad (" + live + " live >= " + c.maxLoad() + " cap)");
+                }
+                if (dModelOff) {
+                    reasons.add("names a model the operator has turned off in models.allow");
+                }
                 if (dUnreachable) {
                     reasons.add("is unreachable");
                 }
@@ -78,18 +114,38 @@ final class FixedPlacementPolicy implements PlacementPolicy {
         }
         if (!ctx.candidates().isEmpty()) {
             throw new PlacementException("all worker profiles are excluded from automatic "
-                    + "selection (quarantined, cooling off, unreachable, or weight-0)");
+                    + "selection (quarantined, cooling off, at cap, model-off, unreachable, or weight-0)");
         }
         throw new PlacementException("no worker profiles configured");
     }
 
     /** Whether {@code profile} carries {@code weight <= 0} (CB-554) among {@code ctx}'s candidates. */
     private static boolean weightExcluded(PlacementContext ctx, String profile) {
+        PlacementCandidate c = candidateFor(ctx, profile);
+        return c != null && c.excluded();
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Whether {@code profile} has reached its {@code maxLoad} cap (fleetd #435), using the shared
+     * {@link PlacementPolicyUtil#atCap} definition — the same one {@code weighted}/{@code
+     * round-robin} already consult via {@link PlacementPolicyUtil#available}. Looked up by name,
+     * the same way {@link #weightExcluded} is: the default fast path above builds its own {@link
+     * PlacementCandidate} with {@code maxLoad} forced to {@code null} (it carries no cap of its
+     * own), so the candidate actually configured for {@code profile} has to be found in {@code
+     * ctx.candidates()} first.
+     */
+    private static boolean capExcluded(PlacementContext ctx, String profile) {
+        PlacementCandidate c = candidateFor(ctx, profile);
+        return c != null && PlacementPolicyUtil.atCap(ctx, c);
+    }
+
+    /** The configured candidate named {@code profile} in {@code ctx}, or {@code null} if none. */
+    private static PlacementCandidate candidateFor(PlacementContext ctx, String profile) {
         for (PlacementCandidate c : ctx.candidates()) {
             if (c.profile().equals(profile)) {
-                return c.excluded();
+                return c;
             }
         }
-        return false;
+        return null;
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/placement/PlacementContext.java

@@ -22,11 +22,29 @@ import java.util.function.Function;
  *                       the two apart so its refusal message says "cooling off", not "exhausted",
  *                       when only this one is active. A profile can be in both sets at once; when it
  *                       is, exhaustion quarantine is reported (it takes priority).
+ * @param modelOff       profiles whose {@code model:} is currently turned off in {@code
+ *                       models.allow:} (fleetd #422) — an operator decision, not a backend-reported
+ *                       outage, so a SEPARATE, independent source from both {@code quarantined} and
+ *                       {@code coolingOff}. A profile can be in this set together with either (or
+ *                       both) of the others; {@link PlacementPolicyUtil} counts it into its own
+ *                       bucket rather than merging it into theirs, the same reason
+ *                       {@code coolingOff} is kept apart from {@code quarantined}.
  */
 public record PlacementContext(String defaultProfile,
                                List<PlacementCandidate> candidates,
                                Function<String, Integer> liveCount,
                                Set<String> unreachable,
                                Set<String> quarantined,
-                               Set<String> coolingOff) {
+                               Set<String> coolingOff,
+                               Set<String> modelOff) {
+
+    /**
+     * Back-compat form before the fleetd #422 model on/off gate was added — no candidate's model
+     * is off. Keeps pre-#422 call sites (tests included) compiling and behaving identically.
+     */
+    public PlacementContext(String defaultProfile, List<PlacementCandidate> candidates,
+                            Function<String, Integer> liveCount, Set<String> unreachable,
+                            Set<String> quarantined, Set<String> coolingOff) {
+        this(defaultProfile, candidates, liveCount, unreachable, quarantined, coolingOff, Set.of());
+    }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/placement/PlacementDecision.java

@@ -0,0 +1,49 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.placement;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.MemberRole;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.SpawnRequest;
+
+/**
+ * An already-completed placement choice — the outcome of one {@link PeerLauncher#place} call,
+ * carried forward so a later {@link PeerLauncher#spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} can honor
+ * it directly instead of re-resolving the profile a second time (fleetd #425 rework, round 2).
+ *
+ * <p>The problem this exists to close: a caller that must know the profile <em>before</em> it can
+ * spawn — {@code SessionManager.acquireWithWorktree} provisions a worktree's {@code repoRoot} and
+ * parity overlay for a specific profile before the peer process exists — used to resolve that name
+ * with {@code PeerLauncher.routedProfileFor(role)} and then hand the SAME string back to {@link
+ * PeerLauncher#spawn(SpawnRequest)} as an EXPLICIT profile. That re-resolution is not free: naming
+ * a profile explicitly makes {@code CompositePeerLauncher.spawn} take its THROWING branch
+ * ({@code enforceNotQuarantined}/{@code enforceNotCoolingOff}/{@code enforceMaxLoad}/{@code
+ * enforceModelEnabled}), while an unqualified spawn's ROUTING branch never runs those checks at
+ * all — it instead FALLS THROUGH to the next candidate on exactly the same conditions the throwing
+ * branch refuses on. That disagreement is deliberate: an operator who names a profile should get a
+ * refusal, not a silent substitution. The bug is turning the fall-through into a refusal by
+ * accident — resolving a name through the routing side and then re-entering the refusing side with
+ * it, for a decision the routing side had already approved by walking past everything else.
+ * Before fleetd #435, this accident was also reachable through {@code maxLoad} specifically: the
+ * default {@code fixed} placement policy did not evaluate {@code maxLoad} at all for automatic
+ * selection, so a profile placement itself just approved could still die at {@code enforceMaxLoad}
+ * one call later, purely because the caller's route to the spawn passed through an explicit
+ * profile name instead of the routing branch — a failure a worktree-less unqualified spawn would
+ * never hit. fleetd #435 closed that specific gap ({@code fixed} now evaluates {@code maxLoad}
+ * exactly like every other placement policy), so a {@link PlacementDecision} can no longer be
+ * at-cap in the first place — but the refusal-vs-fall-through disagreement above was never about
+ * {@code maxLoad}, and resolving a name and re-entering the refusing branch with it is still wrong
+ * for every OTHER condition placement filters on.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link PeerLauncher#spawn(SpawnRequest, PlacementDecision)} closes that by spawning through
+ * the identical code path the routing branch itself uses, keyed off the SAME decision {@link
+ * PeerLauncher#place} returned — no re-checking of any condition placement already evaluated. A
+ * resolve-then-spawn caller and a blank-profile {@link PeerLauncher#spawn(SpawnRequest)} caller can
+ * then never disagree about which conditions apply to the same placement state, and neither one
+ * re-opens the window between the placement decision and the spawn in which the underlying state
+ * could otherwise move.
+ *
+ * @param profile the profile this decision resolved to (may be {@code null} only when no profile is
+ *                configured at all — the same corner case {@link PeerLauncher#defaultProfile()}
+ *                already tolerates)
+ */
+public record PlacementDecision(String profile) {
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/placement/PlacementPolicyUtil.java

@@ -11,28 +11,40 @@ final class PlacementPolicyUtil {
     private PlacementPolicyUtil() {
     }
 
+    /**
+     * True when {@code c} has reached its {@code maxLoad} cap: {@code liveCount(c.profile()) >=
+     * c.maxLoad()}. A {@code null} maxLoad means unlimited, so it is never at cap.
+     *
+     * <p>Extracted as the single shared definition of "at cap" (fleetd #435): before this fix it
+     * was computed inline in both {@link #available} and {@link #emptyException}, and {@code
+     * FixedPlacementPolicy} — not a caller of either — quietly kept its own {@code select} free of
+     * any cap check at all, so a capped default profile was chosen anyway under the default
+     * placement policy. Every automatic policy must call this, not re-derive it.
+     */
+    static boolean atCap(PlacementContext ctx, PlacementCandidate c) {
+        Integer cap = c.maxLoad();
+        return cap != null && ctx.liveCount().apply(c.profile()) >= cap;
+    }
+
     /**
      * Candidates that are not weight-excluded (CB-554: explicit {@code weight <= 0}, checked
      * first because it is a static config choice rather than transient state), not
      * known-unreachable, not quarantined (CB-578 stage B), not cooling off after repeated backend
-     * errors (fleetd #201 Unit 5 — a separate, shorter-lived source from quarantine), and have not
-     * reached their maxLoad. A {@code null} maxLoad means unlimited.
+     * errors (fleetd #201 Unit 5 — a separate, shorter-lived source from quarantine), not naming a
+     * model the operator has turned off (fleetd #422 — a third, independent source: an operator
+     * decision, never a backend-reported outage), and have not reached their maxLoad (see {@link
+     * #atCap}). A {@code null} maxLoad means unlimited.
      */
     static List<PlacementCandidate> available(PlacementContext ctx) {
         List<PlacementCandidate> out = new ArrayList<>();
         for (PlacementCandidate c : ctx.candidates()) {
             if (c.excluded() || ctx.unreachable().contains(c.profile())
                     || ctx.quarantined().contains(c.profile())
-                    || ctx.coolingOff().contains(c.profile())) {
+                    || ctx.coolingOff().contains(c.profile())
+                    || ctx.modelOff().contains(c.profile())
+                    || atCap(ctx, c)) {
                 continue;
             }
-            Integer cap = c.maxLoad();
-            if (cap != null) {
-                int live = ctx.liveCount().apply(c.profile());
-                if (live >= cap) {
-                    continue;
-                }
-            }
             out.add(c);
         }
         return out;
@@ -40,12 +52,13 @@ final class PlacementPolicyUtil {
 
     /**
      * Build a clear exception describing why every candidate was dropped: all weight-0, all
-     * quarantined, all cooling off, all at capacity, all unreachable, or a mix. Each candidate is
-     * counted into exactly one bucket (weight-excluded first, then quarantined, then cooling off)
-     * so a candidate excluded for more than one reason is never double-counted — a candidate that is
-     * both quarantined (CB-578 stage B, backend exhausted) and cooling off (fleetd #201 Unit 5,
-     * repeated backend errors) counts only as quarantined, matching {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s
-     * explicit-spawn ordering: exhaustion quarantine takes priority when both are active.
+     * quarantined, all cooling off, all model-off, all at capacity, all unreachable, or a mix. Each
+     * candidate is counted into exactly one bucket (weight-excluded first, then quarantined, then
+     * cooling off, then model-off) so a candidate excluded for more than one reason is never
+     * double-counted — a candidate that is both quarantined (CB-578 stage B, backend exhausted) and
+     * cooling off (fleetd #201 Unit 5, repeated backend errors) counts only as quarantined, matching
+     * {@code CompositePeerLauncher}'s explicit-spawn ordering: exhaustion quarantine takes priority
+     * when more than one applies.
      */
     static PlacementException emptyException(PlacementContext ctx) {
         int weightExcluded = 0;
@@ -53,17 +66,19 @@ final class PlacementPolicyUtil {
         int unreachable = 0;
         int quarantined = 0;
         int coolingOff = 0;
+        int modelOff = 0;
         for (PlacementCandidate c : ctx.candidates()) {
-            Integer cap = c.maxLoad();
             if (c.excluded()) {
                 weightExcluded++;
             } else if (ctx.quarantined().contains(c.profile())) {
                 quarantined++;
             } else if (ctx.coolingOff().contains(c.profile())) {
                 coolingOff++;
+            } else if (ctx.modelOff().contains(c.profile())) {
+                modelOff++;
             } else if (ctx.unreachable().contains(c.profile())) {
                 unreachable++;
-            } else if (cap != null && ctx.liveCount().apply(c.profile()) >= cap) {
+            } else if (atCap(ctx, c)) {
                 atCap++;
             }
         }
@@ -83,6 +98,10 @@ final class PlacementPolicyUtil {
             return new PlacementException(
                     "all worker profiles are cooling off after repeated backend errors");
         }
+        if (modelOff == total) {
+            return new PlacementException(
+                    "all worker profiles name a model the operator has turned off");
+        }
         if (atCap == total) {
             return new PlacementException("all worker profiles are at maxLoad");
         }
@@ -92,8 +111,9 @@ final class PlacementPolicyUtil {
         return new PlacementException("no worker profile available: " + atCap + " at maxLoad, "
                 + unreachable + " unreachable, " + quarantined + " quarantined, "
                 + coolingOff + " cooling off, "
+                + modelOff + " model-off, "
                 + weightExcluded + " weight-0, "
-                + (total - atCap - unreachable - quarantined - coolingOff - weightExcluded)
+                + (total - atCap - unreachable - quarantined - coolingOff - modelOff - weightExcluded)
                 + " remaining");
     }
 }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/power/CaffeinateSleepAssertionMechanism.java

@@ -0,0 +1,93 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.power;
+
+import org.slf4j.Logger;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.io.IOException;
+import java.util.Locale;
+import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
+import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicBoolean;
+
+/**
+ * Holds macOS idle sleep off by keeping a {@code caffeinate -i} child process alive for the life
+ * of the returned {@link SleepAssertion}.
+ *
+ * <p>{@code -i} asserts only against <em>idle</em> sleep — it does not stop the lid closing or an
+ * operator-requested sleep from taking effect. That is deliberate: this class exists to stop an
+ * unattended host from sleeping out from under a member's long turn, never to override the
+ * operator. {@code -s}/{@code -d} (which also block system/display sleep on demand) are
+ * intentionally not used here.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link #acquire()} never throws. It returns {@code null} — a no-op — off macOS, and again if
+ * starting the {@code caffeinate} child fails for any reason (binary missing, process table full,
+ * …); either case is logged once at INFO, not on every occurrence, so a daemon that runs for
+ * weeks with the tool unavailable does not fill its log.
+ */
+public final class CaffeinateSleepAssertionMechanism implements SleepAssertionMechanism {
+
+    private static final Logger log = LoggerFactory.getLogger(CaffeinateSleepAssertionMechanism.class);
+
+    private final AtomicBoolean loggedOnce = new AtomicBoolean(false);
+
+    /** {@code true} when running on macOS, the only platform {@code caffeinate} ships on. */
+    public static boolean isSupportedPlatform() {
+        return isSupportedPlatform(System.getProperty("os.name"));
+    }
+
+    /** Package-visible so a test can drive the platform check without touching a real property. */
+    static boolean isSupportedPlatform(String osName) {
+        return osName != null && osName.toLowerCase(Locale.ROOT).contains("mac");
+    }
+
+    @Override
+    public SleepAssertion acquire() {
+        if (!isSupportedPlatform()) {
+            logOnce("not running on macOS (os.name={}); the idle-sleep guard is a no-op on this platform",
+                    System.getProperty("os.name"));
+            return null;
+        }
+        try {
+            Process process = new ProcessBuilder("caffeinate", "-i")
+                    .redirectOutput(ProcessBuilder.Redirect.DISCARD)
+                    .redirectError(ProcessBuilder.Redirect.DISCARD)
+                    .start();
+            return new CaffeinateAssertion(process);
+        } catch (IOException | RuntimeException e) {
+            logOnce("could not start 'caffeinate -i' ({}); the host may idle-sleep while members are live",
+                    e.toString());
+            return null;
+        }
+    }
+
+    private void logOnce(String format, Object arg) {
+        if (loggedOnce.compareAndSet(false, true)) {
+            log.info("idle-sleep guard: " + format, arg);
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** Wraps the live {@code caffeinate} child; {@link #close} force-destroys it, idempotently. */
+    private static final class CaffeinateAssertion implements SleepAssertion {
+
+        private final Process process;
+
+        CaffeinateAssertion(Process process) {
+            this.process = process;
+        }
+
+        @Override
+        public void close() {
+            if (!process.isAlive()) {
+                return;
+            }
+            process.destroy();
+            try {
+                if (!process.waitFor(2, TimeUnit.SECONDS)) {
+                    process.destroyForcibly();
+                }
+            } catch (InterruptedException e) {
+                Thread.currentThread().interrupt();
+                process.destroyForcibly();
+            }
+        }
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/power/IdleSleepGuard.java

@@ -0,0 +1,105 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.power;
+
+import org.slf4j.Logger;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.util.function.IntSupplier;
+
+/**
+ * Holds an OS-level assertion against idle sleep for exactly as long as at least one fleet
+ * member is live.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Why this exists:</strong> a fleetd host was measured idle-sleeping after as little
+ * as one minute of inactivity (its {@code pmset -g custom} reports {@code sleep 1} on battery).
+ * Overnight the daemon's AMQP link to the broker dropped 13 times, and cross-checking every drop
+ * minute against {@code pmset -g log} found a sleep or wake event in the same minute or the one
+ * before, every time. The AMQP churn is only the visible symptom — the real problem is that a
+ * member mid-turn freezes with the host, and a long turn with nobody typing is exactly the case
+ * that goes idle.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>How it tracks "live":</strong> this is driven by {@code SessionManager}'s existing
+ * {@code onAcquire}/{@code onRelease} lifecycle hooks (added for CB-520/CB-516, previously wired
+ * to nothing but the reply inbox) rather than a second member count kept in parallel. Wire it as:
+ * <pre>{@code
+ * IdleSleepGuard guard = new IdleSleepGuard(mechanism, sessions::size);
+ * sessions.onAcquire(_ -> guard.recheck());
+ * sessions.onRelease(_ -> guard.recheck());
+ * }</pre>
+ * Every acquire/release event re-reads {@code SessionManager#size()} — the same registry {@code
+ * fleet_list}'s live/capacity numbers are themselves computed from — and only an actual 0→1 or
+ * 1→0 crossing touches the OS. A listener exception is already caught and logged by {@code
+ * SessionManager} itself (it must never let a listener failure block the acquire/release it is
+ * reacting to), so {@link #recheck()} does not need its own top-level try/catch to honor that.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Failure posture:</strong> every method here is safe to call whether or not {@link
+ * SleepAssertionMechanism#acquire()} actually works. A mechanism that returns {@code null} (wrong
+ * platform, missing tool, spawn failure) simply means this guard never holds anything — it never
+ * throws and never blocks a spawn, a release, or shutdown.
+ */
+public final class IdleSleepGuard implements AutoCloseable {
+
+    private static final Logger log = LoggerFactory.getLogger(IdleSleepGuard.class);
+
+    private final SleepAssertionMechanism mechanism;
+    private final IntSupplier liveCount;
+    private final Object lock = new Object();
+    private SleepAssertion held;
+
+    public IdleSleepGuard(SleepAssertionMechanism mechanism, IntSupplier liveCount) {
+        this.mechanism = mechanism;
+        this.liveCount = liveCount;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Re-read the live count and acquire or release the held assertion to match: nothing held and
+     * at least one member live ⇒ acquire; something held and no member live ⇒ release. A steady
+     * count (still zero, still positive) is a no-op either way, so a single spawn or release only
+     * ever touches the OS on the crossing, not on every call.
+     */
+    public void recheck() {
+        synchronized (lock) {
+            int live = liveCount.getAsInt();
+            if (live > 0 && held == null) {
+                held = mechanism.acquire();
+                if (held != null) {
+                    log.debug("idle-sleep guard armed: {} live member(s)", live);
+                }
+            } else if (live == 0 && held != null) {
+                releaseHeldLocked();
+            }
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** {@code true} while an assertion is actually held. Exposed for tests. */
+    boolean isHeld() {
+        synchronized (lock) {
+            return held != null;
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Release whatever is held, if anything. Idempotent and safe to call at any time, including
+     * repeatedly — a daemon shutdown hook calls this unconditionally so no assertion (and no
+     * {@code caffeinate} child) survives the process, even if the drain that would otherwise have
+     * driven the live count to zero was itself interrupted or threw.
+     */
+    @Override
+    public void close() {
+        synchronized (lock) {
+            if (held != null) {
+                releaseHeldLocked();
+            }
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** Caller must hold {@link #lock}. */
+    private void releaseHeldLocked() {
+        try {
+            held.close();
+        } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+            log.warn("idle-sleep guard: failed to release its assertion cleanly: {}", e.toString());
+        } finally {
+            held = null;
+        }
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/power/SleepAssertion.java

@@ -0,0 +1,11 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.power;
+
+/**
+ * A held OS-level assertion against idle sleep. {@link #close} must be idempotent — safe to call
+ * more than once — and must never throw, matching {@link IdleSleepGuard}'s "never break the
+ * fleet" contract.
+ */
+public interface SleepAssertion extends AutoCloseable {
+    @Override
+    void close();
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/power/SleepAssertionMechanism.java

@@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.power;
+
+/**
+ * The OS mechanism {@link IdleSleepGuard} uses to hold and release an idle-sleep assertion. This
+ * is the seam a test exercises instead of the real effect (a live {@code caffeinate} child) — see
+ * {@code IdleSleepGuardTest}.
+ *
+ * <p>Implementations must never throw. Every failure — wrong platform, missing tool, a spawn
+ * error — must show up as {@link #acquire()} returning {@code null}, so a caller can treat "no
+ * assertion held" and "the mechanism could not be used" identically and the fleet keeps running
+ * either way.
+ */
+public interface SleepAssertionMechanism {
+
+    /**
+     * Acquire a fresh assertion against idle sleep, or {@code null} when this mechanism is not
+     * usable right now (wrong platform, the tool is missing, the child process could not start).
+     * Never throws.
+     */
+    SleepAssertion acquire();
+}

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/rest/FleetApp.java

@@ -696,6 +696,10 @@ public final class FleetApp {
     /**
      * The worker's structured reply ({@code fleet_reply}) — resolves the blocking send awaiting
      * on this session, or queues the reply in the inbox when no send is open (CB-307).
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd #365: the response body's {@code delivered} field used to be unconditionally
+     * {@code true} for either case; it now reports whether a send/ticket was actually resolved,
+     * with {@code outcome} naming which (see {@link MessageService.ReplyOutcome}).
      */
     private void replyMessage(Context ctx) {
         String id = ctx.pathParam("id");
@@ -719,13 +723,19 @@ public final class FleetApp {
         // a WRONG value instead of failing loudly. The check lives in MessageService.reply so both
         // this door and FleetMcp.reply inherit the same rule; this catch only translates it into the
         // {error, detail} envelope this file uses everywhere else.
+        MessageService.ReplyOutcome outcome;
         try {
-            messages.reply(id, content);
+            outcome = messages.reply(id, content);
         } catch (IllegalArgumentException e) {
             ctx.status(400).json(Map.of("error", "bad_request", "detail", e.getMessage()));
             return;
         }
-        ctx.status(200).json(Map.of("sessionId", id, "delivered", true));
+        // fleetd #365: "delivered": true used to be unconditional here, whether the reply resolved
+        // a waiting send or was merely queued in the inbox for a later drain — the same gap
+        // FleetMcp.reply had over MCP. `delivered` now reflects which actually happened, and
+        // `outcome` names the specific case (see MessageService.ReplyOutcome).
+        ctx.status(200).json(Map.of("sessionId", id, "delivered", outcome.delivered(),
+                "outcome", outcome.wireName()));
     }
 
     /**

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/session/GitWorktrees.java

@@ -92,6 +92,15 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
     private final String configuredRoot;
     /** OS group name for {@link #shareWithGroup} (fleetd #185 stage 3); {@code null} ⇒ feature off. */
     private final String group;
+    /** Source directory of skill folders for {@link #seedSkills} (fleetd #362, {@code memberSkills:}
+     *  in config); {@code null} ⇒ feature off, no worktree is touched beyond today's behaviour. */
+    private final String memberSkillsSource;
+    /** Extra environment merged into every {@code git} subprocess this instance runs. Always {@code
+     *  Map.of()} from every production constructor. Test seam only (fleetd #362 review fix): lets
+     *  {@code GitWorktreesTest} point {@code GIT_CONFIG_GLOBAL} at an isolated temp file so it can
+     *  drive the real {@link #add} path against a controlled "operator's global git config" and
+     *  prove the excludesFile composition below without ever touching the real machine's config. */
+    private final Map<String, String> gitEnv;
     private final Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded;
     /** How the initial {@code git worktree add} command runs. Package-private test seam for an
      *  interrupted command after Git has made worktree state. */
@@ -125,7 +134,20 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
      *                       config); null/blank ⇒ {@link #shareWithGroup} is a no-op.
      */
     public GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group) {
-        this(configuredRoot, group, _ -> {});
+        this(configuredRoot, group, (String) null);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * @param configuredRoot     nullable absolute or relative path; null/blank derives a sibling of
+     *                           the repo root.
+     * @param group              optional OS group name (fleetd #185 stage 3, {@code worktreeGroup:}
+     *                           in config); null/blank ⇒ {@link #shareWithGroup} is a no-op.
+     * @param memberSkillsSource fleetd #362: optional directory of skill folders ({@code
+     *                           memberSkills:} in config) copied into every provisioned worktree's
+     *                           {@code .claude/skills/}; null/blank ⇒ {@link #seedSkills} is a no-op.
+     */
+    public GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, String memberSkillsSource) {
+        this(configuredRoot, group, _ -> {}, null, null, memberSkillsSource);
     }
 
     /** Test seam for changing a real worktree between its creation and its security check. */
@@ -135,13 +157,20 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
 
     /** Test seam combining a configurable {@code group} with {@link #afterWorktreeAdded}. */
     GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded) {
-        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, null, null);
+        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, null, null, null);
     }
 
     /** Test seam for changing how {@link #shareWithGroup}'s processes run. */
     GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded,
                   Function<String[], String> shareGroupRunner) {
-        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, shareGroupRunner, null);
+        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, shareGroupRunner, null, null);
+    }
+
+    /** Test seam for changing how the initial {@code git worktree add} command runs, with no
+     *  {@code memberSkillsSource} configured. */
+    GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded,
+                  Function<String[], String> shareGroupRunner, Function<String[], String> worktreeAddRunner) {
+        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, shareGroupRunner, worktreeAddRunner, null);
     }
 
