diff --git a/scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh b/scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh
index a2ee281..2a32ac5 100755
--- a/scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh
+++ b/scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh
@@ -116,6 +116,50 @@ check_log_path_matches_plist() {
   ok "log path check: script and plist agree ($resolved_out)"
 }
 
+# Classify ERROR lines in one fresh log region. AMQP failure messages now include the connection
+# name, so a recovery can clear only errors for its own connection. A candidate with neither name
+# remains unexplained: it must never be quieted by a recovery on the other connection.
+classify_amqp_connection_errors() {
+  local log_file="$1" line pending_inbox=0 pending_lead_mailbox=0
+  REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=0
+  REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=0
+  REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=0
+
+  while IFS= read -r line || [ -n "$line" ]; do
+    case "$line" in
+      *' ERROR '*|*' SEVERE '*)
+        REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=$((REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT + 1))
+        case "$line" in
+          *'AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*|*'AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: Caught an exception during connection recovery!'*)
+            pending_inbox=$((pending_inbox + 1))
+            ;;
+          *'AMQP connection fleetd-lead-mailbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*|*'AMQP connection fleetd-lead-mailbox: Caught an exception during connection recovery!'*)
+            pending_lead_mailbox=$((pending_lead_mailbox + 1))
+            ;;
+          *'AMQP connection'*'An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*|*'AMQP connection'*'Caught an exception during connection recovery!'*)
+            REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1))
+            ;;
+          *) REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1)) ;;
+        esac
+        ;;
+      *'AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery'*)
+        if [ "$pending_inbox" -gt 0 ]; then
+          pending_inbox=$((pending_inbox - 1))
+          REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS + 1))
+        fi
+        ;;
+      *'AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery'*)
+        if [ "$pending_lead_mailbox" -gt 0 ]; then
+          pending_lead_mailbox=$((pending_lead_mailbox - 1))
+          REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS + 1))
+        fi
+        ;;
+    esac
+  done < "$log_file"
+
+  REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + pending_inbox + pending_lead_mailbox))
+}
+
 # CB-600: sourceable for testing. When this file is SOURCED (not executed) it stops here — nothing
 # below runs — so a test harness can `source` it to call check_log_path_matches_plist (or the
 # other pure helpers above) against a throwaway plist fixture without ever reaching the mutating
@@ -361,15 +405,21 @@ tail -n "+$((RESTART_MARK + 1))" "$OUT" 2>/dev/null \
   | grep -iE 'deferred|classification:|fleet health:|coverage' | tail -8 | sed 's/^/   /' \
   || echo "   (nothing reported)"
 
-# Errors since the restart, anchored to the marker so old noise cannot leak in.
-ERRS="$(tail -n "+$((RESTART_MARK + 1))" "$OUT" 2>/dev/null | grep -cE ' (ERROR|SEVERE) ' || true)"
+# Errors since the restart, anchored to the marker so old noise cannot leak in. Keep the fresh
+# region in a file because the classifier must preserve the order of errors and recoveries.
+FRESH_LOG="$(mktemp -t fleetd-fresh-log)"
+trap 'rm -f "$FRESH_LOG"' EXIT
+tail -n "+$((RESTART_MARK + 1))" "$OUT" > "$FRESH_LOG" 2>/dev/null || true
+classify_amqp_connection_errors "$FRESH_LOG"
 say "result"
 ok "pid $NEW_PID, jar $(jar_id)"
-if [ "${ERRS:-0}" -gt 0 ]; then
-  warn "$ERRS ERROR lines since restart:"
-  tail -n "+$((RESTART_MARK + 1))" "$OUT" | grep -E ' (ERROR|SEVERE) ' | tail -5 | sed 's/^/   /'
-else
+if [ "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" -eq 0 ]; then
   ok "no ERROR lines since restart"
+elif [ "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" -eq 0 ]; then
+  ok "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS AMQP connection reset ERROR lines recovered since restart"
+else
+  warn "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT ERROR lines since restart:"
+  grep -E ' (ERROR|SEVERE) ' "$FRESH_LOG" | tail -5 | sed 's/^/   /'
 fi
 echo
 echo "   Next: call fleet_whoami and confirm it still answers 'primary'. A lead whose tab label"
diff --git a/scripts/test-redeploy-fleetd.sh b/scripts/test-redeploy-fleetd.sh
new file mode 100755
index 0000000..9423e2c
--- /dev/null
+++ b/scripts/test-redeploy-fleetd.sh
@@ -0,0 +1,238 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env bash
+# Self-contained checks for the pure log classifier in redeploy-fleetd.sh.