     /**
@@ -151,11 +180,30 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
      *
      * @param shareGroupRunner {@code null} ⇒ the real {@link #exec(String...)}.
      * @param worktreeAddRunner {@code null} ⇒ the real {@link #exec(String...)}.
+     * @param memberSkillsSource {@code null}/blank ⇒ {@link #seedSkills} is a no-op.
      */
     GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded,
-                  Function<String[], String> shareGroupRunner, Function<String[], String> worktreeAddRunner) {
+                  Function<String[], String> shareGroupRunner, Function<String[], String> worktreeAddRunner,
+                  String memberSkillsSource) {
+        this(configuredRoot, group, afterWorktreeAdded, shareGroupRunner, worktreeAddRunner,
+                memberSkillsSource, Map.of());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Full test seam, plus {@code gitEnv} (fleetd #362 review fix, verification only): extra
+     * environment merged into every {@code git} subprocess this instance runs, so a test can isolate
+     * something like {@code GIT_CONFIG_GLOBAL} from the real machine while still driving the real
+     * {@link #add} path end to end. Every production constructor above delegates here with {@code
+     * Map.of()}.
+     */
+    GitWorktrees(String configuredRoot, String group, Consumer<String> afterWorktreeAdded,
+                  Function<String[], String> shareGroupRunner, Function<String[], String> worktreeAddRunner,
+                  String memberSkillsSource, Map<String, String> gitEnv) {
         this.configuredRoot = configuredRoot;
         this.group = (group == null || group.isBlank()) ? null : group;
+        this.memberSkillsSource = (memberSkillsSource == null || memberSkillsSource.isBlank())
+                ? null : memberSkillsSource;
+        this.gitEnv = gitEnv == null ? Map.of() : gitEnv;
         this.afterWorktreeAdded = afterWorktreeAdded == null ? _ -> {} : afterWorktreeAdded;
         this.shareGroupRunner = shareGroupRunner != null ? shareGroupRunner : this::exec;
         this.worktreeAddRunner = worktreeAddRunner != null ? worktreeAddRunner : this::exec;
@@ -184,6 +232,7 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
             configureEnvironmentCredentialHelper(repoRoot, wt);
             configureHttpsUrlRewriteForSshOrigin(repoRoot, wt);
             isolateToolSurface(wt);
+            seedSkills(wt);
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
             cleanupAfterAddFailure(repoRoot, wt, branch, e);
             throw e;
@@ -574,6 +623,322 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
         return true;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #362: copy each skill folder from the configured {@link #memberSkillsSource} directory
+     * into {@code <worktreePath>/.claude/skills/}, so a member spawned against ANY repo — not only
+     * one that already ships its own {@code .claude/skills/} — can load a bridge skill such as
+     * {@code implementer}. Every brief this fleet sends starts with {@code "Load the <name>
+     * skill."}; outside a repo carrying its own copy that line was previously a no-op.
+     *
+     * <p><b>No-op — nothing read, nothing written, nothing logged</b> — when {@link
+     * #memberSkillsSource} is null/blank (today's default), the same off-switch shape as
+     * {@link #shareWithGroup}.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Invariant 1 — a repo's own skill wins.</b> A skill folder already present at
+     * {@code <worktreePath>/.claude/skills/<name>} — because the just-checked-out branch commits its
+     * own copy — is left completely untouched: never overwritten, and never even opened.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Invariant 2 — a seeded skill can never end up in a worker's commit.</b> Every path this
+     * writes is untracked in the target repo (that is the whole reason it is being seeded), so
+     * {@code git status} would otherwise show each one as a new, addable, committable path. The
+     * repo-wide {@code .git/info/exclude} is NOT used for this: measured against a real linked
+     * worktree, that file resolves to the repository's COMMON git dir even from a worktree (the
+     * same file {@link dev.ltms.fleet.member.ClaudeCodeLauncher#writeIdeOverlay writeIdeOverlay}
+     * appends {@code CLAUDE.local.md} to), so an entry written there would hide the seeded skill
+     * from {@code git status} in the PRIMARY's own checkout and every sibling worktree too — not
+     * only this one. Instead, {@link #excludeSeededSkillsFromGitStatus} points {@code
+     * core.excludesFile} at a file scoped {@code --worktree} (the same {@code
+     * extensions.worktreeConfig} mechanism {@link #configureEnvironmentCredentialHelper} already
+     * relies on) that itself lives under this worktree's own private git dir ({@code
+     * .git/worktrees/<nonce>/}, OUTSIDE the working tree) — invisible to this worktree's {@code git
+     * status} and structurally impossible for this worktree to commit, with no effect on any other
+     * worktree or the primary checkout. Proven with a real {@code git status --porcelain} in
+     * {@code GitWorktreesTest}, not by reasoning.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Compose, don't replace.</b> {@code core.excludesFile} is single-valued: the first cut of
+     * this method pointed it at fleetd's own file with {@code --replace-all}, which SHADOWS whatever
+     * the operator's own (global, or repo-local) {@code core.excludesFile} was already resolving to
+     * inside this worktree, rather than adding to it. Measured concretely: this repo's own {@code
+     * .gitignore} does not ignore {@code target/} — only an operator's global excludesFile does — so
+     * every worker's {@code mvn clean install} would otherwise make {@code target/} appear as
+     * untracked, and {@link #hasUncommitted}'s deliberately-untracked-inclusive {@code git status
+     * --porcelain} (CB-576) would then read every such worktree as dirty forever, so it is never
+     * cleaned up. {@link #excludeSeededSkillsFromGitStatus} now reads whatever {@code
+     * core.excludesFile} resolves to BEFORE writing anything (falling back to git's own documented
+     * default, {@code $XDG_CONFIG_HOME/git/ignore} or {@code $HOME/.config/git/ignore}, when the key
+     * is unset entirely — see {@code gitignore(5)}), and writes that content into its OWN exclude
+     * file ahead of the seeded skill patterns, so every operator-configured pattern keeps applying
+     * inside the seeded worktree exactly as it did before seeding ran.
+     *
+     * <p>Instead of using worktree-scoped-config as an add-then-append (a second key does not exist
+     * for {@code core.excludesFile} — it takes exactly one value), an actual second exclude source
+     * was ruled out because git resolves only ONE {@code core.excludesFile}; concatenating the prior
+     * content into fleetd's own file is what "compose" reduces to for a single-valued key.
+     *
+     * <p>Proven the same way as invariant 2's own leak check: {@code
+     * GitWorktreesTest#seedSkillsComposesWithAnAlreadyEffectiveGlobalExcludesFile} isolates a
+     * synthetic "operator's global config" via {@code GIT_CONFIG_GLOBAL} (never the real machine's),
+     * seeds a skill, and asserts {@code git status --porcelain} is still empty for a file matching
+     * that global config's own ignore pattern.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Invariant 3 — best-effort.</b> A missing/unreadable {@link #memberSkillsSource}, or a
+     * copy/exclude failure, is logged and skipped — it must never fail the spawn, the same contract
+     * {@link #overlayParity} and {@link #isolateToolSurface} already hold.
+     *
+     * <p>Recorded for the worker itself the same way fleetd #134 records {@code
+     * fleet.neutralizedConfig}: {@code fleet.seededSkills} (one value per seeded skill folder) and
+     * {@code fleet.seededSkillsNote}, readable with {@code git config --worktree --get-all
+     * fleet.seededSkills}.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Kind-blind by construction, not by a backend check here — this used to be a real gap
+     * (fleetd #393).</b> This method only copies files; like {@link #isolateToolSurface} — which
+     * neutralizes BOTH {@code .mcp.json} and {@code opencode.json} unconditionally — it runs the
+     * same for every worktree regardless of which backend ultimately spawns into it, because no
+     * caller of {@link #add} hands this class a kind to consult. Before fleetd #393, that made the
+     * log line below a false claim of success for a {@code kind: opencode} member: opencode has no
+     * built-in discovery of {@code .claude/skills/}, unlike the Claude Code CLI, so a seeded skill
+     * never reached one. It now does — {@code OpenCodeLauncher#skillInstructionFiles} reads
+     * whatever this method copied into {@code .claude/skills/} and appends each {@code SKILL.md} to
+     * the generated {@code instructions[]} — but that delivery, and the log line that honestly
+     * claims it (kind-aware, unlike this one), happens at the launcher, once the kind is actually
+     * known, not here.
+     */
+    private void seedSkills(String worktreePath) {
+        if (memberSkillsSource == null) {
+            return;
+        }
+        Path source = Path.of(memberSkillsSource).toAbsolutePath().normalize();
+        if (!Files.isDirectory(source)) {
+            log.warn("memberSkills source '{}' is not a directory — skipping skill seeding for worktree {}",
+                    source, worktreePath);
+            return;
+        }
+        Path skillsRoot = Path.of(worktreePath).resolve(".claude").resolve("skills");
+        List<String> seeded = new ArrayList<>();
+        List<String> kept = new ArrayList<>();
+        try (var candidates = Files.list(source)) {
+            for (Path candidate : candidates
+                    .filter(Files::isDirectory)
+                    .filter(p -> !p.getFileName().toString().startsWith("."))
+                    .sorted()
+                    .toList()) {
+                String name = candidate.getFileName().toString();
+                Path dst = skillsRoot.resolve(name);
+                if (Files.exists(dst)) {
+                    kept.add(name);
+                    continue;
+                }
+                copySkillDirectory(candidate, dst);
+                seeded.add(name);
+            }
+        } catch (IOException | RuntimeException e) {
+            log.warn("failed to seed skills into worktree {} from memberSkills source '{}': {}",
+                    worktreePath, source, e.getMessage());
+            return;
+        }
+        String detail = seeded.isEmpty() ? "" : "seeded: " + String.join(", ", seeded);
+        if (!kept.isEmpty()) {
+            detail += (detail.isEmpty() ? "" : "; ") + "kept the repo's own copy of: " + String.join(", ", kept);
+        }
+        if (detail.isEmpty()) {
+            detail = "no skill folders found under " + source;
+        }
+        // fleetd #393: this only claims the copy step, deliberately — it cannot know the member
+        // kind that will spawn into this worktree (see this method's own javadoc), so it must not
+        // read as "and the member will act on it." Whether that is true depends on the kind: the
+        // Claude Code CLI discovers .claude/skills/ on its own; OpenCodeLauncher logs its own
+        // "skill delivery" line, once the kind is known, naming what it could and could not turn
+        // into instructions[].
+        log.info("skill seeding: {} of {} candidate(s) from {} into {}/.claude/skills — {} "
+                        + "(whether the spawned member can act on this depends on its kind — see "
+                        + "the launcher's own log for that)",
+                seeded.size(), seeded.size() + kept.size(), source, worktreePath, detail);
+        if (seeded.isEmpty()) {
+            return;
+        }
+        try {
+            excludeSeededSkillsFromGitStatus(worktreePath, seeded);
+            recordSeededSkillsForWorker(worktreePath, seeded);
+        } catch (RuntimeException e) {
+            log.warn("seeded skill(s) {} into {} but could not hide them from git status: {} — "
+                    + "they may show as untracked; never commit them", seeded, worktreePath, e.getMessage());
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** Recursively copy a skill folder ({@code src}) into a fresh destination ({@code dst}) that
+     *  {@link #seedSkills} has already confirmed does not exist, preserving the directory structure
+     *  (e.g. {@code implementer/SKILL.md}, {@code implementer/references/...}). */
+    private static void copySkillDirectory(Path src, Path dst) {
+        try (var walk = Files.walk(src)) {
+            for (Path path : walk.sorted().toList()) {
+                Path target = dst.resolve(src.relativize(path).toString());
+                if (Files.isDirectory(path)) {
+                    Files.createDirectories(target);
+                } else {
+                    Files.createDirectories(target.getParent());
+                    Files.copy(path, target, StandardCopyOption.COPY_ATTRIBUTES);
+                }
+            }
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            throw new WorktreeException("cannot copy skill directory " + src + " -> " + dst + ": "
+                    + e.getMessage(), e);
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Make every path in {@code seededSkillNames} (each a name under {@code .claude/skills/})
+     * invisible to {@code git status} in THIS worktree only — see the invariant-2 discussion on
+     * {@link #seedSkills}. Sets {@code core.excludesFile} scoped {@code --worktree} to a file
+     * written under this worktree's own private git dir ({@code git rev-parse
+     * --absolute-git-dir}), which lives outside the working tree, so the exclude file itself can
+     * never be committed either.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Compose, don't replace.</b> {@code core.excludesFile} is single-valued, so pointing it at
+     * fleetd's own file would otherwise SHADOW whatever excludesFile this worktree was already
+     * resolving (an operator's global config, most commonly) rather than add to it — see the
+     * "Compose, don't replace" discussion on {@link #seedSkills}. {@link
+     * #previouslyEffectiveExcludesFileContent} is read BEFORE this method's own {@code --worktree}
+     * write below, so it still sees whatever was effective beforehand; that content is written into
+     * fleetd's own exclude file ahead of the seeded skill patterns, and the worktree-scoped override
+     * then points at that combined file — so every pattern the operator's own configuration already
+     * applied keeps applying, plus the seeded skill paths.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Assumes a fresh worktree — not idempotent.</b> {@link #seedSkills} only ever calls this
+     * from {@link #add}, which always creates a brand-new worktree, so {@code core.excludesFile} is
+     * never already worktree-scoped-set to fleetd's own file when this runs. A hypothetical second
+     * call on the SAME worktree would read fleetd's own already-composed file back as "previously
+     * effective" (worktree scope now wins) and append the seeded patterns a second time — harmless
+     * to {@code git status} (duplicate exclude lines are a no-op), but not something to rely on. No
+     * guard is added for this because the path does not exist today; if a future caller ever seeds
+     * the same worktree twice, it will need one.
+     */
+    private void excludeSeededSkillsFromGitStatus(String worktreePath, List<String> seededSkillNames) {
+        exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "extensions.worktreeConfig", "true");
+        String previouslyEffective = previouslyEffectiveExcludesFileContent(worktreePath);
+        String gitDir = exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "rev-parse", "--absolute-git-dir").trim();
+        Path excludeFile = Path.of(gitDir, "fleet-seeded-skills-exclude");
+        StringBuilder patterns = new StringBuilder();
+        if (!previouslyEffective.isEmpty()) {
+            patterns.append(previouslyEffective);
+        }
+        for (String name : seededSkillNames) {
+            patterns.append("/.claude/skills/").append(name).append('/').append(System.lineSeparator());
+        }
+        try {
+            Files.writeString(excludeFile, patterns.toString());
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            throw new WorktreeException("cannot write skills exclude file " + excludeFile + ": "
+                    + e.getMessage(), e);
+        }
+        exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "--worktree", "--replace-all", "core.excludesFile",
+                excludeFile.toString());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The content of whatever {@code core.excludesFile} resolves to for {@code worktreePath} right
+     * now — BEFORE {@link #excludeSeededSkillsFromGitStatus} points that key at fleetd's own file —
+     * so it can be carried forward instead of shadowed. {@code --type=path} makes git itself perform
+     * {@code ~}/{@code ~user} expansion the same way it would when actually reading the key to build
+     * exclude rules, rather than handing back a raw, unexpanded config string.
+     *
+     * <p>When the key is unset entirely (exit code non-zero), falls back to git's own documented
+     * default excludes file — {@code $XDG_CONFIG_HOME/git/ignore}, or {@code
+     * $HOME/.config/git/ignore} when that variable is unset — per {@code gitignore(5)}: git applies
+     * that file even with no {@code core.excludesFile} configured at all, so skipping it here would
+     * silently drop patterns an operator never had to configure to get.
+     *
+     * <p>Never throws: a missing, unreadable, or unresolvable file is treated as "nothing to carry
+     * forward" (empty string) — this is a best-effort read in service of {@link #seedSkills}'s own
+     * invariant 3, not a new way for skill seeding to fail a spawn.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Review fix, finding 2.</b> The XDG-fallback branch below does not go through {@code git}
+     * at all, so a first cut of it read {@code XDG_CONFIG_HOME}/{@code HOME} straight from the JVM's
+     * own environment ({@link System#getenv} / {@code user.home}) — unlike every other value this
+     * class resolves, which goes through a {@code git} subprocess and therefore already honours
+     * {@link #gitEnv}. That meant no test could make this branch hermetic, and on any machine
+     * carrying a real {@code ~/.config/git/ignore} (this repo's own dev machine does), every
+     * skill-seeding test silently composed with that real file — correct in production, but
+     * machine-dependent in the test suite, and a future broader pattern in that real file could
+     * silently change what a seeded worktree's {@code git status} reports depending on whose home
+     * directory ran the test. {@link #resolveEnv} now checks {@link #gitEnv} first for both
+     * variables, falling back to the JVM's real environment only when the seam does not supply
+     * them — production behaviour (empty {@link #gitEnv}) is unchanged, and a test can now isolate
+     * this branch exactly as it already isolates every {@code git} subprocess call.
+     *
+     * <p><b>Snapshot, not a reference.</b> The content below is read once, at seeding time, and
+     * copied into fleetd's own exclude file. If the operator edits their global excludesFile
+     * afterward, an already-seeded worktree keeps the old copy — acceptable for a worktree's
+     * expected lifetime, but worth knowing before reading a stale pattern as a bug.
+     *
+     * @return the file's content, trailing-newline-normalized, or {@code ""} when there is nothing
+     *         to compose with.
+     */
+    private String previouslyEffectiveExcludesFileContent(String worktreePath) {
+        String resolvedPath;
+        if (exitCode("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "--get", "--type=path", "core.excludesFile") == 0) {
+            resolvedPath = exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "--get", "--type=path",
+                    "core.excludesFile").trim();
+        } else {
+            String xdgConfigHome = resolveEnv("XDG_CONFIG_HOME");
+            Path fallback = (xdgConfigHome != null && !xdgConfigHome.isBlank())
+                    ? Path.of(xdgConfigHome, "git", "ignore")
+                    : Path.of(resolveHome(), ".config", "git", "ignore");
+            resolvedPath = fallback.toString();
+        }
+        if (resolvedPath.isBlank()) {
+            return "";
+        }
+        Path file = Path.of(resolvedPath);
+        if (!Files.isRegularFile(file) || !Files.isReadable(file)) {
+            return "";
+        }
+        try {
+            String content = Files.readString(file);
+            return content.isBlank() ? "" : content.stripTrailing() + System.lineSeparator();
+        } catch (IOException e) {
+            log.warn("could not read previously-effective excludesFile {} while seeding skills into "
+                    + "{}: {} — its patterns will not carry forward into the seeded worktree",
+                    file, worktreePath, e.getMessage());
+            return "";
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Resolve environment variable {@code name} for {@link #previouslyEffectiveExcludesFileContent}'s
+     * XDG fallback, checking {@link #gitEnv} FIRST so a test can isolate this the same way it
+     * already isolates every {@code git} subprocess this class runs, and falling back to the JVM's
+     * real environment only when the seam does not supply it (always the case in production, where
+     * {@link #gitEnv} is {@code Map.of()}).
+     */
+    private String resolveEnv(String name) {
+        String fromSeam = gitEnv.get(name);
+        return fromSeam != null ? fromSeam : System.getenv(name);
+    }
+
+    /** Same as {@link #resolveEnv(String)}, for {@code HOME} — falls back to {@code user.home}
+     *  (rather than {@code System.getenv("HOME")}) when the seam does not supply it, matching this
+     *  class's pre-existing behaviour for every other home-directory resolution. */
+    private String resolveHome() {
+        String fromSeam = gitEnv.get("HOME");
+        return fromSeam != null ? fromSeam : System.getProperty("user.home");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The worker-readable half of fleetd #362, mirroring {@link #recordNeutralizedConfigForWorker}:
+     * record which skill folders were seeded where the worker itself can read it, without a
+     * working-tree file that would show up in {@code git status}.
+     */
+    private void recordSeededSkillsForWorker(String worktreePath, List<String> seeded) {
+        exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "extensions.worktreeConfig", "true");
+        for (String name : seeded) {
+            exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "--worktree", "--add", "fleet.seededSkills", name);
+        }
+        exec("git", "-C", worktreePath, "config", "--worktree", "fleet.seededSkillsNote",
+                "each fleet.seededSkills value names a skill folder fleetd copied into "
+                        + ".claude/skills/ because this repo did not already ship it; it is excluded "
+                        + "from git status (core.excludesFile, worktree-scoped) and must never be committed");
+    }
+
     @Override
     public void remove(String repoRoot, String worktreePath) {
         Path p = Path.of(worktreePath);
@@ -1084,6 +1449,9 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
         Process p;
         try {
             ProcessBuilder pb = new ProcessBuilder(command).redirectErrorStream(true);
+            if (!gitEnv.isEmpty()) {
+                pb.environment().putAll(gitEnv);
+            }
             if (extraEnv != null && !extraEnv.isEmpty()) {
                 pb.environment().putAll(extraEnv);
             }
@@ -1119,7 +1487,11 @@ public final class GitWorktrees implements Worktrees {
     private int exitCode(String... command) {
         Process p;
         try {
-            p = new ProcessBuilder(command).redirectErrorStream(true).start();
+            ProcessBuilder pb = new ProcessBuilder(command).redirectErrorStream(true);
+            if (!gitEnv.isEmpty()) {
+                pb.environment().putAll(gitEnv);
+            }
+            p = pb.start();
         } catch (IOException e) {
             throw new WorktreeException("failed to start " + command[0] + ": " + e.getMessage(), e);
         }

fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/session/SessionManager.java

@@ -10,6 +10,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.MemberRole;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerHandle;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.SpawnRequest;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementDecision;
 import org.slf4j.Logger;
 import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
 
@@ -584,8 +585,65 @@ public final class SessionManager implements TurnListener {
                                               String ownerTerminal, WorktreeRequest wt,
                                                String sessionName, String resumeSessionId,
                                                MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation reservation) {
-        String preResolvedProfile = (profile == null || profile.isBlank())
-                ? launcher.defaultProfile() : profile;
+        // fleetd #425 rework (round 2): resolved through launcher.place(memberRole) — the same
+        // candidate list, quarantine/cool-off/model-off filtering, and PlacementPolicy an unqualified
+        // spawn of this role is actually judged against right now — never launcher.defaultProfile()
+        // (MemberRole.DEV only, wrong for any other role) and never launcher.defaultProfileFor()
+        // (the role's pool FIRST entry, blind to quarantine/cool-off/model-off: a first-round fix
+        // used exactly this and regressed fleetd #429's "the fleet keeps working when a model is
+        // turned off" guarantee — a quarantined or model-off pool-first profile made this throw
+        // instead of routing around it, which an unqualified spawn is supposed to do). This same
+        // resolved decision is reused below for repoRoot, parityOverlay, AND the spawn itself so the
+        // worktree is always provisioned for the profile the member actually runs on — the two could
+        // disagree before fleetd #425: this name picked repoRoot/overlay, but the spawn below passed
+        // the ORIGINAL (blank) profile through to placement, which re-resolves live and can pick a
+        // different profile if the pool changed between the two reads, or a genuinely different one
+        // under weighted/round-robin placement.
+        //
+        // Round 1 of this rework fed the resolved name back into launcher.spawn(SpawnRequest) as an
+        // EXPLICIT profile. That was a mistake this round corrects, and the mistake is not that the
+        // two branches apply different checks — they are SUPPOSED to disagree: the routing branch a
+        // blank spawn takes treats a quarantined/cooling-off/at-cap/model-off/unreachable/weight-0
+        // profile as a reason to fall through to the next candidate, while CompositePeerLauncher's
+        // THROWING branch (enforceNotQuarantined/enforceNotCoolingOff/enforceMaxLoad/
+        // enforceModelEnabled) treats naming that same profile explicitly as a reason to refuse
+        // outright. That is correct: an operator who names a profile should get a refusal, not a
+        // silent substitution onto a different backend. The mistake was turning a fall-through into
+        // a refusal by accident — resolving a name via the routing side and then re-entering the
+        // refusing side with it, for a placement the routing side had already approved by walking
+        // past everything else.
+        //
+        // Before fleetd #435, this accident was reachable through maxLoad specifically: the default
+        // `fixed` placement policy did not evaluate maxLoad at all for automatic selection, so an
+        // at-cap pool-first profile that placement itself would have picked for a plain unqualified
+        // spawn could die at enforceMaxLoad one call later, purely because this method's route to
+        // the spawn passed through an explicit profile name — a failure a worktree-less unqualified
+        // spawn never hit. fleetd #435 closed that gap (`fixed` now evaluates maxLoad exactly like
+        // every other placement policy), so that specific failure can no longer happen — a
+        // PlacementDecision this method resolves can no longer be at-cap in the first place. What
+        // this round's fix still buys, now that maxLoad can no longer cause the accident: it keeps
+        // the PlacementDecision from place() and hands it to launcher.spawn(SpawnRequest,
+        // PlacementDecision) for an unqualified request, which spawns through the SAME routing
+        // branch a blank spawn uses — no enforce* check is newly applied, and the window between the
+        // placement decision and the spawn (in which the pool, a config reload, or another spawn
+        // landing on the same profile could otherwise move the state) never reopens. An
+        // explicitly-named profile still goes through launcher.spawn(SpawnRequest) and its throwing
+        // branch, unchanged — that caller asked for one profile by name and still gets everything
+        // enforceNotQuarantined/enforceNotCoolingOff/enforceMaxLoad/enforceModelEnabled decide about
+        // it, refusal included.
+        //
+        // The one cost that remains, unchanged from round 1: an unqualified worktree-provisioned
+        // spawn does not get CompositePeerLauncher's cross-candidate retry on a live
+        // PeerUnreachableException raised by the backend itself at spawn time (a transport-level
+        // failure placement cannot see in advance) — spawn(req, decision) commits to the one profile
+        // place() already chose, the same way an explicit-profile spawn commits to its one name. That
+        // trade is deliberate: a worktree provisioned for the wrong backend (the #425 hazard) is worse
+        // than a spawn that fails cleanly and can be retried by the caller. Nothing else is lost:
+        // maxLoad, quarantine, cool-off and model-off all behave identically whether or not a
+        // worktree was requested — that agreement is the invariant this rework exists to hold.
+        boolean unqualifiedProfile = profile == null || profile.isBlank();
+        PlacementDecision decision = unqualifiedProfile ? launcher.place(memberRole) : new PlacementDecision(profile);
+        String preResolvedProfile = decision.profile();
         // CB-507: resolve through the launcher's CB-112 chain (requested → profile cwd → caller →
         // daemon cwd → "."), never the raw args. A plain REST spawn supplies neither a requested
         // nor a caller cwd, so taking the first non-blank of those two yielded null and put
@@ -608,7 +666,15 @@ public final class SessionManager implements TurnListener {
             // copies more files into the worktree after add() returns, so sharing the group any earlier
             // leaves those overlay files operator-owned and read-only for a different-uid member.
             worktrees.shareWithGroup(repoRoot, path);
-            handle = launcher.spawn(new SpawnRequest(profile, path, callerCwd, sessionName, resumeSessionId, memberRole));
+            // fleetd #425: preResolvedProfile, not the original (possibly blank) profile — see the
+            // comment above where it is resolved. The overlay/repoRoot above and the spawn here must
+            // name the same profile. An unqualified request stays unqualified here and is honored via
+            // the PlacementDecision already captured above (spawn(req, decision) — the routing branch,
+            // no enforce* re-check); an explicitly-named profile still goes through the single-arg
+            // spawn(req) and its throwing branch, exactly as before this rework.
+            SpawnRequest spawnReq = new SpawnRequest(unqualifiedProfile ? null : preResolvedProfile,
+                    path, callerCwd, sessionName, resumeSessionId, memberRole);
+            handle = unqualifiedProfile ? launcher.spawn(spawnReq, decision) : launcher.spawn(spawnReq);
         } catch (RuntimeException e) {
             log.warn("spawn failed for profile={} role={} branch={} path={}: {}",
                     preResolvedProfile, memberRole, branch, path, e.getMessage());
@@ -636,7 +702,7 @@ public final class SessionManager implements TurnListener {
             }
             throw e;
         }
-        String resolvedProfile = resolveProfile(handle, profile);
+        String resolvedProfile = resolveProfile(handle, preResolvedProfile);
         String cwd = launcher.effectiveCwd(new SpawnRequest(resolvedProfile, path, callerCwd));
         long now = nowNanos.getAsLong();
         // CB-619: see the no-worktree path above — bind before recording, and store the returned

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/ExhaustedPatternGapReportTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,150 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Level;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.spi.ILoggingEvent;
+import ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.List;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #395: {@code exhaustedPattern} (see {@link FleetConfig.Profile#exhaustedPattern}) is
+ * deliberately opt-in — an unset one leaves usage-limit detection silently OFF for that profile,
+ * and nothing quarantines its credential. {@link Fleetd#reportExhaustedPatternGap} must say so at
+ * startup, naming every unarmed profile, and must never fire when every profile is armed. Mirrors
+ * {@link MemberCredentialsGapReportTest}'s pattern, capturing the real log via a
+ * {@link ListAppender}.
+ *
+ * <p>The 8-profile shape in {@link #theLiveEightProfileShapeWarnsExactlyTheSixUnarmedProfiles} is
+ * the live {@code fleetd.yaml} shape measured 2026-09-10 (fleetd #395's own ticket): 6 of 8
+ * profiles unarmed, 2 of those 6 ({@code opus}, {@code sonnet}) running on the operator's Claude
+ * subscription. {@code fleetd.yaml} itself is gitignored and unavailable to this test, so the
+ * shape is reproduced as a throwaway config in a {@code @TempDir} rather than read off disk.
+ */
+class ExhaustedPatternGapReportTest {
+
+    private static FleetConfig load(Path dir, String yaml) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml);
+        return FleetConfig.load(f);
+    }
+
+    private static ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> attach() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        return appender;
+    }
+
+    private static void detach(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        ((Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class)).detachAppender(appender);
+    }
+
+    /** Every profile name mentioned by a WARN-level log line, across every WARN this call produced. */
+    private static List<String> warnMessages(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        return appender.list.stream()
+                .filter(e -> e.getLevel() == Level.WARN)
+                .map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage)
+                .toList();
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void theLiveEightProfileShapeWarnsExactlyTheSixUnarmedProfiles(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        // Reproduces the live shape measured 2026-09-10: 8 profiles, 2 armed (sol, terra), 6
+        // unarmed (local, local-direct, gx, opus, sonnet, xf) — 2 of the unarmed 6 (opus, sonnet)
+        // are subscription: true.
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, """
+                profiles:
+                  local:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                  local-direct:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx01.gw:8000
+                  gx:
+                    kind: opencode
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                  opus:
+                    subscription: true
+                    model: claude-opus-5
+                  sonnet:
+                    subscription: true
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  sol:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                    exhaustedPattern: "The usage limit has been reached"
+                  terra:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                    exhaustedPattern: "The usage limit has been reached"
+                  xf:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                """);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportExhaustedPatternGap(cfg);
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        List<String> warns = warnMessages(appender);
+        assertFalse(warns.isEmpty(), "6 of 8 profiles are unarmed — at least one WARN must fire");
+
+        // Exactly one WARN aggregates every unarmed profile, naming all 6 and none of the 2 armed.
+        String aggregate = warns.stream()
+                .filter(m -> m.contains("no exhaustedPattern configured"))
+                .findFirst()
+                .orElseThrow(() -> new AssertionError("expected an aggregate unarmed-profiles WARN: " + warns));
+        for (String unarmed : List.of("local", "local-direct", "gx", "opus", "sonnet", "xf")) {
+            assertTrue(aggregate.contains(unarmed), "aggregate WARN must name '" + unarmed + "': " + aggregate);
+        }
+        for (String armed : List.of("sol", "terra")) {
+            assertFalse(aggregate.contains(armed), "aggregate WARN must NOT name armed profile '" + armed + "': " + aggregate);
+        }
+
+        // A second, louder WARN calls out the subscription profiles specifically.
+        String subscriptionWarn = warns.stream()
+                .filter(m -> m.contains("metered Claude plan"))
+                .findFirst()
+                .orElseThrow(() -> new AssertionError("expected a subscription-specific WARN: " + warns));
+        assertTrue(subscriptionWarn.contains("opus"), subscriptionWarn);
+        assertTrue(subscriptionWarn.contains("sonnet"), subscriptionWarn);
+        assertFalse(subscriptionWarn.contains("local-direct"),
+                "the subscription WARN must not name a non-subscription profile: " + subscriptionWarn);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void everyProfileArmedProducesNoWarningAtAll(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, """
+                profiles:
+                  sol:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                    exhaustedPattern: "The usage limit has been reached"
+                  terra:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                    exhaustedPattern: "The usage limit has been reached"
+                  opus:
+                    subscription: true
+                    model: claude-opus-5
+                    exhaustedPattern: "5-hour limit reached"
+                """);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportExhaustedPatternGap(cfg);
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertTrue(warnMessages(appender).isEmpty(),
+                "every profile is armed — a checker that warns anyway always fires: " + warnMessages(appender));
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdAwaitHerdrTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,212 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Level;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.spi.ILoggingEvent;
+import ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender;
+import com.fasterxml.jackson.databind.JsonNode;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrClient;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.HerdrException;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicBoolean;
+import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.fail;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #498: {@code Fleetd.awaitHerdr} used to return a bare {@code boolean}, collapsing "the
+ * configured wait budget genuinely ran out" and "the waiting thread was interrupted, possibly
+ * milliseconds in" onto the same {@code false} — and the caller's log line printed only the
+ * configured budget, never how long the wait actually ran. This class covers both halves of the
+ * fix:
+ * <ul>
+ *   <li>the seam — {@link Fleetd#awaitHerdr} itself, driven with an injected clock and a stub
+ *       {@link HerdrClient}, one test per {@link Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult};</li>
+ *   <li>the call site — {@link Fleetd#logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap}, the exact decision {@code
+ *       main} calls (extracted here because {@code main} itself boots the whole daemon and cannot
+ *       be driven from a unit test), pinning the three distinct log messages it emits.</li>
+ * </ul>
+ * Every expected message below is a plain literal, not built from {@code HERDR_WAIT_SECONDS} or
+ * any other production constant — a test that derives its expectation the way the code does
+ * cannot see a change to either (fleetd #496's identical trap).
+ */
+class FleetdAwaitHerdrTest {
+
+    // ---- the seam: Fleetd.awaitHerdr ----------------------------------------------------------
+
+    @Test
+    void answeredReturnsImmediatelyWithZeroElapsedAndNeverPolls() {
+        HerdrStub herdr = new HerdrStub(0); // succeeds on the very first call
+        LongSupplier clock = fixedClock(1_000L);
+        AtomicBoolean polled = new AtomicBoolean(false);
+        Runnable poller = () -> polled.set(true);
+
+        Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome outcome = Fleetd.awaitHerdr(herdr, clock, poller);
+
+        assertEquals(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.ANSWERED, outcome.result());
+        assertEquals(0L, outcome.elapsedNanos(), "a fixed clock must measure zero elapsed time");
+        assertFalse(polled.get(), "herdr answering on the first try must never poll");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void deadlinePassedIsMeasuredNotAssumed() {
+        HerdrStub herdr = new HerdrStub(-1); // never succeeds
+        // call order inside awaitHerdr: start, then per failed attempt: deadline-check, elapsed-calc
+        ScriptedClock clock = new ScriptedClock(0L, 30_500_000_000L, 30_500_000_000L);
+        Runnable poller = () -> fail("the deadline was already exceeded on the first attempt — must not poll");
+
+        Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome outcome = Fleetd.awaitHerdr(herdr, clock, poller);
+
+        assertEquals(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.DEADLINE_PASSED, outcome.result());
+        assertEquals(30_500_000_000L, outcome.elapsedNanos(),
+                "elapsed must be the MEASURED clock delta, not the configured budget");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void interruptedIsDistinctFromDeadlinePassedAndPreservesTheInterruptFlag() {
+        HerdrStub herdr = new HerdrStub(-1); // never succeeds
+        // start=0, deadline-check returns 500ms (well under the 30s budget) -> not deadline-passed,
+        // then the poller interrupts, and the elapsed-calc call returns 750ms.
+        ScriptedClock clock = new ScriptedClock(0L, 500_000_000L, 750_000_000L);
+        Runnable poller = () -> Thread.currentThread().interrupt();
+
+        try {
+            Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome outcome = Fleetd.awaitHerdr(herdr, clock, poller);
+
+            assertEquals(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.INTERRUPTED, outcome.result());
+            assertEquals(750_000_000L, outcome.elapsedNanos(),
+                    "elapsed must be measured even when the wait ends via interruption, not the deadline");
+            assertTrue(Thread.currentThread().isInterrupted(),
+                    "the interrupt flag the old code re-set must still be set on return");
+        } finally {
+            Thread.interrupted(); // clear it so it cannot leak into another test on this thread
+        }
+    }
+
+    // ---- the call site: Fleetd.logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap -------------------------------
+
+    @Test
+    void answeredLogsNothingAndSaysReap() {
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> events = attach();
+        try {
+            boolean shouldReap = Fleetd.logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap(
+                    new Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.ANSWERED, 0L));
+
+            assertTrue(shouldReap, "only ANSWERED should tell main to reap orphan workers");
+            assertEquals(0, events.list.size(), "the answered path logs nothing itself");
+        } finally {
+            detach(events);
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void deadlinePassedLogsConfiguredAndMeasuredElapsedTogether() {
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> events = attach();
+        try {
+            boolean shouldReap = Fleetd.logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap(
+                    new Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.DEADLINE_PASSED, 30_500_000_000L));
+
+            assertFalse(shouldReap, "a deadline-passed wait must not tell main to reap");
+            assertEquals(1, events.list.size());
+            ILoggingEvent event = events.list.getFirst();
+            assertEquals(Level.WARN, event.getLevel());
+            assertEquals("herdr did not answer within the configured wait (configured=30s "
+                    + "elapsed=30500ms) — starting anyway; /healthz will report degraded until it "
+                    + "comes up. Orphaned worker panes (if any) were NOT reaped.",
+                    event.getFormattedMessage());
+        } finally {
+            detach(events);
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void interruptedLogsItsOwnMessageAndNeverClaimsTheBudgetElapsed() {
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> events = attach();
+        try {
+            // 3ms: the ticket's own example of "a few milliseconds in", not the 30s budget.
+            boolean shouldReap = Fleetd.logHerdrWaitOutcomeAndShouldReap(
+                    new Fleetd.HerdrAwaitOutcome(Fleetd.HerdrWaitResult.INTERRUPTED, 3_000_000L));
+
+            assertFalse(shouldReap, "an interrupted wait must not tell main to reap");
+            assertEquals(1, events.list.size());
+            ILoggingEvent event = events.list.getFirst();
+            assertEquals(Level.WARN, event.getLevel());
+            String message = event.getFormattedMessage();
+            assertEquals("herdr wait was interrupted before the configured wait ran out "
+                    + "(configured=30s elapsed=3ms) — starting anyway; /healthz will report "
+                    + "degraded until it comes up. Orphaned worker panes (if any) were NOT reaped.",
+                    message);
+            assertFalse(message.contains("did not answer"),
+                    "an interrupted wait must not be reported as if herdr failed to answer within the budget");
+        } finally {
+            detach(events);
+        }
+    }
+
+    // ---- fixtures --------------------------------------------------------------------------
+
+    /** Always returns the same value, i.e. a clock that measures zero elapsed time. */
+    private static LongSupplier fixedClock(long value) {
+        return () -> value;
+    }
+
+    /** Returns each value in order, then repeats the last one for any call beyond the list. */
+    private static final class ScriptedClock implements LongSupplier {
+        private final long[] values;
+        private int index;
+
+        ScriptedClock(long... values) {
+            this.values = values;
+        }
+
+        @Override
+        public long getAsLong() {
+            long v = values[Math.min(index, values.length - 1)];
+            if (index < values.length - 1) {
+                index++;
+            }
+            return v;
+        }
+    }
+
+    /** Fails {@code failuresBeforeSuccess} times, then succeeds forever; {@code -1} never succeeds. */
+    private static final class HerdrStub implements HerdrClient {
+        private final int failuresBeforeSuccess;
+        private int calls;
+
+        HerdrStub(int failuresBeforeSuccess) {
+            this.failuresBeforeSuccess = failuresBeforeSuccess;
+        }
+
+        @Override
+        public JsonNode call(String method, Object params) throws HerdrException {
+            calls++;
+            if (failuresBeforeSuccess < 0 || calls <= failuresBeforeSuccess) {
+                throw new HerdrException("herdr not up yet");
+            }
+            return null;
+        }
+
+        @Override
+        public void close() {
+        }
+    }
+
+    private static ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> attach() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        logger.setLevel(Level.DEBUG);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        return appender;
+    }
+
+    private static void detach(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        ((Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class)).detachAppender(appender);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdBackendErrorSinkTest.java

@@ -20,6 +20,7 @@ import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.SpawnRequest;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendOutagePolicy;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementDecision;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.PlacementPolicies;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.session.MemberSession;
 import dev.ltms.fleet.session.SessionManager;
@@ -123,6 +124,11 @@ class FleetdBackendErrorSinkTest {
             throw new UnsupportedOperationException("not reachable — this test never acquires a session");
         }
 
+        @Override
+        public PeerHandle spawn(SpawnRequest req, PlacementDecision decision) {
+            throw new UnsupportedOperationException("not reachable — this test never acquires a session");
+        }
+
         @Override
         public Set<String> profiles() {
             return Set.of();

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdBackendQuarantineWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,65 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #466 follow-up: {@code Fleetd.main} builds the daemon's one {@code BackendQuarantine}
+ * from {@link dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine#withEscalation(java.util.function.LongSupplier,
+ * long)} — the escalating factory — rather than the plain two-argument constructor, which is still a
+ * flat cooldown (kept for backward compatibility, see that class's doc). {@code
+ * BackendQuarantineTest} proves {@code withEscalation} itself escalates, is ceilinged, and resets;
+ * it says nothing about which one {@code main} actually calls.
+ *
+ * <p>Measured directly: reverting {@code main} to {@code new BackendQuarantine(System::nanoTime,
+ * TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds()))} — the pre-#466 flat call — compiles
+ * with 0 errors and leaves the entire 1608-test suite (including every {@code BackendQuarantineTest}
+ * case) green, because no other test constructs its {@code BackendQuarantine} through {@code main};
+ * every one of them builds its own instance directly. That silent regression is exactly the shape
+ * {@link FleetdLeadSeatWiringTest} and {@link FleetdCompletionResolverWiringTest} already guard
+ * against for their own constructor arguments — this is the same class of gap for fleetd #466's
+ * factory choice, following their approach.
+ *
+ * <p><b>This test checks source text, not runtime behaviour.</b> It never constructs a {@code
+ * BackendQuarantine} and never runs {@code main} — a green result here proves only that the exact
+ * text {@code main} calls {@code BackendQuarantine.withEscalation(...)} rather than the flat
+ * constructor. It does not prove that call actually executes at startup (no test here starts the
+ * daemon), and it does not prove the escalation reaches a real backend or credential — only
+ * {@code BackendQuarantineTest} proves the factory's own behaviour, and only a live daemon proves
+ * the wiring runs.
+ */
+class FleetdBackendQuarantineWiringTest {
+
+    private static String fleetdSource() throws Exception {
+        return Files.readString(Path.of("src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/Fleetd.java"));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] main's BackendQuarantine local is still built from BackendQuarantine.withEscalation(...)")
+    void mainStillWiresTheEscalatingQuarantineFactory() throws Exception {
+        String source = fleetdSource();
+        assertTrue(source.contains(
+                        "BackendQuarantine quarantine = BackendQuarantine.withEscalation(System::nanoTime,\n"
+                                + "                TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds()));"),
+                "Fleetd.main's BackendQuarantine local must still be built from "
+                        + "BackendQuarantine.withEscalation(System::nanoTime, "
+                        + "TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds())). Reverting to the flat "
+                        + "two-argument constructor (fleetd #466's measured regression) compiles with 0 errors "
+                        + "and leaves the whole suite green, including every BackendQuarantineTest case that "
+                        + "proves the escalation itself works — this source check is what must go red instead. "
+                        + "A reverted daemon would go back to retrying a weekly subscription limit on every "
+                        + "flat ~30-minute cooldown, about 336 times across the week.");
+
+        // Negative form of the same check: the pre-#466 flat call, if it ever reappears at this
+        // declaration, must not be mistaken for the escalating one by a looser positive-only check.
+        assertFalse(source.contains(
+                        "BackendQuarantine quarantine = new BackendQuarantine(System::nanoTime,\n"
+                                + "                TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(cfg.quarantineCooldownSeconds()));"),
+                "main's BackendQuarantine local must never regress to the flat two-argument constructor");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdCapacitySourceWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,155 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.FleetMcp;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #416: {@code fleet_list}'s {@code CapacitySource.configuredProfiles} must enumerate the
+ * <em>startup</em> profile set, not the live, hot-reloaded one.
+ *
+ * <p>{@code profiles} as a whole is a {@code DEFERRED} key ({@link ConfigRef#DEFERRED_KEYS}):
+ * {@code HerdrPeerLauncher} takes {@code Map.copyOf(profiles)} once at construction, so a profile
+ * only added to the hot-reloaded map can never actually be spawned. Before this fix, {@code
+ * Fleetd.main} built {@code CapacitySource} with {@code () -> config.get().profiles().keySet()} —
+ * the live map — so {@code fleet_list} would report a freshly hot-reloaded profile as available
+ * ({@code free > 0}) while {@code fleet_spawn} on that same profile failed with
+ * {@code unknown worker profile}. Measured on another host: adding a throwaway profile and letting
+ * it hot-reload gave {@code fleet_list} -> {@code free: 3} and {@code fleet_spawn} ->
+ * {@code error: unknown worker profile}.
+ *
+ * <p>This test needs a reload, the same reason {@link FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest}
+ * does: at startup the two snapshots agree, so a test of only a newly started daemon would not
+ * detect a live {@code config.get()} lookup for the set.
+ *
+ * <p><b>maxLoad must stay hot.</b> It is read off {@code config.get()} exactly like
+ * {@code credentialId} ({@link ConfigRef} documents both as hot, "read live off the config
+ * supplier ... exactly like weight/maxLoad"), so a reload that only changes an existing profile's
+ * {@code maxLoad} — no add/remove — must still change what {@code fleet_list} reports without a
+ * restart. A fix that freezes the whole {@code CapacitySource} against {@code cfg} (rather than
+ * only its {@code configuredProfiles} set) would trade this bug for its mirror image and is pinned
+ * wrong by {@link #reloadedMaxLoadStillChangesWhatFleetListReports}.
+ */
+class FleetdCapacitySourceWiringTest {
+
+    private static final String STARTUP = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: terra
+                maxLoad: 3
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    private static final String WITH_NEW_PROFILE = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: terra
+                maxLoad: 3
+              ghost404:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8001
+                model: ghost404
+                maxLoad: 3
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    private static final String WITH_CHANGED_MAX_LOAD = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: terra
+                maxLoad: 9
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a profile present only in the live (hot-reloaded) config is NOT listed")
+    void liveOnlyProfileIsNotListed(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, STARTUP);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(file);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, cfg);
+
+        Files.writeString(file, WITH_NEW_PROFILE);
+        assertTrue(config.reload().applied());
+        // The live snapshot now has the new profile — proves the reload really happened and this
+        // test is not accidentally passing because nothing changed.
+        assertTrue(config.get().profiles().containsKey("ghost404"));
+
+        FleetMcp.CapacitySource source = Fleetd.capacitySource(config, cfg, _ -> 0);
+
+        assertFalse(source.configuredProfiles().get().contains("ghost404"),
+                "a profile added only to the hot-reloaded config must not be listed by fleet_list — "
+                        + "HerdrPeerLauncher never learns about it until a restart, so fleet_spawn on it "
+                        + "would fail with 'unknown worker profile' while fleet_list claimed it free");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a profile present in the startup set IS listed")
+    void startupProfileIsListed(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, STARTUP);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(file);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, cfg);
+
+        FleetMcp.CapacitySource source = Fleetd.capacitySource(config, cfg, _ -> 0);
+
+        // fleetd #416, both-directions requirement: a test that only ever passes an empty/absent
+        // startup set (the case above) cannot tell a correct lookup from one that is permanently
+        // empty (e.g. a mutation replacing the supplier with Set::of). This is the direction that
+        // fails if the fix regresses to reporting nothing at all.
+        assertTrue(source.configuredProfiles().get().contains("terra"),
+                "a profile present in the startup snapshot must still be listed by fleet_list");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a hot maxLoad edit still changes what fleet_list reports")
+    void reloadedMaxLoadStillChangesWhatFleetListReports(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, STARTUP);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(file);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, cfg);
+
+        FleetMcp.CapacitySource source = Fleetd.capacitySource(config, cfg, _ -> 0);
+        assertEquals(3, source.maxLoad().apply("terra"),
+                "sanity: maxLoad reads 3 from the startup config before any reload");
+
+        Files.writeString(file, WITH_CHANGED_MAX_LOAD);
+        assertTrue(config.reload().applied());
+
+        assertEquals(9, source.maxLoad().apply("terra"),
+                "maxLoad must stay hot — the SAME CapacitySource instance must reflect a reloaded "
+                        + "maxLoad without a restart, exactly like credentialId. Freezing the whole "
+                        + "CapacitySource against the startup snapshot (rather than only its "
+                        + "configuredProfiles set) would trade fleetd #416 for its mirror image.");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,106 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotNull;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertSame;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #474: proves the exact wiring {@code Fleetd.main} uses to construct its live {@code
+ * ConfigRef} — {@code new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg, Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools)}
+ * — actually makes {@link ConfigRef#reload()} refuse a charter that names an MCP tool the server
+ * does not register, the same way {@code Fleetd.main} itself refuses one at startup (see {@code
+ * FleetdStartupValidationTest#mainRefusesACharterNamingAnUnregisteredTool}).
+ *
+ * <p>{@code dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRefTest} pins the same behaviour through a locally-built
+ * {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>} adapter that calls the same production {@code CharterToolSurface}
+ * method, because that test lives in {@code dev.ltms.fleet.config} and cannot see {@code
+ * Fleetd#assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools} (package-private to {@code dev.ltms.fleet}). This
+ * class is the companion proof that lives where the real method reference is visible, so the literal
+ * expression {@code Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools} — not just an equivalent — is
+ * what gets exercised. {@code Fleetd.main} itself cannot be driven this far in a unit test: every
+ * fixture in {@code FleetdStartupValidationTest} is deliberately invalid so {@code main} throws
+ * before opening a socket, binding Javalin, or doing anything else with a real side effect, so a
+ * test cannot get {@code main} far enough to hold a running daemon it could then reload — this test
+ * builds the {@code ConfigRef} the same way {@code main} does and drives {@link ConfigRef#reload()}
+ * directly instead, the same shape {@code FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest} and its
+ * siblings already use for the rest of {@code Fleetd.main}'s wiring.
+ */
+class FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest {
+
+    private static final String BASE = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              sonnet:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: sonnet
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    @Test
+    void reloadRefusesACharterNamingAnUnregisteredToolThroughFleetdsOwnWiring(@TempDir Path dir)
+            throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, BASE + """
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through fleet_reply.
+                """);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(f, FleetConfig.load(f),
+                Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools);
+        FleetConfig before = config.get();
+
+        Files.writeString(f, BASE + """
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through bridge_send.
+                """);
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = config.reload();
+
+        assertFalse(out.applied());
+        assertNotNull(out.error());
+        assertTrue(out.error().contains("dev"), out.error());
+        assertTrue(out.error().contains("bridge_send"), out.error());
+        assertSame(before, config.get());
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void reloadAcceptsACharterNamingOnlyRegisteredToolsThroughFleetdsOwnWiring(@TempDir Path dir)
+            throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, BASE + """
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: old charter
+                """);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(f, FleetConfig.load(f),
+                Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools);
+
+        Files.writeString(f, BASE + """
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through fleet_reply.
+                """);
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = config.reload();
+
+        assertTrue(out.applied());
+        assertEquals("config reloaded", out.summary());
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdConfigRefWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,80 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #474 follow-up: {@code Fleetd.main} builds its live {@code ConfigRef} from the
+ * three-argument constructor, {@code new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg,
+ * Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools)}, so a reload runs the same charter tool-surface
+ * gate startup does (see {@link dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef}'s class doc, "fleetd #474" bullet).
+ * {@code ConfigRefTest} and {@code FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest} prove the
+ * three-argument constructor and the {@code Fleetd.assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools} adapter
+ * work correctly together — both build their OWN {@code ConfigRef} with that constructor, so neither
+ * proves {@code main} still CHOOSES the three-argument form over the plain two-argument {@code new
+ * ConfigRef(configPath, cfg)}.
+ *
+ * <p>Measured directly: reverting {@code Fleetd.java}'s {@code config} local to the two-argument
+ * constructor compiles with 0 errors and leaves the entire 1633-test suite green — including every
+ * {@code ConfigRefTest} and {@code FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest} case — because
+ * neither of those tests constructs its {@code ConfigRef} through {@code main}; both build their own
+ * instance directly, wired with the check by hand. That silent regression is exactly the shape
+ * {@link FleetdBackendQuarantineWiringTest}, {@link FleetdLeadSeatWiringTest} and {@link
+ * FleetdCompletionResolverWiringTest} already guard against for their own constructor arguments —
+ * this class is the same class of gap for fleetd #474's {@code extraValidation} argument, following
+ * their approach.
+ *
+ * <p><b>This test checks source text, not runtime behaviour.</b> It never constructs a {@code
+ * ConfigRef} and never runs {@code main} — a green result here proves only that the exact text
+ * {@code main} contains is the three-argument construction with {@code
+ * Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}. It does not prove that call actually executes at
+ * startup (no test here starts the daemon), and it does not prove the reload gate itself works —
+ * only {@code ConfigRefTest} and {@code FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest} prove the
+ * behaviour; only a live daemon proves the wiring runs.
+ */
+class FleetdConfigRefWiringTest {
+
+    private static String fleetdSource() throws Exception {
+        return Files.readString(Path.of("src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/Fleetd.java"));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] main still builds config from the three-argument ConfigRef constructor")
+    void mainStillWiresTheThreeArgumentConfigRefConstructor() throws Exception {
+        String source = fleetdSource();
+
+        // A broken read (wrong working directory, wrong path, a file that came back empty) would
+        // make the assertFalse below pass vacuously — a "clean" negative check that actually
+        // checked nothing. Guard against that first, with an anchor that has nothing to do with
+        // this mutation, so a bad read fails loudly here instead of silently proving nothing below.
+        assertTrue(source.contains("public final class Fleetd"),
+                "fleetdSource() did not read anything usable — src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/Fleetd.java "
+                        + "did not come back containing its own class declaration. The assertFalse below "
+                        + "would pass vacuously on a broken read; fix the read before trusting this test.");
+
+        assertTrue(source.contains(
+                        "ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg, "
+                                + "Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools);"),
+                "Fleetd.main's config local must still be built from the three-argument ConfigRef "
+                        + "constructor, with Fleetd::assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools as "
+                        + "extraValidation. Reverting to the plain two-argument constructor (fleetd #474's "
+                        + "measured M2 regression) compiles with 0 errors and leaves the whole suite green — "
+                        + "including ConfigRefTest and FleetdConfigRefCharterToolSurfaceWiringTest, because "
+                        + "neither builds its ConfigRef through main — this source check is what must go "
+                        + "red instead. A reverted daemon would accept, through a reload with no restart, "
+                        + "exactly the charter that #469/#474 already refuse at startup.");
+
+        // Negative form of the same check: the pre-#474 two-argument call, if it ever reappears at
+        // this declaration, must not be mistaken for the three-argument one by a looser
+        // positive-only check — this is the M2 mutation this test exists to kill.
+        assertFalse(source.contains("ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(configPath, cfg);"),
+                "main's config local must never regress to the plain two-argument ConfigRef "
+                        + "constructor — that drops the reload-path charter check (fleetd #474's measured "
+                        + "M2 mutation) with no other test catching it");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,137 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.LiveExhaustedPatterns;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.FleetMcp;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.Map;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #446: {@code exhaustionDetectionArmed} must describe the LIVE config, not a startup
+ * snapshot — the opposite of what fleetd #404 asked for. #404 pinned {@code exhaustedPattern} as
+ * compiled once at startup (matching {@code CompletionResolver}'s then-frozen behaviour); #446's
+ * whole point is that both sides — the classification {@code CompletionResolver} enforces and the
+ * {@code exhaustionDetectionArmed} field this reports — now read the SAME live {@link
+ * LiveExhaustedPatterns} instance, so a reload arms or disarms detection with no restart, and the
+ * report can never disagree with the behaviour (the fleetd #404 rule, now upheld for real instead
+ * of by freezing both sides).
+ *
+ * <p>This test needs a reload. At startup the two snapshots agree, so a test of only a newly
+ * started daemon would not detect a live {@code config.get()} lookup in the report field.
+ *
+ * <p><b>The hotness proof criterion 1 demands:</b> run this against the fixed code (green) and
+ * against the pre-#446 compile site — {@code Fleetd.main}'s {@code exhaustedPatternsByProfile}
+ * compiled once into a {@code Map<String, Pattern>} at startup, handed to {@code quarantineSource}
+ * — and show it fails there. See the class doc history above: that shape is exactly what
+ * {@code reloadedPatternArmsDetectionWithNoRestart} below is written to catch, and it is the test
+ * that used to assert the opposite (see git history for this file's pre-#446 version, which
+ * asserted {@code assertFalse(...)} on the identical scenario this now asserts {@code assertTrue}
+ * on).
+ */
+class FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest {
+
+    private static final String NO_PATTERN = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: terra
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    private static final String WITH_PATTERN = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: terra
+                exhaustedPattern: "usage limit"
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("reloading a profile's exhaustedPattern IN arms exhaustionDetectionArmed, no restart")
+    void reloadedPatternArmsDetectionWithNoRestart(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, NO_PATTERN);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, FleetConfig.load(file));
+
+        FleetMcp.QuarantineSource before = Fleetd.quarantineSource(config, BackendQuarantine.none(),
+                new LiveExhaustedPatterns(() -> config.get().profiles()), Map.of());
+        assertFalse(before.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("terra"),
+                "no exhaustedPattern configured yet — must report unarmed");
+
+        Files.writeString(file, WITH_PATTERN);
+        assertTrue(config.reload().applied());
+        assertTrue(config.get().profiles().get("terra").hasExhaustedPattern());
+
+        // Re-read exhaustedPatternArmed off the SAME QuarantineSource built BEFORE the reload — no
+        // new object, no new wiring — to prove the field itself is live, not merely that a freshly
+        // built source would be. This is the exact axis the pre-#446 code fails on: the same
+        // Function<String,Boolean> lambda, called again after a reload, sees the new answer only if
+        // it re-reads config.get() on every call rather than a value captured earlier.
+        assertTrue(before.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("terra"),
+                "exhaustionDetectionArmed must read the LIVE config on every call — fleetd #446 made "
+                        + "this hot; it must reflect a reload with no restart and no new QuarantineSource");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("reloading exhaustedPattern OUT disarms exhaustionDetectionArmed, no restart")
+    void reloadedPatternRemovalDisarmsDetectionWithNoRestart(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, WITH_PATTERN);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, FleetConfig.load(file));
+
+        FleetMcp.QuarantineSource source = Fleetd.quarantineSource(config, BackendQuarantine.none(),
+                new LiveExhaustedPatterns(() -> config.get().profiles()), Map.of());
+        assertTrue(source.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("terra"),
+                "exhaustedPattern is configured from the start — must report armed");
+
+        Files.writeString(file, NO_PATTERN);
+        assertTrue(config.reload().applied());
+
+        assertFalse(source.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("terra"),
+                "removing exhaustedPattern and reloading must disarm detection with no restart — an "
+                        + "operator turning detection off (e.g. while debugging a false positive) "
+                        + "must see that reflected immediately, exactly like arming it is");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a profile with no exhaustedPattern configured is reported unarmed")
+    void aProfileWithNoPatternIsUnarmed(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        // fleetd #404's second direction, carried forward: this test alone fails if
+        // exhaustedPatternArmed degenerates to a constant `profile -> true` — it needs at least one
+        // profile that is genuinely unarmed to catch that.
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, WITH_PATTERN);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(file, FleetConfig.load(file));
+
+        FleetMcp.QuarantineSource source = Fleetd.quarantineSource(config, BackendQuarantine.none(),
+                new LiveExhaustedPatterns(() -> config.get().profiles()), Map.of());
+
+        assertTrue(source.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("terra"),
+                "a profile whose exhaustedPattern is configured must report armed");
+        assertFalse(source.exhaustedPatternArmed().apply("sonnet"),
+                "a profile absent from config entirely must not report armed");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdExhaustionSinkWarningTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,175 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Level;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.spi.ILoggingEvent;
+import ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.guard.SubscriptionGuard;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentControl;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.FakeHerdr;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.WorkspaceControl;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.inject.ExhaustionSink;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.member.ClaudeCodeLauncher;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.placement.BackendQuarantine;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.session.SessionManager;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.HashMap;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #446 follow-up (round 3): round 2's {@link FleetdUsageLimitFixWarningTest} calls {@link
+ * Fleetd#usageLimitFixWarning}/{@link Fleetd#usageLimitFixWarningNoModel} directly, which pins
+ * the two methods' TEXT but cannot see whether {@link Fleetd#exhaustionSink}'s {@code log.warn}
+ * call actually invokes either one, or invokes the right one. A mutation battery run against
+ * round 2's merge (1592 green tests) proved both gaps real:
+ *
+ * <ul>
+ *   <li><b>Cell A</b> — replacing the whole ternary result with a literal string
+ *       ({@code "usage-limit fix: MUTANT"}) left every test green;</li>
+ *   <li><b>Cell B</b> — swapping the ternary's two branches, so a profile WITH a {@code model:}
+ *       gets the no-model fallback message and vice versa, was measured unmeasured by the lead
+ *       but the existing test file shows no call that would notice it either.</li>
+ * </ul>
+ *
+ * <p>This class drives {@link Fleetd#exhaustionSink} — the actual factory {@code main} wires,
+ * since round 3's extraction pulled it out of the inline lambda for exactly this reason — and
+ * asserts on the REAL text a {@link ListAppender} attached to {@code Fleetd}'s own logger
+ * captures, mirroring {@code ExhaustedPatternGapReportTest}'s idiom. Chosen over a source-text
+ * assertion (the {@code FleetMcpAuthzTest} {@code everyRegisteredToolHasItsHandlerActionPinned}
+ * idiom) because that route can prove Cell A (the ternary is still there, still built from the
+ * two named methods) but not Cell B (which branch a given profile actually reaches) — this route
+ * answers both from one mechanism, since it reads what the sink actually logged for each shape of
+ * profile.
+ *
+ * <p>Each test filters for the WARN line starting {@code "usage-limit fix:"} specifically — {@link
+ * Fleetd#exhaustionSink} also logs a separate {@code "credential '...' quarantined for..."} WARN
+ * on every call, and asserting against the wrong one would pass or fail for the wrong reason. That
+ * prefix survives even under the M5 mutation above (the mutant keeps the tag, only the body
+ * becomes {@code "MUTANT"}), so the filter itself is not what either mutation defeats.
+ */
+class FleetdExhaustionSinkWarningTest {
+
+    private static final String YAML = """
+            bind:
+              host: 127.0.0.1
+              port: 8765
+            herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+            profiles:
+              terra:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                model: claude-opus-5
+              gx:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+            guard:
+              offSubscriptionHosts:
+                - gx00.gw
+            """;
+
+    private static SessionManager emptyRosterSessions() {
+        FakeHerdr h = new FakeHerdr();
+        FleetConfig.Profile dummy = new FleetConfig.Profile(
+                "dummy", "http://gx00.gw:8000", "coder", null, "FLEETD_WORKER_TOKEN", null,
+                "tab", "fleetd-workers", "worker: {profile} #{n}", null, null, null);
+        ClaudeCodeLauncher launcher = new ClaudeCodeLauncher(new AgentControl(h), new WorkspaceControl(h),
+                new SubscriptionGuard(Set.of("gx00.gw")), Map.of(dummy.profile(), dummy), dummy.profile(), _ -> "tok");
+        // Never acquires a session — exhaustionSink's roster lookup is expected to miss and fall
+        // back to the profileHint argument, exactly like OpenCodeLauncher's real call site does
+        // (fleetd #234) — so the sink under test never needs a populated roster.
+        return new SessionManager(launcher);
+    }
+
+    private static ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> attach() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        return appender;
+    }
+
+    private static void detach(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        ((Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class)).detachAppender(appender);
+    }
+
+    /** The one WARN line {@code exhaustionSink} builds from the ternary under test, or {@code null}. */
+    private static String fixWarning(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        List<String> warns = appender.list.stream()
+                .filter(e -> e.getLevel() == Level.WARN)
+                .map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage)
+                .filter(m -> m.startsWith("usage-limit fix:"))
+                .toList();
+        assertTrue(warns.size() == 1,
+                "expected exactly one 'usage-limit fix:' WARN per onExhausted call, got " + warns.size()
+                        + ": " + warns);
+        return warns.getFirst();
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a profile WITH a configured model gets the actionable models.allow fix, not the fallback")
+    void profileWithModelGetsTheActionableFix(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, YAML);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(file);
+        ConfigRef config = ConfigRef.fixed(cfg);
+        BackendQuarantine quarantine = new BackendQuarantine(() -> 0L, TimeUnit.MINUTES.toNanos(30));
+        Map<String, String> reasonByCredential = new HashMap<>();
+        ExhaustionSink sink = Fleetd.exhaustionSink(emptyRosterSessions(), config, quarantine,
+                reasonByCredential, cfg);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            sink.onExhausted("term_x", "The usage limit has been reached", "terra");
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        String warning = fixWarning(appender);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("terra"), "must name the profile: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("claude-opus-5"), "must name the model: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("enabled: false"), "must name the action: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("models.allow"), "must name where the action goes: " + warning);
+        assertFalse(warning.contains("has no model: configured"),
+                "a profile WITH a model must not get the no-model fallback text: " + warning);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a profile with NO configured model gets the fallback, never a fix that does not exist")
+    void profileWithNoModelGetsTheFallbackNotAFix(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path file = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(file, YAML);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(file);
+        ConfigRef config = ConfigRef.fixed(cfg);
+        BackendQuarantine quarantine = new BackendQuarantine(() -> 0L, TimeUnit.MINUTES.toNanos(30));
+        Map<String, String> reasonByCredential = new HashMap<>();
+        ExhaustionSink sink = Fleetd.exhaustionSink(emptyRosterSessions(), config, quarantine,
+                reasonByCredential, cfg);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            sink.onExhausted("term_y", "The usage limit has been reached", "gx");
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        String warning = fixWarning(appender);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("gx"), "must name the profile: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("has no model: configured"),
+                "must say there is no model to gate by name: " + warning);
+        assertFalse(warning.contains("enabled: false"),
+                "a profile with no model: configured has no models.allow entry to flip — must "
+                        + "not claim one exists: " + warning);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest.java

@@ -80,7 +80,7 @@ class FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest {
     @Test
     void opensTheMailboxWhenAUriAndSelfIdAreConfigured() {
         var opener = new RecordingOpener();
-        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, "mac-opus", null);
+        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, "mac-opus", null, null);
 
         Fleetd.openLeadMailbox(coordinator, Map.of(), opener);
 
@@ -94,7 +94,7 @@ class FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest {
     void honoursUriEnvOverALiteralUri() {
         var opener = new RecordingOpener();
         var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://stale:stale@old:5672/x", "COORD_URI",
-                "mac-opus", 8);
+                "mac-opus", 8, null);
 
         Fleetd.openLeadMailbox(coordinator, Map.of("COORD_URI", RESOLVED_URI), opener);
 
@@ -105,7 +105,7 @@ class FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest {
     @Test
     void turnsOffWhenUriEnvDoesNotResolve() {
         var opener = new RecordingOpener();
-        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(null, "COORD_URI", "mac-opus", null);
+        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(null, "COORD_URI", "mac-opus", null, null);
 
         assertNull(Fleetd.openLeadMailbox(coordinator, Map.of(), opener));
 
@@ -116,7 +116,7 @@ class FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest {
     void warnsAndStaysOffWhenSelfIdIsMissing() {
         var appender = captureFleetdLogs();
         var opener = new RecordingOpener();
-        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, null, null);
+        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, null, null, null);
 
         assertNull(Fleetd.openLeadMailbox(coordinator, Map.of(), opener));
 
@@ -131,7 +131,7 @@ class FleetdLeadMailboxSelectionTest {
         var appender = captureFleetdLogs();
         var opener = new RecordingOpener();
         opener.unreachable = true;
-        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, "mac-opus", null);
+        var coordinator = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(RESOLVED_URI, null, "mac-opus", null, null);
 
         assertNull(Fleetd.openLeadMailbox(coordinator, Map.of(), opener),
                 "a down coordination broker turns the feature off; it must never take the daemon down");