+
+set -euo pipefail
+
+ROOT="$(cd "$(dirname "${BASH_SOURCE[0]}")/.." && pwd)"
+TMP="$(mktemp -d "$ROOT/.redeploy-log-test.XXXXXX")"
+trap 'rm -rf "$TMP"' EXIT
+
+# Sourcing stops before redeploy-fleetd.sh can build, stop, or start the daemon.
+source "$ROOT/scripts/redeploy-fleetd.sh"
+
+fail() {
+  printf 'FAIL: %s\n' "$*" >&2
+  return 1
+}
+
+assert_equals() {
+  local expected="$1" actual="$2" description="$3"
+  [ "$expected" = "$actual" ] || fail "$description: expected $expected, got $actual"
+}
+
+classify_fixture() {
+  local name="$1"
+  classify_amqp_connection_errors "$TMP/$name"
+}
+
+test_no_errors() {
+  cat > "$TMP/no-errors.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 INFO fleetd listening
+LOG
+  classify_fixture no-errors.log
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "no-errors total"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "no-errors unexplained"
+}
+
+test_recovery_patterns_match_source() {
+  grep -F 'AMQP connection {}: {}' "$ROOT/fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/AmqpReplyInbox.java" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "AMQP failure pattern no longer matches source"
+  grep -F 'AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery' \
+    "$ROOT/fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/AmqpReplyInbox.java" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "reply-inbox recovery pattern no longer matches source"
+  grep -F 'AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery' \
+    "$ROOT/fleetd/src/main/java/dev/ltms/fleet/msg/LeadMailbox.java" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "lead-mailbox recovery pattern no longer matches source"
+}
+
+test_attributed_recovered_connection_error() {
+  cat > "$TMP/attributed-recovered.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+2026-09-05 12:00:01 INFO [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery
+LOG
+  classify_fixture attributed-recovered.log
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "attributed-recovered total"
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS" "attributed-recovered errors"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "attributed-recovered unexplained"
+}
+
+test_source_derived_error_shapes_recover_by_connection() {
+  # These ERROR shapes come from AmqpConnectionFailureLogger on main. They need a live-log check
+  # after redeploy because the new code has not yet written a production line.
+  cat > "$TMP/source-derived.log" <<'LOG'
+17:37:53.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+17:37:54.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: Caught an exception during connection recovery!
+17:37:55.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+17:37:56.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP connection fleetd-lead-mailbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+17:37:57.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP connection fleetd-lead-mailbox: Caught an exception during connection recovery!
+17:37:58.537 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP connection fleetd-lead-mailbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+17:38:00.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery
+17:38:01.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery
+17:38:02.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.l.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery
+17:38:03.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+17:38:04.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+17:38:05.000 INFO  [AMQP Connection broker:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+LOG
+  classify_fixture source-derived.log
+  assert_equals 6 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "source-derived total"
+  assert_equals 6 "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS" "source-derived recovered"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "source-derived unexplained"
+}
+
+test_cross_connection_unattributable_errors_stay_loud() {
+  # This candidate has neither stable connection name, so LeadMailbox recovery must not consume it.
+  cat > "$TMP/cross-unattributable.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] unknown - AMQP connection: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+2026-09-05 12:00:01 ERROR [AMQP Connection broker:5672] unknown - AMQP connection: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+2026-09-05 12:00:02 INFO  [AMQP Connection 10.10.20.13:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+2026-09-05 12:00:03 INFO  [AMQP Connection 10.10.20.13:5672] d.ltms.fleet.msg.LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+LOG
+  classify_fixture cross-unattributable.log
+  assert_equals 2 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "cross-unattributable total"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS" "cross-unattributable recovered"
+  assert_equals 2 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "cross-unattributable unexplained"
+}
+
+test_attributed_cross_connection_errors_stay_loud() {
+  # LeadMailbox recovery cannot heal AmqpReplyInbox errors.