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdLeadRolloverWiringTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,89 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #480 Unit A, hard requirement 6: pin {@code Fleetd.main}'s construction of {@link
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover} with a source-text assertion, mirroring {@code
+ * FleetdCompletionResolverWiringTest}'s pattern — five log-only reporters in {@code Fleetd.main}
+ * already survived mutation batteries this exact way (fleetd #415's extraction antidote note).
+ *
+ * <p>What this class still covers, and what it never claimed to. {@code LeadRolloverTest}
+ * constructs its own {@code LeadRollover} directly (as every prior test of an extracted factory
+ * does) with a hand-built lookup, so a mutation that deletes the {@code leadRollover(...)} call
+ * from {@code main} — or replaces one of its arguments with something that still compiles, e.g.
+ * {@code router.leadAgents()} swapped for {@code null}, or the whole assignment swapped for a bare
+ * {@code null} literal — leaves every behavioural test green. This is a plain string read, guarded
+ * by an unrelated anchor assertion so a broken or empty file read cannot pass as a real change.
+ *
+ * <p><b>This test checks source text, not runtime behaviour.</b> It never constructs a {@code
+ * LeadRollover} and never runs {@code main}. It pins the {@code leadRollover(...)} CALL SITE's
+ * argument list — that {@code main} still passes {@code leads} at all — never what the factory
+ * DOES with that argument once inside its own body.
+ *
+ * <p><b>Correction (fleetd #480 relative-handover-path follow-up): that gap used to be real, and
+ * now is not — but not here.</b> This class's javadoc previously claimed "no behavioural test can
+ * catch this wiring dropping out" for the whole factory, including the lambda {@code
+ * leadRollover(...)} builds internally (terminal → lead name → {@code Leader.cwd()}). That claim
+ * was proven true at the time — mutating that lambda's body to {@code String leadName = null;}
+ * (always "no lead found", which silently reintroduces the daemon-cwd bug this ticket fixes) left
+ * the full suite green, {@code Tests run: 1669, Failures: 0}. It is no longer true: {@code
+ * FleetdLeadRolloverWorkspaceLookupTest} now calls {@code Fleetd.leadRollover(...)} directly with a
+ * real {@link dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef} built from a temp {@code fleetd.yaml}, and fails
+ * against that exact one-line mutation. So: THIS class still covers only the call site's argument
+ * list; {@code FleetdLeadRolloverWorkspaceLookupTest} is what now covers the lambda's body. Neither
+ * one subsumes the other — keep both.
+ */
+class FleetdLeadRolloverWiringTest {
+
+    private static String fleetdSource() throws Exception {
+        return Files.readString(Path.of("src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/Fleetd.java"));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] unrelated anchor: Fleetd.java still declares the Fleetd class")
+    void unrelatedAnchorStillPresent() throws Exception {
+        // Guards the two assertions below: without this, a bad read (empty string, wrong file,
+        // truncated file) could vacuously fail to contain the leadRollover(...) call too, and a
+        // test that only asserts "contains X" would report a false pass for the wrong reason if X
+        // happened to match. Asserting an unrelated, structurally distant string first proves the
+        // read actually pulled real file content.
+        String source = fleetdSource();
+        assertTrue(source.contains("public final class Fleetd"),
+                "sanity anchor failed — the file read did not return real Fleetd.java source; the "
+                        + "leadRollover(...) wiring assertions below cannot be trusted until this passes");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] main still constructs LeadRollover via the leadRollover(...) factory, exactly as heartbeat is constructed")
+    void mainStillCallsTheLeadRolloverFactory() throws Exception {
+        String source = fleetdSource();
+        assertTrue(source.contains(
+                        "LeadRollover leadRollover = leadRollover(cfg, router.leadAgents(), config, leads);"),
+                "Fleetd.main must still assign `LeadRollover leadRollover = leadRollover(cfg, "
+                        + "router.leadAgents(), config, leads);`. Dropping this call, or swapping one of "
+                        + "its arguments for something that still compiles (e.g. null in place of "
+                        + "router.leadAgents()), leaves every behavioural test green — this source check is "
+                        + "what must go red instead. fleetd #480 correction 2 deliberately dropped "
+                        + "primaryRegistry from this call — see LeadRollover's class javadoc for why a "
+                        + "single-slot lookup was wrong here. The fleetd #480 relative-handover-path "
+                        + "follow-up added `leads` (terminal → lead name) so the factory can resolve a "
+                        + "relative handoverPath against the calling lead's own workspace.");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] the leadRollover(...) factory itself gates construction on cfg.leadRollover() != null")
+    void factoryGatesOnConfigPresence() throws Exception {
+        String source = fleetdSource();
+        assertTrue(source.contains("if (cfg.leadRollover() == null) {"),
+                "Fleetd.leadRollover(...) must refuse to construct a LeadRollover when the "
+                        + "leadRollover: block is absent — an upgraded daemon must never silently acquire "
+                        + "the ability to clear the lead's own pane. See LeadHeartbeatLoop's construction "
+                        + "gate (cfg.leadHeartbeat() != null) for the pattern this mirrors.");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdLeadRolloverWorkspaceLookupTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,163 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.AgentControl;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.FakeHerdr;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.HashMap;
+import java.util.Map;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotNull;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #480 relative-handover-path follow-up, correction round: a BEHAVIOURAL test of {@link
+ * Fleetd#leadRollover}'s own body — the terminal → lead-name → {@code Leader.cwd()} lookup it
+ * builds — not another source-text pin.
+ *
+ * <p>{@code FleetdLeadRolloverWiringTest} (a plain string read) still earns its keep: it pins the
+ * call site's ARGUMENT LIST, so a mutation that drops {@code leads} back out of the call, or
+ * swaps it for {@code Map::of}, still goes red there. But nothing before this class exercised the
+ * LAMBDA BODY {@code leadRollover(...)} builds — the terminal-to-workspace {@code
+ * Function<String,String>} that {@link LeadRollover#open} actually calls. Every prior test either
+ * exercised {@code LeadRollover} directly with a hand-built lookup ({@code LeadRolloverTest}), or
+ * read source text without ever calling the factory ({@code FleetdLeadRolloverWiringTest}) — so a
+ * mutation that breaks the lookup ITSELF (e.g. always resolving no lead, or reading a snapshot
+ * instead of the live supplier) left every existing test green while the daemon's real wiring
+ * silently reintroduced the exact bug this whole ticket fixes: a relative {@code handoverPath}
+ * resolving against the daemon's own {@code cwd} instead of the calling lead's.
+ *
+ * <p>{@code Fleetd.leadRollover(...)} is package-private and {@code static}, so this test — living
+ * in the same {@code dev.ltms.fleet} package — calls it directly, exactly the way {@code
+ * FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest} and {@code FleetdCapacitySourceWiringTest} already call
+ * other package-private startup factories with a real {@link ConfigRef} built from a temp {@code
+ * fleetd.yaml} (never the gitignored live one).
+ *
+ * <p><b>Proved against the mutation it exists to catch.</b> Before this class was added, mutating
+ * {@code leadRollover(...)}'s lambda body to {@code String leadName = null;} (always "no lead
+ * found", which forces every relative {@code handoverPath} onto the {@code user.dir} fallback —
+ * i.e. the original bug) left the full suite green: {@code Tests run: 1669, Failures: 0}. With
+ * {@link #relativeHandoverPathResolvesAgainstTheLeadsConfiguredCwd()} added, the same one-line
+ * mutation now fails that test (it asserts the resolved path equals the configured lead's {@code
+ * cwd}, which the mutant can never produce) — see this ticket's fleet_reply history for both runs.
+ */
+class FleetdLeadRolloverWorkspaceLookupTest {
+
+    private static AgentControl fakeAgents() {
+        return new AgentControl(new FakeHerdr());
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[BEHAVIOURAL] Fleetd.leadRollover(...) resolves a relative handoverPath against "
+            + "the CALLING lead's configured cwd, not the daemon's own working directory")
+    void relativeHandoverPathResolvesAgainstTheLeadsConfiguredCwd(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path leadCwd = dir.resolve("lead-workspace");
+        Files.createDirectories(leadCwd);
+        Path yaml = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(yaml, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                fleet:
+                  leaders:
+                    opus:
+                      tab: "lead: opus"
+                      cwd: "%s"
+                leadRollover:
+                  handoverPath: handover.md
+                """.formatted(leadCwd.toString()));
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(yaml, FleetConfig.load(yaml));
+
+        LeadRollover rollover = Fleetd.leadRollover(config.get(), fakeAgents(), config,
+                () -> Map.of("term_opus", "opus"));
+        assertNotNull(rollover, "leadRollover: is present in the loaded config, so the factory "
+                + "must construct an object");
+
+        LeadRollover.PendingRollover pending = rollover.open("term_opus", "test");
+
+        String expected = leadCwd.resolve("handover.md").normalize().toString();
+        assertEquals(expected, pending.handoverPath(),
+                "a relative handoverPath must resolve against the CALLING lead's configured cwd "
+                        + "through the REAL Fleetd.leadRollover(...) wiring — not the daemon's own "
+                        + "working directory. This is the exact axis that was proven uncovered: "
+                        + "mutating the factory's lambda body to always report \"no lead found\" "
+                        + "left every prior test green.");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[BEHAVIOURAL] a terminal not present in the live lead-terminal map falls back "
+            + "to the daemon's own user.dir")
+    void terminalNotInLiveMapFallsBackToUserDir(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path yaml = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(yaml, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                leadRollover:
+                  handoverPath: handover.md
+                """);
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(yaml, FleetConfig.load(yaml));
+
+        // No lead has been discovered yet — exactly the real shape of a lead the live tab scan
+        // has not yet scanned, or one with no fleet.leaders entry at all.
+        LeadRollover rollover = Fleetd.leadRollover(config.get(), fakeAgents(), config, Map::of);
+        assertNotNull(rollover);
+
+        LeadRollover.PendingRollover pending = rollover.open("term_unknown", "test");
+
+        String expected = Path.of(System.getProperty("user.dir")).resolve("handover.md")
+                .normalize().toString();
+        assertEquals(expected, pending.handoverPath(),
+                "a lead not present in the live terminal→name map must fall back to the daemon's "
+                        + "own user.dir — the same fallback LeadLauncher#launch already uses for a "
+                        + "lead with no configured cwd. This is deliberate, pinned behaviour, not an "
+                        + "accident of the null-check chain.");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[BEHAVIOURAL] the terminal→lead-name lookup is read LIVE on every open() call, "
+            + "never snapshotted at Fleetd.leadRollover(...) construction time")
+    void workspaceLookupIsReadLiveNotSnapshotted(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path leadCwd = dir.resolve("lead-workspace");
+        Files.createDirectories(leadCwd);
+        Path yaml = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(yaml, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                fleet:
+                  leaders:
+                    opus:
+                      tab: "lead: opus"
+                      cwd: "%s"
+                leadRollover:
+                  handoverPath: handover.md
+                """.formatted(leadCwd.toString()));
+        ConfigRef config = new ConfigRef(yaml, FleetConfig.load(yaml));
+
+        // EMPTY at the moment leadRollover(...) is called. A lookup captured (snapshotted) here
+        // instead of read live through the supplier on every call would never see the entry added
+        // below — exactly the natural mistake to make, since leads are discovered by a live tab
+        // scan that runs AFTER this factory is constructed at startup.
+        Map<String, String> liveLeadTerminals = new HashMap<>();
+        LeadRollover rollover = Fleetd.leadRollover(config.get(), fakeAgents(), config,
+                () -> liveLeadTerminals);
+        assertNotNull(rollover);
+
+        // The lead is "discovered" only now — mutate the SAME backing map the supplier reads from.
+        liveLeadTerminals.put("term_opus", "opus");
+
+        LeadRollover.PendingRollover pending = rollover.open("term_opus", "test");
+
+        String expected = leadCwd.resolve("handover.md").normalize().toString();
+        assertEquals(expected, pending.handoverPath(),
+                "the terminal→lead-name lookup must be read LIVE on every open() call — a lead "
+                        + "discovered by the tab scan AFTER Fleetd.leadRollover(...) was constructed "
+                        + "must still resolve correctly, not only one that was already live at "
+                        + "construction time");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdModelGateCoverageLineTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,62 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.PeerLauncher;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import java.util.Set;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotEquals;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #422 follow-up: {@code Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine} is the startup-log counterpart of
+ * {@code exhaustedPatternCoverageLine}/{@code errorPatternCoverageLine} — see {@code
+ * FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest} for the identical shape this follows — except here there is no
+ * {@code UnsetMeaning} choice for a caller to get backwards: {@link
+ * PeerLauncher.ModelGateState#configured()} already states, unambiguously, whether an empty
+ * {@link PeerLauncher.ModelGateState#off()} means "no {@code models:} block to gate with at all"
+ * or "a block armed and currently reporting zero off". This class proves {@code
+ * modelGateCoverageLine} words those two states — plus the third, N off — distinctly, so a
+ * mutation that made it ignore {@code configured()} either way is caught here.
+ */
+class FleetdModelGateCoverageLineTest {
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("no models: block reports not configured, distinct from armed-with-zero")
+    void noModelsBlockReportsNotConfigured() {
+        String line = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.notConfigured());
+        assertEquals("not configured (no models: block — nothing is gated, and nothing can be)", line);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a models: block armed with nothing off reports armed, distinct from not configured")
+    void armedWithNothingOffReportsArmed() {
+        String line = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.armed(Set.of()));
+        assertEquals("armed (models: block present; 0 models currently turned off)", line);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a models: block with N off names the off models")
+    void armedWithModelsOffNamesThem() {
+        String line = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(
+                PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.armed(Set.of("deepseek-v4-flash", "claude-opus-9000")));
+        assertEquals("armed (2 model(s) turned off: [claude-opus-9000, deepseek-v4-flash])", line);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("the three states produce pairwise-distinct wording for the same empty-looking input")
+    void theThreeStatesProduceDistinctWording() {
+        String notConfigured = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.notConfigured());
+        String armedZero = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.armed(Set.of()));
+        String armedOne = Fleetd.modelGateCoverageLine(PeerLauncher.ModelGateState.armed(Set.of("x")));
+
+        // Pinned individually above; restated here so this test alone still catches a regression
+        // even if one of the three tests above were ever deleted — the exact FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest
+        // pattern, adapted from "two keys" to "three states of one gate".
+        assertNotEquals(notConfigured, armedZero,
+                "collapsing 'no models: block' into 'armed, zero off' is fleetd #422 follow-up's exact defect");
+        assertNotEquals(armedZero, armedOne);
+        assertNotEquals(notConfigured, armedOne);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,67 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import java.util.Set;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotEquals;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #415 (review follow-up): {@code CompletionResolverTest} proves {@code coverage()} words
+ * {@code UnsetMeaning.OFF} and {@code UnsetMeaning.BUILT_IN_DEFAULT} correctly — but every one of
+ * those tests supplies the meaning itself. That proves the enum's wording, never that {@code
+ * Fleetd} pairs the right meaning with the right pattern key. That pairing is #415's actual
+ * defect: {@code coverage()} had no way to know what unset meant for its key, so the fix moved
+ * the fact to the caller — and nothing yet proved the caller states it correctly.
+ *
+ * <p><b>Measured or it didn't happen:</b> swapping the two {@code UnsetMeaning} arguments at
+ * {@code Fleetd}'s two coverage call sites — giving {@code exhaustedPattern} the built-in-default
+ * wording and {@code errorPattern} the off wording, #415's exact defect with the keys exchanged —
+ * compiled with 0 errors and left all 1506 existing tests green. This class exists to turn that
+ * swap red.
+ *
+ * <p>It calls {@link Fleetd#exhaustedPatternCoverageLine} and {@link Fleetd#errorPatternCoverageLine}
+ * directly rather than reading {@code Fleetd.java} as source text (the shape {@code
+ * FleetdCompletionResolverWiringTest} uses for a different wiring gap): those two methods are the
+ * extracted call sites {@code main} actually invokes, following the same {@code static} factory +
+ * dedicated-test pattern as {@link Fleetd#capacitySource} and {@link Fleetd#worktreeBranchLookup}.
+ */
+class FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest {
+
+    private static final Set<String> PROFILES = Set.of("terra", "gx10");
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("exhaustedPatternCoverageLine says off when no profile configures exhaustedPattern")
+    void exhaustedPatternCoverageLineSaysOffWhenNoProfileConfiguresIt() {
+        assertEquals("off (no profile has an exhaustedPattern configured; profiles: [gx10, terra])",
+                Fleetd.exhaustedPatternCoverageLine(PROFILES, Set.of()));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("errorPatternCoverageLine says built-in default when no profile configures errorPattern")
+    void errorPatternCoverageLineSaysBuiltInDefaultWhenNoProfileConfiguresIt() {
+        assertEquals("built-in default for all profiles (no profile customises errorPattern; "
+                        + "profiles: [gx10, terra])",
+                Fleetd.errorPatternCoverageLine(PROFILES, Set.of()));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("the two keys produce different wording for the identical empty-coverage input")
+    void theTwoKeysProduceDifferentWordingForTheSameEmptyInput() {
+        String exhaustedLine = Fleetd.exhaustedPatternCoverageLine(PROFILES, Set.of());
+        String errorLine = Fleetd.errorPatternCoverageLine(PROFILES, Set.of());
+
+        // Pinned individually above; restated here so this test alone still catches a swap even
+        // if one of the two tests above were ever deleted.
+        assertEquals("off (no profile has an exhaustedPattern configured; profiles: [gx10, terra])",
+                exhaustedLine);
+        assertEquals("built-in default for all profiles (no profile customises errorPattern; "
+                        + "profiles: [gx10, terra])", errorLine);
+        assertNotEquals(exhaustedLine, errorLine,
+                "swapping which UnsetMeaning pairs with which pattern key at Fleetd's call sites "
+                        + "must be caught here — that pairing, not coverage()'s own wording in isolation, "
+                        + "is fleetd #415's actual defect");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdStartupReportTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,79 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Level;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.spi.ILoggingEvent;
+import ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertThrows;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * Proves {@link Fleetd#main(String[])} calls every startup report before validation aborts startup.
+ * The invalid non-loopback bind makes {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()} throw before {@code main}
+ * can open the herdr socket or bind a port. The fixture also triggers every report, so removing any
+ * one call from {@code main} leaves its expected log line absent.
+ */
+class FleetdStartupReportTest {
+
+    private static Level originalLevel;
+
+    private static ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> attach() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        originalLevel = logger.getLevel();
+        logger.setLevel(Level.INFO);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        return appender;
+    }
+
+    private static void detach(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        logger.detachAppender(appender);
+        logger.setLevel(originalLevel);
+    }
+
+    private static boolean contains(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender, String fragment) {
+        return appender.list.stream()
+                .map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage)
+                .anyMatch(message -> message.contains(fragment));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainReportsEveryStartupGapBeforeValidationAborts(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path config = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(config, """
+                bind:
+                  host: 0.0.0.0
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  worker:
+                    baseUrl: https://llm.ltms.dev/v1
+                    gitTokenEnv: GITEA_TOKEN
+                """);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class, () -> Fleetd.main(new String[]{config.toString()}));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertTrue(contains(appender, "startup git host GITEA_HOST:"),
+                "Fleetd.main must report the git host shape");
+        assertTrue(contains(appender, "member trust model: members run as the same OS user"),
+                "Fleetd.main must report the member trust model");
+        assertTrue(contains(appender, "memberCredentials: absent or empty"),
+                "Fleetd.main must report an absent memberCredentials policy");
+        assertTrue(contains(appender, "exhaustedPattern: profile(s) [worker] have no exhaustedPattern configured"),
+                "Fleetd.main must report profiles without exhaustedPattern");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdStartupValidationTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,154 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertThrows;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * Proves the one thing no test proved before this ticket's follow-up: that {@code Fleetd.main}
+ * ITSELF — not a copy of its logic, not the validator called directly — still refuses to start on
+ * a bad config. Mutation testing found that deleting {@code cfg.validateAll();} (née six
+ * individual {@code cfg.validateXxx();} calls) from {@code Fleetd.main} left the full 1478-test
+ * suite green; every existing test called a validator directly and none exercised {@code
+ * Fleetd.main} as the caller. See {@code FleetConfigValidateAllTest} for why the fix collapses
+ * those six calls into one reflective {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()}, and {@code
+ * ConfigRefTest} for the equivalent proof on the {@link
+ * dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef#reload()} path.
+ *
+ * <p>This is deliberately the real {@code static void main(String[] args)} — package-private, so
+ * only a test in this package can call it, which is exactly what makes this proof strong: it is
+ * not a helper extracted for testability, it is the literal method {@code java -jar fleetd.jar}
+ * invokes. Every fixture below is otherwise-valid and fails exactly one validator, and — because
+ * {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()} runs immediately after {@code SubscriptionGuard.
+ * assertPrimaryClean}, before {@code main} opens the herdr socket, binds Javalin, or touches
+ * anything else with a real side effect — calling {@code Fleetd.main} with one of these configs is
+ * safe: it is guaranteed to throw before reaching any of that, precisely because the config is
+ * deliberately invalid.
+ */
+class FleetdStartupValidationTest {
+
+    private static void assertMainRefuses(Path dir, String fileName, String yaml,
+                                           String mustContain) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve(fileName);
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml);
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class,
+                () -> Fleetd.main(new String[]{f.toString()}),
+                fileName + ": Fleetd.main must refuse this config before doing anything else");
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains(mustContain),
+                fileName + ": expected message to contain \"" + mustContain + "\" but was: "
+                        + e.getMessage());
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesANonLoopbackBindWithoutTokenMode(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "auth-exposure.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 0.0.0.0
+                  port: 8765
+                """, "auth.mode: token");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesALeadTabPrefixCollision(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "lead-tab-prefixes.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                fleet:
+                  tabLabel: "lead: {role} {profile}"
+                  leaders:
+                    opus:
+                      tab: "lead: opus"
+                """, "fleet.tabLabel");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesASubscriptionProfileThatReseatsAnthropicBaseUrl(@TempDir Path dir)
+            throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "subscription-profiles.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    subscription: true
+                    argv: ["ccs", "sonnet"]
+                    env:
+                      ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL: http://anything-not-on-the-allowlist
+                """, "ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesAnUnknownCharterKey(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "charters.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    architetc: text
+                """, "architetc");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #469: closes the gap left by #464's {@code CharterToolSurfaceTest}, which wrote its
+     * own charter into a {@code @TempDir} fixture and so could never fail on anything anyone wrote
+     * into the live {@code fleetd.yaml}. {@code bridge_send} is CB-634's own motivating example — a
+     * tool name the rename removed — and the charter key ({@code dev}) is a real role wire name, so
+     * this fixture passes {@code cfg.validateAll()}'s charter check (key valid, text non-blank) and
+     * is refused only by the new {@code CharterToolSurface} call right after it. The failure message
+     * must name both the charter key and the unknown tool.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesACharterNamingAnUnregisteredTool(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "charter-tool-surface.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through bridge_send.
+                """, "bridge_send");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesAnArchitectSlotNamingAnUnconfiguredProfile(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "members.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  gx10:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                fleet:
+                  architects:
+                    lead-designer:
+                      profile: sonnet
+                """, "lead-designer");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void mainRefusesAProfileNamingAModelOutsideTheAllowList(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        assertMainRefuses(dir, "models.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  rogue:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx11.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-opus-9000
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """, "rogue");
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/FleetdUsageLimitFixWarningTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,75 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #446 follow-up (criterion 2): {@code exhaustionSink} used to build the "name the fix"
+ * WARNING inline with two SLF4J {@code {}}-placeholder {@code log.warn} calls. Nothing pinned
+ * that text — a mutation battery run against the merged PR #457 proved it: renaming the leading
+ * {@code "usage-limit fix:"} tag to {@code "MUTANT no fix named:"} at both call sites left all
+ * 1586 existing tests green. This class is what makes that mutation red.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link Fleetd#usageLimitFixWarning} and {@link Fleetd#usageLimitFixWarningNoModel} are the
+ * extracted call sites {@code exhaustionSink} actually invokes — {@code log.warn} is called with
+ * each method's return value as a single, already-formatted argument, so the string these tests
+ * assert on is byte-identical to what {@code fleetd.out} receives. Same extracted-static-method +
+ * dedicated-test idiom as {@link Fleetd#exhaustedPatternCoverageLine} /
+ * {@link FleetdPatternCoverageLineTest}, chosen over the {@link ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender}
+ * idiom {@code ExhaustedPatternGapReportTest} uses — this warning is built once, at one call site,
+ * from a single method with no branching inside the message itself, so there is no real log
+ * plumbing left to prove; capturing an appender would only add setup/teardown around the same
+ * assertion.
+ *
+ * <p>Each assertion below checks for a specific substring — the leading {@code "usage-limit fix:"}
+ * tag an operator would grep the log for, the profile name, the model name, and the literal
+ * action ({@code enabled: false} under {@code models.allow}) — rather than the whole sentence.
+ * Criterion 2 promised those facts, not a particular wording of the prose that carries them; a
+ * whole-sentence {@code assertEquals} breaks on every copy-edit of that surrounding prose and
+ * teaches the next person to delete the test rather than read why it failed. The leading tag is
+ * pinned on purpose, unlike the rest of the sentence: it is the identifying label the fleetd #446
+ * follow-up's own mutation battery renamed ({@code "usage-limit fix:"} → {@code "MUTANT no fix
+ * named:"}) to prove this class did not yet catch a tag rename — only the three-fact substrings
+ * above would have missed it, since none of them mention the tag itself.
+ */
+class FleetdUsageLimitFixWarningTest {
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("usageLimitFixWarning names the profile, the model, and the models.allow fix")
+    void usageLimitFixWarningNamesProfileModelAndFix() {
+        String warning = Fleetd.usageLimitFixWarning("terra", "claude-opus-5");
+
+        assertTrue(warning.startsWith("usage-limit fix:"),
+                "must carry the grep-able identifying tag: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("terra"), "must name the profile: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("claude-opus-5"), "must name the model: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("enabled: false"), "must name the action: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("models.allow"), "must name where the action goes: " + warning);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("usageLimitFixWarning does not cross-name a different profile or model")
+    void usageLimitFixWarningDoesNotCrossName() {
+        String warning = Fleetd.usageLimitFixWarning("terra", "claude-opus-5");
+
+        // Guards against the mutation of swapping the two profile/model arguments at the call
+        // site — a test that only checks "some name appears" cannot catch that.
+        assertTrue(!warning.contains("sonnet"), "must not name an unrelated model: " + warning);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("usageLimitFixWarningNoModel names the profile but no fix, since none exists")
+    void usageLimitFixWarningNoModelNamesProfileNotAFix() {
+        String warning = Fleetd.usageLimitFixWarningNoModel("gx", 1800);
+
+        assertTrue(warning.startsWith("usage-limit fix:"),
+                "must carry the grep-able identifying tag: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("gx"), "must name the profile: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(warning.contains("1800"), "must name the quarantine duration it falls back to: " + warning);
+        assertTrue(!warning.contains("enabled: false"),
+                "a profile with no model: configured has no models.allow entry to flip — the "
+                        + "fallback message must not claim one exists: " + warning);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/GitHostShapeReportTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,241 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet;
+
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Level;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger;
+import ch.qos.logback.classic.spi.ILoggingEvent;
+import ch.qos.logback.core.read.ListAppender;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+import org.slf4j.LoggerFactory;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Map;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #377: the startup git host line must report the <em>shape</em> of the value a
+ * member receives as GITEA_HOST — set or unset, length, scheme, trailing slash — and the
+ * value itself must never reach the log.
+ */
+class GitHostShapeReportTest {
+
+    /** A profile that opts in to the git-forge token, so GITEA_HOST is the var that matters. */
+    private static final String GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG = """
+            profiles:
+              local:
+                baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                gitTokenEnv: WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN
+            """;
+
+    private static FleetConfig load(Path dir, String yaml) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml);
+        return FleetConfig.load(f);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The level this logger had before {@link #attach()} raised it, so {@link #detach} can put it
+     * back. {@code null} is a real value here — it means "inherit from the parent" — and that is
+     * exactly the state this logger starts in, so it must be restored as {@code null} rather than
+     * as some concrete level.
+     */
+    private static Level originalLevel;
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #377: the shape lines are logged at INFO, and {@code logback-test.xml} sets
+     * {@code dev.ltms.fleet} to WARN — so INFO events are dropped by the level check BEFORE any
+     * appender sees them. Attaching an appender is therefore not enough: without raising the level
+     * the list stays empty and every assertion below fails against correct production code. The
+     * sibling report tests do the same thing at each call site (see
+     * {@code MemberTrustModelReportTest}); doing it here keeps it in one place.
+     */
+    private static ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> attach() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        originalLevel = logger.getLevel();
+        logger.setLevel(Level.INFO);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        return appender;
+    }
+
+    private static void detach(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Fleetd.class);
+        logger.detachAppender(appender);
+        logger.setLevel(originalLevel);
+    }
+
+    private static List<String> messages(ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender) {
+        return appender.list.stream().map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage).toList();
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void setLineReportsLengthSchemeAndTrailingSlash(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+        String value = "https://git.example.test/";
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of("GITEA_HOST", value));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        String expected = "startup git host GITEA_HOST: set (profile 'local' gitHostEnv) — "
+                + "length=" + value.length() + ", startsWithScheme=true, trailingSlash=true";
+        assertTrue(messages(appender).contains(expected),
+                "a value with a scheme and a trailing slash must be reported by shape only: "
+                        + "its length, startsWithScheme=true, trailingSlash=true");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void bareHostLineReportsNoSchemeNoTrailingSlash(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+        String value = "git.example.test";
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of("GITEA_HOST", value));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        String expected = "startup git host GITEA_HOST: set (profile 'local' gitHostEnv) — "
+                + "length=" + value.length() + ", startsWithScheme=false, trailingSlash=false";
+        assertTrue(messages(appender).contains(expected),
+                "a bare host name must report startsWithScheme=false, trailingSlash=false");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void unsetVariableIsLoggedAtInfoAndDoesNotThrow(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            // GITEA_HOST absent from the map entirely — the unset case must not throw.
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of());
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertTrue(appender.list.stream().anyMatch(e ->
+                        e.getLevel() == Level.INFO
+                                && e.getFormattedMessage()
+                                    .startsWith("startup git host GITEA_HOST: unset (profile 'local' gitHostEnv)")),
+                "an unset git host is useful information, not an error — say it at INFO level");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The important test: the value must NEVER appear in the log output. This test fails if the
+     * line is ever changed to include the value, because it drives the real logging path with a
+     * value that carries a marker no shape field could contain.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void theValueNeverAppearsInLogOutput(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+        String marker = "never-logged-host-shape-377";
+        String value = "https://" + marker + "/";
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of("GITEA_HOST", value));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        List<String> msgs = messages(appender);
+        assertFalse(msgs.stream().anyMatch(m -> m.contains(value)),
+                "the full GITEA_HOST value must never reach the log");
+        assertFalse(msgs.stream().anyMatch(m -> m.contains(marker)),
+                "no fragment of the value may reach the log — a line that embeds the value"
+                        + " would leak at least this marker");
+        assertTrue(msgs.stream().anyMatch(m -> m.contains("startsWithScheme=true")
+                        && m.contains("trailingSlash=true")),
+                "the shape must still be reported although the value is not");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void unsetReportAlsoCarriesNoValue(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+        // A blank value is not injected either (putIfPresent skips it), so it must report unset
+        // without echoing anything of it.
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of("GITEA_HOST", "  "));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertTrue(messages(appender).stream().anyMatch(m ->
+                        m.startsWith("startup git host GITEA_HOST: unset")),
+                "a blank value is skipped by the launcher, so the line reports unset");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void defaultGitHostEnvIsGITEA_HOST(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, GIT_TOKEN_CONFIG);
+
+        assertEquals(Map.of("GITEA_HOST", List.of("profile 'local' gitHostEnv")),
+                Fleetd.gitHostEnvVars(cfg));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void explicitGitHostEnvReportsUnderItsOwnName(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, """
+                profiles:
+                  local:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                    gitTokenEnv: WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN
+                    gitHostEnv: MY_FORGE_HOST
+                """);
+        String value = "https://forge.example.test/";
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of("MY_FORGE_HOST", value));
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertTrue(messages(appender).contains(
+                        "startup git host MY_FORGE_HOST: set (profile 'local' gitHostEnv) — "
+                                + "length=" + value.length()
+                                + ", startsWithScheme=true, trailingSlash=true"),
+                "an explicitly named gitHostEnv is reported under that name");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void noGitTokenMeansNoHostLineIsNeeded(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        FleetConfig cfg = load(dir, """
+                profiles:
+                  local:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                """);
+
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = attach();
+        try {
+            Fleetd.reportGitHostShape(cfg, Map.of());
+        } finally {
+            detach(appender);
+        }
+
+        assertEquals(List.of("startup git host: no profile sets a gitTokenEnv — nothing to check"),
+                messages(appender));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void aHostWithAPortIsNotTreatedAsAScheme() {
+        assertFalse(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("git.example.test"));
+        assertFalse(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("git.example.test:3000"));
+        assertFalse(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("git.example.test:3000/"));
+        assertTrue(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("https://git.example.test"));
+        assertTrue(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("https://git.example.test:3000/"));
+        assertTrue(Fleetd.startsWithScheme("ssh://git.example.test"));
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/AuthzTest.java

@@ -113,6 +113,20 @@ class AuthzTest {
         assertTrue(Authz.permits(WORKER_A, METRICS, null));
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #421 — unlike READ (the case above), COORD_READ (a lead's own held peer mail) is the
+     * primary's alone. A worker or an architect reading it would disclose lead-to-lead
+     * coordination bodies, not the secret-free roster READ is open about.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void coordReadIsThePrimarysAloneNotAWidenedRead() {
+        assertTrue(Authz.permits(PRIMARY, COORD_READ, null));
+        assertFalse(Authz.permits(WORKER_A, COORD_READ, null),
+                "a worker must not read held lead-to-lead mail");
+        assertFalse(Authz.permits(ARCH_DESIGN, COORD_READ, null),
+                "an architect holds READ today, but not-primary must mean not-architect here too");
+    }
+
     @Test
     void unauthenticatedIsDistinguishedFromMerelyForbidden() {
         // Drives the 401-vs-403 split: a missing credential is fixable by the caller, a wrong role

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/CallerResolverTest.java

@@ -186,6 +186,43 @@ class CallerResolverTest {
         assertEquals(Role.PRIMARY, r.resolve("127.0.0.1", 99, "BEARER s3cret").role());
     }
 
+    // ── fleetd #505: a herdr error DURING THE SCAN must not be conflated with "not a worker" ──────
+    // #317 (above) covers a failed lsof lookup. This is the other input to the same decision: the
+    // lsof lookup succeeds (a real pid), but PaneLocator's own pane scan hits a herdr error on the
+    // pane that owns that pid — so c.resolved() is true and c.terminal() is null, exactly like a
+    // real primary. c.scanComplete() is what tells them apart.
+
+    /**
+     * The discriminating case named in the ticket: the error must land on the pane that DOES own
+     * the caller's pid, or the test proves nothing (any other pane's failure is invisible to the
+     * scan's outcome, since a match found elsewhere is definitive regardless).
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aHerdrErrorOnTheOwningPaneDuringTheScanIsRefusedNotPromotedToPrimary() {
+        FakeHerdr failing = new FakeHerdr().processInfoFailsForPane("w2:p7", "transient");
+        ConnectionIdentity incomplete = new ConnectionIdentity(new PaneLocator(failing), _ -> FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID);
+
+        Principal p = new CallerResolver(incomplete).resolve("127.0.0.1", 55555, null);
+
+        assertEquals(Role.ANONYMOUS, p.role(),
+                "an incomplete pane scan must never be read as a clean negative and promoted to primary");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The companion invariant: a herdr error on a DIFFERENT, non-owning pane must not turn every
+     * mid-scan teardown into a refusal — the real match is still found and resolves as a worker.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aHerdrErrorOnANonOwningPaneStillResolvesTheRealWorker() {
+        FakeHerdr vanishedElsewhere = new FakeHerdr().processInfoFailsForPane("w2:p9", "pane_not_found");
+        ConnectionIdentity id = new ConnectionIdentity(new PaneLocator(vanishedElsewhere), _ -> FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID);
+
+        Principal p = new CallerResolver(id).resolve("127.0.0.1", 55555, null);
+
+        assertEquals(Role.WORKER, p.role());
+        assertEquals("term_a", p.terminal());
+    }
+
     @Test
     void aNonLoopbackCallerIsNeverThePrimaryUnderLoopbackTrust() {
         // Defence in depth: startup already refuses this pairing (validateAuthExposure), but if a

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/auth/MemberRegistryLiveTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,360 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.auth;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.ConfigRef;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.FakeHerdr;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.herdr.PaneLocator;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.ConnectionIdentity;
+import dev.ltms.fleet.peer.MemberRole;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.Map;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.*;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #424 — revoking (or granting) an architect slot must take effect on the next spawn with
+ * no restart. A session already bound to a slot keeps its <em>binding</em> (the {@code
+ * terminalToSlot} occupancy) even after that slot drops out of config, but NOT the ARCHITECT
+ * <em>privilege</em> the slot used to grant — that is revoked on the bound session's very next
+ * request. See {@link MemberRegistry}'s class doc for the exact rule: "config governs what a
+ * bound slot still grants, as well as what may be bound next."
+ *
+ * <p>Every test here drives a REAL {@link ConfigRef#reload()} against a {@code @TempDir} file and
+ * asserts {@link ConfigRef.Outcome#applied()}, rather than comparing two frozen
+ * {@code MemberRegistry} instances in memory — the defect this ticket fixes is specifically that
+ * {@link MemberRegistry} used to ignore a live reload, so a test that never reloads cannot tell the
+ * fixed registry from the broken one. {@code requireSlotFor} and {@code reserve} are pinned in
+ * separate tests, in both directions (removed and added), so a registry that simply refuses (or
+ * simply allows) everything cannot pass by accident — see {@link MemberRegistryTest} for the
+ * registry's other invariants (bind/unbind cardinality, thread-safety), which are unaffected by
+ * this ticket and still exercised against the frozen constructor.
+ */
+class MemberRegistryLiveTest {
+
+    private static String yaml(String fleetBlock) {
+        return """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                herdrSocket: ~/.config/herdr/herdr.sock
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                    model: sonnet
+                  opus:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8001
+                    model: opus
+                guard:
+                  offSubscriptionHosts:
+                    - gx00.gw
+                """ + fleetBlock;
+    }
+
+    private static final String WITH_SONNET_SLOT = """
+            fleet:
+              architects:
+                designer:
+                  profile: sonnet
+            """;
+
+    /** No architect pool at all — developers is unrelated dead data for this registry (#424 out of scope). */
+    private static final String WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS = """
+            fleet:
+              developers:
+                dev1:
+                  profile: sonnet
+            """;
+
+    /** Same slot name ({@code designer}) as {@link #WITH_SONNET_SLOT}, repointed to a different profile. */
+    private static final String WITH_OPUS_SLOT = """
+            fleet:
+              architects:
+                designer:
+                  profile: opus
+            """;
+
+    /** Same profile ({@code sonnet}) as {@link #WITH_SONNET_SLOT}, but the pool key is renamed. */
+    private static final String WITH_RENAMED_SLOT = """
+            fleet:
+              architects:
+                architect-lead:
+                  profile: sonnet
+            """;
+
+    private static ConfigRef refFor(Path f) {
+        return new ConfigRef(f, FleetConfig.load(f));
+    }
+
+    // ── requireSlotFor is live (criteria 1, 2, 4) ──────────────────────────────────────────────
+
+    @Test
+    void requireSlotForRefusesAProfileWhoseSlotWasRemovedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertDoesNotThrow(() -> registry.requireSlotFor(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "the slot is configured before the reload");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class,
+                () -> registry.requireSlotFor(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "revoking the slot must refuse the NEXT spawn that names it");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void requireSlotForAllowsAProfileWhoseSlotWasAddedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class,
+                () -> registry.requireSlotFor(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "no architect slot is configured yet");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertDoesNotThrow(() -> registry.requireSlotFor(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "a slot added by reload must be usable with no restart");
+    }
+
+    // ── reserve is live too — tested separately from requireSlotFor (criteria 1, 2, 4) ────────
+
+    @Test
+    void reserveRefusesAProfileWhoseSlotWasRemovedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation before = registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet");
+        assertEquals("architect:designer", before.slot());
+        registry.release(before); // free it back up so the reload-side reserve below starts clean
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class,
+                () -> registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "revoking the slot must refuse the NEXT reservation for it");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void reserveAllowsAProfileWhoseSlotWasAddedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class,
+                () -> registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "no architect slot is configured yet");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation after = registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet");
+        assertEquals("architect:designer", after.slot(),
+                "a slot added by reload must be reservable with no restart");
+    }
+
+    // ── profileForSlot, isSlot and nameForSlot are live too (fleetd #431) ─────────────────────────
+    // #424 pinned roleForSlot against a live reload but left these three untested — proved by
+    // mutating each to read a snapshot flattened once at construction: the full suite stayed green
+    // for all three.
+    //
+    // The three differ in how much production behaviour depends on them, and the ticket first got
+    // this ranking wrong. nameForSlot is wired: CallerResolver passes members::nameForSlot, next to
+    // members::roleForSlot. isSlot is reached through bind, which calls it to refuse an unknown
+    // slot. profileForSlot has NO caller in src/main at all — grepped both the ".profileForSlot("
+    // and the "::profileForSlot" form — so there is no seam to drive its test through beyond the
+    // accessor itself, and its own javadoc ("what the spawn lifecycle reads") describes a caller
+    // that does not exist. These tests pin the accessors as they are; whether profileForSlot should
+    // be wired or deleted is a separate question.
+
+    @Test
+    void profileForSlotReflectsAProfileChangedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertEquals("sonnet", registry.profileForSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "the slot's profile before the reload");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_OPUS_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertEquals("opus", registry.profileForSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "repointing the slot to a different profile must take effect with no restart");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void isSlotStopsReportingASlotRemovedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertTrue(registry.isSlot("architect:designer"), "the slot is configured before the reload");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertFalse(registry.isSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "removing the slot from config must make isSlot say so on the very next call, "
+                        + "with no restart");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void isSlotStartsReportingASlotAddedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertFalse(registry.isSlot("architect:designer"), "no architect slot is configured yet");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertTrue(registry.isSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "a slot added by reload must be visible to isSlot with no restart");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void nameForSlotReflectsANameChangedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        assertEquals("designer", registry.nameForSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "the configured name before the reload");
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_RENAMED_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertNull(registry.nameForSlot("architect:designer"),
+                "the old key no longer names a configured slot — it was renamed away by the reload");
+        assertEquals("architect-lead", registry.nameForSlot("architect:architect-lead"),
+                "the new name must be visible under its new qualified key with no restart");
+    }
+
+    // ── a bound architect is demoted, but the binding itself is not touched (fleetd #424) ───────
+    // The lead's corrected ruling: the PRIVILEGE a slot grants is revoked on the bound session's
+    // very next request, but the terminalToSlot BINDING itself is untouched by a reload — dropping
+    // it would double-book the slot key and break unbind's compare-safe contract. See the class
+    // doc's binding rule.
+
+    /** A caller identity resolving the one canned pane (terminal {@code term_a}) in {@link FakeHerdr}. */
+    private static ConnectionIdentity boundPaneIdentity() {
+        return new ConnectionIdentity(new PaneLocator(new FakeHerdr()), _ -> FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void anArchitectAlreadyBoundToASlotIsDemotedByReload(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation reservation = registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet");
+        assertTrue(registry.bind(reservation, "term_a"));
+        assertEquals("architect:designer", registry.slotForTerminal("term_a"));
+
+        // Drive the real caller path, not the roleForSlot seam directly: CallerResolver.resolve is
+        // what a live request actually goes through (CallerResolver.java:220), and a resolver that
+        // ignored roleForSlot entirely would still pass a test that only checked the seam.
+        CallerResolver resolver = CallerResolver.withLeadsAndMembers(
+                boundPaneIdentity(), false, null, Map::of, registry);
+
+        Principal before = resolver.resolve("127.0.0.1", 42, null);
+        assertEquals(Role.ARCHITECT, before.role(), "sanity check: the harness binds term_a as an architect");
+        assertEquals("designer", before.name());
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        Principal after = resolver.resolve("127.0.0.1", 42, null);
+        assertEquals(Role.WORKER, after.role(),
+                "removing the slot from config must demote the bound session to worker on its "
+                        + "NEXT request — this is the ticket's whole point");
+        assertEquals("term_a", after.terminal(), "same pane, same terminal — only the role changed");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void theOriginalBindingStillOccupiesTheRemovedSlotSoASecondTerminalCannotClaimIt(@TempDir Path dir)
+            throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation reservation = registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet");
+        assertTrue(registry.bind(reservation, "term_a"));
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome removed = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(removed.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + removed.summary());
+
+        // The binding survives the removal untouched.
+        assertEquals("architect:designer", registry.slotForTerminal("term_a"),
+                "a live binding must never be retroactively unbound by a config edit");
+        assertEquals(Map.of("term_a", "architect:designer"), registry.snapshot());
+
+        // Bring the slot back into config. If the binding had been silently dropped by the removal
+        // (rather than merely losing the privilege it grants), a second terminal could now claim
+        // the "freed" key — the exact double-booking the class doc's binding rule rules out.
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome restored = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(restored.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + restored.summary());
+
+        assertFalse(registry.bind("architect:designer", "term_b"),
+                "the slot is still occupied by term_a — a second terminal must not bind to it");
+        assertThrows(IllegalArgumentException.class,
+                () -> registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet"),
+                "the slot is still occupied by term_a — a fresh reservation must not find it free");
+        assertEquals("architect:designer", registry.slotForTerminal("term_a"),
+                "the original binding is unchanged throughout");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void unbindStillSucceedsForTheOriginalTerminalAfterItsSlotIsRemoved(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITH_SONNET_SLOT));
+        ConfigRef ref = refFor(f);
+        MemberRegistry registry = MemberRegistry.live(() -> ref.get().fleet());
+
+        MemberLifecycle.SlotReservation reservation = registry.reserve(MemberRole.ARCHITECT, "sonnet");
+        assertTrue(registry.bind(reservation, "term_a"));
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml(WITHOUT_ARCHITECT_SLOTS));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+        assertTrue(out.applied(), "the reload must actually take effect: " + out.summary());
+
+        assertTrue(registry.unbind("architect:designer", "term_a"),
+                "unbind must still work for a slot that config has since removed, or a session "
+                        + "that outlives its slot's removal could never release it");
+        assertNull(registry.slotForTerminal("term_a"));
+        assertEquals(Map.of(), registry.snapshot());
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/ConfigRefProfileCoverageTest.java

@@ -161,7 +161,15 @@ class ConfigRefProfileCoverageTest {
         // the #323 bug. Only ideProjectDir and worktreeGroup were saved by a behavioural test in
         // ConfigRefTest; the other two had none. So: growing this set now requires editing this
         // line as well, which is a visible, deliberate diff rather than a quiet one.
-        assertEquals(Set.of("weight", "maxLoad", "credentialId"), excluded,
+        //
+        // fleetd #446: "exhaustedPattern" joined the set legitimately — it moved from compiled
+        // once at Fleetd.main startup to read live, cached by profile name, through
+        // LiveExhaustedPatterns (see that class's doc and ConfigRef's class doc). Unlike the #323
+        // hazard this comment warns about, it is pinned by its OWN behavioural tests:
+        // FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest proves the reload takes effect with no restart,
+        // and the same test rerun against the pre-#446 compile site (see that ticket's report) is
+        // what proves the assertion would have failed before the fix.
+        assertEquals(Set.of("weight", "maxLoad", "credentialId", "exhaustedPattern"), excluded,
                 "ConfigRef.LAUNCH_SETTINGS_EXCLUDED changed. A component belongs in it ONLY if it "
                         + "is read live off the config supplier, not baked into a launcher at "
                         + "startup. If you are adding one to silence this test, that is fleetd #323 "

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/ConfigRefTest.java

@@ -1,10 +1,13 @@
 package dev.ltms.fleet.config;
 
+import dev.ltms.fleet.mcp.CharterToolSurface;
 import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
 import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
 
 import java.nio.file.Files;
 import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.function.Consumer;
 
 import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.*;
 
@@ -38,6 +41,23 @@ class ConfigRefTest {
         return new ConfigRef(f, FleetConfig.load(f));
     }
 
+    /**
+     * The exact {@code Consumer<FleetConfig>} {@code Fleetd.main} wires into {@code ConfigRef}'s
+     * constructor as {@code extraValidation} (fleetd #474) — an adapter from {@code FleetConfig} to
+     * the raw charter map {@link CharterToolSurface#assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools} takes.
+     * Built here rather than referencing {@code dev.ltms.fleet.Fleetd} directly, because that method
+     * is package-private to {@code dev.ltms.fleet} and this test lives in {@code
+     * dev.ltms.fleet.config} — but it calls the SAME production {@link CharterToolSurface} method
+     * {@code Fleetd} calls, so this proves the real check runs on reload, not a stand-in for it.
+     */
+    private static final Consumer<FleetConfig> CHARTER_TOOL_SURFACE = cfg ->
+            CharterToolSurface.assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools(
+                    cfg.fleet() == null ? Map.of() : cfg.fleet().charters());
+
+    private static ConfigRef refForWithCharterToolSurface(Path f) {
+        return new ConfigRef(f, FleetConfig.load(f), CHARTER_TOOL_SURFACE);
+    }
+
     @Test
     void aHotChangeIsAppliedAndReadThroughGet(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
         Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
@@ -124,6 +144,87 @@ class ConfigRefTest {
         assertSame(before, ref.get());
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #474: {@code validateAll()} (via {@code validateCharters()}) only checks that a
+     * charter's KEY is a role wire name and its text is non-blank — it never looks at what the text
+     * names, so a charter naming {@code bridge_send} (the pre-CB-634 name, removed from the tool
+     * surface — #469's own motivating example) passes {@code validateAll()} and used to be applied
+     * on reload with nothing refusing it, even though the identical charter refuses {@code
+     * Fleetd.main} at startup ({@code FleetdStartupValidationTest
+     * #mainRefusesACharterNamingAnUnregisteredTool}). This is the reload-path proof: it drives
+     * {@link ConfigRef#reload()} itself (not a direct call to {@link
+     * CharterToolSurface#assertChartersNameOnlyRegisteredTools}), through the exact {@code
+     * extraValidation} wiring {@code Fleetd.main} uses, and the failure message must name both the
+     * charter key and the unknown tool — the same information the startup failure gives (ticket
+     * acceptance criterion 1).
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aReloadRefusesACharterNamingAnUnregisteredTool(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml("""
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through fleet_reply.
+                """));
+        ConfigRef ref = refForWithCharterToolSurface(f);
+        FleetConfig before = ref.get();
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml("""
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through bridge_send.
+                """));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+
+        assertFalse(out.applied());
+        assertNotNull(out.error());
+        assertTrue(out.error().contains("dev"),
+                "expected the charter key 'dev' in the refusal, got: " + out.error());
+        assertTrue(out.error().contains("bridge_send"),
+                "expected the unknown tool 'bridge_send' in the refusal, got: " + out.error());
+        assertTrue(out.summary().startsWith("config reload refused"), out.summary());
+        // The running config must not move at all — half-applying this would leave the daemon in a
+        // state that could never have booted, exactly the outcome ConfigRef.java's class doc warns
+        // a cold-key refusal must avoid, and this check must avoid the same way.
+        assertSame(before, ref.get());
+        assertEquals("Send the final handoff through fleet_reply.\n",
+                ref.get().fleet().charterFor(dev.ltms.fleet.peer.MemberRole.DEV));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #474 acceptance criterion 3, the positive case: a reload whose charter names only
+     * registered tools must still be ACCEPTED. An inverted filter (one that refuses every charter,
+     * or refuses on any {@code fleet_*}/{@code bridge_*} token regardless of registration) would pass
+     * the refusal test above alone — #469's own M5 mutation cell showed exactly that shape surviving
+     * a negative-only suite. This is the test that catches it.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aReloadAcceptsACharterNamingOnlyRegisteredTools(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml("""
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: old charter, no tool names
+                """));
+        ConfigRef ref = refForWithCharterToolSurface(f);
+
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml("""
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    dev: |
+                      Send the final handoff through fleet_reply, using fleet_send to delegate.
+                """));
+        ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
+
+        assertTrue(out.applied());
+        assertTrue(out.deferred().isEmpty(), out.deferred().toString());
+        assertEquals("config reloaded", out.summary());
+        assertEquals("Send the final handoff through fleet_reply, using fleet_send to delegate.\n",
+                ref.get().fleet().charterFor(dev.ltms.fleet.peer.MemberRole.DEV));
+    }
+
     /**
      * The point of the whole class: a consumer holding the ref sees the new value without being
      * rebuilt. A component that captured {@code get()} into a field would still show the old one.
@@ -339,12 +440,18 @@ class ConfigRefTest {
     }
 
     /**
-     * CB-578 stage B: exhaustedPattern is compiled once into Fleetd.main's pattern map at startup
-     * (see ExhaustedPatternLookup), so a reload never re-reads it — a changed pattern must be
-     * reported deferred exactly like model/baseUrl, not silently claimed as applied.
+     * fleetd #446: exhaustedPattern moved from deferred to hot — {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns}
+     * reads {@code config.get()} fresh on every lookup, cached by profile name (not baked into a
+     * frozen map inside {@code Fleetd.main} any more, the way it was before this ticket, and the
+     * way its sibling {@code errorPattern} still is — see
+     * {@code changingAProfilesErrorPatternIsReportedAsDeferred} right below for the contrast).
+     * So a reload that changes ONLY exhaustedPattern must report a plain "config reloaded", with
+     * nothing deferred — the opposite of what this test asserted before fleetd #446, when
+     * ConfigRef.sameLaunchSettings still compared exhaustedPattern and this reload reported it as
+     * one of the changes needing a restart.
      */
     @Test
-    void changingAProfilesExhaustedPatternIsReportedAsDeferred(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+    void changingAProfilesExhaustedPatternTakesEffectWithNoRestart(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
         Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
         Files.writeString(f, """
                 bind:
@@ -379,17 +486,21 @@ class ConfigRefTest {
         ConfigRef.Outcome out = ref.reload();
 
         assertTrue(out.applied());
-        assertEquals(1, out.deferred().size(), out.deferred().toString());
-        assertTrue(out.deferred().getFirst().contains("sonnet"), out.deferred().toString());
-        assertTrue(out.deferred().getFirst().contains("launch settings"), out.deferred().toString());
-        // The snapshot still carries the new value — a restart is what makes it take effect.
+        assertEquals(0, out.deferred().size(),
+                "exhaustedPattern is hot since fleetd #446 — changing only this key must not be "
+                        + "reported as needing a restart: " + out.deferred());
+        assertEquals(0, out.split().size(), out.split().toString());
+        assertEquals("config reloaded", out.summary());
+        // The snapshot carries the new value immediately — this IS the live value now, not
+        // merely what a restart would eventually pick up.
         assertEquals("rate limit exceeded", ref.get().profiles().get("sonnet").exhaustedPattern());
     }
 
     /**
      * fleetd #201 Unit 5: errorPattern is compiled once into Fleetd.main's backend-error pattern
-     * map at startup (see BackendErrorPatternLookup), the same way exhaustedPattern is above — a
-     * reload never re-reads it either, so a changed value must be reported deferred.
+     * map at startup (see BackendErrorPatternLookup) — unlike its sibling exhaustedPattern above,
+     * which fleetd #446 made hot, errorPattern was scoped OUT of that ticket on purpose and stays
+     * deferred: a reload still never re-reads it, so a changed value must be reported deferred.
      */
     @Test
     void changingAProfilesErrorPatternIsReportedAsDeferred(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/ConfigRefTopLevelCoverageTest.java

@@ -79,6 +79,25 @@ class ConfigRefTopLevelCoverageTest {
      *   <li>{@code memberCredentials} — read live at {@code Fleetd.java:198, 205, 729}.</li>
      *   <li>{@code memberLoginShell} — read live at
      *       {@code HerdrPeerLauncher#configuredMemberLoginShell}.</li>
+     *   <li>{@code models} (fleetd #422) — membership is re-validated in full against the fresh
+     *       config on every {@code ConfigRef.reload()} (via {@code FleetConfig#validateAll()}), so
+     *       a bad edit is refused, never cached stale; the on/off half is read live by {@code
+     *       CompositePeerLauncher.enforceModelEnabled} and its candidate filter, and by {@code
+     *       fleet_profiles}/{@code GET /profiles} through {@code PeerLauncher.disabledModels()}.
+     *       Unlike {@code fleet} below, nothing about {@code models} is baked into a startup-built
+     *       object anywhere — there is no frozen half, so it belongs here whole rather than in
+     *       {@code SPLIT_KEYS}.</li>
+     *   <li>{@code leadRollover} (fleetd #480) — {@code dev.ltms.fleet.lead.LeadRollover} holds a
+     *       {@code Supplier<FleetConfig.LeadRollover>} and reads every field fresh on each
+     *       {@code open()}/{@code confirm()} call, the same {@code () -> config.get().x()} shape
+     *       {@code fleet}/{@code placement}/{@code models} use — see {@code ConfigRef}'s class doc
+     *       Hot bullet. The only restart-only fact is structural, not a value going stale:
+     *       {@code Fleetd.java} decides whether to construct the {@code LeadRollover} object at
+     *       all off the startup snapshot (the same presence gate {@code leadHeartbeat:} uses), so
+     *       a block ADDED where it was absent at boot needs a restart before anything exists to
+     *       call — the same fact already true of adding a brand-new {@code profiles:} entry, which
+     *       does not stop {@code profiles}' own hot sub-fields (weight/maxLoad/credentialId/
+     *       exhaustedPattern) from being genuinely hot.</li>
      * </ul>
      *
      * <p>{@code fleet} used to sit here too, on the strength of most of it (role pools, charters,
@@ -93,7 +112,7 @@ class ConfigRefTopLevelCoverageTest {
      * while this test stayed green throughout.</p>
      */
     private static final Set<String> HOT_EXCLUDED_TOP_LEVEL_KEYS =
-            Set.of("placement", "memberCredentials", "memberLoginShell");
+            Set.of("placement", "memberCredentials", "memberLoginShell", "models", "leadRollover");
 
     @Test
     void everyTopLevelComponentIsAccountedForInExactlyOneClass() {
@@ -120,7 +139,7 @@ class ConfigRefTopLevelCoverageTest {
 
         // The escape hatch is pinned. Growing it requires editing this line — a visible, deliberate
         // diff, not a quiet one. See the field javadoc above for what "belongs here" actually means.
-        assertEquals(Set.of("placement", "memberCredentials", "memberLoginShell"), hot,
+        assertEquals(Set.of("placement", "memberCredentials", "memberLoginShell", "models", "leadRollover"), hot,
                 "HOT_EXCLUDED_TOP_LEVEL_KEYS changed. A component belongs here ONLY if it is read "
                         + "live off the config supplier, never because adding it makes this test "
                         + "pass. If you are adding one to silence this test, that is fleetd #323 "

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/ConfigRefTopLevelReportingCoverageTest.java

@@ -104,9 +104,16 @@ class ConfigRefTopLevelReportingCoverageTest {
         v.put("configReload", new FleetConfig.ConfigReload(true, 10));
         v.put("quarantineCooldownSeconds", 1800);
         v.put("memberCredentials", null);
-        v.put("coordinator", new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://coord-a", null, "self-a", 1));
+        v.put("coordinator", new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://coord-a", null, "self-a", 1, null));
         v.put("worktreeGroup", "group-a");
         v.put("memberLoginShell", null);
+        v.put("memberSkills", "/skills/a");
+        v.put("idleSleepGuard", new FleetConfig.IdleSleepGuard(true));
+        v.put("models", new FleetConfig.Models(
+                List.of(new FleetConfig.Models.ModelEntry("model-a"))));
+        // fleetd #480: leadRollover joins placement/memberCredentials/memberLoginShell as
+        // hot-excluded — never compared by any changed*Keys method, so it stays null like them.
+        v.put("leadRollover", null);
         assertNamesMatchComponents(v);
         return v;
     }
@@ -144,9 +151,14 @@ class ConfigRefTopLevelReportingCoverageTest {
         v.put("configReload", new FleetConfig.ConfigReload(false, 20));
         v.put("quarantineCooldownSeconds", 3600);
         v.put("memberCredentials", null);
-        v.put("coordinator", new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://coord-b", null, "self-b", 2));
+        v.put("coordinator", new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://coord-b", null, "self-b", 2, null));
         v.put("worktreeGroup", "group-b");
         v.put("memberLoginShell", null);
+        v.put("memberSkills", "/skills/b");
+        v.put("idleSleepGuard", new FleetConfig.IdleSleepGuard(false));
+        v.put("models", new FleetConfig.Models(
+                List.of(new FleetConfig.Models.ModelEntry("model-b"))));
+        v.put("leadRollover", null);
         assertNamesMatchComponents(v);
         return v;
     }

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/FleetConfigProfileWithProfilePreservesEveryComponentTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,172 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.config;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import java.lang.reflect.Constructor;
+import java.lang.reflect.RecordComponent;
+import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.Arrays;
+import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Locale;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.TreeSet;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+
+/**
+ * Fleetd #358, the same "defect factory" #357 guarded on {@code FleetConfig.withDefaults()}
+ * (see {@code FleetConfigWithDefaultsPreservesEveryComponentTest}), reproduced here on
+ * {@link FleetConfig.Profile}. {@code Profile} carries a long back-compat constructor ladder — 8
+ * constructors, re-counted directly against the source rather than trusted from the ticket, at
+ * arities 25, 24, 22, 20, 18, 15, 14 and 12, against a canonical arity of 26 — and exactly ONE
+ * rebuild site, {@link FleetConfig.Profile#withProfile(String)}, whose own
+ * {@code return new Profile(...)} call is written at a literal 26-arg count. Add a 27th component
+ * and its established back-compat constructor at the old (26-arg) arity, and {@code withProfile}'s
+ * own call becomes a legal match for that new overload — silently dropping the new component every
+ * time a profile's name is defaulted from its {@code workers:} key.
+ *
+ * <p>Builds one {@link FleetConfig.Profile} through the TRUE canonical constructor — resolved by
+ * the record's own component types via {@code getDeclaredConstructor}, never by argument count —
+ * with a real, distinctive, non-null value in every component, calls {@link
+ * FleetConfig.Profile#withProfile(String)}, and asserts every component except {@code profile}
+ * itself survives unchanged, while {@code profile} comes back as the new name it was given.
+ *
+ * <p>Every value here is chosen so {@code Profile}'s own compact constructor (which normalizes
+ * several components — defaults {@code argv}/{@code kind}/{@code placement}/{@code workspace}/
+ * {@code gitHostEnv}, nulls a handful of blank-checked strings, clamps {@code weight}, coerces
+ * {@code subscription}) leaves it unchanged: every String is non-blank and already in the shape the
+ * compact constructor would otherwise coerce it to (e.g. {@code placement} is already lowercase),
+ * and every collection is non-empty. That is what makes "must survive unchanged" a valid assertion
+ * for every component below, the same reasoning {@code FleetConfigWithDefaultsPreservesEveryComponentTest}
+ * documents for {@code withDefaults()}.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link #EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK} is kept deliberately empty and size-pinned by
+ * {@link #exclusionListSizeIsPinned()} — a checker whose escape hatch can grow to silence a failure
+ * is not a checker. Every one of {@code Profile}'s 26 current components has a real, non-null,
+ * non-blank value here and none is excluded.
+ */
+class FleetConfigProfileWithProfilePreservesEveryComponentTest {
+
+    private static final RecordComponent[] COMPONENTS = FleetConfig.Profile.class.getRecordComponents();
+
+    /** Deliberately empty today; grow it only with a matching justification, and re-pin the size. */
+    private static final Set<String> EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK = Set.of();
+
+    /** One real, distinctive, non-null value per component, chosen to survive the compact ctor. */
+    private static Map<String, Object> baseValues() {
+        Map<String, Object> v = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        v.put("profile", "profile-guard");
+        v.put("baseUrl", "https://guard.example/base");
+        v.put("model", "model-guard");
+        v.put("configDir", "/config/guard");
+        v.put("tokenEnv", "GUARD_TOKEN");
+        v.put("argv", List.of("guard-cmd"));
+        v.put("placement", "guard-placement");
+        v.put("workspace", "workspace-guard");
+        v.put("tabLabel", "tab-guard");
+        v.put("mcpUrl", "https://mcp.guard/");
+        v.put("cwd", "/cwd/guard");
+        v.put("parityOverlay", List.of(".guardrc"));
+        v.put("gitTokenEnv", "GUARD_GIT_TOKEN");
+        v.put("gitHostEnv", "GUARD_GIT_HOST");
+        v.put("kind", "claude-code");
+        v.put("env", Map.of("GUARD_ENV", "1"));
+        v.put("weight", 2.5f);
+        v.put("maxLoad", 4);
+        v.put("subscription", Boolean.TRUE);
+        v.put("exhaustedPattern", "pattern-guard");
+        v.put("credentialId", "cred-guard");
+        v.put("ideMcpUrl", "https://ide.guard/");
+        v.put("ideProjectDir", "ide-project-guard");
+        v.put("ideOpenCommand", "open-guard {dir}");
+        v.put("autoCompactWindow", 150_000);
+        v.put("errorPattern", "error-pattern-guard");
+        assertNamesMatchComponents(v);
+        return v;
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Guards {@link #baseValues()} itself against drifting from the record's real shape — forgetting
+     * to add a new component here fails this assertion by name, rather than silently checking one
+     * component fewer than the record has.
+     */
+    private static void assertNamesMatchComponents(Map<String, Object> values) {
+        Set<String> names = new TreeSet<>();
+        for (RecordComponent rc : COMPONENTS) {
+            names.add(rc.getName());
+        }
+        assertEquals(names, new TreeSet<>(values.keySet()),
+                "this test's value map has drifted from FleetConfig.Profile's actual components — "
+                        + "update baseValues() alongside the record");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Builds a {@link FleetConfig.Profile} through the TRUE canonical constructor — resolved by the
+     * record's own component types, not by argument count — so this never accidentally exercises a
+     * back-compat overload the way a literal {@code new Profile(...)} call risks doing.
+     */
+    private static FleetConfig.Profile profileOf(Map<String, Object> values) throws ReflectiveOperationException {
+        Class<?>[] types = Arrays.stream(COMPONENTS).map(RecordComponent::getType).toArray(Class<?>[]::new);
+        Object[] args = Arrays.stream(COMPONENTS).map(rc -> values.get(rc.getName())).toArray();
+        Constructor<FleetConfig.Profile> ctor = FleetConfig.Profile.class.getDeclaredConstructor(types);
+        return ctor.newInstance(args);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void exclusionListSizeIsPinned() {
+        assertEquals(0, EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.size(),
+                "EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK grew from 0 — every entry needs a justification in "
+                        + "this test class's javadoc AND this assertion re-pinned to the new size; a "
+                        + "growing exclusion list that silences failures on its own is not a guard");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The mutation this is built to catch: make {@code withProfile(String)}'s final constructor call
+     * literal at some arg count, add one more component to the record with a new back-compat
+     * constructor at the old arity, and the stale call silently rebinds. Every component here is real
+     * and non-null/non-blank, so none of it should be replaced by {@code withProfile}, except
+     * {@code profile} itself, which the method is documented to replace.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void withProfilePreservesEveryOtherComponent() throws ReflectiveOperationException {
+        Map<String, Object> base = baseValues();
+        FleetConfig.Profile profile = profileOf(base);
+        FleetConfig.Profile renamed = profile.withProfile("renamed-profile-guard");
+
+        List<String> dropped = new ArrayList<>();
+        int checked = 0;
+        for (RecordComponent rc : COMPONENTS) {
+            String name = rc.getName();
+            if (EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.contains(name)) {
+                continue;
+            }
+            checked++;
+            Object expected = "profile".equals(name) ? "renamed-profile-guard" : base.get(name);
+            Object actual;
+            try {
+                actual = rc.getAccessor().invoke(renamed);
+            } catch (ReflectiveOperationException e) {
+                throw new RuntimeException("failed to read FleetConfig.Profile." + name + "()", e);
+            }
+            if (!Objects.equals(expected, actual)) {
+                dropped.add(String.format(Locale.ROOT,
+                        "%s: withProfile() was expected to carry (%s) for '%s' but returned %s — a "
+                                + "component silently dropped by withProfile(), the shape of the "
+                                + "defect this test exists to catch (its final \"return new "
+                                + "Profile(...)\" call binding to a back-compat constructor instead "
+                                + "of the true canonical one)",
+                        name, expected, name, actual));
+            }
+        }
+
+        System.out.printf(Locale.ROOT,
+                "FleetConfig.Profile.withProfile() component-survival coverage — %d components, %d "
+                        + "checked, %d excluded, %d survived%n",
+                COMPONENTS.length, checked, EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.size(), checked - dropped.size());
+        assertEquals(List.of(), dropped,
+                "withProfile() silently dropped these components: " + dropped);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/FleetConfigTest.java

@@ -1189,7 +1189,7 @@ class FleetConfigTest {
     @Test
     void coordinatorEffectiveUriHonorsUriEnv() {
         FleetConfig.Coordinator withEnv = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(
-                "amqp://stale-clear-text@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", "LEAD_COORD_URI", "fleet01-lead", null);
+                "amqp://stale-clear-text@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", "LEAD_COORD_URI", "fleet01-lead", null, null);
 
         assertEquals("amqp://from-env@127.0.0.1:5672/coord",
                 withEnv.effectiveUri(Map.of("LEAD_COORD_URI", "amqp://from-env@127.0.0.1:5672/coord")),
@@ -1200,12 +1200,61 @@ class FleetConfigTest {
                 "a blank uriEnv variable must not fall back to the literal uri");
 
         FleetConfig.Coordinator noEnv = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(
-                "amqp://guest:guest@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", null, null, null);
+                "amqp://guest:guest@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", null, null, null, null);
         assertEquals("amqp://guest:guest@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", noEnv.effectiveUri(Map.of()),
                 "the literal uri is used when no uriEnv is configured");
         assertEquals(LeadMailbox.DEFAULT_PREFETCH, noEnv.prefetchOrDefault());
     }
 