+  cat > "$TMP/cross-attributed.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 ERROR AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+2026-09-05 12:00:01 ERROR AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+2026-09-05 12:00:02 INFO LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+2026-09-05 12:00:03 INFO LeadMailbox - AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery
+LOG
+  classify_fixture cross-attributed.log
+  assert_equals 2 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "cross-attributed total"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS" "cross-attributed recovered"
+  assert_equals 2 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "cross-attributed unexplained"
+}
+
+test_attributed_unrecovered_connection_error() {
+  cat > "$TMP/unrecovered.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 ERROR AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred
+LOG
+  classify_fixture unrecovered.log
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "unrecovered total"
+  assert_equals 0 "$REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS" "unrecovered AMQP errors"
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "unrecovered unexplained"
+}
+
+test_other_error_is_unexplained() {
+  cat > "$TMP/other-error.log" <<'LOG'
+2026-09-05 12:00:00 ERROR dev.ltms.fleet.Fleetd - startup failed
+2026-09-05 12:00:01 INFO dev.ltms.fleet.msg.AmqpReplyInbox - AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery
+LOG
+  classify_fixture other-error.log
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT" "other-error total"
+  assert_equals 1 "$REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS" "other-error unexplained"
+}
+
+test_recovery_requirement_mutation_is_caught() {
+  classify_amqp_connection_errors() {
+    local log_file="$1" line
+    REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=0
+    REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=0
+    REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=0
+    while IFS= read -r line || [ -n "$line" ]; do
+      case "$line" in
+        *' ERROR '*|*' SEVERE '*)
+          REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=$((REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT + 1))
+          case "$line" in
+            *'AMQP connection fleetd-reply-inbox: An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*)
+              REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS + 1))
+              ;;
+            *) REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1)) ;;
+          esac
+          ;;
+      esac
+    done < "$log_file"
+  }
+
+  if test_attributed_unrecovered_connection_error > "$TMP/mutation-output" 2>&1; then
+    fail "mutation accepted an unrecovered connection error"
+  fi
+  grep -F 'FAIL: unrecovered AMQP errors: expected 0, got 1' "$TMP/mutation-output" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "mutation failed without the expected assertion"
+  printf 'Recovery mutation: FAIL: unrecovered AMQP errors: expected 0, got 1\n'
+}
+
+test_shared_counter_mutation_is_caught() {
+  classify_amqp_connection_errors() {
+    local log_file="$1" line pending=0
+    REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=0
+    REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=0
+    REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=0
+    while IFS= read -r line || [ -n "$line" ]; do
+      case "$line" in
+        *' ERROR '*|*' SEVERE '*)
+          REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=$((REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT + 1))
+          case "$line" in
+            *'AMQP connection'*'An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*|*'AMQP connection'*'Caught an exception during connection recovery!'*)
+              case "$line" in
+                *'fleetd-reply-inbox'*|*'fleetd-lead-mailbox'*) pending=$((pending + 1)) ;;
+                *) REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1)) ;;
+              esac
+              ;;
+            *) REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1)) ;;
+          esac
+          ;;
+        *'AMQP connection recovered; cleared held replies for fresh redelivery'*|*'AMQP lead mailbox connection recovered; cleared held messages for fresh redelivery'*)
+          if [ "$pending" -gt 0 ]; then
+            pending=$((pending - 1))
+            REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS + 1))
+          fi
+          ;;
+      esac
+    done < "$log_file"
+    REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + pending))
+  }
+
+  if test_attributed_cross_connection_errors_stay_loud > "$TMP/shared-mutation-output" 2>&1; then
+    fail "shared counter mutation accepted cross-connection recovery"
+  fi
+  grep -F 'FAIL: cross-attributed recovered: expected 0, got 2' "$TMP/shared-mutation-output" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "shared counter mutation failed without the expected assertion"
+  printf 'Shared-counter mutation: FAIL: cross-attributed recovered: expected 0, got 2\n'
+}
+
+test_unattributable_quiet_mutation_is_caught() {
+  classify_amqp_connection_errors() {
+    local log_file="$1" line
+    REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=0
+    REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=0
+    REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=0
+    while IFS= read -r line || [ -n "$line" ]; do
+      case "$line" in
+        *' ERROR '*|*' SEVERE '*)
+          REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT=$((REDEPLOY_ERROR_COUNT + 1))
+          case "$line" in
+            *'AMQP connection'*'An unexpected connection driver error occurred'*|*'AMQP connection'*'Caught an exception during connection recovery!'*)
+              REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_RECOVERED_AMQP_ERRORS + 1))
+              ;;
+            *) REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS=$((REDEPLOY_UNEXPLAINED_ERRORS + 1)) ;;
+          esac
+          ;;
+      esac
+    done < "$log_file"
+  }
+
+  if test_cross_connection_unattributable_errors_stay_loud > "$TMP/unattributable-mutation-output" 2>&1; then
+    fail "unattributable mutation accepted an unknown connection"
+  fi
+  grep -F 'FAIL: cross-unattributable recovered: expected 0, got 2' "$TMP/unattributable-mutation-output" > /dev/null \
+    || fail "unattributable mutation failed without the expected assertion"
+  printf 'Unattributable mutation: FAIL: cross-unattributable recovered: expected 0, got 2\n'
+}
+
+test_no_errors
+test_recovery_patterns_match_source
+test_attributed_recovered_connection_error
+test_source_derived_error_shapes_recover_by_connection
+test_cross_connection_unattributable_errors_stay_loud
+test_attributed_cross_connection_errors_stay_loud
+test_attributed_unrecovered_connection_error
+test_other_error_is_unexplained
+test_recovery_requirement_mutation_is_caught
+test_shared_counter_mutation_is_caught
+test_unattributable_quiet_mutation_is_caught
+printf 'PASS: redeploy log classifier\n'