+    /**
+     * fleetd #361: the live block ships as just {@code uriEnv} + {@code selfId} (see
+     * {@code Fleetd.example.yaml} / the operator's real {@code fleetd.yaml}, gitignored). That exact
+     * shape, with no {@code peers:} key at all, must keep parsing unchanged after this field is added.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void coordinatorBlockWithNoPeersKeyStillParses(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("coordinator-no-peers.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                coordinator:
+                  uriEnv: COORD_AMQP_URI
+                  selfId: mac
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertNotNull(cfg.coordinator());
+        assertEquals("mac", cfg.coordinator().selfId());
+        assertEquals(List.of(), cfg.coordinator().peers(), "no peers: key means no configured peers, never null");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void coordinatorPeersParsesAndDropsBlankEntries(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("coordinator-peers.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                coordinator:
+                  selfId: mac
+                  uri: amqp://guest:guest@127.0.0.1:5672/coord
+                  peers:
+                    - fleet01
+                    - ""
+                    - fleet02
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertEquals(List.of("fleet01", "fleet02"), cfg.coordinator().peers(),
+                "a blank peer entry must be dropped, never kept as an empty coord-id");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void coordinatorPeersDefaultsToEmptyWhenConstructedWithNull() {
+        FleetConfig.Coordinator c = new FleetConfig.Coordinator(
+                "amqp://guest:guest@127.0.0.1:5672/coord", null, "mac", null, null);
+        assertEquals(List.of(), c.peers(), "a null peers list must default to empty, never NPE downstream");
+    }
+
     @Test
     void absentWorktreeGroupLeavesItNull(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
         Path f = dir.resolve("no-worktree-group.yaml");
@@ -2580,4 +2629,391 @@ class FleetConfigTest {
                 "with no pool to choose from, every configured profile is a candidate and the "
                         + "first one wins");
     }
+
+    // ── idle-sleep guard: default-on config block ───────────────────────────────────────────────
+
+    @Test
+    void idleSleepGuardIsOnByDefaultWhenTheBlockIsEntirelyAbsent(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8080
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertNull(cfg.idleSleepGuard(), "an absent block parses to null, unlike most other blocks here");
+        // The block itself is absent, but the FEATURE stays on: Fleetd treats a null block the
+        // same as enabled: true (see FleetConfig.idleSleepGuard's javadoc) — this test only pins
+        // the parse result, the on-by-default behaviour is Fleetd's own null check.
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void idleSleepGuardExplicitlyEnabledIsOn(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                idleSleepGuard:
+                  enabled: true
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertTrue(cfg.idleSleepGuard().isEnabled());
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void idleSleepGuardExplicitlyDisabledIsOff(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                idleSleepGuard:
+                  enabled: false
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertFalse(cfg.idleSleepGuard().isEnabled());
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void idleSleepGuardBlockPresentButEmptyDefaultsToEnabled(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                idleSleepGuard: {}
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertTrue(cfg.idleSleepGuard().isEnabled(),
+                "unlike ConfigReload/Health, this block defaults to ON even when present but empty");
+    }
+
+    // --- models: central allow-list of usable models -----------------------------------------
+
+    /**
+     * An absent {@code models:} block is today's behaviour exactly: no profile's {@code model:} is
+     * checked against anything, whatever it says. This is the "existing config keeps working"
+     * invariant — an operator on a gitignored {@code fleetd.yaml} that predates this feature must
+     * not be broken by upgrading the daemon.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void absentModelsBlockValidatesNothing(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  gx10:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: totally-unheard-of-model-xyz
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * {@code models:} present but with an empty (or absent) {@code allow:} must behave exactly like
+     * the block being absent — an operator adding the block for the first time with nothing in it
+     * yet must not be surprised by every profile suddenly refusing to start.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void modelsBlockPresentButEmptyValidatesNothing(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  gx10:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: whatever-the-operator-typed
+                models:
+                  allow: []
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The core of the ticket: a profile naming a model outside the configured allow-list fails
+     * config load, naming both the model and the profile that wanted it.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aProfileNamingAModelOutsideTheAllowListRefusesToStart(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  rogue:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx11.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-opus-9000
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                    - model: claude-haiku-5
+                """);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class, cfg::validateModels);
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("rogue"), "the refusal names the offending profile");
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("claude-opus-9000"), "the refusal names the offending model");
+        assertFalse(e.getMessage().contains("'sonnet'"),
+                "the profile whose model IS allowed must not be reported");
+    }
+
+    /** A profile whose {@code model:} is on the allow-list loads fine. */
+    @Test
+    void aProfileNamingAModelOnTheAllowListLoadsFine(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * A profile that never sets {@code model:} (a {@code subscription: true} profile relying on the
+     * account's own default is the live example) must not be refused just because an allow-list is
+     * active — there is nothing to check it against.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aProfileWithNoModelPassesEvenWithAnActiveAllowList(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  opus:
+                    subscription: true
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Reproduces the live config shape this ticket measured: a mix of {@code amazon-bedrock},
+     * {@code opencode} and {@code openai}-backed profiles, some naming a bare Claude id and some a
+     * provider-prefixed opencode id, in ONE allow-list. Both forms are just opaque strings compared
+     * for exact equality — proves the shape decision holds against the shape actually seen live,
+     * not just against a synthetic single-provider example.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aBareClaudeIdAndAnOpencodeProviderPrefixedIdBothFitOneAllowList(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  terra:
+                    kind: opencode
+                    model: openai/gpt-5.6-terra
+                  nova:
+                    kind: opencode
+                    model: amazon-bedrock/amazon.nova-pro-v1:0
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                    - model: openai/gpt-5.6-terra
+                    - model: amazon-bedrock/amazon.nova-pro-v1:0
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+    }
+
+    /** The same live shape, but one opencode profile's model is missing from the allow-list. */
+    @Test
+    void anUnlistedOpencodeProviderPrefixedModelRefusesToStart(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  terra:
+                    kind: opencode
+                    model: openai/gpt-5.6-terra-withdrawn
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                    - model: openai/gpt-5.6-terra
+                """);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class, cfg::validateModels);
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("terra"), "the refusal names the offending profile");
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("openai/gpt-5.6-terra-withdrawn"),
+                "the refusal names the offending model, with its provider prefix intact");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Editing a {@code profiles:} entry alone must never be able to widen what is permitted — only
+     * editing {@code models.allow:} itself can. This is the invariant the ticket states explicitly;
+     * this test pins it by giving a profile a plausible-looking model that was never added to the
+     * allow-list and confirming it is still refused.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void addingAProfileCannotWidenTheAllowListByItself(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  brand-new:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx12.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-6-preview
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class, cfg::validateModels);
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("brand-new"));
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains("claude-sonnet-6-preview"));
+    }
+
+    /** {@code models} is a brand-new top-level key and must be recognized, not WARN-ed as unknown. */
+    @Test
+    void modelsIsAKnownTopLevelKey() {
+        assertTrue(FleetConfig.KNOWN_TOP_LEVEL_KEYS.contains("models"));
+    }
+
+    // --- fleetd #422: model on/off (spawn-time gate + hot reload) -----------------------------
+
+    /**
+     * Criterion 3: an {@code allow:} entry written before {@code enabled:} existed — no such key in
+     * the YAML at all — must behave exactly as it always did: on, and absent from {@link
+     * FleetConfig.Models#offIds()}. This is the old-style fixture the ticket asks for, proven
+     * through a real YAML load rather than only through the {@code ModelEntry(String)} back-compat
+     * constructor.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void anOldStyleAllowEntryWithNoEnabledFieldStaysOn(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+        assertTrue(cfg.models().ids().contains("claude-sonnet-5"), "membership is unaffected");
+        assertTrue(cfg.models().offIds().isEmpty(), "no enabled: field ⇒ nothing is off");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Criterion 7 (the whole point of the ticket, mirroring criterion 3's shape): a profile naming a
+     * model that is turned off ({@code enabled: false}) must still be VALID config —
+     * {@code validateModels()} checks membership only, never the on/off state, so it must not throw.
+     * Collapsing "off" into "removed from allow:" would make this test fail, which is exactly the
+     * design trap the ticket calls out.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void anOffModelIsStillValidConfigForValidateModels(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  local:
+                    baseUrl: http://local.gw:8000
+                    model: deepseek-v4-flash
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: deepseek-v4-flash
+                      enabled: false
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels,
+                "an off model must stay a valid allow-list member — only the spawn gate reads enabled");
+        assertTrue(cfg.models().ids().contains("deepseek-v4-flash"));
+        assertTrue(cfg.models().offIds().contains("deepseek-v4-flash"));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Criterion 8: one {@code enabled: false} entry names a model, not a profile — every profile
+     * naming that model is off, on purpose (the live example: {@code deepseek-v4-flash} backs both
+     * {@code local} and {@code local-direct}). Proven here at the {@code Models}/config-load level;
+     * {@code CompositePeerLauncherTest} proves the spawn-time consequence for both profiles.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void turningOffOneModelIsIndependentOfHowManyProfilesNameIt(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  local:
+                    baseUrl: http://local.gw:8000
+                    model: deepseek-v4-flash
+                  local-direct:
+                    baseUrl: http://local.gw:8001
+                    model: deepseek-v4-flash
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: deepseek-v4-flash
+                      enabled: false
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertDoesNotThrow(cfg::validateModels);
+        // One allow-list entry, one off id — the fan-out to both profiles happens at the reader
+        // (CompositePeerLauncher), not by duplicating the entry per profile.
+        assertEquals(Set.of("deepseek-v4-flash"), cfg.models().offIds());
+        assertEquals("deepseek-v4-flash", cfg.profiles().get("local").model());
+        assertEquals("deepseek-v4-flash", cfg.profiles().get("local-direct").model());
+    }
+
+    /** An {@code enabled: true} entry (explicit, not just absent) also stays on — not just null. */
+    @Test
+    void explicitlyEnabledTrueStaysOn(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, """
+                bind:
+                  port: 8080
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                      enabled: true
+                """);
+
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        assertTrue(cfg.models().offIds().isEmpty());
+    }
 }

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/FleetConfigValidateAllTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,358 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.config;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.io.TempDir;
+
+import java.lang.reflect.Method;
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.TreeSet;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertDoesNotThrow;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertThrows;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * The gap this class exists to close: mutation testing on the fleetd ticket "central allow-list
+ * of usable models" found that although {@link FleetConfig#validateModels()}'s own logic was well
+ * pinned, nothing proved either real caller ({@code Fleetd.main} and {@link ConfigRef#reload()})
+ * still invoked it — deleting the call site left the full suite green (1478/0/0/0). A follow-up
+ * measurement (same technique — remove one call site, run the suite, not read the code) found the
+ * SAME gap for all five of {@link FleetConfig}'s other validators at startup, and for four of the
+ * six inside {@link ConfigRef#reload()}. This is a class of gap, not one line's mistake: every one
+ * of those thirteen tests called the validator itself directly, never the real caller that was
+ * supposed to.
+ *
+ * <p>The fix replaces the six individual {@code cfg.validateXxx()} calls at each of the two real
+ * call sites with one {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()}, which reaches every validator by
+ * reflection rather than by a hand-maintained list of names. A hand-maintained list of six names
+ * would have exactly the defect it replaces: the seventh validator someone adds next month has no
+ * reason to be added to it, and nothing would say so. This class proves TWO separate claims, and
+ * keeps them separate on purpose:
+ *
+ * <ol>
+ *   <li>{@link #theSweepMechanismIsGenericNotHardcodedToFleetConfigsSixNames()} and its neighbours
+ *       prove the reflective sweep itself ({@link FleetConfig#invokeAllValidators}) is a general
+ *       mechanism — it runs whatever public, no-arg, void {@code validateXxx()} methods a class
+ *       happens to declare today, including a class with more of them than {@link FleetConfig}
+ *       has right now. This is the proof that a future, real seventh validator on {@link
+ *       FleetConfig} would be swept automatically, without needing to add a real (unwanted)
+ *       seventh validator just to exercise the claim.</li>
+ *   <li>{@link #validateAllReachesEveryOneOfTodaysSixValidators()} proves {@link
+ *       FleetConfig#validateAll()} itself is wired to that same generic mechanism and genuinely
+ *       reaches each of today's six real validators — reusing the exact minimal failing
+ *       configurations {@code FleetConfigTest} already established for each one directly, so a
+ *       single call to {@code validateAll()} is shown to reproduce every one of those six
+ *       failures.</li>
+ * </ol>
+ *
+ * <p>Together with the direct-{@code Fleetd.main}-invocation tests in {@code
+ * FleetdStartupValidationTest} (which prove the real startup call site still calls {@code
+ * validateAll()}) and the {@code ConfigRefTest} reload tests (which prove the same for {@link
+ * ConfigRef#reload()}), removing {@code cfg.validateAll();} from either real call site now fails
+ * a test in this module.
+ *
+ * <p><b>What is NOT pinned, measured rather than assumed.</b> Reverting {@link
+ * FleetConfig#validateAll()} to a hardcoded list of today's six method calls leaves the whole
+ * suite green (measured at review: 1491 tests, 0 failures). Nothing ties {@code validateAll()} to
+ * the generic sweep — claim 1 proves {@link FleetConfig#invokeAllValidators} is generic, and claim
+ * 2 proves {@code validateAll()} reaches today's six, and a hardcoded list satisfies both. So the
+ * reflective sweep is a convenience, not the guarantee. The guarantee is {@link
+ * #fleetConfigDeclaresExactlyTheseSixValidatorsToday()}: it fails the moment a seventh validator
+ * is declared, which forces whoever adds it to look at this file.
+ */
+class FleetConfigValidateAllTest {
+
+    // ── Claim 1: the reflective sweep is a general mechanism, not six names in disguise ──────────
+
+    /**
+     * A throwaway fixture class, unrelated to {@link FleetConfig} in every way except shape: three
+     * public, no-arg, void methods named {@code validateXxx}. Proves the sweep works on ANY class
+     * with this shape, not on something special-cased to {@link FleetConfig}.
+     */
+    static class ThreeValidators {
+        final List<String> ran = new ArrayList<>();
+
+        public void validateAlpha() {
+            ran.add("validateAlpha");
+        }
+
+        public void validateBeta() {
+            ran.add("validateBeta");
+        }
+
+        public void validateGamma() {
+            ran.add("validateGamma");
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void theSweepMechanismIsGenericNotHardcodedToFleetConfigsSixNames() {
+        ThreeValidators target = new ThreeValidators();
+        FleetConfig.invokeAllValidators(target);
+        assertEquals(List.of("validateAlpha", "validateBeta", "validateGamma"), target.ran,
+                "every validateXxx() method on this unrelated class must run, in alphabetical "
+                        + "order — the sweep reads the class's own shape, not a name FleetConfig "
+                        + "happens to know about");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The core of the "self-maintaining" requirement: the exact same class shape as {@link
+     * ThreeValidators}, plus one more method — standing in for "a developer adds a validator next
+     * month". Nothing about the sweep changes to pick it up; the new method is invoked purely
+     * because it exists and matches the shape. This is what makes adding a seventh real validator
+     * to {@link FleetConfig} safe without touching {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()} or either
+     * call site — there is no "wire it in" step left to forget.
+     */
+    static class FourValidators {
+        final List<String> ran = new ArrayList<>();
+
+        public void validateAlpha() {
+            ran.add("validateAlpha");
+        }
+
+        public void validateBeta() {
+            ran.add("validateBeta");
+        }
+
+        public void validateGamma() {
+            ran.add("validateGamma");
+        }
+
+        public void validateDelta() {
+            ran.add("validateDelta");
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void addingAFourthValidatorMethodGetsSweptWithNoOtherChange() {
+        FourValidators target = new FourValidators();
+        FleetConfig.invokeAllValidators(target);
+        assertEquals(List.of("validateAlpha", "validateBeta", "validateDelta", "validateGamma"),
+                sorted(target.ran),
+                "the fourth method must be reached automatically — proving a class can grow the "
+                        + "set of things it validates with no change to the sweep itself");
+    }
+
+    private static List<String> sorted(List<String> in) {
+        List<String> copy = new ArrayList<>(in);
+        copy.sort(String::compareTo);
+        return copy;
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void aFailingValidatorStopsTheSweepAndPropagatesUnchanged() {
+        class OneFails {
+            @SuppressWarnings("unused")
+            public void validateOk() {
+                // passes
+            }
+
+            public void validateBoom() {
+                throw new IllegalStateException("refusing to start: boom");
+            }
+        }
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class,
+                () -> FleetConfig.invokeAllValidators(new OneFails()));
+        assertEquals("refusing to start: boom", e.getMessage(),
+                "the real exception must propagate unchanged, not be wrapped or swallowed");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Every rule the sweep's filter applies, proven independently: only public, no-arg, void
+     * methods whose name starts with {@code "validate"} run, {@code validateAll} itself is
+     * excluded (so a class that declares one of its own — as {@link FleetConfig} does — cannot
+     * recurse into itself), and a same-shaped-but-wrongly-named or wrongly-shaped method never
+     * runs. A reader who "simplifies" the filter in {@link FleetConfig#invokeAllValidators} in a
+     * way that widens or narrows it breaks one of these.
+     */
+    static class FilterEdgeCases {
+        final List<String> ran = new ArrayList<>();
+
+        public void validateReal() {
+            ran.add("validateReal");
+        }
+
+        /** Wrong name — must not run. */
+        public void checkSomething() {
+            ran.add("checkSomething");
+        }
+
+        /** Wrong shape — takes an argument. */
+        public void validateWithArg(String ignored) {
+            ran.add("validateWithArg");
+        }
+
+        /** Wrong shape — returns something. */
+        public boolean validateReturnsBoolean() {
+            ran.add("validateReturnsBoolean");
+            return true;
+        }
+
+        /** Excluded by name on purpose, so the sweep cannot call itself. */
+        public void validateAll() {
+            ran.add("validateAll");
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void onlyPublicNoArgVoidValidateNamedMethodsRun() {
+        FilterEdgeCases target = new FilterEdgeCases();
+        FleetConfig.invokeAllValidators(target);
+        assertEquals(List.of("validateReal"), target.ran,
+                "checkSomething (wrong name), validateWithArg (wrong shape), "
+                        + "validateReturnsBoolean (wrong shape), and validateAll (excluded by "
+                        + "name) must all be skipped");
+    }
+
+    // ── Claim 2: FleetConfig.validateAll() is wired to that mechanism and reaches all six today ──
+
+    /**
+     * Reflectively enumerates {@link FleetConfig}'s own public, no-arg, void {@code validateXxx()}
+     * methods (excluding {@code validateAll} itself) — the exact same filter {@link
+     * FleetConfig#invokeAllValidators} applies. This is not the mechanism proof (that is claim 1,
+     * above, on an unrelated class) — it is a visible denominator: today there are six, named
+     * here, so a reader adding a seventh sees this assertion name the new count rather than a
+     * silent pass at the old one.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void fleetConfigDeclaresExactlyTheseSixValidatorsToday() {
+        Set<String> names = new TreeSet<>();
+        for (Method m : FleetConfig.class.getMethods()) {
+            if (java.lang.reflect.Modifier.isPublic(m.getModifiers())
+                    && m.getParameterCount() == 0
+                    && m.getReturnType() == void.class
+                    && m.getName().startsWith("validate")
+                    && !m.getName().equals("validateAll")) {
+                names.add(m.getName());
+            }
+        }
+        assertEquals(new TreeSet<>(Set.of("validateAuthExposure", "validateLeadTabPrefixes",
+                "validateSubscriptionProfiles", "validateCharters", "validateMembers",
+                "validateModels", "validateLeadRollover")), names,
+                "FleetConfig's public validate*() methods changed. Do TWO things, in this "
+                        + "order. First confirm validateAll() still delegates to "
+                        + "invokeAllValidators(this) — a hardcoded list there passes every other "
+                        + "test in this class, so this assertion is the only place that will ever "
+                        + "make you check. Only then update the expected set to match.");
+    }
+
+    /** A minimal, otherwise-valid file — same shape FleetConfigTest and ConfigRefTest use. */
+    private static String minimalValidYaml() {
+        return """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx00.gw:8000
+                    model: sonnet
+                """;
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void aFullyValidConfigPassesValidateAll(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve("fleetd.yaml");
+        Files.writeString(f, minimalValidYaml());
+        assertDoesNotThrow(() -> FleetConfig.load(f).validateAll());
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The heart of claim 2: for each of today's six real validators, a minimal file that fails
+     * ONLY that one — the exact fixtures {@code FleetConfigTest} uses to test each validator
+     * directly — must also fail through {@link FleetConfig#validateAll()}. If a future edit to
+     * {@code validateAll()} silently dropped one validator from the sweep (e.g. a typo'd name
+     * filter), exactly one of these six would start passing when it must not.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void validateAllReachesEveryOneOfTodaysSixValidators(@TempDir Path dir) throws Exception {
+        // validateAuthExposure: a non-loopback bind without token mode.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "auth-exposure.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 0.0.0.0
+                  port: 8765
+                """, "auth.mode: token");
+
+        // validateLeadTabPrefixes: a fleet-wide tabLabel that starts with a lead's own tabPrefix.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "lead-tab-prefixes.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                fleet:
+                  tabLabel: "lead: {role} {profile}"
+                  leaders:
+                    opus:
+                      tab: "lead: opus"
+                """, "fleet.tabLabel");
+
+        // validateSubscriptionProfiles: subscription: true with env: reseating ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "subscription-profiles.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    subscription: true
+                    argv: ["ccs", "sonnet"]
+                    env:
+                      ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL: http://anything-not-on-the-allowlist
+                """, "ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL");
+
+        // validateCharters: a charter key that is not a role wire name.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "charters.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                fleet:
+                  charters:
+                    architetc: text
+                """, "architetc");
+
+        // validateMembers: an architect slot naming an unconfigured profile.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "members.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  gx10:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                fleet:
+                  architects:
+                    lead-designer:
+                      profile: sonnet
+                """, "lead-designer");
+
+        // validateModels: a profile naming a model outside the configured allow-list.
+        assertValidateAllRefuses(dir, "models.yaml", """
+                bind:
+                  host: 127.0.0.1
+                  port: 8765
+                profiles:
+                  sonnet:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx10.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-sonnet-5
+                  rogue:
+                    baseUrl: http://gx11.gw:8000
+                    model: claude-opus-9000
+                models:
+                  allow:
+                    - model: claude-sonnet-5
+                """, "rogue");
+    }
+
+    private static void assertValidateAllRefuses(Path dir, String fileName, String yaml,
+                                                  String mustContain) throws Exception {
+        Path f = dir.resolve(fileName);
+        Files.writeString(f, yaml);
+        FleetConfig cfg = FleetConfig.load(f);
+        IllegalStateException e = assertThrows(IllegalStateException.class, cfg::validateAll,
+                fileName + ": validateAll() must refuse this config");
+        assertTrue(e.getMessage().contains(mustContain),
+                fileName + ": expected message to contain \"" + mustContain + "\" but was: "
+                        + e.getMessage());
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/config/FleetConfigWithDefaultsPreservesEveryComponentTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,201 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.config;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import java.lang.reflect.Constructor;
+import java.lang.reflect.RecordComponent;
+import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.Arrays;
+import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.Locale;
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.Objects;
+import java.util.Set;
+import java.util.TreeSet;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
+
+/**
+ * Guards against a "defect factory" built into this file's own established pattern, found live
+ * while building the (parked) idle-sleep-guard PR: every time a component is added to
+ * {@link FleetConfig}, the record grows by one arg AND a new back-compat constructor is added at
+ * the OLD arity, so existing callers keep compiling. That is correct and required — see the
+ * constructor ladder just below the record header. But {@link #withDefaults()}'s own {@code return
+ * new FleetConfig(...)} call sits in this same file, written at a literal argument count. The very
+ * next time a component is added, the freshly-added back-compat constructor at the OLD arity
+ * silently captures that stale call, because it is now a legal overload at that arg count too. It
+ * compiles. Every other test passes, because nothing else exercises the new field. The new
+ * component is defaulted away — {@code null}, or whatever that back-compat overload defaults it to
+ * — on every {@link FleetConfig#load}. Measured, not theoretical: this exact sequence happened
+ * live when the {@code idleSleepGuard} component was added on a sibling branch; it was caught only
+ * because that branch's own new tests happened to assert on the new field's value.
+ *
+ * <p>This test proves the opposite property, and does it in a way that survives the next field
+ * being added without being rewritten: reflectively enumerate {@link FleetConfig}'s own record
+ * components (never a hardcoded count — the arity is exactly what changes over time), build one
+ * config through the true canonical constructor with a real, distinctive, non-null value in EVERY
+ * component (reusing the exact reflective-construction pattern
+ * {@link ConfigRefTopLevelReportingCoverageTest} already established for this file:
+ * {@code getDeclaredConstructor(exact record-component types)}, which resolves the canonical
+ * constructor by its true shape, not by binding to whichever overload happens to match arg count —
+ * the same way Jackson resolves it), call the real {@link FleetConfig#withDefaults()}, and assert
+ * every one of those values survives unchanged.
+ *
+ * <p>Why this is a valid check for every component, not just some: {@link #withDefaults()}'s own
+ * comments document that it only ever REPLACES a component when the incoming value is {@code null}
+ * (or blank, for {@code placement}) — {@code broker}/{@code primary}/{@code leadHeartbeat}/
+ * {@code configReload}/{@code coordinator}/{@code worktreeGroup}/{@code memberLoginShell}/
+ * {@code memberSkills}/{@code idleSleepGuard} are left as-is unconditionally, and {@code bind}/{@code guard}/{@code lifecycle}/{@code auth}/
+ * {@code fleet}/{@code quarantineCooldownSeconds}/{@code memberCredentials}/{@code placement} are
+ * replaced only on null/blank input. A value that is never null or blank going in must therefore
+ * never change coming out, for every current component. No exclusion is needed today.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link #EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK} exists anyway, kept deliberately empty and size-pinned
+ * by {@link #exclusionListSizeIsPinned()}: a future component that {@code withDefaults()} is
+ * <em>documented</em> to transform unconditionally (unlike every field today) would legitimately
+ * need one. Pinning the size at 0 means growing that set to make a failure go away is itself a
+ * visible diff to this test, not a silent one — a checker that can be silenced by adding to its
+ * own escape hatch is not a checker.
+ */
+class FleetConfigWithDefaultsPreservesEveryComponentTest {
+
+    private static final RecordComponent[] COMPONENTS = FleetConfig.class.getRecordComponents();
+
+    /** See the class javadoc — deliberately empty today; grow it only with a matching justification. */
+    private static final Set<String> EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK = Set.of();
+
+    /** One real, distinctive, non-null (non-blank where blankness would mean "unset") value per component. */
+    private static Map<String, Object> baseValues() {
+        Map<String, Object> v = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        v.put("bind", new FleetConfig.Bind("127.0.0.1", 8765));
+        v.put("herdrSocket", "~/.config/herdr/guard.sock");
+        v.put("memberHerdrSocket", "~/.config/herdr/member-guard.sock");
+        v.put("profiles", Map.of("sonnet", minimalProfile("sonnet")));
+        v.put("guard", new FleetConfig.Guard(List.of("host-guard")));
+        v.put("worktreeRoot", "/wt/guard");
+        v.put("lifecycle", new FleetConfig.Lifecycle(300, 5, 30, true));
+        v.put("spawnReadyTimeoutMs", 12_345);
+        v.put("spawnReadyPollMs", 234);
+        v.put("broker", new FleetConfig.Broker("amqp://guard", null, 7));
+        v.put("primary", new FleetConfig.Primary("term-guard", 4, 4000));
+        v.put("fleet", new FleetConfig.Fleet(
+                Map.of("opus", new FleetConfig.Leader("sonnet", "lead: opus-guard", 1, null, 10,
+                        "claude", null, null, null)),
+                Map.of(), Map.of(), Map.of(), Map.of(), "{role}: {profile} #{n}"));
+        v.put("leadHeartbeat", new FleetConfig.LeadHeartbeat(301, 61_000L, 4));
+        v.put("health", new FleetConfig.Health(true, 31, 601, 61, null));
+        v.put("placement", "round-robin");
+        v.put("auth", new FleetConfig.Auth("loopback-trust", null));
+        v.put("configReload", new FleetConfig.ConfigReload(true, 11));
+        v.put("quarantineCooldownSeconds", 1801);
+        v.put("memberCredentials", new FleetConfig.MemberCredentials(
+                FleetConfig.MemberCredentials.POLICY_DENY_BY_DEFAULT,
+                List.of("git"), List.of("git", "ssh"), null));
+        v.put("coordinator", new FleetConfig.Coordinator("amqp://coord-guard", null, "self-guard", 3, null));
+        v.put("worktreeGroup", "group-guard");
+        v.put("memberLoginShell", "/bin/zsh");
+        v.put("memberSkills", "/skills/guard");
+        v.put("idleSleepGuard", new FleetConfig.IdleSleepGuard(true));
+        v.put("models", new FleetConfig.Models(
+                List.of(new FleetConfig.Models.ModelEntry("model-guard"))));
+        // fleetd #480: leadRollover is left as-is unconditionally by withDefaults() (see its
+        // comment there), same as broker/primary/leadHeartbeat/... above — a real, non-null value
+        // here proves it, rather than leaving it null and proving nothing.
+        v.put("leadRollover", new FleetConfig.LeadRollover(
+                "/handover/guard.md", true, 3600, 20, 20, "read the handover file"));
+        assertNamesMatchComponents(v);
+        return v;
+    }
+
+    /** A minimal, otherwise-null {@link FleetConfig.Profile} — just enough to name one in a map. */
+    private static FleetConfig.Profile minimalProfile(String name) {
+        return new FleetConfig.Profile(name, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null,
+                null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null,
+                null, null);
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Guards {@link #baseValues()} itself against drifting from the record's real shape — the same
+     * assurance {@link ConfigRefTopLevelReportingCoverageTest} already relies on. This is what makes
+     * "no hardcoded arity" true in practice: forgetting to add a new component here fails this
+     * assertion by name, rather than silently checking one component fewer than the record has.
+     */
+    private static void assertNamesMatchComponents(Map<String, Object> values) {
+        Set<String> names = new TreeSet<>();
+        for (RecordComponent rc : COMPONENTS) {
+            names.add(rc.getName());
+        }
+        assertEquals(names, new TreeSet<>(values.keySet()),
+                "this test's value map has drifted from FleetConfig's actual top-level components — "
+                        + "update baseValues() alongside the record");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Builds a {@link FleetConfig} through the TRUE canonical constructor — resolved by the record's
+     * own component types, not by argument count — so this never accidentally exercises a
+     * back-compat overload the way a literal {@code new FleetConfig(...)} call risks doing.
+     */
+    private static FleetConfig configOf(Map<String, Object> values) throws ReflectiveOperationException {
+        Class<?>[] types = Arrays.stream(COMPONENTS).map(RecordComponent::getType).toArray(Class<?>[]::new);
+        Object[] args = Arrays.stream(COMPONENTS).map(rc -> values.get(rc.getName())).toArray();
+        Constructor<FleetConfig> ctor = FleetConfig.class.getDeclaredConstructor(types);
+        return ctor.newInstance(args);
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void exclusionListSizeIsPinned() {
+        assertEquals(0, EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.size(),
+                "EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK grew from 0 — every entry needs a justification in "
+                        + "this test class's javadoc AND this assertion re-pinned to the new size; a "
+                        + "growing exclusion list that silences failures on its own is not a guard");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The mutation this is built to catch: make {@code withDefaults()}'s final constructor call
+     * literal at some arg count, add one more component to the record with a new back-compat
+     * constructor at the old arity, and the stale call silently rebinds. Every component here is
+     * real and non-null (non-blank for the one String — {@code placement} — where blank has
+     * meaning), so none of it should be replaced by {@code withDefaults()}; any component that
+     * comes back different was silently dropped.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void everyComponentGivenARealValueSurvivesWithDefaults() throws ReflectiveOperationException {
+        Map<String, Object> base = baseValues();
+        FleetConfig config = configOf(base);
+        FleetConfig defaulted = config.withDefaults();
+
+        List<String> dropped = new ArrayList<>();
+        int checked = 0;
+        for (RecordComponent rc : COMPONENTS) {
+            String name = rc.getName();
+            if (EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.contains(name)) {
+                continue;
+            }
+            checked++;
+            Object expected = base.get(name);
+            Object actual;
+            try {
+                actual = rc.getAccessor().invoke(defaulted);
+            } catch (ReflectiveOperationException e) {
+                throw new RuntimeException("failed to read FleetConfig." + name + "()", e);
+            }
+            if (!Objects.equals(expected, actual)) {
+                dropped.add(String.format(Locale.ROOT,
+                        "%s: withDefaults() was given a real, non-null value (%s) for '%s' but "
+                                + "returned %s — a component silently dropped by withDefaults(), the "
+                                + "shape of the defect this test exists to catch (its final "
+                                + "\"return new FleetConfig(...)\" call binding to a back-compat "
+                                + "constructor instead of the true canonical one)",
+                        name, expected, name, actual));
+            }
+        }
+
+        System.out.printf(Locale.ROOT,
+                "FleetConfig.withDefaults() component-survival coverage — %d components, %d checked, "
+                        + "%d excluded, %d survived%n",
+                COMPONENTS.length, checked, EXCLUDED_FROM_SURVIVAL_CHECK.size(), checked - dropped.size());
+        assertEquals(List.of(), dropped,
+                "withDefaults() silently dropped these real, given components: " + dropped);
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/deploy/SystemdUnitSafetyTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,232 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.deploy;
+
+import java.nio.file.Files;
+import java.nio.file.Path;
+import java.util.ArrayList;
+import java.util.List;
+import java.util.regex.Pattern;
+import java.util.stream.Stream;
+
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+import org.junit.jupiter.params.ParameterizedTest;
+import org.junit.jupiter.params.provider.MethodSource;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #360: {@code deploy/fleetd.service} started clean on fleet01 and broke the daemon in
+ * three ways that nothing logs at startup.
+ *
+ * <ul>
+ *   <li>{@code ProtectSystem=}, {@code ProtectHome=}, {@code ProtectKernelTunables=} and
+ *       {@code ProtectControlGroups=} each give the unit its own mount namespace. fleetd resolves
+ *       a caller's role by running {@code lsof} to find the loopback peer PID (see
+ *       {@code mcp/LsofPeerPidLookup}). Inside such a namespace {@code lsof} returns nothing,
+ *       every caller falls back to ANONYMOUS, and the primary is refused every orchestration call
+ *       with "unauthenticated: anonymous may not SPAWN" -- while healthz still reports ok.
+ *       Measured by bisection on fleet01 2026-09-05 (lsof line count): no sandbox 3,
+ *       {@code ProtectSystem=strict} 0, {@code ProtectHome=read-only} 0,
+ *       {@code ProtectKernelTunables} 0, {@code ProtectControlGroups} 0,
+ *       {@code RestrictSUIDSGID} 3, {@code NoNewPrivileges} 3 -- so only the first four are
+ *       forbidden.
+ *   <li>{@code PrivateTmp=true} gives the unit its own {@code /tmp}. fleetd writes the member
+ *       ZDOTDIR credential-scrub directory and the opencode config directory under
+ *       {@code java.io.tmpdir}, and the member pane -- a child of a *different* unit
+ *       (herdr.service) -- has to read them back. A private {@code /tmp} on either unit turns the
+ *       credential scrub into a silent no-op.
+ *   <li>Running {@code java} directly from {@code ExecStart} skips the login shell. Every secret
+ *       fleetd needs (AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN, WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN, LAVINMQ_URI, COORD_AMQP_URI) lives in
+ *       a file only the login shell sources; systemd runs no login shell on its own. Started that
+ *       way the daemon boots fine with empty credentials, and the failure appears hours later as a
+ *       member that cannot open a pull request.
+ * </ul>
+ *
+ * <p>Review round 2 on fleetd #360 found the same shape one file further down the chain:
+ * {@code herdr.service}'s {@code ExecStart} only names {@code deploy/herdr-inner.sh}, so that
+ * script is the ONLY place two more of these properties live, and nothing was reading it.
+ *
+ * <ul>
+ *   <li>If the script does not exec a login shell, herdr -- and every member pane it spawns as a
+ *       child -- starts with none of the secrets only a login shell sources, the same silent
+ *       empty-credentials failure as fleetd.service's {@code ExecStart}, one process further away.
+ *   <li>If the script does not set a real, non-zero pty size before starting herdr (with
+ *       {@code stty}), herdr reports a 0x0 window and every pane spawn fails with
+ *       "ghostty error -2" -- which surfaces as a fleetd spawn failure, not a herdr one.
+ * </ul>
+ *
+ * <p>None of these five failures makes the unit (or the script) fail to start, or makes
+ * {@code /healthz} report unhealthy, so nothing short of reading the files catches a regression.
+ * This test is that read.
+ *
+ * <p><b>It checks source text, not behaviour</b> -- it cannot start systemd or fork an mount
+ * namespace in a build sandbox. It parses the same two files an operator would install and fails
+ * if a forbidden directive is active, exactly the way {@code McpContractDocTest} guards
+ * {@code docs/MCP-Contract.md} against naming a tool that does not exist.
+ */
+class SystemdUnitSafetyTest {
+
+    /** Tests run with the module directory (fleetd/) as cwd; deploy/ is the repo-root sibling. */
+    private static final Path FLEETD_SERVICE = Path.of("../deploy/fleetd.service");
+    private static final Path HERDR_SERVICE = Path.of("../deploy/herdr.service");
+    private static final Path HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT = Path.of("../deploy/herdr-inner.sh");
+
+    private static final List<String> NAMESPACING_DIRECTIVES = List.of(
+            "ProtectSystem", "ProtectHome", "ProtectKernelTunables", "ProtectControlGroups");
+
+    /**
+     * A shell invoked with a login flag, e.g. {@code zsh -lc '...'} or {@code /bin/sh -l}. The
+     * property under test is the {@code -l}, not the specific shell or the rest of its flags, so
+     * this matches a token ending in "sh" followed by a flag cluster containing "l" -- tighter
+     * than a bare {@code contains("-lc")}, which a "-lc" anywhere in the line would also satisfy.
+     */
+    private static final Pattern LOGIN_SHELL_INVOCATION =
+            Pattern.compile("(?:^|\\s)\\S*sh\\s+-[A-Za-z]*l[A-Za-z]*\\b");
+
+    private static final Pattern POSITIVE_ROWS = Pattern.compile("\\brows\\s+([1-9]\\d*)\\b");
+    private static final Pattern POSITIVE_COLS = Pattern.compile("\\bcols\\s+([1-9]\\d*)\\b");
+
+    static Stream<Path> bothUnits() {
+        return Stream.of(FLEETD_SERVICE, HERDR_SERVICE);
+    }
+
+    private static boolean invokesALoginShell(List<String> activeLines) {
+        return activeLines.stream().anyMatch(l -> LOGIN_SHELL_INVOCATION.matcher(l).find());
+    }
+
+    /** An active {@code stty} line naming both a positive row count and a positive column count. */
+    private static boolean setsANonZeroPtySize(List<String> activeLines) {
+        return activeLines.stream()
+                .filter(l -> l.startsWith("stty"))
+                .anyMatch(l -> POSITIVE_ROWS.matcher(l).find() && POSITIVE_COLS.matcher(l).find());
+    }
+
+    /** Lines that are actually in force: comments and blank lines don't count. */
+    private static List<String> activeLines(Path unit) throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = new ArrayList<>();
+        for (String line : Files.readAllLines(unit)) {
+            String stripped = line.strip();
+            if (!stripped.isEmpty() && !stripped.startsWith("#")) {
+                active.add(stripped);
+            }
+        }
+        return active;
+    }
+
+    @ParameterizedTest
+    @MethodSource("bothUnits")
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] no active mount-namespacing directive -- it blinds lsof and turns every caller ANONYMOUS")
+    void doesNotActivateAMountNamespace(Path unit) throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = activeLines(unit);
+
+        for (String directive : NAMESPACING_DIRECTIVES) {
+            Pattern activeDirective = Pattern.compile("^" + Pattern.quote(directive) + "\\s*=");
+            List<String> hits = active.stream().filter(l -> activeDirective.matcher(l).find()).toList();
+            assertTrue(hits.isEmpty(),
+                    unit + " sets " + directive + " (" + hits + "). That directive gives the unit its "
+                            + "own mount namespace; inside it, fleetd's lsof-based caller lookup "
+                            + "(mcp/LsofPeerPidLookup) returns nothing, so every MCP caller falls back to "
+                            + "ANONYMOUS and the primary is refused every orchestration call with "
+                            + "\"unauthenticated: anonymous may not SPAWN\" -- while the daemon still "
+                            + "starts and /healthz still reports ok. Measured on fleet01 2026-09-05 "
+                            + "(fleetd #360). A commented-out mention in the file's own DO-NOT-add block "
+                            + "is fine; an active directive is not.");
+        }
+    }
+
+    @ParameterizedTest
+    @MethodSource("bothUnits")
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] PrivateTmp is not true -- it silently no-ops the credential scrub")
+    void privateTmpIsNotTrue(Path unit) throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = activeLines(unit);
+        Pattern privateTmpTrue = Pattern.compile("^PrivateTmp\\s*=\\s*true\\b");
+
+        boolean hasPrivateTmpTrue = active.stream().anyMatch(l -> privateTmpTrue.matcher(l).find());
+        assertFalse(hasPrivateTmpTrue,
+                unit + " sets PrivateTmp=true. fleetd writes the member ZDOTDIR credential-scrub "
+                        + "directory and the opencode config directory under java.io.tmpdir, and the "
+                        + "member pane -- a child of a DIFFERENT unit -- has to read them back. A "
+                        + "private /tmp on either unit turns the credential scrub into a silent no-op: "
+                        + "no error, no log line, the scrub just never happens (fleetd #360).");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] fleetd.service's ExecStart goes through a login shell -- otherwise every secret is empty")
+    void execStartUsesALoginShell() throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = activeLines(FLEETD_SERVICE);
+        List<String> execStartLines = active.stream().filter(l -> l.startsWith("ExecStart=")).toList();
+
+        assertTrue(execStartLines.size() == 1,
+                FLEETD_SERVICE + " must have exactly one active ExecStart= line; found "
+                        + execStartLines.size() + ": " + execStartLines);
+
+        String execStart = execStartLines.get(0);
+        assertTrue(LOGIN_SHELL_INVOCATION.matcher(execStart).find(),
+                FLEETD_SERVICE + "'s ExecStart (" + execStart + ") does not run a login shell (a shell "
+                        + "invoked with a \"-l\" flag, e.g. \"zsh -lc\"). Every secret fleetd needs "
+                        + "(AI_GATEWAY_TOKEN, WORKER_GITEA_TOKEN, LAVINMQ_URI, COORD_AMQP_URI) lives in a "
+                        + "file only the login shell sources; systemd runs no login shell on its own. "
+                        + "Running java directly boots fine with every credential empty, and the failure "
+                        + "surfaces hours later as a member that cannot open a pull request (fleetd #360).");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] herdr-inner.sh execs a login shell -- otherwise herdr and every member it spawns start with empty credentials")
+    void herdrInnerScriptUsesALoginShell() throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = activeLines(HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT);
+
+        assertTrue(invokesALoginShell(active),
+                HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT + " does not exec a login shell (a shell invoked with a \"-l\" flag, "
+                        + "e.g. \"zsh -lc\"). herdr.service's ExecStart only names this script, so this "
+                        + "is the ONLY place herdr's login-shell property lives. Without it, herdr -- and "
+                        + "every member pane it spawns as a child of herdr -- starts with none of the "
+                        + "secrets that only a login shell sources (this host: ~/.fleet/secrets.sh via "
+                        + "~/.zprofile), and the failure surfaces hours later as a member with no "
+                        + "credentials at all, not just fleetd (fleetd #360).");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] herdr-inner.sh sets a non-zero pty size before starting herdr -- otherwise every pane spawn fails with \"ghostty error -2\"")
+    void herdrInnerScriptSetsANonZeroPtySize() throws Exception {
+        List<String> active = activeLines(HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT);
+
+        assertTrue(setsANonZeroPtySize(active),
+                HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT + " does not run \"stty rows N cols M\" with both N and M positive "
+                        + "before starting herdr. Without a real pty size, herdr reports a 0x0 window and "
+                        + "every pane spawn fails with \"ghostty error -2\" -- which surfaces as a fleetd "
+                        + "spawn failure, not a herdr one, and gives no hint that the actual cause is this "
+                        + "script (fleetd #360).");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The denominator guard, same shape as {@code McpContractDocTest}'s: a check that scans for a
+     * forbidden pattern passes trivially if it is handed nothing to scan. Pin that all three files
+     * exist, are non-trivial, and that the DO-NOT block's commented mentions are still there -- so
+     * the "comment survives, directive doesn't" distinction above is actually being exercised.
+     */
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("[SOURCE TEXT] the namespacing check is not vacuous -- all three files exist and the DO-NOT block still mentions every forbidden directive in a comment")
+    void theCheckActuallyHasSomethingToCheck() throws Exception {
+        assertTrue(Files.size(FLEETD_SERVICE) > 200,
+                FLEETD_SERVICE + " is missing or unexpectedly small -- the checks above would pass "
+                        + "vacuously against an empty or absent file");
+        assertTrue(Files.size(HERDR_SERVICE) > 200,
+                HERDR_SERVICE + " is missing or unexpectedly small -- the checks above would pass "
+                        + "vacuously against an empty or absent file");
+        assertTrue(Files.size(HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT) > 50,
+                HERDR_INNER_SCRIPT + " is missing or unexpectedly small -- the login-shell and "
+                        + "pty-size checks above would either pass vacuously or fail with an opaque "
+                        + "\"file not found\" instead of naming the actual consequence (empty "
+                        + "credentials / \"ghostty error -2\") against an empty or absent file");
+
+        String fleetdService = Files.readString(FLEETD_SERVICE);
+        for (String directive : NAMESPACING_DIRECTIVES) {
+            assertTrue(fleetdService.contains(directive),
+                    FLEETD_SERVICE + " no longer mentions " + directive + " anywhere, not even in the "
+                            + "DO-NOT-add comment block that explains why it must stay out. That comment "
+                            + "is the whole point of fleetd #360 -- it is what stops the next edit from "
+                            + "re-adding the directive without knowing why.");
+        }
+    }
+}

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/health/FleetHealthMonitorTest.java

@@ -30,6 +30,7 @@ import java.util.concurrent.ScheduledFuture;
 import java.util.concurrent.ScheduledThreadPoolExecutor;
 import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
 import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicLong;
+import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicReference;
 import java.util.function.BiConsumer;
 import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
 
@@ -206,6 +207,139 @@ class FleetHealthMonitorTest {
                 .workingSuspectAfterOrDefault());
     }
 
+    // --- fleetd #386: a stall detector whose only clock freezes with a sleeping host is worse
+    // than a silent one — it reports "quiet" for a member that was genuinely busy for hours.
+
+    @Test void monotonicClockFrozenPastThresholdOnRealClockStillReportsStallSuspected() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(FleetHealthMonitor.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        try {
+            AtomicLong mono = new AtomicLong(0);
+            AtomicLong real = new AtomicLong(0);
+            FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().withAgent("busy", "term_busy", "pane_busy", "tab_busy");
+            var scheduler = Executors.newSingleThreadScheduledExecutor();
+            FleetHealthMonitor monitor = monitorWithClocks(herdr,
+                    List.of(member("term_busy", MemberSession.State.BUSY, 0, 0)), scheduler,
+                    mono::get, real::get, 60, 600, (_, _) -> { });
+
+            monitor.tick(); // establishes the clock baseline; nothing has diverged yet
+            assertEquals(0, appender.list.stream().filter(event -> event.getFormattedMessage()
+                    .contains("state=STALL_SUSPECTED")).count());
+
+            // The host "sleeps": the monotonic clock stands completely still while the real clock
+            // keeps moving, past the 600s stall threshold.
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(700));
+            monitor.tick();
+            monitor.stop();
+
+            assertTrue(appender.list.stream().anyMatch(event -> event.getFormattedMessage()
+                            .contains("member=term_busy state=STALL_SUSPECTED")),
+                    "the real clock crossed the stall threshold even though the monotonic clock never moved");
+        } finally {
+            logger.detachAppender(appender);
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test void clockDivergenceIsLoggedOnceNotOncePerTick() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(FleetHealthMonitor.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        try {
+            AtomicLong mono = new AtomicLong(0);
+            AtomicLong real = new AtomicLong(0);
+            var scheduler = Executors.newSingleThreadScheduledExecutor();
+            FleetHealthMonitor monitor = monitorWithClocks(new FakeHerdr(), List.of(), scheduler,
+                    mono::get, real::get, 60, 600, (_, _) -> { });
+
+            monitor.tick(); // baseline: no divergence possible yet
+
+            // One sleep gap: the monotonic clock is frozen while the real clock jumps far past one
+            // tick interval (60s).
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(700));
+            monitor.tick();
+
+            // The host is awake again: both clocks advance together from here, so no more divergence.
+            mono.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(10));
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(710));
+            monitor.tick();
+            mono.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(20));
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(720));
+            monitor.tick();
+            monitor.stop();
+
+            assertEquals(1, appender.list.stream().filter(event -> event.getFormattedMessage()
+                            .contains("the monotonic clock did not advance"))
+                    .count(), "one sleep gap must produce exactly one divergence line, not one per tick");
+        } finally {
+            logger.detachAppender(appender);
+        }
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #386 follow-up, added on merge. The fix carries a PER-MEMBER drift baseline, so drift
+     * from a sleep that happened BEFORE a member went busy is never charged to that member. The
+     * two tests shipped with the fix both start with the member already BUSY, so a single global
+     * baseline passes them — this one fails without the per-member map.
+     *
+     * <p>Order matters: the host sleeps while nothing is busy, and only then does a member take a
+     * turn. Its stall clock must start at zero.
+     */
+    @Test void driftFromASleepBeforeAMemberWentBusyIsNotChargedToThatMember() {
+        Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(FleetHealthMonitor.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.start();
+        logger.addAppender(appender);
+        try {
+            AtomicLong mono = new AtomicLong(0);
+            AtomicLong real = new AtomicLong(0);
+            AtomicReference<List<MemberSession>> roster = new AtomicReference<>(List.of());
+            FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().withAgent("busy", "term_busy", "pane_busy", "tab_busy");
+            var scheduler = Executors.newSingleThreadScheduledExecutor();
+            AgentControl agents = new AgentControl(herdr);
+            FleetHealthMonitor monitor = new FleetHealthMonitor(agents, roster::get,
+                    new MessageService(agents, new Injector(agents), new Rendezvous(), new InMemoryReplyInbox()),
+                    scheduler, mono::get, real::get, 60, 600, (_, _) -> { });
+
+            monitor.tick();                                   // baseline, no members yet
+
+            // The host sleeps for 700s with nobody busy: the monotonic clock stands still.
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(700));
+            monitor.tick();
+
+            // Awake again. Only NOW does a member start a turn, with a fresh activity stamp taken
+            // from the monotonic clock. Both clocks advance together from here.
+            mono.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(10));
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(710));
+            roster.set(List.of(member("term_busy", MemberSession.State.BUSY,
+                    0, TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(10))));
+            monitor.tick();
+
+            mono.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(20));
+            real.set(TimeUnit.SECONDS.toNanos(720));
+            monitor.tick();
+            monitor.stop();
+
+            assertEquals(0, appender.list.stream().filter(event -> event.getFormattedMessage()
+                            .contains("member=term_busy state=STALL_SUSPECTED")).count(),
+                    "the member has been busy for 10s, not 710s — the earlier sleep is not its stall");
+        } finally {
+            logger.detachAppender(appender);
+        }
+    }
+
+    private static FleetHealthMonitor monitorWithClocks(FakeHerdr herdr, List<MemberSession> roster,
+            java.util.concurrent.ScheduledExecutorService scheduler, LongSupplier clock,
+            LongSupplier realtimeClock, long intervalSeconds, long workingSuspectAfterSeconds,
+            BiConsumer<String, String> failTarget) {
+        AgentControl agents = new AgentControl(herdr);
+        return new FleetHealthMonitor(agents, () -> roster,
+                new MessageService(agents, new Injector(agents), new Rendezvous(), new InMemoryReplyInbox()),
+                scheduler, clock, realtimeClock, intervalSeconds, workingSuspectAfterSeconds, failTarget);
+    }
+
     @Test void goneMemberRecoveryLogsOnceWithoutRefiringTargetFailure() {
         Logger logger = (Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(FleetHealthMonitor.class);
         Level previousLevel = logger.getLevel();

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/AgentControlContractTest.java

@@ -17,15 +17,105 @@ import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assumptions.assumeTrue;
  * SHELL directly (never {@code claude}, so no subscription/token involvement) and always tears
  * the throwaway space down.
  *
+ * <p>The seed shell's own startup (restoring its session, printing its banner) is asynchronous
+ * and its length is not a fleetd contract — measured here at ~2.5s on one host (fleetd #449).
+ * The old version used two fixed sleeps: 1000ms before typing, then 800ms before reading. It
+ * failed, and the pane showed the typed line followed by the startup banner with no command
+ * output at all — which looks, at a glance, exactly like the env map never reaching the shell.
+ * So this polls for a real signal instead of guessing a sleep length.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>What was measured, and what was not.</strong> Polling fixes it: 5 standalone runs
+ * green. The load-bearing half is {@link #waitForText}, and one cell proves it. Keep the old
+ * 1000ms write sleep and change only the read — the 800ms fixed sleep becomes a 5s poll — and
+ * the test goes from 0 of 3 passing to 3 of 3. Removing the write wait instead
+ * ({@link #SHELL_READY_TIMEOUT_MS} set to 0, so input is typed at once) also passes 3 of 3. So
+ * the cause is the 800ms READ deadline, not the 1000ms write delay. The old version fails every
+ * time, not sometimes, so "race" is the wrong word for it. The earlier explanation — that input
+ * typed before the prompt is swallowed by the shell's startup — is not supported by anything
+ * measured here. Please do not repeat it: if it were true, typing at 0ms would be worse than
+ * typing at 1000ms, and it is not.
+ *
+ * <p><strong>Where this was measured.</strong> A 12-core macOS host, load average 2.6 to 5.9,
+ * on commit 20c1094. The same four cells were also run under load, with 8 spinners on 12 cores.
+ * The failure and the passes from that run are not worth the same. The cells ran in a fixed
+ * order while the load climbed from 7 to 50. The old version ran last, at the top of that climb,
+ * so it has a free explanation for failing and its 0 of 3 is discarded. A pass has no such free
+ * explanation: a cell that survives a worse condition than a fair order would have given it is
+ * evidence in the safe direction. So keep the three passes, each with the load it ran at: the
+ * fixed version 3 of 3 at load 7.42 to 18.42, the 0ms-write cell 3 of 3 at 18.42 to 23.65, the
+ * 1000ms-write cell 3 of 3 at 23.65 to 46.40. Above about load 20 everything here is slow for
+ * reasons that have nothing to do with this seam, so read the positive claim — that the read
+ * deadline was the whole cause — as "measured near idle on a 12-core host", and nothing
+ * stronger. Do not carry that raw load average to another host either: load average counts
+ * differently per core and per operating system, so only load per core compares. If this test
+ * fails on a smaller or busier machine, raise {@link #OUTPUT_TIMEOUT_MS} before you suspect the
+ * seam.
+ *
+ * <p>{@link #waitUntilSettled} is kept as cheap insurance against that swallow case, not because
+ * anyone showed it was needed. The cell that tests the swallow case head-on is the one with
+ * {@link #SHELL_READY_TIMEOUT_MS} at 0: input is typed at once, which is the worst case for
+ * "typed before the prompt is ready". It passed 3 of 3 at load 18.42 to 23.65. The wider read
+ * window cannot explain that pass away, because a swallowed keystroke is LOST, not late — the
+ * command never runs, so no amount of polling makes its output appear. So the swallow mechanism
+ * was tested and did not show up. If you want to delete this call, that is the cell to re-run.
+ *
  * <p>Tagged {@code contract}; run with {@code mvn test -Pcontract}.
  */
 @Tag("contract")
 class AgentControlContractTest {
 
+    private static final long POLL_INTERVAL_MS = 150;
+    /** Bound for the seed shell to settle: observed ~2.5s three times running; this leaves headroom. */
+    private static final long SHELL_READY_TIMEOUT_MS = 8_000;
+    /** Bound for the typed command's output to appear once the shell is ready: observed ~0.2s. */
+    private static final long OUTPUT_TIMEOUT_MS = 5_000;
+
     private boolean noSocket() {
         return !Files.exists(UnixSocketHerdrClient.defaultSocketPath());
     }
 
+    private static String readPane(UnixSocketHerdrClient herdr, String paneId) {
+        return herdr.call("pane.read", Map.of("pane_id", paneId, "source", "visible"))
+                .path("read").path("text").asText("");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * Poll {@code pane.read} until two consecutive reads come back identical — the shell's own
+     * startup output (restore banner, prompt) has stopped changing — or {@code timeoutMs} elapses.
+     * Never asserts by itself; the caller's own assertion is what actually verifies the outcome.
+     * Setting {@code timeoutMs} to 0 skips the wait entirely and the test still passes here, so
+     * treat this as insurance rather than as the fix — see the class javadoc.
+     */
+    private static String waitUntilSettled(UnixSocketHerdrClient herdr, String paneId, long timeoutMs)
+            throws InterruptedException {
+        long deadline = System.currentTimeMillis() + timeoutMs;
+        String previous = null;
+        while (System.currentTimeMillis() < deadline) {
+            Thread.sleep(POLL_INTERVAL_MS);
+            String current = readPane(herdr, paneId);
+            if (current.equals(previous) && !current.isBlank()) {
+                return current;
+            }
+            previous = current;
+        }
+        return previous == null ? "" : previous;
+    }
+
+    /** Poll {@code pane.read} until {@code needle} appears or {@code timeoutMs} elapses. */
+    private static String waitForText(UnixSocketHerdrClient herdr, String paneId, String needle, long timeoutMs)
+            throws InterruptedException {
+        long deadline = System.currentTimeMillis() + timeoutMs;
+        String last = "";
+        while (System.currentTimeMillis() < deadline) {
+            last = readPane(herdr, paneId);
+            if (last.contains(needle)) {
+                return last;
+            }
+            Thread.sleep(POLL_INTERVAL_MS);
+        }
+        return last;
+    }
+
     @Test
     void tabCreateInjectsEnvIntoTheSeedShell() throws Exception {
         assumeTrue(!noSocket(), "no herdr socket — skipping");
@@ -36,15 +126,13 @@ class AgentControlContractTest {
                     Map.of("ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL", "http://gx00.gw:8000"));
             try {
                 assertNotNull(tab.rootPaneId(), "tab.create must return the seed pane");
-                Thread.sleep(1000); // let the seed shell reach its prompt
+                waitUntilSettled(herdr, tab.rootPaneId(), SHELL_READY_TIMEOUT_MS);
                 herdr.call("pane.send_input", Map.of(
                         "pane_id", tab.rootPaneId(),
                         "text", "printf 'PROBE_BASE=[%s]\\n' \"$ANTHROPIC_BASE_URL\"",
                         "keys", List.of("enter")));
-                Thread.sleep(800);
-                String visible = herdr.call("pane.read",
-                                Map.of("pane_id", tab.rootPaneId(), "source", "visible"))
-                        .path("read").path("text").asText("");
+                String visible = waitForText(herdr, tab.rootPaneId(),
+                        "PROBE_BASE=[http://gx00.gw:8000]", OUTPUT_TIMEOUT_MS);
                 assertTrue(visible.contains("PROBE_BASE=[http://gx00.gw:8000]"),
                         "env map must reach the seed shell; saw: " + visible);
             } finally {

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/FakeHerdr.java

@@ -44,6 +44,7 @@ public final class FakeHerdr implements HerdrClient {
     private int workerTabPaneCount = 1;
     private String paneCloseErrorCode = null;
     private final Map<String, String> paneCloseErrorCodeFor = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
+    private final Map<String, String> processInfoErrorCodeFor = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
     private String tabCloseErrorCode = null;
     private final Map<String, String> tabCloseErrorCodeFor = new ConcurrentHashMap<>();
     private String agentSendErrorCode = null;
@@ -144,6 +145,18 @@ public final class FakeHerdr implements HerdrClient {
         return this;
     }
 
+    /**
+     * Make {@code pane.process_info} fail with this herdr error code, but only for the given
+     * {@code pane_id} — every other pane's {@code pane.process_info} still succeeds. Models a
+     * transient herdr failure partway through a {@link PaneLocator} pid→pane scan (fleetd #505):
+     * the scan must be able to tell "this pane does not own the pid" apart from "the scan could
+     * not check this pane at all", instead of collapsing both into one {@code false}.
+     */
+    public FakeHerdr processInfoFailsForPane(String paneId, String code) {
+        this.processInfoErrorCodeFor.put(paneId, code);
+        return this;
+    }
+
     /** Set the {@code agent_status} that {@code agent.get} reports (drives the injector). */
     public FakeHerdr agentStatus(String status) {
         this.agentStatus = status;
@@ -407,6 +420,13 @@ public final class FakeHerdr implements HerdrClient {
                           {"pane_id":"w2:p9","terminal_id":"term_shell","workspace_id":"w2","tab_id":"w2:t8"}]}""");
                 case "pane.process_info" -> {
                     Object paneId = params instanceof java.util.Map<?, ?> m ? m.get("pane_id") : null;
+                    String failCode = paneId == null ? null
+                            : processInfoErrorCodeFor.get(String.valueOf(paneId));
+                    if (failCode != null) {
+                        throw new HerdrException(
+                                "herdr error [" + failCode + "]: pane.process_info failed",
+                                failCode, null);
+                    }
                     yield "w2:p7".equals(paneId)
                             ? mapper.readTree(("""
                                 {"type":"pane_process_info","process_info":{"pane_id":"w2:p7","shell_pid":%d,

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/HerdrContractTest.java

@@ -14,7 +14,7 @@ import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assumptions.assumeTrue;
  * Contract test against a REAL running herdr. Tagged {@code contract} so it is
  * excluded from {@code mvn test}; run it with {@code mvn test -Pcontract}. It fails
  * loudly if herdr drifts from the protocol {@code fleetd} was built against
- * (0.7.0, protocol 14) — catching breakage that unit tests with canned frames cannot.
+ * (0.8.0, protocol 19) — catching breakage that unit tests with canned frames cannot.
  */
 @Tag("contract")
 class HerdrContractTest {
@@ -24,13 +24,13 @@ class HerdrContractTest {
     }
 
     @Test
-    void pingReturnsProtocol14() {
+    void pingReturnsProtocol19() {
         assumeTrue(Files.exists(socket()), "no herdr socket at " + socket() + " — skipping");
         try (UnixSocketHerdrClient herdr = UnixSocketHerdrClient.connect()) {
             JsonNode pong = herdr.call("ping");
             assertEquals("pong", pong.get("type").asText());
-            assertEquals(14, pong.get("protocol").asInt(),
-                    "fleetd is built against herdr protocol 14");
+            assertEquals(19, pong.get("protocol").asInt(),
+                    "fleetd is built against herdr protocol 19");
             assertFalse(pong.get("version").asText().isBlank());
         }
     }

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/LeadTabScannerTest.java

@@ -6,6 +6,7 @@ import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
 
 import java.util.ArrayList;
 import java.util.LinkedHashMap;
+import java.util.LinkedHashSet;
 import java.util.List;
 import java.util.Map;
 import java.util.Set;
@@ -35,6 +36,12 @@ class LeadTabScannerTest {
         final Map<String, String[]> tabs = new LinkedHashMap<>();
         /** pane_id → [tab_id, terminal_id]. */
         final Map<String, String[]> panes = new LinkedHashMap<>();
+        /**
+         * tab_id → whether herdr reports a running agent there. Defaults to {@code true} for every
+         * tab that has a pane, so every existing fixture keeps meaning "a live lead" unless a test
+         * says otherwise via {@link #deadAgent}.
+         */
+        final Set<String> deadTabs = new LinkedHashSet<>();
         int calls;
         boolean failing;
 
@@ -53,6 +60,18 @@ class LeadTabScannerTest {
             return this;
         }
 
+        /** Mark {@code tabId} as labelled but agent-less — a dead lead's leftover tab (fleetd #359). */
+        TopologyHerdr deadAgent(String tabId) {
+            deadTabs.add(tabId);
+            return this;
+        }
+
+        /** Undo {@link #deadAgent} — models {@code agent.list} reporting the tab live again. */
+        TopologyHerdr reviveAgent(String tabId) {
+            deadTabs.remove(tabId);
+            return this;
+        }
+
         @Override
         public JsonNode call(String method, Object params) {
             calls++;
@@ -83,6 +102,19 @@ class LeadTabScannerTest {
                                     .formatted(id, p[0], p[1])));
                     return read("{\"panes\":[%s]}".formatted(String.join(",", items)));
                 }
+                case "agent.list" -> {
+                    // One agent per distinct tab that has a pane and isn't marked dead — mirrors
+                    // AgentControl.list()'s "agents" shape closely enough for the scanner's join,
+                    // which only reads tab_id off each entry.
+                    Set<String> seen = new LinkedHashSet<>();
+                    panes.forEach((paneId, p) -> {
+                        String tabId = p[0];
+                        if (!deadTabs.contains(tabId) && seen.add(tabId)) {
+                            items.add("{\"tab_id\":\"%s\"}".formatted(tabId));
+                        }
+                    });
+                    return read("{\"agents\":[%s]}".formatted(String.join(",", items)));
+                }
                 default -> throw new AssertionError("unexpected herdr call: " + method);
             }
         }
@@ -208,6 +240,114 @@ class LeadTabScannerTest {
                 scanner(herdr, twoLeadsConfigured(), new AtomicLong()).get().get("term_opus_split"));
     }
 
+    // ── fleetd #359: a labelled tab is only a lead when something is running in it ─────────────────
+
+    /**
+     * The core invariant this ticket restores: {@code get()} must never report a terminal for a
+     * lead whose pane no longer runs an agent. Before this fix the scanner joined labelled tabs to
+     * panes with no liveness check at all, so a tab left behind by a crashed/relaunched lead (see
+     * {@code LeadLauncher}'s own staleness handling) was reported as live forever — which is exactly
+     * what let duplicate lead tabs make {@code LeadCoordLoop.resolveLocalLead()} permanently unable
+     * to pick one. Mutate this away (drop the {@code agent.list} cross-check in {@link
+     * LeadTabScanner#scan()}) and this test must fail.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aLabelledTabWithNoRunningAgentIsNotReported() {
+        TopologyHerdr herdr = twoLeads().deadAgent("w1:t1"); // opus-5.0's tab is labelled but dead
+
+        Map<String, String> leads = scanner(herdr, twoLeadsConfigured(), new AtomicLong()).get();
+
+        assertFalse(leads.containsKey("term_opus"),
+                "a labelled tab with no running agent must never be reported as a live lead");
+        assertEquals("gpt-sol-5.6", leads.get("term_gpt"),
+                "the other, genuinely live lead must be unaffected");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The other direction, pinned separately so a fix cannot satisfy the test above by simply
+     * returning nothing: a labelled tab that DOES have a running agent must still be reported. A
+     * scanner that always comes back empty is worse than the bug it fixes.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aLabelledTabWithARunningAgentIsStillReported() {
+        Map<String, String> leads = scanner(twoLeads(), twoLeadsConfigured(), new AtomicLong()).get();
+
+        assertEquals("opus-5.0", leads.get("term_opus"));
+        assertEquals("gpt-sol-5.6", leads.get("term_gpt"));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd #359 review, finding 2 — the exact scenario the ticket's own evidence showed:
+     * {@code agent.list} can come back successfully but short, without the herdr call ever throwing.
+     * A lead this class already reported as live must not be dropped on the strength of one such
+     * read: {@link LeadTabScanner#get()}'s "keep the cache on failure" contract only fires on an
+     * exception, so without a fix a single short {@code agent.list} silently empties the cached map —
+     * which would resolve that lead's pane as {@code Role.WORKER} downstream, refusing every
+     * orchestration call. Mutate this away (drop the one-scan grace in {@link
+     * LeadTabScanner#scan()}) and this test must fail.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aTransientAgentListMissDoesNotDemoteALeadAlreadyKnownLive() {
+        TopologyHerdr herdr = twoLeads();
+        AtomicLong clock = new AtomicLong();
+        LeadTabScanner s = scanner(herdr, twoLeadsConfigured(), clock);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"), "opus must be known live before the miss");
+
+        // One scan where agent.list comes back without opus's tab, even though the tab and pane are
+        // completely unchanged — the tab/pane are still there, only the liveness read is short.
+        herdr.deadAgent("w1:t1");
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL);
+
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"),
+                "a single missed detection must not empty the cached map for a lead already known live");
+        assertEquals("gpt-sol-5.6", s.get().get("term_gpt"), "the unaffected lead is unchanged");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The other half of finding 2, so the grace above cannot be mistaken for permanent amnesty: the
+     * original #359 invariant (a genuinely dead tab is not reported forever) must still hold once a
+     * SECOND, independent scan agrees the agent is gone.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void aLeadMissingFromAgentListOnTwoConsecutiveScansIsFinallyDropped() {
+        TopologyHerdr herdr = twoLeads();
+        AtomicLong clock = new AtomicLong();
+        LeadTabScanner s = scanner(herdr, twoLeadsConfigured(), clock);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"));
+
+        herdr.deadAgent("w1:t1");
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"), "first miss is a grace period, not a verdict");
+
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL); // a second, independent scan — still no agent
+        assertFalse(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"),
+                "a second consecutive miss for the same terminal must finally drop it");
+    }
+
+    /** A lead that recovers between the two misses keeps its grace spent, not renewed for free. */
+    @Test
+    void aLeadThatRecoversBetweenMissesIsReportedNormallyAndResetsItsGrace() {
+        TopologyHerdr herdr = twoLeads();
+        AtomicLong clock = new AtomicLong();
+        LeadTabScanner s = scanner(herdr, twoLeadsConfigured(), clock);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"));
+
+        herdr.deadAgent("w1:t1");
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"), "graced on the first miss");
+
+        herdr.reviveAgent("w1:t1"); // the miss really was transient
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"), "found live again — reported normally");
+
+        // A later, unrelated miss must get its own fresh grace scan rather than being dropped
+        // immediately because the earlier miss had already "used up" a slot for this terminal.
+        herdr.deadAgent("w1:t1");
+        clock.addAndGet(TTL);
+        assertTrue(s.get().containsKey("term_opus"),
+                "a miss after a genuine recovery is a new event and deserves its own grace scan");
+    }
+
     /**
      * CB-579 acceptance (6): this is the bug the ticket closes. A stale pin used to be merged back
      * over every scan and never expire; now a scan is the whole answer, so a lead whose tab is gone

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/PaneLocatorContractTest.java

@@ -37,7 +37,7 @@ class PaneLocatorContractTest {
                         .path("pane").path("terminal_id").asText(null);
                 assertNotNull(terminalId, "seed pane should carry a terminal_id");
 
-                assertEquals(terminalId, new PaneLocator(herdr).terminalForPid(shellPid),
+                assertEquals(terminalId, new PaneLocator(herdr).terminalForPid(shellPid).terminal(),
                         "a real PID must resolve back to its own pane's terminal_id");
             } finally {
                 spaces.closeTab(tab.tab().tabId());

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/herdr/PaneLocatorTest.java

@@ -15,18 +15,20 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
 
     @Test
     void resolvesTerminalForAForegroundPid() {
-        assertEquals("term_a", loc.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID));
+        assertEquals("term_a", loc.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
     void nullForAPidInNoPane() {
-        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(999_999));
+        PaneLocator.Lookup outcome = loc.terminalForPid(999_999);
+        assertNull(outcome.terminal());
+        assertTrue(outcome.complete(), "a full, error-free scan that finds no match is complete");
     }
 
     @Test
     void nullForNonPositivePid() {
-        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(0));
-        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(-1));
+        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(0).terminal());
+        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(-1).terminal());
     }
 
     // --- two-daemon fallback (CB-185) -----------------------------------------
@@ -38,7 +40,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         HerdrClient lead = new FakeHerdr().withNoPanes();
         HerdrClient member = new FakeHerdr();
         PaneLocator two = new PaneLocator(lead, member);
-        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID));
+        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -48,13 +50,13 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         HerdrClient lead = new FakeHerdr();
         HerdrClient member = new FakeHerdr().withNoPanes();
         PaneLocator two = new PaneLocator(lead, member);
-        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID));
+        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
     void nullWhenNeitherClientHasTheMatch() {
         PaneLocator two = new PaneLocator(new FakeHerdr().withNoPanes(), new FakeHerdr().withNoPanes());
-        assertNull(two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID));
+        assertNull(two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -63,7 +65,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         // must behave exactly like the one-arg constructor, including making only one herdr call.
         FakeHerdr shared = new FakeHerdr();
         PaneLocator two = new PaneLocator(shared, shared);
-        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID));
+        assertEquals("term_a", two.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID).terminal());
         long paneListCalls = shared.calls.stream().filter(c -> c.method().equals("pane.list")).count();
         assertEquals(1, paneListCalls, "same-object lead/member must scan exactly once, not twice");
     }
@@ -75,7 +77,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         // Regression: a pid with no parent chain at all — no ancestry walk is needed to match it.
         OnePaneHerdr pane = new OnePaneHerdr("term_x", "pX", 5000, 6000);
         PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(pane, new FakeParentResolver());
-        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(5000));
+        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(5000).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -83,7 +85,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         // Regression: same as above, but matching via the foreground-processes list.
         OnePaneHerdr pane = new OnePaneHerdr("term_x", "pX", 5000, 6000);
         PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(pane, new FakeParentResolver());
-        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(6000));
+        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(6000).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -97,7 +99,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
                 .parent(7002, 7001)   // grandchild -> child
                 .parent(7001, 5000);  // child -> shell (the pane's shell_pid)
         PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(pane, parents);
-        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(7002));
+        assertEquals("term_x", loc.terminalForPid(7002).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -110,7 +112,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
                 .parent(9002, 9001)
                 .parent(9001, 9000); // chain never reaches 5000 or 6000
         PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(pane, parents);
-        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(9002));
+        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(9002).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -122,7 +124,7 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
                 .parent(100, 101)
                 .parent(101, 100); // cycle, never reaches the pane's pids
         PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(pane, parents);
-        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(100));
+        assertNull(loc.terminalForPid(100).terminal());
     }
 
     @Test
@@ -141,11 +143,43 @@ class PaneLocatorTest {
         };
         HerdrClient noPanes = new FakeHerdr().withNoPanes();
         PaneLocator two = new PaneLocator(noPanes, pane, counting);
-        assertEquals("term_x", two.terminalForPid(7002));
+        assertEquals("term_x", two.terminalForPid(7002).terminal());
         assertEquals(3, calls.get(), "ancestry must be walked once (3 lookups: 7002, 7001, 5000), "
                 + "not re-walked per herdr client");
     }
 
+    // --- fleetd #505: a herdr error during the scan must not read as a clean negative ---------
+
+    @Test
+    void anErrorOnThePaneThatOwnsThePidMakesTheScanIncompleteNotAClearNegative() {
+        // The discriminating case: pane.process_info fails for exactly the pane that DOES own the
+        // caller's pid ("w2:p7", term_a). Before the fix, that failure was swallowed into a plain
+        // "does not own it" and the scan finished with a clean-looking null — indistinguishable
+        // from a real primary. It must now report incomplete, not a definite null.
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().processInfoFailsForPane("w2:p7", "transient");
+        PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(herdr);
+
+        PaneLocator.Lookup outcome = loc.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID);
+
+        assertNull(outcome.terminal(), "the failing pane's ownership could not be confirmed");
+        assertFalse(outcome.complete(),
+                "a scan that could not check the owning pane must not report as complete");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void aVanishedPaneThatIsNotTheMatchLeavesAnOtherwiseSuccessfulScanComplete() {
+        // The companion invariant: a DIFFERENT pane (not the caller's own) failing mid-scan must
+        // not turn every mid-scan teardown into a refusal — the real match is still found, and the
+        // scan is still reported complete.
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().processInfoFailsForPane("w2:p9", "pane_not_found");
+        PaneLocator loc = new PaneLocator(herdr);
+
+        PaneLocator.Lookup outcome = loc.terminalForPid(FakeHerdr.WORKER_PID);
+
+        assertEquals("term_a", outcome.terminal());
+        assertTrue(outcome.complete(), "a positive match elsewhere in the scan is definitive");
+    }
+
     /** Minimal single-pane {@link HerdrClient} fake, purpose-built for the ancestry tests above. */
     private static final class OnePaneHerdr implements HerdrClient {
         private final ObjectMapper mapper = new ObjectMapper();

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/CompletionResolverTest.java

@@ -20,6 +20,7 @@ import java.util.regex.Pattern;
 
 import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertEquals;
 import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotEquals;
 import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
 
 /** Unit behaviour of the CB-106 completion resolver in isolation from the injector. */
@@ -357,6 +358,54 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
                 "the failure carries whatever was on screen: " + waiter.getNow(null).text());
     }
 
+    @Test
+    void aPlausibleLookingReplyInsideTheFloorStillFails() {
+        // fleetd#376 guard. A fix was attempted that inspected the pane inside the floor and resolved
+        // a COMPLETION when the text "looked like a real reply". Every cheap test for that is unsafe:
+        // lastAssistantBlock falls back to the WHOLE pane when there is no ⏺ marker, and a crash pane
+        // almost always contains sentence punctuation — in a file path, a version, or a hostname.
+        // This pane is the trap: it reads like a finished answer and it is a backend failure.
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText(
+                "Error: connection reset while loading src/main/java/Foo.java v1.2.3\n❯ ");
+        Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
+        long[] clock = {10_000_000_000L};
+        CompletionResolver resolver = new CompletionResolver(new AgentControl(herdr), rendezvous,
+                ExhaustedPatternLookup.none(), ExhaustionSink.none(), () -> clock[0]);
+
+        var waiter = rendezvous.open("term_a");
+        var turn = new CompletionResolver.InFlight(waiter, null, clock[0]);
+        clock[0] += CompletionResolver.MIN_TURN_NANOS - 1; // inside the floor
+
+        resolver.resolve("term_a", turn);
+
+        assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.FAILED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(),
+                "inside the floor the verdict is always FAILED — never guess a completion from pane text");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void theTooFastFailureDoesNotAssertACauseItCannotKnow() {
+        // fleetd#376: the message used to say "most likely a backend error before any work started".
+        // When no error pattern matches, that cause is a guess, and a reader who believes it stops
+        // looking at the pane. The verdict stays FAILED; only the claim about WHY is withdrawn.
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText("I am running on opencode/mimo-v2.5-free.\n❯ ");
+        Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
+        long[] clock = {10_000_000_000L};
+        CompletionResolver resolver = new CompletionResolver(new AgentControl(herdr), rendezvous,
+                ExhaustedPatternLookup.none(), ExhaustionSink.none(), () -> clock[0]);
+
+        var waiter = rendezvous.open("term_a");
+        var turn = new CompletionResolver.InFlight(waiter, null, clock[0]);
+        clock[0] += CompletionResolver.MIN_TURN_NANOS - 1; // inside the floor
+
+        resolver.resolve("term_a", turn);
+
+        String text = waiter.getNow(null).text();
+        assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.FAILED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(), "still fails, still loud");
+        assertFalse(text.contains("most likely a backend error"),
+                "an unmatched fast turn must not assert a backend error: " + text);
+        assertTrue(text.contains("mimo-v2.5-free"), "the pane is still carried: " + text);
+    }
+
     @Test
     void aBusyToDoneTransitionJustOutsideTheFloorResolvesNormally() {
         FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText("⏺ a real, if quick, answer\n❯ ");
@@ -484,6 +533,27 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
 
     // --- CB-578 stage A: backend-exhausted classification ---------------------------------
 
+    @Test
+    void aNormalMemberReportMentioningTheExhaustionPatternDoesNotNotifyTheSink() {
+        String block = "⏺ I reviewed capacity handling. The usage limit has been reached means no more work can start.\n❯ ";
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText(block);
+        Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
+        ExhaustedPatternLookup patterns = target -> Pattern.compile("usage limit has been reached");
+        java.util.List<String> notified = new java.util.ArrayList<>();
+        ExhaustionSink sink = (target, reason, profile) -> notified.add(target + ": " + reason);
+        CompletionResolver resolver = new CompletionResolver(new AgentControl(herdr), rendezvous, patterns, sink);
+
+        var waiter = rendezvous.open("term_a");
+        resolver.resolve("term_a", new CompletionResolver.InFlight(waiter, null));
+
+        assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.BACKEND_EXHAUSTED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(),
+                "a matching report still fails the send as exhausted");
+        assertTrue(waiter.getNow(null).text().contains("I reviewed capacity handling."),
+                "the exhausted result keeps the whole matched pane line");
+        assertTrue(notified.isEmpty(),
+                "a normal report mentioning an exhaustion pattern must not quarantine a credential");
+    }
+
     @Test
     void classifiesAMatchingScrapeAsBackendExhaustedInsteadOfACompletedReply() {
         String block = "⏺ Working on it...\nThe usage limit has been reached. Try again later.\n❯ ";
@@ -534,6 +604,53 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
                 "the sink is told the matched reason: " + notified.get(0));
     }
 
+    @Test
+    void aRealExhaustionBehindTerminalChromeStillNotifiesTheSink() {
+        String block = "⏺ │ The usage limit has been reached. Try again later.\n❯ ";
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText(block);
+        Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
+        ExhaustedPatternLookup patterns = target -> Pattern.compile("usage limit has been reached");
+        java.util.List<String> notified = new java.util.ArrayList<>();
+        ExhaustionSink sink = (target, reason, profile) -> notified.add(target + ": " + reason);
+        CompletionResolver resolver = new CompletionResolver(new AgentControl(herdr), rendezvous, patterns, sink);
+
+        var waiter = rendezvous.open("term_a");
+        resolver.resolve("term_a", new CompletionResolver.InFlight(waiter, null));
+
+        assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.BACKEND_EXHAUSTED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(),
+                "a real exhaustion must still fail the send as exhausted");
+        assertEquals(1, notified.size(),
+                "a real exhaustion behind terminal chrome must reach the sink");
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * The live fleet configures {@code exhaustedPattern: "The usage limit has been reached"} — with
+     * the leading {@code "The"}. Every other test here uses a pattern without it, which is the shape
+     * that made fleetd #348 need a looser rule than a start-of-line check. This pins the deployed
+     * shape as well, so a later tightening of {@link CompletionResolver} cannot silently stop
+     * recording the exhaustion this fleet actually reports.
+     *
+     * <p>What it does not prove: that this is the only pattern shape an operator will write.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void anExhaustionPatternCarryingItsLeadingWordsStillNotifiesTheSink() {
+        String block = "⏺ │ The usage limit has been reached. Try again later.\n❯ ";
+        FakeHerdr herdr = new FakeHerdr().readText(block);
+        Rendezvous rendezvous = new Rendezvous();
+        ExhaustedPatternLookup patterns = target -> Pattern.compile("The usage limit has been reached");
+        java.util.List<String> notified = new java.util.ArrayList<>();
+        ExhaustionSink sink = (target, reason, profile) -> notified.add(target + ": " + reason);
+        CompletionResolver resolver = new CompletionResolver(new AgentControl(herdr), rendezvous, patterns, sink);
+
+        var waiter = rendezvous.open("term_a");
+        resolver.resolve("term_a", new CompletionResolver.InFlight(waiter, null));
+
+        assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.BACKEND_EXHAUSTED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(),
+                "the live pattern shape must still fail the send as exhausted");
+        assertEquals(1, notified.size(),
+                "the live pattern shape must still reach the sink");
+    }
+
     @Test
     void aLosingBackendExhaustedClassificationNeverNotifiesTheExhaustionSink() {
         // The waiter was already resolved (e.g. by the worker's own reply) before this scrape landed —
@@ -768,19 +885,22 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
     @Test
     void coverageIsOffWhenNoProfileHasAPatternConfigured() {
         assertEquals("off (no profile has an exhaustedPattern configured; profiles: [terra])",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", Set.of("terra"), Set.of()));
+                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.OFF,
+                        Set.of("terra"), Set.of()));
     }
 
     @Test
     void coverageIsFullWhenEveryProfileHasAPatternConfigured() {
         assertEquals("full (all profiles configured: [gx10, terra])",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of("terra", "gx10")));
+                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.OFF,
+                        Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of("terra", "gx10")));
     }
 
     @Test
     void coverageIsPartialAndNamesWhichProfilesAreConfigured() {
         assertEquals("partial (configured: [terra]; not configured: [gx10])",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of("terra")));
+                CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.OFF,
+                        Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of("terra")));
     }
 
     /**
@@ -794,11 +914,42 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
      *
      * <p>Every earlier test here passed the exhaustion case only, so none of them could see it. This
      * one pins that the message names the key the caller actually meant.
+     *
+     * <p>fleetd#415: the expected wording changed here too. {@code errorPattern} has a built-in
+     * fallback ({@link CompletionResolver#BACKEND_ERROR}), so an empty {@code configuredProfiles}
+     * for it is not "off" — see {@link #coverageDistinguishesOffFromBuiltInDefaultForTheSameEmptyInput}
+     * for the test built specifically to pin that distinction.
      */
     @Test
     void coverageNamesTheConfigKeyItsCallerMeansRatherThanAlwaysSayingExhaustedPattern() {
-        assertEquals("off (no profile has an errorPattern configured; profiles: [gx10, terra])",
-                CompletionResolver.coverage("errorPattern", Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of()));
+        assertEquals("built-in default for all profiles (no profile customises errorPattern; "
+                        + "profiles: [gx10, terra])",
+                CompletionResolver.coverage("errorPattern", CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.BUILT_IN_DEFAULT,
+                        Set.of("terra", "gx10"), Set.of()));
+    }
+
+    /**
+     * fleetd#415: {@code coverage()} measures pattern coverage (how many profiles set the key), but
+     * for {@code errorPattern} the empty case is not the feature-off state — a profile with no
+     * configured {@code errorPattern} still runs the classification against
+     * {@link CompletionResolver#BACKEND_ERROR}. For {@code exhaustedPattern} there is no fallback,
+     * so empty really is off. Same shape of input (empty {@code configuredProfiles}, one profile),
+     * different {@link CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning} — the wording must differ, or this method is
+     * back to conflating pattern coverage with feature state for the one key where they disagree.
+     */
+    @Test
+    void coverageDistinguishesOffFromBuiltInDefaultForTheSameEmptyInput() {
+        String exhaustedLine = CompletionResolver.coverage("exhaustedPattern",
+                CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.OFF, Set.of("gx10", "terra"), Set.of());
+        String errorLine = CompletionResolver.coverage("errorPattern",
+                CompletionResolver.UnsetMeaning.BUILT_IN_DEFAULT, Set.of("gx10", "terra"), Set.of());
+
+        assertEquals("off (no profile has an exhaustedPattern configured; profiles: [gx10, terra])",
+                exhaustedLine);
+        assertEquals("built-in default for all profiles (no profile customises errorPattern; "
+                        + "profiles: [gx10, terra])", errorLine);
+        assertNotEquals(exhaustedLine, errorLine,
+                "the same empty-coverage input must not read as the same feature state for both keys");
     }
 
     // --- fleetd#201 Unit 1: target-keyed backend-error pattern + typed sink ----------------------
@@ -1049,8 +1200,16 @@ class CompletionResolverTest {
         assertTrue(waiter.isDone());
         assertEquals(Rendezvous.Kind.FAILED, waiter.getNow(null).kind(),
                 "still a failure — the floor itself, not the pattern, is why");
-        assertTrue(waiter.getNow(null).text().contains("too fast to be real work"),
-                "a non-match inside the floor stays the generic too-fast reason: " + waiter.getNow(null).text());
+        // fleetd#376: this used to assert the phrase "too fast to be real work", which carried the
+        // claim "most likely a backend error before any work started". With no pattern matched that
+        // cause is a guess, so the wording was withdrawn. What this test really guards is unchanged:
+        // the floor alone still fails the turn, it stays generic, and it never notifies the sink.
+        String reason = waiter.getNow(null).text();
+        assertTrue(reason.contains("inside the floor"),
+                "a non-match inside the floor stays the generic floor reason: " + reason);
+        assertFalse(reason.contains("most likely a backend error"),
+                "a non-match must not assert a cause it did not establish: " + reason);
+        assertTrue(reason.contains("still starting up"), "the pane is still carried: " + reason);
         assertTrue(notified.isEmpty(), "a non-match must never notify the typed sink");
     }
 }

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/InjectorTest.java

@@ -19,6 +19,8 @@ import java.util.Set;
 import java.util.concurrent.CompletableFuture;
 import java.util.concurrent.ExecutionException;
 import java.util.concurrent.TimeUnit;
+import java.util.concurrent.atomic.AtomicInteger;
+import java.util.function.LongSupplier;
 
 import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.*;
 
@@ -521,6 +523,97 @@ class InjectorTest {
         }
     }
 
+    @Test
+    void readinessGraceExpiryLogsTheMeasuredPollCountNextToTheConfiguredBudget() {
+        // fleetd #501, defect 1: READINESS_GRACE_POLLS (240) used to be printed twice — once as
+        // "after {} polls" and once inside the parenthesised budget — even though the loop's own
+        // counter (Target.notReadySincePoll) was in scope at the same call site. On THIS branch the
+        // counter has just reached the threshold, so it equals the constant by construction and this
+        // test cannot tell the two apart — it only pins that the message still carries both a poll
+        // count and a labelled configured budget, using literal numbers (240, 60), never
+        // READINESS_GRACE_POLLS or POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS, so the assertion can't silently track a
+        // constant change instead of catching a real regression.
+        LoggerContext ctx = (LoggerContext) LoggerFactory.getILoggerFactory();
+        ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger injectorLog =
+                (ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Injector.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.setContext(ctx);
+        appender.start();
+        injectorLog.addAppender(appender);
+        injectorLog.setLevel(Level.WARN);
+        try {
+            Injector inj = new Injector(new AgentControl(herdr), TurnListener.NOOP, _ -> false, _ -> {
+            });
+            inj.enqueue(T, "task", TestTurnTokens.inert(T));
+
+            for (int i = 0; i < READINESS_SAMPLES; i++) inj.onStatus(T, AgentStatus.IDLE);
+
+            String warn = appender.list.stream()
+                    .filter(e -> e.getLevel().equals(Level.WARN))
+                    .map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage)
+                    .findFirst()
+                    .orElse("no grace-expiry WARN logged");
+            assertTrue(warn.contains("after 240 polls"),
+                    "must print the measured poll count as a plain number: " + warn);
+            assertTrue(warn.contains("configured=240 polls/60s"),
+                    "must print the configured budget, clearly labelled: " + warn);
+        } finally {
+            injectorLog.detachAppender(appender);
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void readinessGraceExpiryLogsTheMeasuredElapsedTimeNotArithmeticOnConstants() {
+        // fleetd #501, defect 2: the old line computed "({}s)" as READINESS_GRACE_POLLS *
+        // POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS / 1000 — arithmetic on two constants, never a measurement, and wrong
+        // in the direction that says everything ran on schedule. This stub clock returns two FIXED
+        // values (1_000ms at the first non-ready sample, 318_412ms at the poll that trips the grace)
+        // whose difference — 317_412ms — does NOT equal 240 * POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS (=60_000ms).
+        // Asserting on that literal, non-derived number is what makes this test able to fail if the
+        // production code goes back to printing the constant-arithmetic value instead of the
+        // injected clock's measurement.
+        long[] readings = {1_000L, 318_412L};
+        AtomicInteger call = new AtomicInteger(0);
+        LongSupplier stubClock = () -> {
+            int i = call.getAndIncrement();
+            if (i >= readings.length) {
+                throw new AssertionError("nowMillis read more times than this fixture expects (" + i
+                        + "); the readiness-not-ready branch should read the clock exactly twice — "
+                        + "once to stamp the first non-ready sample, once at grace expiry");
+            }
+            return readings[i];
+        };
+
+        LoggerContext ctx = (LoggerContext) LoggerFactory.getILoggerFactory();
+        ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger injectorLog =
+                (ch.qos.logback.classic.Logger) LoggerFactory.getLogger(Injector.class);
+        ListAppender<ILoggingEvent> appender = new ListAppender<>();
+        appender.setContext(ctx);
+        appender.start();
+        injectorLog.addAppender(appender);
+        injectorLog.setLevel(Level.WARN);
+        try {
+            Injector inj = new Injector(new AgentControl(herdr), TurnListener.NOOP, _ -> false, _ -> {
+            }, stubClock);
+            inj.enqueue(T, "task", TestTurnTokens.inert(T));
+
+            for (int i = 0; i < READINESS_SAMPLES; i++) inj.onStatus(T, AgentStatus.IDLE);
+
+            String warn = appender.list.stream()
+                    .filter(e -> e.getLevel().equals(Level.WARN))
+                    .map(ILoggingEvent::getFormattedMessage)
+                    .findFirst()
+                    .orElse("no grace-expiry WARN logged");
+            assertTrue(warn.contains("elapsed=317412ms"), "must print the MEASURED elapsed time from "
+                    + "the injected clock (318412 - 1000 = 317412), not an arithmetic value: " + warn);
+            assertFalse(warn.contains("elapsed=60000ms"), "must not print "
+                    + "READINESS_GRACE_POLLS * POLL_INTERVAL_MILLIS (240 * 250 = 60000ms) as if it "
+                    + "were the measured elapsed time: " + warn);
+        } finally {
+            injectorLog.detachAppender(appender);
+        }
+    }
+
     @Test
     void aWorkerThatBecomesReadyWithinTheGraceIsDeliveredNormally() {
         // The readiness grace must not fail a worker that is merely slow to boot: once it becomes

fleetd/src/test/java/dev/ltms/fleet/inject/LiveExhaustedPatternsTest.java

@@ -0,0 +1,138 @@
+package dev.ltms.fleet.inject;
+
+import dev.ltms.fleet.config.FleetConfig;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.DisplayName;
+import org.junit.jupiter.api.Test;
+
+import java.util.Map;
+import java.util.regex.Pattern;
+
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertFalse;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNotSame;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertNull;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertSame;
+import static org.junit.jupiter.api.Assertions.assertTrue;
+
+/**
+ * fleetd #446: {@code LiveExhaustedPatterns} is the mechanism that makes {@code exhaustedPattern}
+ * hot — read fresh off a config supplier per lookup, cached by profile name. This is the direct,
+ * minimal unit test of that mechanism: read the pattern once, mutate the backing "config", read
+ * again, and assert the second read saw the new value — the exact hotness proof shape.
+ *
+ * <p>This class alone does not prove {@code Fleetd.main} actually wires the live source into
+ * production — {@link dev.ltms.fleet.FleetdExhaustionDetectionArmedWiringTest} and {@code
+ * CompletionResolverTest}'s {@code ExhaustedPatternLookup} tests do that at the wiring level. What
+ * this class proves is that the mechanism itself is genuinely live and genuinely cached, not that
+ * it is used.
+ */
+class LiveExhaustedPatternsTest {
+
+    private static FleetConfig.Profile profileWithPattern(String pattern) {
+        return new FleetConfig.Profile("terra", "http://gx00.gw:8000", "terra",
+                null, null, null, "tab", "fleetd-workers", "w #{n}", null, null, null,
+                null, null, null, null, null, null, null, pattern);
+    }
+
+    /** Simple mutable holder standing in for {@code ConfigRef} — swapped, never mutated in place. */
+    private static final class MutableProfiles {
+        private volatile Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile> profiles;
+
+        MutableProfiles(Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile> initial) {
+            this.profiles = initial;
+        }
+
+        Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile> get() {
+            return profiles;
+        }
+
+        void set(Map<String, FleetConfig.Profile> fresh) {
+            this.profiles = fresh;
+        }
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("patternFor reads the live config: read, change, read again, see the change — no restart")
+    void patternForIsHotAcrossAConfigChange() {
+        MutableProfiles live = new MutableProfiles(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(live::get);
+
+        Pattern before = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+        assertTrue(before.matcher("your usage limit has been reached").find());
+
+        // Change the "config" — the exact thing a reload does to ConfigRef in production.
+        live.set(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("rate limit exceeded")));
+
+        Pattern after = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+        assertTrue(after.matcher("429: rate limit exceeded, try later").find(),
+                "the second read must see the NEW pattern text with no restart");
+        assertFalse(after.matcher("your usage limit has been reached").find(),
+                "the second read must have actually recompiled — not just reused a stale match");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("armed follows the same live read: on, then off, after a config change — no restart")
+    void armedIsHotAcrossAConfigChange() {
+        MutableProfiles live = new MutableProfiles(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(live::get);
+
+        assertTrue(patterns.armed("terra"));
+
+        live.set(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern(null)));
+
+        assertFalse(patterns.armed("terra"),
+                "removing exhaustedPattern and 'reloading' must disarm detection with no restart");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("an unchanged pattern string is not recompiled — the cache is reused")
+    void unchangedPatternTextReusesTheCompiledInstance() {
+        MutableProfiles live = new MutableProfiles(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(live::get);
+
+        Pattern first = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+        // A NEW Profile object, same pattern text — a reload of an unrelated key produces a fresh
+        // FleetConfig even though this profile's own text did not change.
+        live.set(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        Pattern second = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+
+        assertSame(first, second,
+                "identical pattern text must reuse the cached compiled Pattern, not recompile it — "
+                        + "recompiling a regex on every check is exactly the cost the cache exists to avoid");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    @DisplayName("a changed pattern string is recompiled, not silently reused from the cache")
+    void changedPatternTextIsRecompiled() {
+        MutableProfiles live = new MutableProfiles(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(live::get);
+
+        Pattern first = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+        live.set(Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("rate limit")));
+        Pattern second = patterns.patternFor("terra");
+
+        assertNotSame(first, second, "changed pattern text must produce a freshly compiled Pattern");
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void unknownProfileReturnsNullAndUnarmed() {
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(Map::of);
+        assertNull(patterns.patternFor("nope"));
+        assertFalse(patterns.armed("nope"));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void nullProfileNameReturnsNullAndUnarmed() {
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(
+                () -> Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern("usage limit")));
+        assertNull(patterns.patternFor(null));
+        assertFalse(patterns.armed(null));
+    }
+
+    @Test
+    void profileWithNoPatternConfiguredReturnsNull() {
+        LiveExhaustedPatterns patterns = new LiveExhaustedPatterns(
+                () -> Map.of("terra", profileWithPattern(null)));
+        assertNull(patterns.patternFor("terra"));
+        assertFalse(patterns.armed("terra"));
+    }
+}